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BRY

Bryant 3 at New Mexico State 19

NMSU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Aggie Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · NMSU
modelNMSU aheadBRY aheadconfidence bandkey playNMSU scoreBRY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · L. Fife takes a knee
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.0+20.50−20.5−41.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:02: Logan Fife pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 24 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk PAT BLOCKED) — NMSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 13:33: Ryan Hawk 41 yd FG GOOD — NMSU win probability +1.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 3:41: Dijon Stanley run for 13 yds to the NMSU 24 for a 1ST down Bryant Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nathan LaPlante) to the NMSU 34 for a 1ST down — NMSU win probability +5.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 12:10: Ryan Hawk 27 yd FG GOOD — NMSU win probability +2.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:20: Kadarius Calloway run for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK) — NMSU win probability +4.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NMSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NMSU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9BRY made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 14:09NMSU 4th & 9 at NMSU 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:07BRY 4th & 7 at BRY 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:08BRY 4th & 17 at NMSU 26, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    11.5%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:33NMSU 4th & 10 at BRY 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.5%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.7%
    68% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−1.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:20BRY 4th & 2 at BRY 33, down 6
    Close callPunted · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:20NMSU 4th & 12 at NMSU 21, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−1.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:01BRY 4th & 10 at NMSU 47, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.3%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:49NMSU 4th & 2 at NMSU 49, up 6
    Close callPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:19BRY 4th & 12 at BRY 1, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:03NMSU 4th & 17 at BRY 45, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    84.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:39BRY 4th & 6 at NMSU 46, down 6
    Close callPunted · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:18BRY 4th & 17 at BRY 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.0%−1.6
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:40BRY 4th & 13 at BRY 38, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.8%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:43NMSU 4th & 6 at NMSU 26, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:48BRY 4th & 2 at NMSU 11, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−1.5
    87% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−10.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:29NMSU 4th & 18 at NMSU 41, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−4.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 14:26BRY 4th & 9 at BRY 18, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−1.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 12:10NMSU 4th & 9 at BRY 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.3%
    89% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−8.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:27BRY 4th & 4 at NMSU 39, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.0%−2.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    10.2%−1.8
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:31NMSU 4th & 4 at NMSU 39, up 16
    Close callPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%−0.1
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:50BRY 4th & 21 at BRY 35, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NMSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 10:02NMSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    88.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 6:20NMSU Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.6%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NMSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:2791% → 90%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
90.5%
Dijon Stanley run for 1 yd to the NMSU 20Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 20
0
90.4%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to TJ PrideSimilar
Q1 14:16
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
90.4%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to PJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q1 14:09
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
90.4%
Max Dean punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jase Hannigan at the BRY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:5410% → 10%
Q1 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
90.3%
Elijah Elliott run for 1 yd to the BRY 31Similar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
90.2%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Aldrich DoeSimilar
Q1 13:31
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+2
90.2%
Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the BRY 33Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 7
OWN 33
0
90.1%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 3TD
7 plays · 82 yds · 2:4990% → 90%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
90.0%
Logan Fife run for no gain to the NMSU 18Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+6
89.9%
Kadarius Calloway run for 6 yds to the NMSU 24Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+55
89.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 55 yds to the BRY 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
89.8%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Shawn BrownSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
89.8%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the BRY 19Similar
Q1 10:26
3RD & 8
OPP 19
-5
89.6%
(10:27) PENALTY NMSU False Start (Tolo,BJ) 5 yards from BRYANT19 to BRYANT24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:02
3RD & 13
OPP 24
+24
89.9%
Logan Fife pass complete to PJ Johnson III for 24 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 4FG
16 plays · 49 yds · 5:4710% → 12%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
89.7%
Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the BRY 27Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
89.6%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Zyheem CollickSimilar
Q1 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
