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SELA

SE Louisiana 0 at Louisiana Tech 24

LT
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadSELA aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreSELA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 0:46 · John Hoyet Chance punt for 30 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Pregame prior+27.5Home team on offense+0.5Score differential−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:42: Kyle Lowe pass complete to Rodeo Graham Jr. for no gain to the SELA 27 — SELA win probability +4.1 pts (now 27%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 10:06: Trey Kukuk run for 7 yds to the LT 33 — LT win probability +4.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:24: Trey Kukuk pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 17 yds for a TD (Drew Henderson KICK) — LT win probability +7.0 pts (now 86%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:32: Clay Thevenin run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Henderson KICK) — LT win probability +7.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:12: Kam Franklin 80 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Henderson Kick) — LT win probability +6.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: SELA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7SELA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 5:53SELA 4th & 12 at SELA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.9%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:47LT 4th & 20 at LT 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.6
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:59SELA 4th & 16 at SELA 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:46LT 4th & 9 at SELA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    78.9%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:00SELA 4th & 11 at SELA 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:06SELA 4th & 1 at SELA 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%−0.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:03LT 4th & 11 at LT 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:42LT 4th & 3 at SELA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    75.2%−0.6
    58% to make
    Punt
    72.2%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:26SELA 4th & 2 at LT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:25LT 4th & 4 at LT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 74.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:47SELA 4th & 20 at SELA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.0%−1.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:52SELA 4th & 8 at SELA 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:41LT 4th & 22 at LT 21, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:35SELA 4th & 6 at SELA 37, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:37LT 4th & 2 at LT 39, up 24
    Close callPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:09SELA 4th & 10 at LT 31, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q3 12:24LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:32LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:12LT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SELADrive 1INT
10 plays · 34 yds · 4:0716% → 17%
Q1 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
84.4%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 2 yds to the SELA 27Similar
Q1 13:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
84.2%
Carson Camp run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELA 26Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
84.2%
Jaedon Henry run for 10 yds to the SELA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
83.9%
Jaedon Henry run for 10 yds to the SELA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
83.7%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Jaedon HenrySimilar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
83.6%
(12:23) PENALTY SLU False Start (Hooper,Zane) 5 yards from SLU46 to SLU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+5
83.6%
Calvin Smith Jr. run for 5 yds to the SELA 46Similar
Q1 10:56
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+13
83.3%
Carson Camp run for 13 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
82.9%
Carson Camp pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:3383% → 82%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+1
83.2%
Omiri Wiggins run for 1 yd to the LT 5Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 9
OWN 5
+9
83.0%
Trey Kukuk run for 9 yds to the LT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
82.9%
Trey Kukuk run for 5 yds to the LT 19Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+4
82.6%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Marques Singleton Jr. for 4 yds to the LT 23Similar
Q1 7:48
3RD & 1
OWN 23
0
82.2%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3918% → 18%
Q1 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
82.0%
Carson Camp run for a loss of 2 yards to the SELA 33Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 12
OWN 33
-5
82.0%
PENALTY SLU False Start (Potter,Logan) 5 yards from SLU33 to SLU28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+4
82.0%
Carson Camp run for 4 yds to the SELA 32Similar
Q1 6:28
3RD & 13
OWN 32
+1
82.0%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the SELA 33Similar
Q1 5:53
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
82.0%
Alec Mahler punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 1:0082% → 81%
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-16
81.7%
Clay Thevenin run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 32 Louisiana Tech Penalty, Personal Foul (Marlion Jackson) to the LT 17Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 26
OWN 17
0
81.5%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Marlion JacksonSimilar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 26
OWN 17
+6
81.1%
Clay Thevenin run for 6 yds to the LT 23Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 20
