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WKU

Western Kentucky 21 at Toledo 45

TOL
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 9:20 · Emilio Duran punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the WKU 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Home team on offense+2.1Pregame prior+24.4Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 6:48: Maverick McIvor pass complete to Matthew Henry for 7 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — WKU win probability +2.1 pts (now 24%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:34: Tucker Gleason pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 10 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +3.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 11:50: Dylan Cunanan 32 yd FG GOOD — TOL win probability +2.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:25: Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 71 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +4.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:49: Chip Trayanum run for 75 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK) — TOL win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 4 of 7WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 10:44WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:20TOL 4th & 5 at TOL 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:41WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.5%
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:50TOL 4th & 4 at WKU 14, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.6%−0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    74.6%−5.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:22WKU 4th & 2 at TOL 2, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−9.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:22WKU 4th & 2 at TOL 2, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−9.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:13TOL 4th & 7 at TOL 46, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:53WKU 4th & 17 at WKU 39, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:46WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.1%−1.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:00TOL 4th & 7 at WKU 39, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    93.1%−0.5
    36% to make
    Punt
    93.5%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:02WKU 4th & 6 at TOL 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:46WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 33, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:35TOL 4th & 10 at TOL 20, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:58TOL 4th & 4 at TOL 8, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:24TOL 4th & 4 at TOL 36, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:57TOL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:52TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:48WKU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 2:34TOL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:25TOL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:49TOL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:30TOL Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:08WKU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 6:26WKU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:2323% → 23%
Q1 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 3 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+6
76.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 6 yds Marvis Parrish fumbled, recovered by WKU Emmanuel Mcneil-WarrenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 2TD
4 plays · 34 yds · 1:1877% → 77%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
76.7%
Chip Trayanum run for 17 yds to the WKU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
76.6%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Gleason,Tucker pass incomplete short left to Vandeross III,Junior thrown to WKU00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Williams,Demarko) 15 yards from WKU17 to WKU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
76.6%
Tucker Gleason run for 1 yd to the WKU 1Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
77.0%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3INT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5823% → 22%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
76.8%
Marvis Parrish run for no gain to the WKU 25Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
76.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q1 11:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-37
77.6%
Maverick McIvor pass intercepted Emmanuel McNeil-Warren return for 37 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:0022% → 22%
Q1 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
77.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 10 yds to the WKU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.8%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Jaavan MackSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
77.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 4 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
77.8%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Kelby WilliamsSimilar
Q1 10:44
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
77.9%
Cole Maynard punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:1678% → 78%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
78.1%
Chip Trayanum run for a loss of 1 yard to the TOL 19Similar
Q1 10:02
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+6
78.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 6 yds to the TOL 25Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
78.5%
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Terrell Crosby Jr.Similar
Q1 9:20
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
78.4%
Emilio Duran punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the WKU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:1922% → 24%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
78.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 4 yds to the WKU 48Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+4
78.3%
Marvis Parrish run for 4 yds to the TOL 48Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+7
78.5%
George Hart III run for 7 yds to the TOL 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+39
78.8%
Cameron Flowers pass complete to Moussa Barry for 39 yds to the TOL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
78.5%
PENALTY WKU False Start 5 yards from TOLEDO02 to TOLEDO07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Noah MeyersSimilar
Q1 6:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
78.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to George Hart IIISimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
76.4%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Matthew Henry for 7 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:0677% → 82%
Q1 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
77.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the TOL 28Similar
Q1 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+24
77.2%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 24 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
77.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 3 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 7
OPP 45
0
77.9%
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q1 4:54
3RD & 7
OPP 45
+9
77.6%
Tucker Gleason run for 9 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
78.0%
Kenji Christian run for 20 yds to the WKU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
78.1%
Kenji Christian run for 5 yds to the WKU 11Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+1
78.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 1 yd to the WKU 10Similar
Q1 2:34
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
81.5%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 10 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:4620% → 19%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.1%
