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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadAF aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreAF score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
This game in five plays
- FG · Q2 0:28: (00:28) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 00:28 — CONN win probability +7.6 pts (now 75%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
- TD · Q3 11:18: (11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 8 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:18 #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat) — CONN win probability +9.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
- FG · Q3 5:17: (05:22) #96 R.Tubbs field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #97 L.Freer, LS: #49 K.Chesney), clock 05:17 — AF win probability +7.9 pts (now 28%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
- TD · Q4 5:28: (05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 5 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat) — CONN win probability +4.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
- TD · Q4 2:29: (02:30) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:29 #4 K.Hodges pass attempt failed — AF win probability +4.0 pts (now 8%) (top driver: AF has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4AF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
- Q1 13:08AF 4th & 9 at AF 26, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 29.8% before the snapGo for it29.7%−0.130% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call29.8%average punt
- Q1 2:42AF 4th & 2 at CONN 36, up 1Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 32.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call32.7%57% to convertField goal32.1%−0.642% to makePunt32.0%−0.7average punt
- Q1 1:50CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 40, down 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.9% before the snapGo for it66.9%−0.141% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call66.9%average punt
- Q2 5:00AF 4th & 3 at CONN 3, up 1Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call39.2%44% to convertField goal38.2%−1.093% to makePunt32.7%−6.5average punt
- Q2 4:05CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 5, down 1Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.8% before the snapGo for it59.0%−1.833% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call60.9%average punt
- Q2 1:43AF 4th & 10 at CONN 36, up 1Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snapGo for it39.6%−0.230% to convertField goalTheir call39.8%42% to makePunt38.8%−1.0average punt
- Q2 0:28CONN 4th & 8 at AF 29, down 1Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.5% before the snapGo for it61.5%−1.234% to convertField goalTheir call62.7%58% to makePunt58.3%−4.4average punt
- Q3 5:17AF 4th & 4 at CONN 19, down 9Close callKicked a field goal · 19.2% before the snapGo for it19.4%47% to convertField goalTheir call19.0%−0.477% to makePunt9.3%−10.1average punt
- Q4 14:16CONN 4th & 6 at AF 9, up 6Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snapGo for it78.6%−0.633% to convertField goalTheir call79.2%89% to makePunt70.5%−8.7average punt
- Q4 11:52AF 4th & 7 at AF 38, down 9Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snapGo for it12.9%−0.637% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call13.5%average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 1 of 3AF made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
- Q1 10:29CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick70.8%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call70.8%−<0.145% to convert
- Q1 4:48AF Touchdown, tied before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call31.8%97% to makeGo for two31.8%−<0.145% to convert
- Q3 11:18CONN Touchdown, up 8 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call79.8%97% to makeGo for two79.7%−0.145% to convert
- Q4 5:28CONN Touchdown, up 15 before the tryClose callKicked · madeKickTheir call96.3%−0.497% to makeGo for two96.7%45% to convert
- Q4 2:29AF Touchdown, down 10 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick6.5%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call5.6%−0.945% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartAFDrive 1PUNT6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4926% → 26%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
74.4%
(14:59) #5 D.Carson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF28 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
74.3%
(14:22) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF31 (#89 T.Jones)Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
74.2%
PENALTY AF False Start (#18 Q.Smith) 5 yards from AF31 to AF26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 13:19
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
74.1%
(13:19) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka pass incomplete short middle to #21 C.Harris thrown to AF42 QB hurried by #89 T.JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2TD7 plays · 40 yds · 2:3374% → 75%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
74.3%
(13:08) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at AF36, for 20 yards to the AF20 (#36 M.Mustell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+6
74.3%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 6 yards gain to the AF14 (#4 M.Seiken; #99 A.Swartz)Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 4
OPP 14
+3
74.3%
(12:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #6 R.Murphy caught at AF17, for 3 yards to the AF11 (#26 A.Perez; #36 M.Mustell)Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+1