89.7%
(09:22) PENALTY BRYANT False Start (Molina,Nickolas) 5 yards from BRYANT27 to BRYANT22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+21
89.7%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Tristen Riley for 21 yds to the BRY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
89.3%
Elijah Elliott run for 1 yd to the BRY 44Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
89.2%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Aldrich DoeSimilar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+11
89.3%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Tristen Riley for 11 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
88.9%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Aldrich Doe for 12 yds to the NMSU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
88.6%
Grant Robinson run for 2 yds to the NMSU 31Similar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+2
88.5%
Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the NMSU 29Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+10
88.6%
Brennan Myer run for 10 yds to the NMSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
88.2%
Elijah Elliott run for 4 yds to the NMSU 15Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 12
OPP 21
-5
88.4%
Brennan Myer sacked by Jamall Thompson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the NMSU 26Similar
Q1 4:08
4TH & 17
OPP 26
+43
88.1%
Bryce Soli 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 5FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 5:1888% → 88%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
87.7%
Dijon Stanley run for 5 yds to the NMSU 15Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+5
87.5%
(03:23) PENALTY BRYANT Offside (Juste,Azarel) 5 yards from NMSU15 to NMSU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
87.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to TJ Pride for 20 yds to the NMSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
87.5%
Logan Fife pass complete to Jackson Owens for 13 yds to the BRY 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-2
87.6%
Dijon Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the BRY 49Similar
Q1 1:25
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+4
87.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 4 yds to the BRY 45Similar
Q1 0:44
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+5
87.1%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 5 yds to the BRY 40Similar
Q1 0:26
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+5
86.7%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan pass incomplete deep left to Owens,Jackson thrown to BRYANT15 PENALTY BRYANT Offside (Grant,Michael) 5 yards from BRYANT40 to BRYANT35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
87.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 11 yds to the BRY 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.2%
Dijon Stanley run for no gain to the BRY 24Similar
Q2 14:09
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
87.0%
Logan Fife pass complete to PJ Johnson III for no gain to the BRY 24Similar
Q2 13:37
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
86.5%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Gavin HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:33
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+41
87.7%
Ryan Hawk 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:5513% → 12%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.0%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Sterling Anderson for 2 yds to the BRY 27Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
86.8%
Dylan Kedzior run for 1 yd to the BRY 28Similar
Q2 12:10
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
87.0%
Brennan Myer run for 5 yds to the BRY 33Similar
Q2 11:20
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
87.6%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 44 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:5088% → 87%
Q2 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
87.8%
PJ Johnson III run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 21Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 12
OWN 21
0
87.5%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to PJ Johnson IIISimilar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 12
OWN 21
0
87.3%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Lukas UngarSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 12
OWN 21
+13
86.9%
Max Dean punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BRY 38 , Jase Hannigan returns for 13 yds to the BRY 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 2:1113% → 13%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
86.8%
Elijah Elliott run for no gain to the BRY 38Similar
Q2 9:40
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+15
86.6%
(09:45) Shotgun Myer,Brennan pass incomplete deep middle to Collick,Zyheem thrown to NMSU17 PENALTY NMSU Personal Foul (Okeke,Obinna) 15 yards from BRYANT38 to NMSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
85.9%
Elijah Elliott run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMSU 48Similar
Q2 8:56
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
86.1%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Elijah ElliottSimilar
Q2 8:48
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+1
86.7%
Grant Robinson run for 1 yd to the NMSU 47Similar
Q2 8:01
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
87.4%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 24 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 2:0588% → 87%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
87.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the NMSU 25Similar
Q2 7:21
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
87.5%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+15
87.1%
Bryant Penalty, Personal Foul (Maximus Villar) to the NMSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
88.2%
Kadarius Calloway run for 3 yds to the NMSU 44Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
88.2%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Gavin HarrisSimilar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 7
OWN 44
+5
87.7%
Logan Fife run for 5 yds to the NMSU 49Similar
Q2 5:49
4TH & 2
OWN 49
0
87.3%
Max Dean punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:2213% → 12%
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
87.2%
Dylan Kedzior run for 3 yds to the BRY 6Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 7
OWN 6
0
87.2%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Aldrich DoeSimilar
Q2 4:52
3RD & 7
OWN 6
+5
87.5%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Dylan Kedzior for 5 yds to the BRY 1Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 12
OWN 1
0
87.7%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BRY 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 2:0788% → 86%
Q2 4:10
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
87.9%
