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LIB

Liberty 24 at Jacksonville State 34

JXST
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · AmFirst Stadium
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Win probability · JXST
modelJXST aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playJXST scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+4.2JXST 55.3%Garrison Rippa 50 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 17 · Q2 3:08
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:08 · Garrison Rippa 50 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 67Pregame prior−11.7Home team on offense+8.1Garbage-time factor+3.0Score differential+1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.2Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:35: Cam Cook run for 11 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +6.6 pts (now 45%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:13: Cam Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +17.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:47: Evan Dickens run for 52 yds for a TD (Jay Billingsley KICK) — LIB win probability +14.4 pts (now 28%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:33: Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK) — JXST win probability +7.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: JXST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:16: Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 62 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK) — LIB win probability +13.1 pts (now 19%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
JXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 6LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:28JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:56LIB 4th & 9 at LIB 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:56JXST 4th & 7 at LIB 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    41.2%−0.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:04JXST 4th & 5 at JXST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:20LIB 4th & 2 at JXST 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 49.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    49.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    48.5%−1.3
    58% to make
    Punt
    44.1%−5.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:08JXST 4th & 8 at LIB 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.6%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    55.4%−1.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:00LIB 4th & 6 at JXST 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.0%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    30.8%−7.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:02LIB 4th & 2 at LIB 47, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 39.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 0:58LIB 4th & 9 at JXST 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−8.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:15JXST 4th & 3 at JXST 27, up 14
    Close callPunted · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 4:08JXST 4th & 3 at LIB 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.9%−0.8
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.8%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:33LIB 4th & 25 at LIB 38, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%−0.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
JXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LIB made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
  1. Q1 9:58JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:09LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:35JXST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:13JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 12:47LIB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:33JXST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%−0.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:16LIB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
JXSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:3230% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
29.9%
Cam Cook run for 9 yds to the JXST 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
29.9%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 6 yds to the JXST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
29.9%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the JXST 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
29.9%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the JXST 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
29.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:28
4TH & 5
OWN 45
+16
31.0%
Cade Backe punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LIB 37 , Reese Smith returns for 16 yds to the LIB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:4769% → 69%
Q1 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
30.9%
Julian Gray run for 12 yds to the LIB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
31.1%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Isaac Walker for a loss of 4 yards to the LIB 40 Ethan Vasko fumbled, recovered by JXST Myles Butler , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 3TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:4332% → 34%
Q1 11:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
31.8%
Cam Cook run for 31 yds to the LIB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
31.9%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the LIB 5Similar
Q1 11:41
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
31.9%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the LIB 3Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.3%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5466% → 65%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
33.9%
Evan Dickens run for 1 yd to the LIB 6Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
33.9%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Donte Lee Jr.Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 9
OWN 6
0
34.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Casey CainSimilar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 9
OWN 6
0
35.1%
Max Morgan punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Gabe Glover at the LIB 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 2:0035% → 36%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
35.3%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the LIB 47Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+2
35.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the LIB 45Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 7
OPP 45
0
35.1%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the LIB 45Similar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 7
OPP 45
0
36.3%
Cade Backe punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
5 plays · 95 yds · 2:4764% → 66%
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
36.4%
Caden Williams run for 1 yd to the LIB 6Similar
Q1 6:56
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+6
36.5%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 6 yds to the LIB 12Similar
Q1 6:56
3RD & 3
OWN 12
+13
36.7%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Casey Cain for 13 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the LIB 28Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+72
34.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Julian Gray for 72 yds for a TD (Jay Billingsley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0135% → 35%
Q1 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
34.7%
Caden Creel run for 3 yds to the JXST 25Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+2
34.8%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the JXST 27Similar
