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UNA

North Alabama 6 at Western Kentucky 55

WKU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUNA aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUNA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameTD+1.6WKU 93.2%Maverick McIvor pass complete toJairus Mack for 20 yds for a TD (JohnCannon KICK)AWAY 6 - HOME 21 · Q2 8:14
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:14 · Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 20 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 63Pregame prior+33.8Home team on offense+9.5Score differential+4.3Blowout margin−0.4Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 5:58: Ian Vachon 25 yd FG GOOD — UNA win probability +0.4 pts (now 7%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q1 0:15: Maverick McIvor pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 9 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — WKU win probability +1.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:14: Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 20 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — WKU win probability +1.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 5:34: Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 78 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — WKU win probability +3.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:25: Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 12 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK) — WKU win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNA made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:53WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:58UNA 4th & 7 at WKU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    5.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:05WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:15UNA 4th & 19 at WKU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:15UNA 4th & 28 at UNA 34, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:14WKU 4th & 3 at UNA 20, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−0.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    90.7%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:46UNA 4th & 20 at UNA 30, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11UNA 4th & 5 at UNA 30, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:47UNA 4th & 10 at UNA 25, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:06UNA 4th & 1 at UNA 34, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:37UNA 4th & 5 at WKU 42, down 36
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:10WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 16, up 46
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:06UNA 4th & 17 at UNA 30, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:08WKU 4th & 8 at UNA 28, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:08UNA 4th & 4 at WKU 33, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:48UNA 4th & 4 at WKU 24, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:30WKU 4th & 21 at UNA 25, up 46
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:03UNA 4th & 9 at UNA 26, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:58WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:15WKU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:14WKU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:34WKU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:25WKU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:48WKU Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:50WKU Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:5995% → 94%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.6%
Marvis Parrish run for 1 yd to the WKU 26Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
94.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Moussa Barry for 6 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
94.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Matthew HenrySimilar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+55
94.4%
Cole Maynard punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:4795% → 94%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
94.5%
Marvis Parrish run for a loss of 4 yards to the UNA 17Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 14
OPP 17
+4
94.3%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Moussa Barry for 4 yds to the UNA 13Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+12
94.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 12 yds to the UNA 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.4%
George Hart III run for 1 yd for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 3FG
14 plays · 70 yds · 5:476% → 7%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
94.2%
Jayvian Allen run for 3 yds to the UNA 26Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-6
94.1%
Jayvian Allen run for a loss of 6 yards to the UNA 20Similar
Q1 10:42
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+13
94.1%
Ari Patu pass complete to Jayvian Allen for 13 yds to the UNA 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
93.9%
Ari Patu pass complete to Kaleb Heatherly for 5 yds to the UNA 38Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+3
93.8%
Ari Patu run for 3 yds to the UNA 41Similar
Q1 9:18
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+21
93.8%
Jalyn Daniels run for 6 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST down Western Kentucky Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Kent Robinson) to the WKU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
93.7%
Ari Patu pass complete to KJ Fields for 4 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+2
93.5%
Ari Patu run for 2 yds to the WKU 32Similar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+24
93.4%
Jayvian Allen run for 24 yds to the WKU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.2%
Ari Patu pass complete to Kaleb Heatherly for no gain to the WKU 8Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
93.1%
Roderick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the WKU 7Similar
Q1 6:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
93.1%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q1 5:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
92.7%
Ian Vachon 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4893% → 92%
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.8%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
92.7%
Marvis Parrish run for no gain to the WKU 25Similar
Q1 5:16
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
92.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Cole Maynard punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 5FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 2:367% → 8%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