La'Vell Wright run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 24Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
80.4%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
80.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to La'Vell WrightSimilar
Q1 1:41
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
80.7%
Cole Maynard punt for 47 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for no gain to the TOL 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:4482% → 86%
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
81.5%
Kenji Christian run for 5 yds to the TOL 34Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
81.9%
Kenji Christian run for 4 yds to the TOL 38Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+16
82.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 16 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
82.7%
Chip Trayanum run for 3 yds to the WKU 43Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+13
82.8%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 13 yds to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
83.0%
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Junior Vandeross IIISimilar
Q2 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+10
83.0%
Kenji Christian run for 10 yds to the WKU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
83.2%
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Jacob PetersenSimilar
Q2 13:02
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
83.3%
Kenji Christian run for no gain to the WKU 20Similar
Q2 12:32
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+6
83.1%
Kenji Christian run for 6 yds to the WKU 14Similar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+32
86.1%
Dylan Cunanan 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10DOWNS
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:1915% → 15%
Q2 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
85.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for a loss of 1 yard to the WKU 24Similar
Q2 11:17
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+15
85.2%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun McIvor,Maverick pass incomplete short middle to Williams,Kelby thrown to WKU28 PENALTY TOLEDO UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Long,Langston) 15 yards from WKU24 to WKU39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+32
84.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Moussa Barry for 32 yds to the TOL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
83.9%
Maverick McIvor run for 2 yds to the TOL 27Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+3
84.0%
Marvis Parrish run for 3 yds to the TOL 24Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+7
84.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 7 yds to the TOL 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+15
84.2%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun McIvor,Maverick pass incomplete short middle to Henry,Matthew thrown to TOLEDO00, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY TOLEDO Pass Interference (Smith,Avery) 15 yards from TOLEDO17 to TOLEDO02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.3%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
84.3%
Maverick McIvor run for no gain to the TOL 2Similar
Q2 8:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
85.0%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
85.1%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q2 8:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
0
85.1%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 44 yds · 4:0087% → 87%
Q2 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
86.5%
Chip Trayanum run for 2 yds to the TOL 4Similar
Q2 7:34
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+26
87.1%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 26 yds to the TOL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
87.6%
Chip Trayanum run for 5 yds to the TOL 35Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
88.1%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Trayvon Rudolph for 8 yds to the TOL 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
88.5%
Kenji Christian run for 5 yds to the TOL 48Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+3
87.9%
Tucker Gleason run for 3 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-5
87.8%
PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (Fouty,Carter) 5 yards from WKU49 to TOLEDO46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 7
OWN 46
0
87.8%
Tucker Gleason pass incomplete to Terrell Crosby Jr.Similar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
87.4%
Emilio Duran punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the WKU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 2:1214% → 12%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
86.5%
Marvis Parrish run for 5 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+9
86.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 9 yds to the WKU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
86.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 17 yds to the WKU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
86.0%
Maverick McIvor run for 5 yds to the TOL 49Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 5
OPP 49
0
85.4%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Matthew HenrySimilar
Q2 2:15
3RD & 5
OPP 49
-12
85.9%
Maverick McIvor sacked by Martez Poynter for a loss of 12 yards to the WKU 39Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
87.6%
Cole Maynard punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Bryson Hammer at the TOL 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 13TD
2 plays · 87 yds · 0:2190% → 94%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+16
90.2%
Chip Trayanum run for 16 yds to the TOL 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+71
94.2%
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 71 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 0:317% → 7%
Q2 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
92.7%
Maverick McIvor sacked by Louce Julien for a loss of 11 yards to the WKU 14Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+5
92.9%
George Hart III run for 5 yds to the WKU 19Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 16
OWN 19
+7
93.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 7 yds to the WKU 26Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+13
93.1%
Cole Maynard punt for 52 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 13 yds to the TOL 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 15INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:3995% → 95%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
95.1%
Tucker Gleason run for 8 yds to the TOL 43Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+15
95.3%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Gleason,Tucker pass incomplete deep right to Holley III,Eric thrown to WKU35 PENALTY WKU Roughing The Passer (Malotumau,Mackavelli) 15 yards from TOLEDO43 to WKU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-10
95.3%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Richter,John Alan rush right for 2 yards gain to the WKU40 (Brackenridge,Anthony) PENALTY TOLEDO Holding 10 yards from WKU42 to TOLEDO48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 20
OWN 48
0
95.1%
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Trayvon RudolphSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 20
OWN 48
+13
95.0%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 13 yds to the WKU 39Similar
Q2 0:02
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
95.1%
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Jacob PetersenSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 39
0
94.7%
John Alan Richter pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
98.4%
Chip Trayanum run for 75 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:302% → 1%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 4 yds to the WKU 29Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