74.1%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 1 yard gain to the AF10 (#4 M.Seiken), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.1%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short left to #6 R.Murphy thrown to AF05Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
74.1%
(11:11) #15 T.Smith rush left for 0 yards to the AF10 (#36 M.Mustell)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 3TD11 plays · 75 yds · 5:3526% → 29%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.4%
(10:27) #8 K.Frew rush right for 8 yards gain to the AF33 (#32 O.Diomande; #7 M.McLean)Similar
Q1 9:52
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+7
74.1%
(09:54) No Huddle #2 O.Allen rush middle for 7 yards gain to the AF40 (#32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
74.2%
(09:17) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UConn47 (#32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
73.9%
(08:37) No Huddle #8 K.Frew rush left for 9 yards gain to the UConn38 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+4
73.8%
(08:02) No Huddle #2 O.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UConn34 (#1 B.Smiley III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
73.5%
(07:27) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UConn25 (#55 V.Carroll-Jackson; #7 M.McLean)Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+6
73.4%
(06:48) No Huddle #2 O.Allen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UConn19 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:02
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
73.3%
(06:05) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush right for 3 yards gain to the UConn16 (#55 V.Carroll-Jackson)Similar
Q1 5:19
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+10
73.2%
(05:24) #9 L.Szarka pass complete short right to #88 B.Fleischmann caught at UConn11, for 10 yards to the UConn06 (#2 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
70.6%
(04:53) #5 D.Carson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:48 #96 R.Tubbs kick attempt good (H: #97 L.Freer, LS: #49 K.Chesney)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4INT2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-11
71.3%
(04:41) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass intercepted by #36 M.Mustell at AF45 broken up by #15 J.Adams #36 M.Mustell return 11 yards to the UConn44 (#77 B.Murawski)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 5DOWNS4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4429% → 29%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
70.8%
(04:28) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UConn43 (#94 M.Hoffman)Similar
Q1 3:51
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+4
70.6%
(03:55) No Huddle #8 K.Frew rush right for 4 yards gain to the UConn39 (#94 M.Hoffman; #11 D.Branch)Similar
Q1 3:16
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+3
70.5%
(03:18) Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn36 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+1
70.8%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UConn35 (#6 B.Parham; #7 M.McLean), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4771% → 70%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.8%
(02:42) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short left to #88 N.Chirchi thrown to UConn41 broken up by #36 M.MustellSimilar
Q1 2:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+5
70.7%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 5 yards gain to the UConn40 (#36 M.Mustell)Similar
Q1 1:58
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
71.0%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #80 J.Neider thrown to UConn48 broken up by #6 B.FletcherSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
70.2%
(01:55) #17 C.Stutz punt 53 yards to the AF07 fair catch by #21 C.Harris at AF07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 7DOWNS21 plays · 90 yds · 11:4630% → 37%
Q1 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
70.2%
(01:48) #2 O.Allen rush left for 4 yards gain (5) to the AF11 (#32 O.Diomande; #92 S.Wright) PENALTY AF Holding (#62 J.Burnett) 6 yards from AF12 to AF06Similar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 11
OWN 6
+2
70.1%
(01:16) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush left for 2 yards gain to the AF08 (#6 B.Parham; #7 M.McLean)Similar
Q1 0:35
2ND & 9
OWN 8
+6
69.9%
(00:35) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AF14 (#5 A.Key)Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 14
+4
69.7%
(14:58) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AF18 (#5 A.Key; #89 T.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+24
68.9%
(14:26) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka pass complete deep middle to #21 C.Harris caught at AF40, for 24 yards to the AF42 (#3 D.Brinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
67.5%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 L.Szarka rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AF44 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 12:54
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
67.2%
(12:58) #2 O.Allen rush left for 9 yards gain to the UConn47 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
66.5%
(12:22) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UConn42 (#13 C.Chadwick)Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+3
65.9%
(11:41) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn39 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+7