92.6%
KJ Fields run for 14 yds to the UNA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
92.4%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Patu,Ari pass incomplete deep left to Scott,Tanaka thrown to WKU43 PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Robinson,Kent) 15 yards from UNA34 to UNA49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
92.1%
Jalyn Daniels run for 7 yds to the WKU 44Similar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+24
91.9%
Ari Patu pass complete to Justin Pegues for 24 yds to the WKU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
91.7%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Jayvian AllenSimilar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
91.7%
Ari Patu run for 6 yds to the WKU 14Similar
Q1 2:39
3RD & 4
OPP 14
-15
91.5%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Patu,Ari pass complete short left to Pegues,Justin caught at WKU09, for 8 yards to the WKU06 (Mack,Jaavan) PENALTY UNA Pass Interference (Fields,KJ) 15 yards from WKU14 to WKU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 19
OPP 29
0
91.7%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Justin PeguesSimilar
Q1 2:15
4TH & 19
OPP 29
+47
91.7%
Ian Vachon 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4792% → 93%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
91.5%
Jairus Mack run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
50
+5
91.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 5 yds to the UNA 45Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+25
91.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kelby Williams for 25 yds to the UNA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+11
91.8%
George Hart III run for 11 yds to the UNA 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Quincy Burroughs for 9 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 23 yds · 3:457% → 8%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+7
92.7%
Ari Patu pass complete to Justin Pegues for 7 yds to the UNA 18Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & 3
OWN 18
+14
92.6%
Ari Patu pass complete to Justin Pegues for 14 yds to the UNA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
92.4%
Roderick Taylor Jr. run for 1 yd to the UNA 33Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+6
92.4%
Ari Patu run for 6 yds to the UNA 39Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+13
92.1%
Ari Patu run for 13 yds to the WKU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
91.8%
(13:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Patu,Ari pass complete short left to Pegues,Justin caught at WKU48, for 4 yards to the WKU44 (Malotumau,Mackavelli; Eugene Jr.,Jai) PENALTY UNA Holding 10 yards from WKU48 to UNA42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 20
OWN 42
0
92.1%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+2
92.2%
Jalen Fletcher run for 2 yds to the UNA 44Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 18
OWN 44
-10
92.1%
Ari Patu sacked by Harper Holloman for a loss of 10 yards to the UNA 34Similar
Q2 11:15
4TH & 28
OWN 34
+10
92.3%
Adam Watford punt for 53 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 28 , Jairus Mack returns for 10 yds to the WKU 44 North Alabama Penalty, Illegal Formation (Justin Pegues) to the WKU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:5592% → 93%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
91.6%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 7 yds to the WKU 35Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+27
91.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Matthew Henry for 27 yds to the UNA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
92.0%
Cameron Flowers run for 1 yd to the UNA 37Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+10
91.9%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kelby Williams for 10 yds to the UNA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
91.9%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Moussa BarrySimilar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+7
91.9%
Maverick McIvor run for 7 yds to the UNA 20Similar
Q2 8:21
3RD & 3
OPP 20
0
91.5%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Justin WolfSimilar
Q2 8:14
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+20
93.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 20 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 2:237% → 7%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.2%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UNA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
92.8%
Jayvian Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNA 37 Jayvian Allen fumbled, recovered by UNA Jayvian AllenSimilar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+5
93.2%
Ari Patu pass complete to Tanaka Scott for 5 yds to the UNA 42Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 8
OWN 42
-12
92.9%
Ari Patu sacked by Dominic Oliver for a loss of 12 yards to the UNA 30Similar
Q2 5:46
4TH & 20
OWN 30
0
93.3%
Adam Watford punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10TD
1 play · 78 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
97.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 78 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:183% → 3%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.6%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to KJ FieldsSimilar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.7%
Jayvian Allen run for 1 yd to the UNA 26Similar
Q2 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
96.7%
Ari Patu pass complete to Justin Pegues for 4 yds to the UNA 30Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
96.8%
Adam Watford punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the WKU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:4097% → 99%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
97.4%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Marvis Parrish for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
50
+22
97.5%
Marvis Parrish run for 22 yds to the UNA 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
97.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cameron Flowers for 1 yd to the UNA 27Similar
Q2 2:42
2ND & 9
OPP 27
-5
97.5%
PENALTY WKU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Collins Jr.,Melvin) 5 yards from UNA27 to UNA32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:25
2ND & 14
OPP 32
+20
97.5%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Cameron Flowers for 20 yds to the UNA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 12 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:331% → 1%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Jayvian Allen run for 3 yds to the UNA 28Similar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Kaleb HeatherlySimilar