Q1 4:05
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
34.4%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the JXST 27Similar
Q1 2:04
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
34.9%
Cade Backe punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Reese Smith at the LIB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 8INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 2:0465% → 65%
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
34.9%
Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+25
34.8%
Caden Williams run for 25 yds to the JXST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
33.8%
Caden Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the JXST 45Similar
Q1 2:04
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
34.0%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jamari PersonSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 45
-11
35.3%
Ethan Vasko pass intercepted Myles Butler return for 11 yds to the JXST 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 9TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 2:2538% → 45%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+24
38.2%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Deondre Johnson for 24 yds to the LIB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
38.8%
Cam Cook run for 4 yds to the LIB 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+7
38.8%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 7 yds to the LIB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
38.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+7
38.8%
Cam Cook run for 7 yds to the LIB 11Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+11
45.4%
Cam Cook run for 11 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 10DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:1557% → 53%
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
43.2%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 9 yds to the LIB 44Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+8
42.0%
Evan Dickens run for 8 yds to the JXST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
41.9%
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the JXST 48Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
42.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Casey Cain for 9 yds to the JXST 39Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+2
44.5%
Evan Dickens run for 2 yds to the JXST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
44.4%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Julian GraySimilar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
44.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Evan Dickens for 8 yds to the JXST 29Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
44.5%
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the JXST 29Similar
Q2 8:20
4TH & 2
OPP 29
-5
47.3%
Ethan Vasko run for a loss of 5 yards to the JXST 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 11FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 5:1249% → 55%
Q2 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
48.5%
Andrew Paul run for 5 yds to the JXST 39Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+3
49.4%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the JXST 42Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+2
48.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 2 yds to the JXST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-3
49.5%
Cam Cook run for a loss of 3 yards to the JXST 41Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 13
OWN 41
+14
49.8%
Cam Cook run for 14 yds to the LIB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
51.6%
Cam Cook run for 7 yds to the LIB 38Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+3
51.5%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the LIB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
51.8%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+3
51.6%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 7
OPP 32
-1
51.0%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Brock Rechsteiner for a loss of 1 yard to the LIB 33Similar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
55.3%
Garrison Rippa 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 12FG
14 plays · 69 yds · 3:0243% → 47%
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+26
56.8%
Evan Dickens run for 26 yds to the LIB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
55.1%
Caden Williams run for 1 yd to the LIB 40Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+7
55.5%
Caden Williams run for 7 yds to the LIB 47Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+5
55.9%
Ethan Vasko run for 5 yds to the JXST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
55.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Reese Smith for 6 yds to the JXST 42Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+10
55.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 10 yds to the JXST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+10
55.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 10 yds to the JXST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
54.5%
Evan Dickens run for no gain to the JXST 22Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
55.1%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Deuce SpurlockSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 22
-10
56.4%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass complete deep left to Gray,Julian caught at JSU00, for 22 yards to the JSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:52 PENALTY LIB Holding (Hayes,Harrison) 10 yards from JSU22 to JSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 20
OPP 32
+14
58.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 14 yds to the JXST 18Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+35
53.5%
Jay Billingsley 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:5845% → 42%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
55.4%
Evan Dickens run for 7 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
53.5%
Evan Dickens run for 1 yd to the LIB 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
55.0%
Ethan Vasko run for 6 yds to the LIB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
53.8%
Evan Dickens run for 6 yds to the LIB 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
-5
52.8%
PENALTY LIB False Start (Geth,DJ) 5 yards from LIB45 to LIB40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+3
54.1%
Ethan Vasko run for 3 yds to the LIB 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+4
54.3%
Ethan Vasko run for 4 yds to the LIB 47Similar
Q3 11:02
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
57.8%
Max Morgan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Gabe Glover at the JXST 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 83 yds · 3:4960% → 82%
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
60.3%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the JXST 17Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+3
59.9%
Cam Cook run for 3 yds to the JXST 20Similar
Q3 11:02
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+11
58.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 11 yds to the JXST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+44
60.7%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 44 yds to the LIB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
63.9%
Cam Cook run for 23 yds to the LIB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
63.9%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the LIB 2Similar
Q3 11:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
63.9%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd to the LIB 1Similar
Q3 7:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
81.8%
