Try the model
UAB

UAB 19 at UConn 38

CONN
2025 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:42 · #27 P.Foley punt 39 yards to the UConn33 #19 J.Harper return 0 yards to the UConn33, End Of Play
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Home team on offense+3.5Pregame prior+22.8Score differential+1.0Blowout margin+0.4Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:04: Skyler Bell 26 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick) — CONN win probability +3.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:45: Cam Edwards 1 Yd Run (Chris Freeman Kick) — CONN win probability +4.9 pts (now 86%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 8:44: #28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 08:44 — CONN win probability +3.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:56: Skyler Bell 9 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick) — CONN win probability +5.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:02: Juice Vereen 6 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick) — CONN win probability +1.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 5
  1. Q1 9:23CONN 4th & 5 at UAB 20, tied
    Close callWent for it · 75.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q2 14:42UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:12UAB 4th & 4 at CONN 13, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.5%−0.5
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    7.0%
    85% to make
    Punt
    5.0%−2.0
    average punt
  4. Q3 15:00UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 33, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.1%
    average punt
  5. Q3 11:15UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 45, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q4 14:49UAB 4th & 14 at CONN 43, down 33
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  7. Q4 13:37CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 25, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 7:02CONN 4th & 17 at CONN 41, up 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:04CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:45CONN Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    82.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:56CONN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:02CONN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 58 yds · 5:3780% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+10
79.8%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 10 yards gain to the UConn32 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #80 J.Neider caught at UConn37, for 5 yards to the UConn37 (#14 J.Vessel)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+6
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 6 yards gain to the UConn43 (#99 E.Smalls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UConn38 (#99 E.Smalls)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+21
79.8%
Shotgun #15 T.Smith rush right for 21 yards gain to the UAB41 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
79.8%
Shotgun #15 T.Smith rush right for 6 yards gain to the UAB35 (#0 D.Hightower; #4 A.Morrison)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+10
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at UAB38, for 10 yards to the UAB25 (#20 A.Brown), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano sacked for loss of 4 yards to the UAB29 (#34 J.Allen)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
+8
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at UAB30, for 8 yards to the UAB21 (#59 C.Burge)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+1
79.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #21 M.Greaves caught at UAB25, for 1 yard to the UAB20 (#20 A.Brown; #5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q1 9:23
4TH & 5
OPP 20
0
78.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short middle to #81 L.Hansen thrown to UAB10, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2INT
9 plays · 59 yds · 4:1022% → 24%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
78.3%
Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 4 yards gain to the UAB24 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
78.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short middle to #5 K.Brown thrown to UAB35Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+7
78.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UAB30, for 7 yards to the UAB31 (#2 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
78.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB34 (#92 S.Wright; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+17
78.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush right for 17 yards gain to the UConn49 (#58 A.Harris Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
77.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 9 yards gain to the UConn40 (#13 C.Chadwick)Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+18
77.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 18 yards gain to the UConn22 (#2 D.Pringle), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
77.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush left for 1 yard gain to the UConn21 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 21
-9
75.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass intercepted by #13 C.Chadwick at UConn08 QB hurried by #32 O.Diomande #13 C.Chadwick return 9 yards to the UConn17 (#17 E.Lagg)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
10 plays · 83 yds · 4:0977% → 80%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
77.0%
Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short left to #1 S.Bell thrown to UConn22Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+9
76.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 9 yards gain to the UConn26 (#20 A.Brown)Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+2
76.8%
No Huddle #2 J.Fagnano rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UConn28 (#29 T.McDaniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
77.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 5 yards gain to the UConn33 (#0 D.Hightower)Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+18
77.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #1 S.Bell caught at UConn43, for 18 yards to the UAB49 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Offside declinedSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
77.8%
Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #21 M.Greaves caught at UAB49, for 0 yards to the UAB49 (#6 C.Pitcher; #5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
77.7%
PENALTY UConn Illegal Substitution 5 yards from UAB49 to UConn46. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+2
77.3%
Shotgun #15 T.Smith rush right for 2 yards gain to the UConn48 (#6 C.Pitcher)Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+26