Logan Fife sacked by Michael Otty for a loss of 8 yards to the BRY 46Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 18
OPP 46
-5
87.4%
(03:39) PENALTY NMSU False Start (Stanley,Dijon) 5 yards from BRYANT46 to NMSU49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 23
OWN 49
0
86.9%
Logan Fife sacked by Michael Otty for 0 yards to the NMSU 49 Logan Fife fumbled, recovered by BRY Gavin Harris , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 23
OWN 49
+6
86.4%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 6 yds to the BRY 45Similar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 17
OPP 45
0
85.8%
Max Dean punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BRY 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 12PUNT
13 plays · 52 yds · 1:1514% → 15%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
86.5%
Elijah Elliott run for no gain to the BRY 2Similar
Q2 1:52
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+34
86.1%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Zyheem Collick for 34 yds to the BRY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
85.1%
Elijah Elliott run for 8 yds to the BRY 44Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
83.8%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Levi Wilkins for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
50
-10
83.7%
(01:08) PENALTY BRYANT Holding (Perez,Anthony) 10 yards from BRYANT50 to BRYANT40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:57
1ST & 20
OWN 40
+3
85.2%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Elijah Elliott for 3 yds to the BRY 43Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 17
OWN 43
+7
85.1%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Tristen Riley for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:44
3RD & 10
50
+4
84.7%
Elijah Elliott run for 4 yds to the NMSU 46Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 6
OPP 46
0
84.7%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 36 yds, fair catch by TJ Pride at the NMSU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
84.8%
Kadarius Calloway run for 5 yds to the NMSU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3216% → 15%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.9%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Zyheem Collick for 12 yds to the BRY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
83.2%
Elijah Elliott run for 4 yds to the BRY 41Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
82.1%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Koby KeenanSimilar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-11
82.8%
Brennan Myer sacked by Sone Aupiu for a loss of 11 yards to the BRY 30 Brennan Myer fumbled, recovered by BRY , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
84.7%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 43 yds, fair catch by TJ Pride at the NMSU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 15INT
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:1685% → 86%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+33
85.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Gavin Harris for 33 yds to the BRY 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-15
86.4%
New Mexico State Penalty, (-15 Yards) to the BRY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:5918% → 16%
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
82.2%
Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the BRY 43Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
82.0%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Tristen Riley for no gain to the BRY 43Similar
Q3 11:19
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-5
82.4%
Brennan Myer sacked by Jamall Thompson Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the BRY 38Similar
Q3 10:40
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+5
83.8%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 45 yds , TJ Pride returns for 5 yds to the NMSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4684% → 82%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
83.8%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the NMSU 26Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
83.8%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Shawn BrownSimilar
Q3 9:49
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
83.0%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Shawn BrownSimilar
Q3 9:43
4TH & 6
OWN 26
0
82.3%
Max Dean punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jase Hannigan at the BRY 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 18DOWNS
14 plays · 59 yds · 5:4518% → 23%
Q3 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
81.6%
Grant Robinson run for 4 yds to the BRY 34Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
80.8%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Keylijah Williams for 5 yds to the BRY 39Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+20
79.5%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Levi Wilkins for 20 yds to the NMSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
78.6%
Grant Robinson run for 1 yd to the NMSU 40Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 9
OPP 40
0
78.4%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Carter NeumanSimilar
Q3 6:55
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+10
78.8%
Dylan Kedzior run for 10 yds to the NMSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
76.7%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Tristen RileySimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
76.8%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Tristen RileySimilar
Q3 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+11
78.3%
Brennan Myer run for 11 yds to the NMSU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
75.7%
Dylan Kedzior run for 3 yds to the NMSU 16Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+3
75.1%
Dylan Kedzior run for 3 yds to the NMSU 13Similar
Q3 4:17
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+2
76.4%
Dylan Kedzior run for 2 yds to the NMSU 11Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 2
OPP 11
0
77.2%
Grant Robinson run for no gain to the NMSU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:1282% → 83%
Q3 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+23
82.3%
Dijon Stanley run for 13 yds to the NMSU 24 for a 1ST down Bryant Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nathan LaPlante) to the NMSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
82.6%
Logan Fife pass complete to Brodrick Malone for 8 yds to the NMSU 42Similar
Q3 3:16
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+7
85.5%
Dijon Stanley run for 7 yds to the NMSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-2
85.6%
Dijon Stanley run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMSU 47Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 12
OWN 47
0
84.7%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to TJ PrideSimilar
Q3 2:04
3RD & 12
OWN 47
-6
83.5%