65.8%
(11:05) #5 D.Carson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UConn32 (#6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
64.9%
(10:26) #5 D.Carson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn29 (#92 S.Wright; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+5
64.0%
(09:40) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UConn24 (#6 B.Parham; #96 M.Black)Similar
Q2 8:54
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
64.4%
(08:59) #8 K.Frew rush left for 3 yards gain to the UConn21 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
62.6%
(08:10) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UConn17 (#6 B.Parham; #3 D.Brinson)Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+7
62.1%
(07:30) #9 L.Szarka rush right for 7 yards gain to the UConn10 (#13 C.Chadwick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
61.7%
(06:57) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn07 (#89 T.Jones)Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
61.3%
(06:16) #2 O.Allen rush left for 4 yards gain to the UConn03 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 5:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
61.9%
(05:37) #8 K.Frew rush right for 0 yards to the UConn03 (#32 O.Diomande; #3 D.Brinson)Similar
Q2 5:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
63.1%
(05:00) No Huddle #9 L.Szarka rush left for 1 yard gain to the UConn02 (#7 M.McLean), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8PUNT6 plays · 3 yds · 0:5265% → 60%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
64.9%
(04:59) Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn05 (#9 L.Brown; #26 A.Perez)Similar
Q2 4:18
2ND & 7
OWN 5
0
64.4%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #88 N.Chirchi thrown to UConn09Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 7
OWN 5
0
63.4%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #6 R.Murphy thrown to UConn16Similar
Q2 4:05
4TH & 7
OWN 5
0
60.4%
(04:13) #17 C.Stutz punt 44 yards to the UConn49 #21 C.Harris return 0 yards to the UConn49 (#18 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 9MISSED FG9 plays · 7 yds · 2:1739% → 37%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
61.0%
(04:02) #2 O.Allen rush left for 4 yards gain to the UConn45 (#96 M.Black)Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+9
60.6%
(03:27) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UConn36 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-9
59.7%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 C.Harris rush left for 9 yards loss to the UConn45 (#5 A.Key)Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 19
OPP 45
+3
61.0%
(02:15) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn42 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 16
OPP 42
+6
62.4%
(01:59) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UConn36 (#7 M.McLean)Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & 10
OPP 36
+53
62.6%
(01:43) #96 R.Tubbs field goal attempt from 53 yards NO GOOD (H: #97 L.Freer, LS: #49 K.Chesney), clock 01:43, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10FG11 plays · 35 yds · 1:1064% → 75%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
64.4%
(01:42) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn36, for 9 yards to the UConn45 (#5 R.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+9
66.2%
(01:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 V.Rosa rush right for 9 yards gain to the AF46 (#4 M.Seiken), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
66.8%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #22 V.Rosa caught at AF49, for 15 yards to the AF31 (#36 M.Mustell; #6 B.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
68.1%
(01:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #22 V.Rosa caught at AF32, for 1 yard loss to the AF32 (#26 A.Perez), out of bounds PENALTY UConn Holding (#81 L.Hansen) 10 yards from AF31 to AF41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 20
OPP 41
+10
65.0%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #22 V.Rosa caught at AF37, for 10 yards to the AF31 (#6 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+5
68.0%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #6 R.Murphy caught at AF26, for 31 yards to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:44 PENALTY UConn Illegal Formation (#78 C.Casady) 5 yards from AF31 to AF36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 15
OPP 36
+7
64.8%
(00:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #22 V.Rosa caught at AF32, for 7 yards to the AF29 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
67.1%
(00:36) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short left to #80 J.Neider thrown to AF15 QB hurried by #96 P.ZdroikSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+47
74.7%
(00:28) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 00:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 11END OF HALF7 plays · 15 yds · 0:1422% → 24%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
77.8%
(00:21) #8 K.Frew rush right for 11 yards gain to the AF36 (#89 T.Jones; #14 T.Mills), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
77.3%
(00:15) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AF40 (#33 K.Choute)Similar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-2
75.6%
(00:06) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 2 yards loss to the AF38 (#1 B.Smiley III; #33 K.Choute)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12TD8 plays · 79 yds · 3:2970% → 83%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+36
70.4%