Cam Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15MISSED FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 6:1022% → 16%
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
77.8%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Elijah CanionSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
78.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Julian Gray for 1 yd to the LIB 22Similar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+14
78.3%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jamari Person for 14 yds to the LIB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
76.6%
Julian Gray run for 6 yds to the LIB 42Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+6
75.6%
Vaughn Blue run for 6 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
75.6%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Vaughn BlueSimilar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+22
76.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Elijah Canion for 22 yds to the JXST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
73.9%
Caden Williams run for 3 yds to the JXST 27Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
73.3%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Elijah CanionSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+24
75.4%
Ethan Vasko run for 24 yds to the JXST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.3%
Caden Williams run for no gain to the JXST 3Similar
Q3 7:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
73.2%
Ethan Vasko pass incomplete to Jacob JenkinsSimilar
Q3 7:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-6
74.6%
Ethan Vasko sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the JXST 9Similar
Q3 0:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
83.8%
Jay Billingsley 27 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:4390% → 90%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
89.6%
Andrew Paul run for 1 yd to the JXST 21Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+3
90.2%
Andrew Paul run for 3 yds to the JXST 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+3
89.9%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Pearson Baldwin for 3 yds to the JXST 27Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 3
OWN 27
0
89.5%
Conor Donaghy punt for 44 yds , Reese Smith returns for no gain to the LIB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:2813% → 28%
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
86.6%
Evan Dickens run for 3 yds to the LIB 31Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+17
86.4%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Jacob Jenkins for 17 yds to the LIB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
72.0%
Evan Dickens run for 52 yds for a TD (Jay Billingsley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 18TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:1481% → 96%
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
80.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Cam rush left for 2 yards gain to the JSU27 (Harmon,Damond; Carter,Joseph) PENALTY JSU Holding (Orr,Jeremiah) 10 yards from JSU25 to JSU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+11
80.0%
Cam Cook run for 11 yds to the JXST 26Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+5
79.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Cook,Cam rush left for 4 yards gain to the JSU30 (Jarvis,Mike; Dixon,Bryce) PENALTY LIB Illegal Substitution 5 yards from JSU26 to JSU31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
79.9%
Andrew Paul run for 7 yds to the JXST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.1%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Deondre JohnsonSimilar
Q4 12:47
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
81.7%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the JXST 40Similar
Q4 12:47
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+13
80.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Caleb Coombs for 13 yds to the LIB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+42
82.9%
Andrew Paul run for 42 yds to the LIB 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
83.3%
Cam Cook run for 2 yds to the LIB 3Similar
Q4 12:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
83.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for no gain to the LIB 3Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
95.5%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 3 yds for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:116% → 19%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+12
94.0%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 12 yds to the LIB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
93.7%
Evan Dickens run for 8 yds to the LIB 38Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+62
80.6%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 62 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 20FG
8 plays · 58 yds · 3:0888% → 93%
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
88.3%
Gavin Wimsatt run for 12 yds to the JXST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
89.5%
Cam Cook run for 15 yds to the LIB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
89.8%
Cam Cook run for 24 yds to the LIB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
90.3%
Cam Cook run for 5 yds to the LIB 9Similar
Q4 7:16
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+2
90.3%
Gavin Wimsatt pass complete to Harrison Hamsley for 2 yds to the LIB 7Similar
Q4 7:16
3RD & 3
OPP 7
0
89.6%
Gavin Wimsatt pass incomplete to Khristian LandoSimilar
Q4 4:08
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
92.6%
Garrison Rippa 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:357% → 3%
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 7 yds to the LIB 32Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-10
91.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Vasko,Ethan pass complete short middle to Lee Jr.,Donte caught at LIB40, for 15 yards to the LIB47 (Taylor,Tyrin; Franklin, Jr.,Travis) PENALTY LIB Holding (Williams,Christian) 10 yards from LIB32 to LIB22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+5
92.9%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Austin Henderson for 5 yds to the LIB 27Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+26
93.1%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Austin Henderson for 26 yds to the JXST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
90.8%
Ethan Vasko run for 1 yd to the JXST 46Similar
Q4 4:08
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-5
90.8%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Emmanuel Oyebadejo for a loss of 5 yards to the LIB 49Similar
Q4 4:08
3RD & 14
OWN 49
-11
92.5%
Ethan Vasko sacked by Tae Floyd for a loss of 11 yards to the LIB 38Similar
Q4 1:33
4TH & 25
OWN 38
+19
96.8%
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Casey Cain for 19 yds to the JXST 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
JXSTDrive 22END OF GAME
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3396% → 97%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
96.3%
Cam Cook run for no gain to the JXST 43Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
96.2%
Cam Cook run for 13 yds to the LIB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-3
96.4%
Kneel down by Jax State at LIB47 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 47
-2
96.6%
Kneel down by Jax State at LIB49 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:13
Cam Cook run for 1 yd for a TD (Garrison Rippa KICK)
+17.9
TD · Q4 12:47
Evan Dickens run for 52 yds for a TD (Jay Billingsley KICK)
-14.4
TD · Q4 7:16
Ethan Vasko pass complete to Donte Lee Jr. for 62 yds for a TD (Brayden Beck KICK)
-13.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com