Logan Fife run for a loss of 6 yards to the NMSU 41Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 18
OWN 41
0
82.8%
Max Dean punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:4721% → 20%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
78.9%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Tristen Riley for 3 yds to the BRY 20Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+2
79.0%
Elijah Elliott run for 2 yds to the BRY 22Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & 5
OWN 22
-4
79.8%
Elijah Elliott run for a loss of 4 yards to the BRY 18Similar
Q4 14:26
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
80.5%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by TJ Pride at the NMSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 21FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 2:1485% → 89%
Q4 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
84.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for no gain to the NMSU 36Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
84.2%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+19
83.2%
Logan Fife pass complete to Shawn Brown for 19 yds to the BRY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
86.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 9 yds to the BRY 36Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+20
86.3%
Logan Fife pass complete to Donovan Faupel for 20 yds to the BRY 16 for a 1ST down Bryant Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dixon Hudson) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
87.5%
Kadarius Calloway run for a loss of 1 yard to the BRY 9Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
87.4%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Donovan FaupelSimilar
Q4 12:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
86.5%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Kadarius CallowaySimilar
Q4 12:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
88.9%
Ryan Hawk 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2911% → 13%
Q4 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
88.9%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Aldrich Doe for 18 yds to the BRY 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
87.1%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Aldrich Doe for 2 yds to the BRY 45Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+10
86.9%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Aldrich Doe for 10 yds to the NMSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.4%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Tristen RileySimilar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
86.2%
Dylan Kedzior run for 2 yds to the NMSU 43Similar
Q4 10:02
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+4
86.7%
Dylan Kedzior run for 4 yds to the NMSU 39Similar
Q4 9:27
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
87.1%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Tristen RileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:0390% → 99%
Q4 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
90.1%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Jackson OwensSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+3
90.3%
Dijon Stanley run for 3 yds to the NMSU 42Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+10
89.7%
(08:42) No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan sacked for loss of 5 yards to the NMSU37 (Hunt,Sean) PENALTY BRYANT Holding (Juste,Azarel) 10 yards from NMSU42 to BRYANT48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
90.7%
Dijon Stanley run for 3 yds to the BRY 45Similar
Q4 7:36
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+4
91.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 4 yds to the BRY 41Similar
Q4 6:52
3RD & 3
OPP 41
+9
93.6%
Logan Fife run for 9 yds to the BRY 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.3%
(06:30) No Huddle-Shotgun Fife,Logan pass incomplete short middle to Faupel,Donovan thrown to BRYANT25 broken up by Johnson,Jalen PENALTY BRYANT Holding declined BRYANT Roughing The Passer (Villar,Max) 15 yards from BRYANT32 to BRYANT17, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
98.6%
Kadarius Calloway run for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)Similar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
98.6%
PENALTY NMSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from BRYANT03 to BRYANT08. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 24INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.1%
Bryant Penalty, Defensive Holding (Koby Keenan) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4399% → 99%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
98.7%
Kadarius Calloway run for 2 yds to the NMSU 35Similar
Q4 5:02
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+4
98.7%
Dijon Stanley run for 4 yds to the NMSU 39Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Logan Fife pass incomplete to Lukas UngarSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
98.8%
Max Dean punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jase Hannigan at the BRY 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BRYDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:303% → 3%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+12
97.0%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Aldrich Doe for 12 yds to the BRY 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
96.8%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Carter Neuman for 15 yds to the BRY 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
96.7%
Brennan Myer pass incomplete to Elijah ElliottSimilar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-10
96.7%
(03:25) No Huddle-Shotgun Myer,Brennan pass complete short right to Elliott,Elijah caught at BRYANT45, for 0 yards to the BRYANT46 (Mitchell,Naeten) PENALTY BRYANT Holding (Waltman,Jake) 10 yards from BRYANT46 to BRYANT36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 20
OWN 36
0
97.1%
Elijah Elliott run for no gain to the BRY 36Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 20
OWN 36
-1
97.3%
Brennan Myer pass complete to Elijah Elliott for a loss of 1 yard to the BRY 35Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 21
OWN 35
0
97.4%
Kristian Karoglan punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NMSUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4499% → 99%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.1%
Kadarius Calloway run for 6 yds to the NMSU 43Similar
Q4 0:56
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-2
99.2%
L. Fife takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-1
99.2%
L. Fife takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 3:41
Dijon Stanley run for 13 yds to the NMSU 24 for a 1ST down Bryant Penalty, Defensive Holding (Nathan LaPlante) to the NMSU 34 for a 1ST down
+5.1
TD · Q4 6:20
Kadarius Calloway run for 17 yds for a TD (Ryan Hawk KICK)
+4.3
FG · Q4 12:10
Ryan Hawk 27 yd FG GOOD
+2.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com