Q2 1:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
99.0%
Ari Patu run for a loss of 3 yards to the UNA 25Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Noah GreggSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 14TD
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:4899% → 99%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
99.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 1 yd to the UNA 24Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+8
99.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 8 yds to the UNA 16Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+2
99.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Noah Meyers for 2 yds to the UNA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
99.1%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to George Hart III for no gain to the UNA 14Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
99.2%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Matthew Henry for 14 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:241% → 1%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.4%
Ari Patu pass complete to Kaleb Heatherly for 7 yds to the UNA 32Similar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.3%
Ari Patu run for 2 yds to the UNA 34Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.3%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Jayvian AllenSimilar
Q2 0:06
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.4%
Adam Watford punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.2%
M. McIvor takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:161% → 1%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.4%
Jayvian Allen run for 3 yds to the UNA 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+25
99.4%
Ari Patu run for 25 yds to the WKU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
99.4%
Jayvian Allen run for 2 yds to the WKU 45Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
99.5%
Ari Patu pass complete to Kaleb Heatherly for 3 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q3 12:45
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Justin PeguesSimilar
Q3 12:37
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
99.5%
Ari Patu punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
8 plays · 67 yds · 15:10100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
99.5%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Myers for 22 yds to the UNA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.5%
Jaden McGill run for 9 yds to the UNA 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+4
99.5%
Jaden McGill run for 4 yds to the UNA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+14
99.5%
Marvin Sims run for 14 yds to the UNA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.5%
Jaden McGill run for 5 yds to the UNA 13Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Jaden McGill run for 5 yds to the UNA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
99.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete to Marvin SimsSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Marvin Sims for 8 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
99.6%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to Matthew HenrySimilar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
99.6%
La'Vell Wright run for no gain to the WKU 7Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+9
99.6%
La'Vell Wright run for 9 yds to the WKU 16Similar
Q3 11:10
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
99.6%
Cole Maynard punt for 52 yds , Justin Pegues returns for no gain to the UNA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
99.7%
Jalyn Daniels run for 10 yds to the UNA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.7%
Jalyn Daniels run for 6 yds to the UNA 43Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
Jayvian Allen run for 2 yds to the UNA 45Similar
Q3 9:31
3RD & 2
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Ari Patu pass incomplete to Justin PeguesSimilar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 2
OWN 45
-15
99.7%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Patu,Ari pass complete short left to Pegues,Justin caught at UNA48, for 4 yards to the UNA49 (Emery,Jalen) PENALTY UNA Pass Interference (Fields,KJ) 15 yards from UNA45 to UNA30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:06
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Adam Watford punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKU 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 3:52100% → 100%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.7%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the WKU 42Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
99.7%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 7 yds to the WKU 49Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
99.8%
George Hart III run for 3 yds to the UNA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kelby Williams for 9 yds to the UNA 39Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+9
99.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 9 yds to the UNA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.8%
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Kelby Williams for 5 yds to the UNA 25Similar
Q3 5:56
2ND & 5
OPP 25
0
99.8%
Maverick McIvor pass incomplete to George Hart IIISimilar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+2
99.8%
George Hart III run for 2 yds to the UNA 23Similar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 3
OPP 23
-5
99.8%
PENALTY WKU False Start (Jackson,Marshall) 5 yards from UNA23 to UNA28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:08
4TH & 8
OPP 28
+46
99.8%
John Cannon 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 22DOWNS
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:370% → 0%
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Destin Wade pass complete to Justin Pegues for 3 yds to the UNA 28Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.8%
Destin Wade pass complete to Christian Burkhalter for 7 yds to the UNA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
Destin Wade run for 4 yds to the UNA 39Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+22
99.8%
Destin Wade run for 22 yds to the WKU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
99.8%
Destin Wade pass complete to KJ Fields for 6 yds to the WKU 33Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 4
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Justin PeguesSimilar
Q3 0:38
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q3 0:08
4TH & 4
