Try the model
UNLV

UNLV 38 at Sam Houston 21

SHSU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025 · BBVA Compass Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SHSU
modelSHSU aheadUNLV aheadconfidence bandkey playSHSU scoreUNLV score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:04 · Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Malik Phillips
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialOffense timeoutsDefense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense−35.2Pregame prior−7.8Score differential−19.7Offense timeouts−12.4Defense timeouts−12.3Garbage-time factor−11.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:19: Jaden Bradley 43 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Ramon Villela Kick) — UNLV win probability +2.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q1 8:42: Hunter Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK) — UNLV win probability +2.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q1 0:32: Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +6.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q2 9:41: R. Villela 29 yd FG GOOD — SHSU win probability +6.8 pts (now 19%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · Q4 7:05: Anthony Colandrea run for 13 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) — UNLV win probability +3.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNLV has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SHSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 10UNLV made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 14:49SHSU 4th & 12 at SHSU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42UNLV 4th & 1 at SHSU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    73.0%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 9:41UNLV 4th & 11 at SHSU 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.5%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−3.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:41SHSU 4th & 10 at UNLV 15, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−1.9
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:21SHSU 4th & 6 at SHSU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.3%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:15SHSU 4th & 1 at SHSU 47, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:45SHSU 4th & 2 at SHSU 32, down 22
    Close callPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:22UNLV 4th & 12 at UNLV 39, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.8%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:04SHSU 4th & 1 at UNLV 20, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−2.0
    75% to make
    Punt
    -3.9%−8.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:38UNLV 4th & 1 at UNLV 29, up 22
    Close callPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:35SHSU 4th & 1 at SHSU 43, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.2%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 9:57SHSU 4th & 8 at UNLV 43, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    1.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:01SHSU 4th & 1 at SHSU 41, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:38SHSU 4th & 5 at UNLV 23, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    0.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNLV made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:19UNLV Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNLVDrive 1TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:4174% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
26.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 13 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-1
26.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for a loss of 1 yard to the UNLV 44Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 44
+7
26.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 7 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+6
26.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for 6 yds to the SHSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
23.6%
Jaden Bradley 43 Yd pass from Anthony Colandrea (Ramon Villela Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 15:1126% → 15%
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
26.0%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Landan Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 23Similar
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
15.7%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Aviyon Smith-MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
15.1%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
15.3%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:3724% → 22%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.7%
Elijah Green run for 8 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
24.0%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the SHSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
24.0%
Hunter Watson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-1
24.0%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 36Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+5
23.8%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Qua'Vez Humphreys UNLV Penalty, off-side (Cohen Fuller) to the SHSU 41Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+7
24.0%
Hunter Watson run for 7 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
24.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 9 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+4
24.1%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the UNLV 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
24.1%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Darrick Bledsoe III for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Andrew Powdrell) to the UNLV 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
24.3%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Rayfield LottenSimilar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+18
24.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Elijah Green for 18 yds to the UNLV 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
21.7%
Hunter Watson run for 6 yds for a TD (RJ Lopez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 4TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 8:1079% → 85%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
21.3%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 18 yds to the UNLV 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
20.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the UNLV 49Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
20.9%
DeAngelo Irvin Jr. run for 2 yds to the SHSU 49Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+1
20.9%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 1 yd to the SHSU 48Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+4
21.0%
Alex Orji run for 4 yds to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
20.7%
Keyvone Lee run for 8 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 2
OPP 36
0
20.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Marsel McDuffie, broken up by CJ BrownSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 2
OPP 36
+3
20.9%
Keyvone Lee run for 3 yds to the SHSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
20.9%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Var'Keyes Gumms for 9 yds to the SHSU 24Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+18
21.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 18 yds to the SHSU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
21.1%
Keyvone Lee run for 1 yd to the SHSU 5Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
21.1%
Alex Orji run for a loss of 1 yard to the SHSU 6Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
21.2%
Sam Houston Penalty, off-side (Darien Jackson) to the SHSU 3Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK) Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 5TD