77.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #80 J.Neider caught at UAB34, for 26 yards to the UAB26 (#20 A.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
80.4%
Skyler Bell 26 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 16:0420% → 18%
Q1 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.3%
Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB26 (#3 D.Brinson; #6 B.Parham)Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
80.3%
Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at UAB24, for 2 yards to the UAB28 (#7 M.McLean; #5 A.Key)Similar
Q2 14:42
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
80.9%
#27 P.Foley punt 39 yards to the UConn33 #19 J.Harper return 0 yards to the UConn33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
81.9%
Shotgun #7 J.Kitna pass incomplete short right to #85 A.Ferguson thrown to UAB45 QB hurried by #32 O.DiomandeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5TD
11 plays · 67 yds · 3:5780% → 86%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
79.9%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 3 yards gain to the UConn36 (#99 E.Smalls)Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+15
80.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete deep left to #6 R.Murphy thrown to UAB39, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UAB Pass Interference (#11 P.Fisher) 15 yards from UConn36 to UAB49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
80.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 V.Rosa rush left for 6 yards gain to the UAB43 (#1 S.Bryant)Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+11
80.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #86 A.Honig caught at UAB36, for 11 yards to the UAB32 (#0 D.Hightower), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
80.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #22 V.Rosa rush right for 3 yards gain to the UAB29 (#15 J.Rogers)Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 7
OPP 29
0
80.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete deep right to #1 S.Bell thrown to UAB02Similar
Q2 14:42
3RD & 7
OPP 29
+14
80.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #6 R.Murphy caught at UAB24, for 14 yards to the UAB15 (#1 S.Bryant), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
80.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 0 yards to the UAB15 (#5 E.Toussom)Similar
Q2 14:42
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+14
80.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #80 J.Neider caught at UAB01, for 14 yards to the UAB01 (#24 T.Watson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
80.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 0 yards to the UAB01 (#99 E.Smalls; #2 E.Odinjor)Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.6%
Cam Edwards 1 Yd Run (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.8%
Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass intercepted by #13 C.Chadwick at UAB37, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:5685% → 89%
Q2 10:40
2ND & 23
50
+8
85.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #11 J.Vereen caught at UAB45, for 8 yards to the UAB42 (#0 D.Hightower; #12 T.McNichols)Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 15
OPP 42
+10
85.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #11 J.Vereen caught at UAB35, for 10 yards to the UAB32 (#20 A.Brown; #11 P.Fisher)Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+50
88.2%
#28 C.Freeman field goal attempt from 50 yards GOOD (H: #17 C.Stutz, LS: #47 Z.Christinat), clock 08:44Similar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
88.6%
Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB35 (#99 E.Smalls) PENALTY UConn Personal Foul (#73 W.Hoeh) 15 yards from UAB35 to UAB50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · -20 yds · 3:1512% → 11%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
87.6%
Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush left for 2 yards gain to the UAB27 (#13 C.Chadwick)Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+8
87.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush middle for 8 yards gain to the UAB35, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
87.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun #16 N.Rogers pass complete short right to #3 I.Jacobs caught at UAB34, for 0 yards to the UAB35 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-16
87.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton sacked for loss of 16 yards to the UAB19 (#58 A.Harris Jr.) PENALTY UAB Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 26
OWN 19
-14
88.0%
(06:21) Shotgun #15 R.Burton sacked for loss of 14 yards to the UAB05 (#11 D.Branch)Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 40
OWN 5
+37
88.6%
(05:42) #27 P.Foley punt 46 yards to the UConn49 #19 J.Harper return 37 yards to the UAB14 (#34 J.Allen; #0 D.Hightower)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD
3 plays · 14 yds · 1:2289% → 94%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
88.7%
(05:22) Shotgun #15 T.Smith rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UAB11 (#14 J.Vessel)Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
88.9%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UAB09 (#2 E.Odinjor)Similar
Q2 3:56
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+9
94.0%
Skyler Bell 9 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10DOWNS
17 plays · 62 yds · 3:5010% → 10%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.3%
(03:55) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 13 yards gain to the UAB38 (#3 D.Brinson) PENALTY UAB Holding (#75 C.Perez) 10 yards from UAB25 to UAB15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 3:22
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+12
89.7%
(03:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UAB27 (#13 C.Chadwick; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
90.6%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UAB30, for 7 yards to the UAB34 (#3 D.Brinson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+10
90.3%
(02:08) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush right for 10 yards gain to the UAB44 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
90.3%
(01:55) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UConn46 (#32 O.Diomande; #7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
89.7%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn43 (#6 B.Parham; #55 V.Carroll-Jackson)Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+6
89.8%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UConn37 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q2 0:34
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
89.6%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 I.Jacobs rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UConn32 (#89 T.Jones), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
87.3%