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Christian BurkhalterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 23DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 2:510% → 0%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Destin Wade run for no gain to the UNA 25Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Tanaka ScottSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Destin Wade run for 12 yds to the UNA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
99.9%
Destin Wade pass complete to LT Sanders for 2 yds to the UNA 35Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+15
99.9%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun Wade,Destin pass incomplete deep left to Scott,Tanaka thrown to WKU37 PENALTY WKU Pass Interference (Flowers,Dylan) 15 yards from UNA35 to UNA50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
50
0
99.9%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Azariah FletcherSimilar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 10
50
+15
99.9%
Western Kentucky Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Robby Harrison) to the WKU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.9%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to Azariah FletcherSimilar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
99.9%
LT Sanders run for 6 yds to the WKU 24Similar
Q4 11:54
3RD & 4
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Destin Wade pass incomplete to LT SandersSimilar
Q4 11:48
4TH & 4
OPP 24
-4
99.9%
Destin Wade run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24FG
14 plays · 47 yds · 5:08100% → 100%
Q4 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
99.9%
Jalen Hampton run for 6 yds to the WKU 34Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Jalen Hampton run for 6 yds to the WKU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
99.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Jaleel Walker for 20 yds to the UNA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.9%
Jalen Hampton run for 4 yds to the UNA 36Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
99.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. run for 3 yds to the UNA 33Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+4
99.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. run for 4 yds to the UNA 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+15
99.9%
(08:21) No Huddle-Shotgun Tisdale Jr.,Rodney pass incomplete short left to Walker,Jaleel thrown to UNA10 PENALTY UNA Pass Interference (Jordan,Michael) 15 yards from UNA29 to UNA14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
99.9%
Jalen Hampton run for 2 yds to the UNA 12Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 8
OPP 12
-10
99.9%
(07:55) No Huddle-Shotgun Hampton,Jalen rush left for 3 yards gain to the UNA09 (Glover,Leo) PENALTY WKU Holding (West,Jackson) 10 yards from UNA12 to UNA22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 18
OPP 22
-10
99.9%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun Tisdale Jr.,Rodney pass incomplete short left to Walker,Jaleel thrown to UNA09 PENALTY WKU Holding (Collins Jr.,Melvin) 10 yards from UNA22 to UNA32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 28
OPP 32
-5
99.9%
PENALTY WKU False Start (Jackson,Jemeil) 5 yards from UNA32 to UNA37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:04
2ND & 33
OPP 37
+12
99.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Jaden McGill for 12 yds to the UNA 25Similar
Q4 6:35
3RD & 21
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass incomplete to Marvin SimsSimilar
Q4 6:30
4TH & 21
OPP 25
+43
99.9%
John Cannon 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:170% → 0%
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
LT Sanders run for 2 yds to the UNA 27Similar
Q4 5:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
100.0%
Jalen Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the UNA 26Similar
Q4 5:11
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
DC Tabscott pass incomplete to Kaden CooperSimilar
Q4 5:03
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Adam Watford punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jairus Mack at the WKU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26DOWNS
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
99.9%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun McGill,Jaden rush middle for 12 yards gain to the WKU42 (Glover,Leo; Young,Anthony) PENALTY WKU Holding (Collins Jr.,Melvin) 10 yards from WKU30 to WKU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:39
1ST & 20
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Jaden McGill run for 3 yds to the WKU 23Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 17
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
(04:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Tisdale Jr.,Rodney pass incomplete deep left to Walker,Jaleel thrown to UNA47 PENALTY UNA Offside (Colbert,E.J.) 5 yards from WKU23 to WKU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+15
99.9%
North Alabama Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Bishop Burkhalter) to the UNA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
100.0%
Jaden McGill run for 4 yds to the UNA 42Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
100.0%
Jaden McGill run for 2 yds to the UNA 40Similar
Q4 2:33
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+21
100.0%
Rodney Tisdale Jr. pass complete to Isaiah Myers for 21 yds to the UNA 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the UNA 19Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
100.0%
Jalen Hampton run for no gain to the UNA 19Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-10
100.0%
(01:11) Shotgun Hampton,Jalen rush right for 11 yards gain to the UNA08 (Glover,Leo; Ingram,Jyheam) PENALTY WKU Holding (Collins Jr.,Melvin) 10 yards from UNA19 to UNA29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 20
OPP 29
+15
100.0%
Jaden McGill run for 15 yds to the UNA 14Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
100.0%
North Alabama Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Demarcious Robinson) to the UNA 15Similar
Q4 0:24
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
100.0%
North Alabama Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Demarcious Robinson) to the UNA 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNADrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
100.0%
Anthony Young pass incomplete to Amarie RogersSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
100.0%
Kingston Lowe run for 4 yds to the UNA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:34
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 78 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q2 8:14
Maverick McIvor pass complete to Jairus Mack for 20 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 2:25
Maverick McIvor pass complete to K.D. Hutchinson for 12 yds for a TD (John Cannon KICK)
+1.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com