98.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 8 yds to the WKU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.9%
Marvis Parrish run for 3 yds to the WKU 40Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+16
98.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Justin Wolf for 16 yds to the TOL 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
98.9%
Marvis Parrish run for 4 yds to the TOL 40Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
98.9%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
99.0%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Quincy BurroughsSimilar
Q3 12:02
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
99.0%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18TD
13 plays · 60 yds · 6:2199% → 100%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.0%
Trayvon Rudolph run for 1 yd to the TOL 41Similar
Q3 11:21
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-10
99.0%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Trayanum,Chip rush left for 9 yards gain to the TOLEDO50 (Mack,Jaavan) PENALTY TOLEDO Holding (Gales,Stephen) 10 yards from TOLEDO41 to TOLEDO31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 19
OWN 31
+11
99.0%
Kenji Christian run for 11 yds to the TOL 42Similar
Q3 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 42
+8
99.3%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
50
+14
99.3%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Jacob Petersen for 14 yds to the WKU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-5
99.4%
PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (Rhett,Cole) 5 yards from WKU36 to WKU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:37
1ST & 15
OPP 41
+7
99.4%
Kenji Christian run for 7 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+4
99.5%
Kenji Christian run for 4 yds to the WKU 30Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 4
OPP 30
+6
99.5%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 6 yds to the WKU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+19
99.5%
Chip Trayanum run for 19 yds to the WKU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.5%
Chip Trayanum run for no gain to the WKU 5Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.6%
John Alan Richter pass complete to Connor Jones for 5 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 3 yds to the WKU 28Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.6%
Marvis Parrish run for 3 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
99.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Matthew Henry for 2 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q3 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.6%
Cole Maynard punt for 52 yds , Bryson Hammer returns for 1 yd to the TOL 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:04100% → 100%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
99.6%
Kenji Christian run for 4 yds to the TOL 12Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+8
99.6%
Kenji Christian run for 8 yds to the TOL 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.6%
Connor Walendzak run for 3 yds to the TOL 23Similar
Q3 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+2
99.7%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TOL 25Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.7%
John Alan Richter pass incomplete to Julian AllenSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 5
OWN 25
-5
99.7%
PENALTY TOLEDO False Start (Rusk,Cooper) 5 yards from TOLEDO25 to TOLEDO20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:35
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
Emilio Duran punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:080% → 0%
Q3 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+39
99.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Moussa Barry for 39 yds to the TOL 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
99.7%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the TOL 11Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
99.8%
Maverick McIvor run for 2 yds to the TOL 9Similar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+7
99.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cameron Flowers for 7 yds to the TOL 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.7%
George Hart III run for 1 yd to the TOL 1Similar
Q4 13:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
Jaden McGill run for 1 yd for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
99.8%
Kenji Christian run for 1 yd to the TOL 3Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+1
99.8%
Kenji Christian run for 1 yd to the TOL 4Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 8
OWN 4
+4
99.8%
John Alan Richter run for 4 yds to the TOL 8Similar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 4
OWN 8
0
99.8%
Emilio Duran punt for 51 yds , Jairus Mack returns for no gain to the WKU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:270% → 1%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Lofton HowardSimilar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+11
99.9%
K.D. Hutchinson run for 11 yds to the TOL 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
99.9%
(10:04) No Huddle-Shotgun McIvor,Maverick rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TOLEDO42 (Miller,Hudson) PENALTY WKU Holding (Jackson,Marshall) 10 yards from TOLEDO48 to WKU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:23
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+13
99.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to La'Vell Wright for 13 yds to the TOL 45Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+23
99.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 23 yds to the TOL 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 6 yds to the TOL 16Similar
Q4 7:46
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
La'Vell Wright run for 3 yds to the TOL 13Similar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the TOL 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.0%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cameron Flowers for 11 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 24PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:47100% → 100%
Q4 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
99.6%
Connor Walendzak run for 6 yds to the TOL 25Similar
Q4 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Connor Walendzak run for 5 yds to the TOL 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.7%
Connor Walendzak run for 2 yds to the TOL 32Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+1
99.7%
Connor Walendzak run for 1 yd to the TOL 33Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 33
-5
99.7%
PENALTY TOLEDO Delay Of Game (Richter,John Alan) 5 yards from TOLEDO33 to TOLEDO28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+8
99.7%
Connor Walendzak run for 8 yds to the TOL 36Similar
Q4 2:24
4TH & 4
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Emilio Duran punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the WKU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25END OF GAME
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q4 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.4%
Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the WKU 20Similar
Q4 1:51
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+7
99.5%
Jaden McGill run for 7 yds to the WKU 27Similar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
99.5%
Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the WKU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.4%
Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the WKU 31Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
99.5%
Jaden McGill run for 1 yd to the WKU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:49
Chip Trayanum run for 75 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+5
TD · Q2 1:25
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Junior Vandeross III for 71 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+4
TD · Q1 2:34
Tucker Gleason pass complete to Chip Trayanum for 10 yds for a TD (Dylan Cunanan KICK)
+3.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com