(00:25) Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush right for 13 yards gain to the UConn19, out of bounds at UConn19, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.9%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #1 C.Milliner thrown to UConn00 QB hurried by #92 S.WrightSimilar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 4
OPP 13
0
90.2%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #1 C.Milliner thrown to UConn00 broken up by #2 D.Pringle, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
89.6%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #17 E.Lagg caught at UConn15, for 6 yards to the UConn13 (#2 D.Pringle)Similar
Q2 0:05
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
89.6%
(00:05) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass incomplete short left thrown to UConn10 broken up by #32 O.Diomande QB hurried by #58 A.Harris Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:454% → 3%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.8%
Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 3 yards gain to the UAB28 (#13 C.Chadwick)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
95.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass incomplete short left to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. thrown to UAB39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #1 C.Milliner caught at UAB33, for 5 yards to the UAB33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+4
95.7%
No Huddle #15 R.Burton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UAB37 (#92 S.Wright; #55 V.Carroll-Jackson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
95.6%
#15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #17 E.Lagg caught at UAB38, for 8 yards to the UAB45 (#6 B.Parham; #2 D.Pringle)Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+1
95.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UAB46 (#32 O.Diomande; #94 M.Hoffman)Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 46
-1
95.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush right for 1 yard loss to the UAB45 (#21 L.Molette III)Similar
Q3 11:15
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
97.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass incomplete deep left to #1 C.Milliner thrown to UConn32 broken up by #13 C.Chadwick, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:5698% → 100%
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
97.9%
(11:09) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #81 L.Hansen caught at UAB45, for 6 yards to the UAB39 (#29 T.McDaniel)Similar
Q3 10:31
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+3
98.1%
(10:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 3 yards gain to the UAB36 (#29 T.McDaniel; #99 E.Smalls)Similar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
98.1%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 6 yards gain (3) to the UAB30 (#12 T.McNichols) PENALTY UConn Holding (#73 W.Hoeh) 10 yards from UAB33 to UAB43Similar
Q3 9:22
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+11
98.2%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short left to #1 S.Bell caught at UAB43, for 11 yards to the UAB32 (#0 D.Hightower), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
98.3%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 9 yards gain to the UAB23 (#0 D.Hightower) PENALTY UAB Personal Foul (#1 S.Bryant) 12 yards from UAB23 to UAB11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+5
98.3%
(08:45) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short middle to #81 L.Hansen caught at UAB10, for 5 yards to the UAB06 (#0 D.Hightower; #10 J.Cheek)Similar
Q3 8:02
2ND & 5
OPP 6
+6
99.5%
Juice Vereen 6 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:251% → 1%
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.9%
(07:56) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #88 J.Sivley caught at UAB25, for 7 yards to the UAB32 (#3 D.Brinson; #7 M.McLean)Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+68
98.7%
Brandon Hawkins Jr. 68 Yd pass from Ryder Burton (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 1:5499% → 100%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.4%
(07:12) Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete deep right to #1 S.Bell thrown to UAB34Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.4%
(07:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #44 O.Lundberg Coleman rush left for 5 yards gain to the UConn33 (#14 J.Vessel)Similar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+28
99.5%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete deep right to #1 S.Bell caught at UAB45, for 28 yards to the UAB39 (#14 J.Vessel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
99.5%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush right for 0 yards to the UAB39 (#9 D.Warren)Similar
Q3 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
99.5%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete deep right to #13 C.Parker thrown to UAB10 broken up by #13 T.CrumpleySimilar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.5%
Skyler Bell 39 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15INT
14 plays · 32 yds · 5:170% → 0%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
(05:10) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 5 yards gain to the UAB30 (#92 S.Wright; #32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q3 4:43
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.6%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass incomplete deep right to #1 C.Milliner thrown to UConn50Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
99.6%
(04:38) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #6 B.Hawkins Jr. caught at UAB35, for 7 yards to the UAB37 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+14
99.6%
(04:07) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at UAB45, for 14 yards to the UConn49 (#13 C.Chadwick), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.7%
(03:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 5 yards gain to the UConn44 (#32 O.Diomande; #55 V.Carroll-Jackson)Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+5
99.7%
PENALTY UAB False Start (#85 A.Ferguson) 5 yards from UConn44 to UConn49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.7%
(02:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn46, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+7
99.8%
(02:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #85 A.Ferguson caught at UConn39, for 7 yards to the UConn39 (#32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
99.8%
(01:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton sacked for loss of 5 yards to the UConn44 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
Q3 0:55
2ND & 15
OPP 44
+7
99.8%
(01:04) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #3 I.Jacobs caught at UConn39, for 7 yards to the UConn37 (#13 C.Chadwick; #5 A.Key)Similar
Q3 0:26
3RD & 8
OPP 37
