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CCSU

Central Connecticut 13 at UConn 59

CONN
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Pratt & Whitney Stadium
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Win probability · CONN
modelCONN aheadCCSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCONN scoreCCSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:09 · Brady Olson punt for 31 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+41.6Home team on offense−0.8Score differential−0.7Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:05: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +1.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:24: Cam Edwards run for 73 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +2.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:21: Joe Fagnano run for 4 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +2.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 3:20: Jack Hennessey 20 yd FG GOOD — CCSU win probability +2.3 pts (now 6%) (top driver: CCSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:34: Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +2.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 4CCSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 13:37CONN 4th & 7 at CONN 47, tied
    Close callWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:09CCSU 4th & 2 at CONN 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.4%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:37CCSU 4th & 1 at CONN 27, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.2%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    6.2%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:41CCSU 4th & 3 at CCSU 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:20CCSU 4th & 3 at CONN 3, down 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:53CONN 4th & 12 at CONN 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:28CCSU 4th & 18 at CCSU 14, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.6%−1.0
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:12CCSU 4th & 10 at CCSU 25, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:02CCSU 4th & 9 at CONN 12, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:43CONN 4th & 3 at CCSU 11, up 29
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:56CCSU 4th & 4 at CCSU 42, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:30CCSU 4th & 4 at CCSU 31, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:40CONN 4th & 7 at CCSU 17, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:59CCSU 4th & 9 at CCSU 43, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:25CCSU 4th & 4 at CCSU 43, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CONN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8CCSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:54CCSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:15CONN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:05CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 11:24CONN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:21CONN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:34CONN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 12:33CONN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 13:02CONN Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:38CONN Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CONNDrive 1DOWNS
6 plays · -24 yds · 1:1196% → 96%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
95.7%
(14:53) Shotgun Edwards,Cam rush left for 2 yards loss to the UConn27 (Banks,Carter; Coleman,Wayne) PENALTY CCSU Personal Foul (Coleman,Wayne) 15 yards from UConn29 to UConn44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
95.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Shamar PorterSimilar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+3
95.6%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 47Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 7
OWN 47
0
95.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Shamar PorterSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 7
OWN 47
-42
95.5%
run for a loss of 42 yards to the CONN 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:355% → 5%
Q1 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
95.4%
Elijah Howard run for 3 yds to the CONN 2Similar
Q1 12:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
95.1%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds for a TD (Jack Hennessey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 3TD
7 plays · 88 yds · 2:3095% → 95%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
95.1%
PENALTY UConn False Start (Hoeh,Wes) 5 yards from UConn12 to UConn07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+3
95.1%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 10Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 12
OWN 10
+9
94.9%
Mel Brown run for 9 yds to the CONN 19Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 3
OWN 19
-2
94.7%
Terrence Smith run for 8 yds UConn Penalty, Offensive Holding (Shamar Porter) to the CONN 17Similar
Q1 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+5
94.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 5 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
94.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 2 yds to the CONN 20Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 20
+80
94.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 80 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 4PUNT
12 plays · 36 yds · 5:025% → 7%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
94.7%
Elijah Howard run for 4 yds to the CCSU 29Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
94.6%
Elijah Howard run for 6 yds to the CCSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
94.4%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the CCSU 37Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 8
OWN 37
-5
94.2%
PENALTY CCSU False Start (Marchbank,Maddox) 5 yards from CCSU37 to CCSU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+10
94.2%
(08:14) No Huddle-Shotgun Olson,Brady pass incomplete short left to Pardo,David thrown to CCSU45 QB hurried by Parham,Bryun, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UConn Pass Interference (Pringle,Devin) 10 yards from CCSU32 to CCSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
94.1%
Donny Marcus run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:39
2ND & 2
50
+3
93.9%
Brady Olson pass complete to Donny Marcus for 3 yds to the CONN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
93.7%
Elijah Howard run for 2 yds to the CONN 45Similar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-1
93.6%
Elijah Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 46Similar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+7
93.5%
Brady Olson run for 7 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
93.3%
Brady Olson punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 5TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 3:5993% → 94%
Q1 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
93.4%
Mel Brown run for 5 yds to the CONN 13Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 5
OWN 13
+3
93.3%
Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 16Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+7
93.0%
Cam Edwards run for 7 yds to the CONN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
93.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Alex Honig for 4 yds to the CONN 27Similar
Q1 3:14
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+5
92.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 5 yds to the CONN 32Similar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+1
92.8%
Joe Fagnano run for 1 yd to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
92.7%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+6
92.6%
Mel Brown run for 6 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 4
OWN 39
+49
92.5%
Mel Brown run for 49 yds to the CCSU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
93.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 12 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 6DOWNS
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:247% → 8%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.5%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Donny MarcusSimilar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.5%
Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the CCSU 26Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
93.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Peter Cleary for 13 yds to the CCSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
93.1%
Elijah Howard run for 15 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
92.7%
(14:07) Shotgun Olson,Brady pass incomplete deep left to Pardo,David thrown to UConn10, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UConn Pass Interference (Chadwick,Cam) 10 yards from UConn46 to UConn36, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-4
92.6%
Donny Marcus run for a loss of 4 yards to the CONN 40Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+12
92.8%
Elijah Howard run for 12 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q2 12:17