OWN 23
+2
80.7%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SELA 20 , Brandon Hayes returns for 2 yds to the SELA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 2:3619% → 20%
Q1 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
81.1%
Jaedon Henry run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELA 19Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-9
81.0%
Kyle Lowe sacked by Mekhi Mason for a loss of 9 yards to the SELA 10Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 20
OWN 10
-3
81.0%
(03:24) Shotgun Henry,Jaedon rush middle for 15 yards gain to the SLU25 (Shelby Jr.,Jhamal; Mason,Mekhi) PENALTY SLU Holding (Wilkinson,Adyn) 3 yards from SLU10 to SLU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:46
3RD & 23
OWN 7
+7
80.9%
Jaedon Henry run for 7 yds to the SELA 14Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 16
OWN 14
+25
80.5%
Alec Mahler punt for 51 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for 25 yds to the SELA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1081% → 80%
Q1 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.4%
(01:59) Shotgun Kukuk,Trey pass incomplete short middle to Finley,Eli thrown to SLU40 PENALTY LAT Intentional Grounding (Kukuk,Trey). NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-5
81.3%
Omiri Wiggins run for a loss of 5 yards to the SELA 45Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 15
OPP 45
+11
80.2%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Eli Finley for 11 yds to the SELA 34Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 4
OPP 34
-5
80.4%
PENALTY LAT False Start (Nelson,Landon) 5 yards from SLU34 to SLU39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:46
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
79.9%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3521% → 20%
Q1 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
79.5%
Brandon Hayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELA 8Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-1
79.3%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SELA 7Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 12
OWN 7
+1
79.7%
Kyle Lowe run for 1 yd to the SELA 8Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 11
OWN 8
0
80.0%
Alec Mahler punt for 43 yds , Dedrick Latulas returns for no gain to the LT 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 5:2423% → 26%
Q2 10:06
4TH & 1
OWN 36
0
77.0%
Alec Mahler punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dedrick Latulas at the LT 26Similar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
72.9%
Kyle Lowe pass complete to Rodeo Graham Jr. for no gain to the SELA 27Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+1
73.4%
Calvin Smith Jr. run for 1 yd to the SELA 28Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 9
OWN 28
+8
73.9%
Kyle Lowe run for 8 yds to the SELA 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 2:0378% → 76%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
78.0%
Trey Kukuk run for 7 yds to the LT 33Similar
Q2 10:06
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-5
78.6%
Trey Kukuk run for a loss of 5 yards to the LT 28Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-3
77.2%
Trey Kukuk sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the LT 25Similar
Q2 8:03
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
75.8%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 57 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10DOWNS
6 plays · 24 yds · 3:2179% → 76%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
78.7%
Trey Kukuk run for 6 yds to the SELA 45Similar
Q2 7:57
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+9
78.8%
Trey Kukuk run for 9 yds to the SELA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
78.8%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Eli FinleySimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
78.6%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Jalen Mickens for 2 yds to the SELA 34Similar
Q2 5:36
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+5
77.8%
Trey Kukuk run for 5 yds to the SELA 29Similar
Q2 4:42
4TH & 3
OPP 29
+2
76.3%
Omiri Wiggins run for 2 yds to the SELA 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 11DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 1:3725% → 27%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+15
75.1%
Louisiana Tech Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Sifa Leota) to the SELA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
74.1%
PENALTY SLU Illegal Formation (Camp,Carson) 5 yards from SLU38 to SLU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+2
75.1%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jaedon Henry for 2 yds to the SELA 35Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 13
OWN 35
+12
75.2%
Carson Camp pass complete to Luke Besh for 12 yds to the SELA 47Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+1
73.6%
Jaedon Henry run for 1 yd to the SELA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
73.4%
Carson Camp pass complete to Cade Collier for 7 yds to the LT 45Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+1
72.9%
Jaedon Henry run for 1 yd to the LT 44Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
73.1%
Carson Camp run for 3 yds to the LT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
73.1%
Carson Camp run for 3 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
73.1%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Jaylon DomingeauxSimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 7
OPP 38
+5
73.4%
Carson Camp pass complete to Rodeo Graham Jr. for 5 yds to the LT 33Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+1
73.3%
Carson Camp run for 1 yd to the LT 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0177% → 75%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
76.6%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Omiri WigginsSimilar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-4