-6
99.8%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UConn43 (#13 C.Chadwick)Similar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 14
OPP 43
0
99.8%
Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass intercepted by #13 C.Chadwick at UConn22 QB hurried by #32 O.Diomande, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:23100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
Shotgun #15 T.Smith rush left for 3 yards gain to the UConn25 (#10 J.Cheek)Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete short middle to #1 S.Bell thrown to UConn36Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
99.7%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass incomplete deep left to #21 M.Greaves thrown to UAB49 broken up by #12 T.McNicholsSimilar
Q4 13:37
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+12
99.8%
#17 C.Stutz punt 46 yards to the UAB29 #0 I.Hooks return 12 yards to the UAB41 (#32 O.Diomande)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
4 plays · 59 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
99.8%
(13:30) Shotgun #16 N.Rogers rush middle for 10 yards gain to the UConn49 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
99.8%
(13:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 N.Rogers rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UConn37 fumbled by #16 N.Rogers at UConn45 forced by #55 V.Carroll-Jackson recovered by UAB #3 I.Jacobs at UConn37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
99.8%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #11 S.Beebe caught at UConn32, for 5 yards to the UConn32 (#11 D.Branch)Similar
Q4 12:09
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+32
99.8%
Brandon Hawkins Jr. 32 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 16 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q4 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
99.8%
(12:01) Shotgun #21 M.Greaves rush right for 10 yards gain to the UConn35 (#13 T.Crumpley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
99.8%
(11:16) Shotgun #21 M.Greaves rush left for 1 yard gain to the UConn36 (#55 J.Peterson; #29 T.McDaniel)Similar
Q4 10:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UConn40 (#7 P.Royster)Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #80 J.Neider caught at UConn40, for 8 yards to the UConn48 (#10 J.Cheek), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
99.9%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 C.Edwards rush left for 7 yards gain to the UAB45 (#55 J.Peterson; #10 J.Cheek)Similar
Q4 8:47
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+2
99.9%
(08:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #80 J.Neider caught at UAB45, for 2 yards to the UAB43 (#10 J.Cheek; #13 T.Crumpley) PENALTY UConn Holding (#5 S.Porter) 10 yards from UAB43 to UConn47Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano pass complete short right to #81 L.Hansen caught at UConn49, for 2 yards to the UConn49 (#5 E.Toussom), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 49
-8
99.9%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 J.Fagnano sacked for loss of 8 yards to the UConn41 (#5 E.Toussom) PENALTY UConn Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q4 7:02
4TH & 17
OWN 41
0
99.9%
(07:07) #17 C.Stutz punt 41 yards to the UAB18 #0 I.Hooks return 0 yards to the UAB18 (#18 K.Hicks)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
17 plays · 82 yds · 6:400% → 0%
Q4 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
99.9%
(06:57) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #5 K.Brown caught at UAB20, for 6 yards to the UAB24 (#6 B.Parham)Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+4
99.9%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #1 C.Milliner caught at UAB26, for 4 yards to the UAB28 QB hurried by #89 T.Jones (#94 M.Hoffman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
99.9%
(05:55) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short middle to #1 C.Milliner caught at UAB35, for 11 yards to the UAB39 (#7 M.McLean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
99.9%
(05:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at UAB36, for 9 yards to the UAB48 (#7 M.McLean)Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
(04:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn49 (#32 O.Diomande), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
99.9%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #85 A.Ferguson caught at UConn50, for 10 yards to the UConn39 (#3 D.Brinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn36, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:58
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
(03:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #5 K.Brown caught at UConn30, for 6 yards to the UConn30, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:27
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
99.9%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 S.Beebe rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UConn27 (#9 A.Renwick), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
99.9%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #5 K.Brown caught at UConn27, for 0 yards to the UConn27 QB hurried by #92 S.Wright and #55 V.Carroll-Jackson, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
99.9%
(01:50) Shotgun #15 R.Burton sacked for loss of 10 yards to the UConn37 (#58 A.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 20
OPP 37
+6
100.0%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short right to #1 C.Milliner caught at UConn33, for 6 yards to the UConn31 (#58 A.Harris Jr.)Similar
Q4 0:28
4TH & 14
OPP 31
0
100.0%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete deep right to #1 C.Milliner caught at UConn00, for 0 yards to the UConn31 QB hurried by #3 D.Brinson and #21 L.Molette III PENALTY UConn Personal Foul (#21 L.Molette III) 15 yards from UConn31 to UConn16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass complete short left to #0 I.Hooks caught at UConn13, for 3 yards to the UConn13 (#20 O.Gilbert)Similar
Q4 0:12
2ND & 7
OPP 13
0
100.0%
(00:12) Shotgun #15 R.Burton pass incomplete short middle to #3 I.Jacobs thrown to UConn10 QB hurried by #20 O.GilbertSimilar
Q4 0:07
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Kaleb Brown 13 Yd pass from Ryder Burton (Jonah Delange Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
100.0%
PENALTY UConn UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#17 T.Williams) 12 yards from UConn25 to UConn13. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
100.0%
(00:00) Kneel down by #2 J.Fagnano at UConn38 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:56
Skyler Bell 9 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)
+5.1
TD · Q2 10:45
Cam Edwards 1 Yd Run (Chris Freeman Kick)
+4.9
TD · Q1 1:04
Skyler Bell 26 Yd pass from Joe Fagnano (Chris Freeman Kick)
+3.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com