12 plays · 70 yds · 5:0885% → 81%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
14.9%
Jaylon Glover run for 5 yds to the UNLV 35Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+6
14.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 6 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
14.5%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+32
14.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for 32 yds to the SHSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
14.7%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 12 yds to the SHSU 13 UNLV Penalty, Offensive holding (JoJo Earle) to the SHSU 23Similar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 8
OPP 23
-15
12.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for no gain UNLV Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Daejon Reynolds) to the SHSU 38Similar
Q2 11:43
1ST & 23
OPP 38
+5
12.4%
Anthony Colandrea run for 5 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q2 11:43
2ND & 18
OPP 33
+24
12.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for 24 yds to the SHSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
12.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to JoJo EarleSimilar
Q2 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
12.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jai'Den Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 11Similar
Q2 10:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
12.4%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Jai'Den Thomas, broken up by Emon AllenSimilar
Q2 9:41
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+29
19.2%
R. Villela 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 0:0011% → 10%
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
10.6%
Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
10.8%
Elijah Green run for no gain to the SHSU 35Similar
Q2 9:36
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+12
10.6%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Tim Burns Jr. for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, off-side (Tunmise Adeleye) to the SHSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
11.0%
Mabrey Mettauer sacked by Jalen Lee for a loss of 4 yards to the SHSU 43Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 14
OWN 43
-15
10.6%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for no gain to the SHSU 43 Sam Houston Penalty, Offensive pass interference (Rayfield Lotten) to the SHSU 28Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 29
OWN 28
0
10.4%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Elijah Green, broken up by Justin FloweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:289% → 5%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
9.4%
Landan Brown run for 2 yds to the SHSU 26Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+8
9.3%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 8 yds to the SHSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
9.5%
Landan Brown run for 9 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+5
8.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 5 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
10.1%
Landan Brown run for 1 yd to the SHSU 49Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+15
10.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Dylan Burk for 15 yds to the UNLV 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
10.1%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Darrick Bledsoe III for 9 yds to the UNLV 27Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+1
10.3%
Hunter Watson run for 1 yd to the UNLV 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
8.1%
Hunter Watson run for 11 yds to the UNLV 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
5.9%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Tim Burns Jr.Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
5.9%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Tim Burns Jr.Similar
Q2 1:59
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
5.7%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 10
OPP 15
+33
5.4%
RJ Lopez 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 8END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
3.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for a loss of 5 yards to the UNLV 15 Anthony Colandrea fumbled, recovered by UNLV Anthony ColandreaSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 15
OWN 15
+10
3.3%
Keyvone Lee run for 10 yds to the UNLV 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:398% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
7.9%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Dylan Burk for 8 yds to the SHSU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
7.1%
Hunter Watson run for no gain to the SHSU 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-4
7.1%
Hunter Watson sacked by Aamaris Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the SHSU 29Similar
Q3 13:21
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+4
4.5%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 42 yds , DeAngelo Irvin Jr. returns for 4 yds to the UNLV 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 10TD
8 plays · 73 yds · 15:452% → 1%
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
1.8%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Chris Reed for 3 yds to the SHSU 46Similar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+11
0.5%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 11 yds to the SHSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
0.5%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for 5 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+1
0.4%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 1 yd to the SHSU 47Similar
Q4 14:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-57
0.6%
Mabrey Mettauer sacked by Ose Egbase for 0 yards to the SHSU 35Similar
Q4 14:15
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+53
0.4%
Landan Brown 53 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
1.1%
Sam Houston Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UNLV 8Similar
Q4 14:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-57
1.1%
Mabrey Mettauer sacked by Ose Egbase for 0 yards to the SHSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 11TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:5996% → 97%
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
4.2%
Jai'Den Thomas run for no gain to the UNLV 33Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
4.2%
Anthony Colandrea run for 12 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
4.0%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds to the UNLV 48Similar
Q3 13:21
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+49
4.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 49 yds to the SHSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
3.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 3 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:313% → 3%
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
3.4%
Landan Brown run for 5 yds to the SHSU 29Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
3.2%
Landan Brown run for 3 yds to the SHSU 32Similar
Q3 11:16
3RD & 2
OWN 32
0
3.2%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Qua'Vez HumphreysSimilar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 2
OWN 32
0
2.5%
Curtis Gerrand punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:2396% → 97%
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
3.7%
Jaylon Glover run for 2 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+12
3.7%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for 12 yds to the UNLV 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
3.5%
Anthony Colandrea sacked by Tokyo Gordon for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 12
OWN 39
0