76.4%
Trey Kukuk sacked by Rowan Briggs for a loss of 4 yards to the LT 28Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+10
75.3%
Trey Kukuk run for 10 yds to the LT 38Similar
Q2 4:25
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+17
75.0%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 44 yds , Kentrell Prejean returns for 17 yds to the SELA 35 Kentrell Prejean fumbled, recovered by SELA Brant MonistereSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 3:3828% → 28%
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
72.3%
Carson Camp pass complete to Cade Collier for 7 yds to the SELA 42Similar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 3
OWN 42
0
71.1%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Rodeo Graham Jr.Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+15
71.3%
Carson Camp pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 15 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
70.6%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Cade CollierSimilar
Q2 4:25
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
70.7%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Rodeo Graham Jr.Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 10
OPP 43
0
71.5%
SE Louisiana Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 20
OWN 47
0
71.9%
Alec Mahler punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FG
8 plays · 78 yds · 0:4774% → 76%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
73.7%
Clay Thevenin run for 13 yds to the LT 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
74.1%
PENALTY SLU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Moore,Khalid) 15 yards from LAT33 to LAT48, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
76.0%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Marques Singleton Jr. for 6 yds to the SELA 46Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+21
76.4%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Eli Finley for 21 yds to the SELA 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+23
77.1%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Eli Finley for 23 yds to the SELA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
77.1%
Trey Kukuk pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+18
79.1%
Drew Henderson 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
75.8%
Garcia Rodriguez,Guillermo kickoff 0 yards to the SLU35 PENALTY SLU Offside (Henry,Jaedon) 5 yards from SLU35 to SLU30. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15TD
8 plays · 58 yds · 2:3378% → 86%
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
78.0%
Trey Kukuk run for 7 yds to the LT 49Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
78.5%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Dane Benedix for 2 yds to the SELA 49Similar
Q3 14:57
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+4
78.2%
Trey Kukuk run for 4 yds to the SELA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+25
78.8%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Dedrick Latulas for 25 yds to the SELA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
79.2%
Omiri Wiggins run for 3 yds to the SELA 17Similar
Q3 14:57
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
79.2%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Dedrick LatulasSimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+17
86.2%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 17 yds for a TD (Drew Henderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:3215% → 14%
Q3 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
85.2%
Jaedon Henry run for 2 yds to the SELA 27Similar
Q3 12:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
85.0%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Adyn WilkinsonSimilar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
85.8%
Carson Camp run for no gain to the SELA 27Similar
Q3 10:52
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
86.3%
Alec Mahler punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard line , Kameron Carter returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:2087% → 95%
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
50
+4
86.8%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Eli Finley for 4 yds to the SELA 46Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+33
86.8%
Clay Thevenin run for 33 yds to the SELA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
87.0%
Trey Kukuk run for 1 yd to the SELA 12Similar
Q3 10:52
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+8
87.0%
Clay Thevenin run for 8 yds to the SELA 4Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 1
OPP 4
+2
86.4%
Trey Kukuk run for 2 yds to the SELA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
87.1%
Trey Kukuk pass incomplete to Devin GandySimilar
Q3 8:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.6%
Clay Thevenin run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Henderson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 18FUMBLE RETURN TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:208% → 3%
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
92.5%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 7 yds to the SELA 32Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
92.0%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 4 yds to the SELA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
92.1%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for 9 yds to the SELA 45Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+12
91.6%
Carson Camp run for 12 yds to the LT 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
90.6%
Kyle Lowe run for 7 yds to the LT 36Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+10
90.4%
Kyle Lowe run for 10 yds to the LT 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
89.9%
Kyle Lowe run for 5 yds to the LT 21Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+80
96.6%
Kam Franklin 80 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Henderson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 19INT