(14:55) #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 36 yards gain to the AF43 (#6 B.Fletcher; #9 L.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
73.0%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 0 yards to the AF43 (#95 D.Grobe) PENALTY UConn Holding (#78 C.Casady) 10 yards from AF43 to UConn47. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:04
1ST & 20
OWN 47
+8
71.2%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn43, for 8 yards to the AF45 (#96 P.Zdroik)Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 12
OPP 45
+5
71.9%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 5 yards gain to the AF40 (#95 D.Grobe)Similar
Q3 12:44
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+31
72.1%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #5 S.Porter caught at AF26, for 31 yards to the AF09 (#36 M.Mustell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
73.2%
(12:07) No Huddle #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AF08 (#5 R.Jones)Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
82.8%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 8 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:18 #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 13FG12 plays · 56 yds · 5:5720% → 28%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.0%
(11:16) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 2 yards gain to the AF27 (#94 M.Hoffman; #89 T.Jones)Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+14
79.9%
(10:35) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 14 yards gain to the AF41 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
79.0%
(09:58) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AF47 (#6 B.Parham; #11 D.Branch)Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+5
78.5%
(09:20) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UConn48 (#89 T.Jones; #6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
78.2%
(08:47) #2 O.Allen rush right for 7 yards gain to the UConn41 (#89 T.Jones; #7 M.McLean)Similar
Q3 8:07
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+4
79.6%
(08:10) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush left for 4 yards gain to the UConn37 (#94 M.Hoffman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+12
80.1%
(07:34) Shotgun #2 O.Allen rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UConn25 (#20 O.Gilbert; #7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
78.8%
(07:00) #2 O.Allen rush left for 2 yards gain to the UConn23 (#92 S.Wright)Similar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+3
78.8%
(06:26) #2 O.Allen rush left for 3 yards gain to the UConn20 (#58 A.Harris Jr.; #92 S.Wright)Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+1
80.1%
(05:49) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges pass complete short left to #21 C.Harris caught at UConn21, for 1 yard to the UConn19, out of bounds at UConn19Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
72.2%
(05:22) #96 R.Tubbs field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #97 L.Freer, LS: #49 K.Chesney), clock 05:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14FG14 plays · 56 yds · 5:4377% → 85%
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
76.7%
(05:05) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn33, for 5 yards to the UConn40 (#8 D.Daley), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
79.1%
(04:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 4 yards gain to the UConn44 (#6 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q3 3:50
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
78.4%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UConn48 (#93 A.Tillett; #15 J.Adams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
80.9%
(03:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at AF48, for 9 yards to the AF43 (#9 L.Brown), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+8
81.2%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 8 yards gain to the AF35 (#99 A.Swartz; #6 B.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
82.7%
(02:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at AF36, for 5 yards to the AF30 (#26 A.Perez)Similar
Q3 1:26
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+7
82.8%
(01:32) Shotgun #44 O.Lundberg Coleman rush right for 7 yards gain to the AF23 (#26 A.Perez; #8 D.Daley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
82.9%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #5 S.Porter caught at AF17, for 10 yards to the AF13 (#2 K.Johnson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
83.0%
(00:15) No Huddle #44 O.Lundberg Coleman rush middle for 3 yards gain to the AF10 (#6 B.Fletcher; #15 J.Adams)Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+1
83.0%
(14:59) #0 C.Edwards rush left for 1 yard gain to the AF09 (#30 I.Hubert)Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 6
OPP 9
0
82.1%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short right to #81 L.Hansen thrown to AF05 QB hurried by #15 J.AdamsSimilar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 6
OPP 9
+27
85.0%
(14:19) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 14:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 15PUNT8 plays · 13 yds · 2:1715% → 13%
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.7%
(14:13) #2 O.Allen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AF29 (#11 D.Branch)Similar
Q4 13:37
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
84.2%
(13:41) Shotgun #8 K.Frew rush right for 3 yards gain to the AF32 (#3 D.Brinson; #33 K.Choute)Similar
Q4 13:19
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
85.2%