3.0%
Anthony Colandrea run for no gain to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 12
OWN 39
0
3.0%
Jaylon Glover run for no gain to the UNLV 39Similar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 12
OWN 39
0
3.1%
Cameron Brown punt for 37 yds , Emon Allen returns for no gain to the SHSU 39 UNLV Penalty, illegal formation (Troy Omeire) to the SHSU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · 51 yds · 4:182% → 1%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
1.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Darrick Bledsoe III for 8 yds to the SHSU 37Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+3
1.5%
Elijah Green run for 3 yds to the SHSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
1.5%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Tim Burns Jr., broken up by Quandarius KeyesSimilar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+16
1.5%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for 16 yds to the UNLV 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
1.6%
Hunter Watson run for no gain to the UNLV 44Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-15
1.6%
Hunter Watson pass intercepted for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Quandarius Keyes) to the UNLV 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
1.9%
Hunter Watson run for no gain to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
1.8%
Hunter Watson pass complete to Malik Phillips for 7 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
1.6%
Landan Brown run for 2 yds to the UNLV 20Similar
Q3 3:04
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
1.3%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:2697% → 97%
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
3.2%
Keyvone Lee run for 2 yds to the UNLV 22Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+7
3.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Jaden Bradley for 7 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
3.3%
Keyvone Lee run for no gain to the UNLV 29Similar
Q3 1:38
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Cameron Brown punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 16INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4297% → 96%
Q4 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.6%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Troy Omeire for 4 yds to the UNLV 29Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
4.0%
Anthony Colandrea pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:381% → 1%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
0.9%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Aviyon Smith-Mack for 2 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+7
0.9%
Landan Brown run for 7 yds to the SHSU 43Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 1
OWN 43
0
0.9%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Darrick Bledsoe IIISimilar
Q4 13:35
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+1
0.9%
Landan Brown run for 1 yd to the SHSU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
0.9%
Elijah Green run for 11 yds to the UNLV 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
0.9%
Landan Brown run for 2 yds to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 12:19
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
0.9%
Mettauer,Mabrey rush middle , fumble by Mettauer,Mabrey recovered by SAM Joseph,Mich'le, Joseph,Mich'le rush. Mabrey Mettauer fumbled, recovered by SHSU Mich'le JosephSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
0.9%
Hunter Watson pass incomplete to Darrick Bledsoe IIISimilar
Q4 9:57
4TH & 8
OPP 43
-6
0.7%
Hunter Watson sacked by Tunmise Adeleye for a loss of 6 yards to the UNLV 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 18TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:5296% → 99%
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
3.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to JoJo Earle for a loss of 2 yards Anthony Colandrea fumbled, recovered by UNLVSimilar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 12
OWN 47
+12
3.8%
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to Daejon Reynolds for 12 yds to the SHSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
3.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 6 yds to the SHSU 35Similar
Q4 9:57
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+7
3.8%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 7 yds to the SHSU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
4.2%
Anthony Colandrea pass incomplete to Daejon Reynolds, broken up by Emon Allen for a 1ST down Sam Houston Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Emon Allen) to the SHSU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
0.7%
Anthony Colandrea run for 13 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:570% → 1%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
0.1%
Hunter Watson run for 2 yds to the SHSU 34Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+2
0.1%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Dylan Burk for 2 yds to the SHSU 36Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+5
0.1%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Malik Phillips for 5 yds to the SHSU 41Similar
Q4 5:01
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+59
0.1%
Tim Burns Jr. 59 Yd pass from Mabrey Mettauer (Mabrey Mettauer Pass to Qua'Vez Humphreys for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
Q4 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
0.7%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Qua'Vez Humphreys for no gain to the SHSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SHSUDrive 20Uncategorized
9 plays · 11 yds · 2:571% → 0%
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
0.5%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Landan Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the UNLV 43Similar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 14
OPP 43
0
0.4%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Chris ReedSimilar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 14
OPP 43
+15
0.4%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Dylan Burk for a 1ST down UNLV Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Aamaris Brown) to the UNLV 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 19
OPP 37
0
0.5%
Mabrey Mettauer pass incomplete to Malik PhillipsSimilar
Q4 4:57
2ND & 19
OPP 37
+14
0.5%
Mabrey Mettauer pass complete to Chris Reed for 14 yds to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
0.6%
Jerrian Parker Jr. run for no gain to the UNLV 23Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 5
OPP 23
-2
0.4%
Mabrey Mettauer sacked by Aamaris Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the UNLV 25Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-9
0.2%
Mabrey Mettauer run for 1 yd to the UNLV 27 Sam Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Mich'le Joseph) to the UNLV 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNLVDrive 21Uncategorized
5 plays · 40 yds · 1:4599% → 100%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+27
1.1%
Jai'Den Thomas run for 27 yds to the SHSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
1.0%
Darrien Jones run for 3 yds to the SHSU 45Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
0.3%
Darrien Jones run for 6 yds to the SHSU 39Similar
Q4 0:53
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+4
0.2%
Alex Orji run for 4 yds to the SHSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
0.3%
Alex Orji run for a loss of 2 yards to the SHSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:41
R. Villela 29 yd FG GOOD
+6.8
TD · Q1 0:32
Anthony Colandrea pass complete to DeAngelo Irvin Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q4 7:05
Anthony Colandrea run for 13 yds for a TD (Ramon Villela KICK)
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com