16 plays · 70 yds · 6:373% → 2%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.3%
Brandon Hayes run for 10 yds to the SELA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
97.1%
Kyle Lowe run for 7 yds to the SELA 42Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+7
97.1%
Calvin Smith Jr. run for 7 yds to the SELA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
97.1%
Kyle Lowe pass incomplete to Luke BeshSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
97.1%
Kyle Lowe pass incomplete to Adyn WilkinsonSimilar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+12
97.1%
Kyle Lowe pass complete to Luke Besh for 12 yds to the LT 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
97.1%
Kyle Lowe pass complete to Kentrell Prejean for 4 yds to the LT 35Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 6
OPP 35
-5
96.7%
SE Louisiana Penalty, False Start (Luke Besh) to the LT 40Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+15
97.1%
Shotgun Lowe,Kyle pass incomplete short left to Domingeaux,Jaylon thrown to LAT32 PENALTY LAT Roughing The Passer (Leota,Sifa) 15 yards from LAT40 to LAT25, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
96.7%
Brandon Hayes run for 11 yds to the LT 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.7%
Kyle Lowe pass incomplete to Jaylon DomingeauxSimilar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+3
96.7%
Calvin Smith Jr. run for 3 yds to the LT 11Similar
Q3 5:12
3RD & 7
OPP 11
+7
96.9%
Kyle Lowe pass complete to Cade Collier for 7 yds to the LT 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
98.0%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the LT 5Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-25
98.2%
Kyle Lowe pass intercepted Zion Nason return for 25 yds to the LT 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-8
99.2%
Trey Kukuk sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the LT 25Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 18
OWN 25
-2
99.1%
Fred Robertson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LT 23Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 20
OWN 23
+2
99.1%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Marques Singleton Jr. for 2 yds to the LT 21Similar
Q4 12:41
4TH & 22
OWN 21
+6
99.1%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 52 yds , Kentrell Prejean returns for 6 yds to the SELA 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 3:061% → 1%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
98.6%
Brandon Hayes run for 1 yd to the SELA 34Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
98.6%
Brandon Hayes run for 3 yds to the SELA 37Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
98.6%
Rodeo Graham Jr. run for no gain to the SELA 37Similar
Q4 9:35
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
98.8%
Alec Mahler punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kameron Carter at the LT 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:5899% → 99%
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
99.3%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Marques Singleton Jr. for 10 yds to the LT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
99.3%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Jay Simon for 3 yds to the LT 34Similar
Q4 9:35
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+3
99.3%
Trey Kukuk run for 3 yds to the LT 37Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+2
99.4%
Jay Simon run for 2 yds to the LT 39Similar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
99.4%
John Hoyet Chance punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SELADrive 23DOWNS
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:281% → 1%
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.2%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Lonnie Shinn JrSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+2
99.2%
Calvin Smith Jr. run for 2 yds to the SELA 11Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 8
OWN 11
+32
99.2%
Carson Camp pass complete to Jaylon Domingeaux for 32 yds to the SELA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.1%
Carson Camp pass complete to Brandon Hayes for 2 yds to the SELA 41Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 12
OWN 41
-7
99.1%
Carson Camp sacked by Kameron Carter for a loss of 7 yards to the SELA 34Similar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 19
OWN 34
+35
99.2%
Carson Camp pass complete to Luke Besh for 35 yds to the LT 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
98.9%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Kentrell PrejeanSimilar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
98.9%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Da'shun HugleySimilar
Q4 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
99.0%
Carson Camp pass incomplete to Kentrell PrejeanSimilar
Q4 4:09
4TH & 10
OPP 31
-7
99.2%
Carson Camp sacked by Mekhi Mason for a loss of 7 yards to the LT 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24END OF GAME
6 plays · 26 yds · 4:09100% → 100%
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.6%
Andrew Burnette run for 4 yds to the LT 42Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
99.6%
Andrew Burnette run for 10 yds to the SELA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
99.6%
Andrew Burnette run for 6 yds to the SELA 42Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+4
99.6%
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Andrew Burnette for 4 yds to the SELA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
99.6%
Andrew Burnette run for 3 yds to the SELA 35Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-1
99.8%
T. Kukuk takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:32
Clay Thevenin run for 2 yds for a TD (Drew Henderson KICK)
+7.6
TD · Q3 12:24
Trey Kukuk pass complete to Omiri Wiggins for 17 yds for a TD (Drew Henderson KICK)
+7
TD · Q3 5:12
Kam Franklin 80 Yd Fumble Return (Drew Henderson Kick)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com