(13:23) #4 K.Hodges rush right for 3 yards gain to the AF35 (#3 D.Brinson; #92 S.Wright), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.5%
(12:47) No Huddle #4 K.Hodges pass incomplete deep middle to #18 Q.Smith thrown to UConn34Similar
Q4 12:41
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
84.8%
(12:43) #4 K.Hodges rush left for 3 yards gain to the AF38 (#32 O.Diomande; #94 M.Hoffman)Similar
Q4 12:01
3RD & 7
OWN 38
0
86.1%
(12:05) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges pass incomplete short left to #81 J.Dawson thrown to AF46 broken up by #20 O.GilbertSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+5
87.5%
(12:00) #97 L.Freer punt 51 yards to the UConn11 #19 J.Harper return 5 yards to the UConn16 (#6 B.Fletcher; #2 K.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16TD10 plays · 84 yds · 6:1386% → 97%
Q4 11:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
86.4%
(11:47) Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 7 yards gain to the UConn23 (#9 L.Brown)Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+1
86.7%
(11:09) No Huddle #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UConn24 (#8 D.Daley)Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+4
85.9%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn21, for 4 yards to the UConn28, out of bounds at UConn28, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+31
87.4%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 31 yards gain to the AF41 (#2 K.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
89.2%
(09:12) No Huddle #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 1 yard gain to the AF40 (#30 I.Hubert)Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+10
89.3%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #1 S.Bell caught at AF41, for 10 yards to the AF30 (#30 I.Hubert), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
89.7%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #0 C.Edwards caught at AF27, for 9 yards to the AF21 (#5 R.Jones), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+10
91.5%
(07:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 10 yards gain to the AF11 (#45 J.Reese), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
92.5%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 6 yards gain to the AF05 (#36 M.Mustell)Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
97.4%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 5 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 05:28, 1ST DOWN #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AFDrive 17TD10 plays · 75 yds · 2:464% → 8%
Q4 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
96.2%
(05:21) #4 K.Hodges pass incomplete deep right to #3 M.Long thrown to AF45 QB hurried by #11 D.BranchSimilar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
96.9%
(05:13) #4 K.Hodges pass complete short right to #81 J.Dawson caught at AF35, for 15 yards to the AF40 (#94 M.Hoffman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
96.6%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Hodges pass incomplete short right to #88 B.Fleischmann thrown to AF49Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+18
96.7%
(04:36) #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 18 yards gain to the UConn42 (#3 D.Brinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
96.5%
(04:07) Shotgun #4 K.Hodges rush middle for 16 yards gain to the UConn26 (#2 D.Pringle; #32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
96.0%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Hodges pass complete short left to #44 R.Conti caught at UConn22, for 4 yards to the UConn22 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+8
96.0%
(03:19) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UConn14 (#6 B.Parham; #89 T.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+12
96.1%
(02:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 K.Hodges pass complete short right to #18 Q.Smith caught at UConn03, for 12 yards to the UConn02 (#6 B.Parham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.1%
(02:30) No Huddle #5 D.Carson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UConn00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:29 #4 K.Hodges pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18END OF GAME11 plays · 20 yds · 1:5095% → 97%
Q4 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.9%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 2 yards gain to the AF40 (#6 B.Fletcher)Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
95.8%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 4 yards gain to the AF36 (#8 D.Daley; #99 A.Swartz)Similar
Q4 2:13
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+5
96.0%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 5 yards gain to the AF31 (#26 A.Perez; #36 M.Mustell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
97.0%
(02:00) #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 5 yards gain to the AF26 (#92 J.Garrett)Similar
Q4 1:06
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+6
97.1%
(01:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 6 yards gain to the AF20 (#33 B.Bujnoch), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:18
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 8 yards gain to the AF00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:18 #28 C.Freeman kick attempt good (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat)
+9.6
FG · Q3 5:17
(05:22) #96 R.Tubbs field goal attempt from 36 yards GOOD (H: #97 L.Freer, LS: #49 K.Chesney), clock 05:17
-7.9
FG · Q2 0:28
(00:28) #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 00:28
+7.6