3RD & 2
OPP 28
+1
92.2%
Brady Olson run for 1 yd to the CONN 27Similar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 1
OPP 27
0
92.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Maika HeckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 7TD
1 play · 73 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
94.8%
Cam Edwards run for 73 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:376% → 6%
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.3%
Elijah Howard run for 7 yds to the CCSU 32Similar
Q2 10:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
94.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Elijah HowardSimilar
Q2 10:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
94.2%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Donny MarcusSimilar
Q2 10:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
94.3%
Zach Bonini punt for 18 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:1095% → 97%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
50
+16
95.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 16 yds to the CCSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
95.1%
Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the CCSU 33Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+3
95.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Mel Brown for 3 yds to the CCSU 30Similar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+26
94.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 26 yds to the CCSU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.4%
Joe Fagnano run for 4 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 10FG
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:573% → 6%
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
97.0%
Elijah Howard run for 7 yds to the CCSU 32Similar
Q2 7:37
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
96.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Ricky Ortega for a loss of 1 yard to the CCSU 31Similar
Q2 7:12
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+34
96.8%
Brady Olson pass complete to Peter Cleary for 34 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
96.5%
Jadon Turner run for 4 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 5:50
2ND & 6
OPP 31
0
96.5%
Brady Olson pass complete to Jadon Turner for no gain to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+27
96.7%
Brady Olson pass complete to Dave Pardo for 27 yds to the CONN 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
96.7%
Donny Marcus run for 2 yds to the CONN 2Similar
Q2 3:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
96.7%
Donny Marcus run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 3Similar
Q2 3:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
96.6%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Donovan WadleySimilar
Q2 3:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
94.3%
Jack Hennessey 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:1495% → 96%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
95.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Thai Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+3
95.0%
Mel Brown run for 3 yds to the CONN 30Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 7
OWN 30
-5
94.7%
Joe Fagnano sacked by Wayne Coleman for a loss of 5 yards to the CONN 25Similar
Q2 1:53
4TH & 12
OWN 25
0
95.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Donovan Wadley at the CCSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · -8 yds · 0:255% → 5%
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
95.1%
PENALTY CCSU False Start (Khuns,Karl) 5 yards from CCSU22 to CCSU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+2
95.1%
Donny Marcus run for 2 yds to the CCSU 19Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+2
95.1%
Jadon Turner run for 2 yds to the CCSU 21Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 11
OWN 21
-5
95.4%
PENALTY CCSU False Start (Ortega,Ricky) 5 yards from CCSU21 to CCSU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 16
OWN 16
-2
95.4%
Donny Marcus run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCSU 14Similar
Q2 1:28
4TH & 18
OWN 14
0
95.5%
Zach Bonini punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 13TD
8 plays · 52 yds · 0:4896% → 98%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
96.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Javonte Vereen for 8 yds to the CCSU 44Similar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+17
96.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 17 yds to the CCSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.4%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Victor RosaSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
96.5%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Reymello MurphySimilar
Q2 0:59
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+20
96.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 20 yds to the CCSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
95.3%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 4 yds to the CCSU 3Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.7%
Donny Marcus run for 5 yds to the CCSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:442% → 2%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Jadon Turner run for no gain to the CCSU 25Similar
Q3 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Dave PardoSimilar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Dave PardoSimilar
Q3 14:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
Zach Bonini punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:3099% → 99%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
98.6%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the CONN 43Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+7
98.7%
Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:47
1ST & 10
50
+30
98.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Javonte Vereen for 30 yds to the CCSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.4%
Victor Rosa run for 20 yds for a TD Central Connecticut Penalty, (Yards) declined (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 17FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 5:201% → 0%
Q3 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Donovan Wadley for 5 yds to the CCSU 30Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.4%
Jadon Turner run for 1 yd to the CCSU 31Similar
Q3 11:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+37
99.4%
Brady Olson pass complete to Dave Pardo for 37 yds to the CONN 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
99.3%
PENALTY CCSU Illegal Snap (Marchbank,Maddox) 5 yards from UConn32 to UConn37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 15
OPP 37
+4
99.5%
Jadon Turner run for 4 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 11
OPP 33
0
99.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Dave PardoSimilar
Q3 9:14
3RD & 11
OPP 33
+12
99.4%
Brady Olson run for 12 yds to the CONN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
99.4%
Davon Smith Jr. run for no gain to the CONN 21Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
99.4%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Dave PardoSimilar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-5
99.5%
PENALTY CCSU False Start 5 yards from UConn21 to UConn26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
99.1%
Donny Marcus run for 1 yd to the CONN 12Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 9
OPP 12
0
99.1%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Dave PardoSimilar
Q3 7:07
3RD & 9
OPP 12
0
99.3%
Brady Olson pass incomplete to Paul Marsh Jr.Similar
Q3 7:02
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
99.6%
Jack Hennessey 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 6 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+1
99.7%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Jackson Harper for 1 yd to the CONN 34Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+26
99.7%
Cam Edwards run for 26 yds to the CCSU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+22
99.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Thai Chiaokhiao-Bowman for 22 yds to the CCSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Jackson HarperSimilar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+5
99.8%
Mel Brown run for 5 yds to the CCSU 13Similar
Q3 4:25
3RD & 5
OPP 13
+2
99.8%
Mel Brown run for 2 yds to the CCSU 11Similar
Q3 3:43
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+29
99.8%
Chris Freeman 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Brett Griffis pass complete to Donovan Wadley for 11 yds to the CCSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.8%
Michael Trovarelli run for 6 yds to the CCSU 42Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Brett Griffis pass incomplete to Paul Marsh Jr.Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
99.8%
Brett Griffis pass incomplete to Maika HeckSimilar
Q3 1:56
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+21
99.8%
Zach Bonini punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CONN 45 , Jackson Harper returns for 21 yds to the CONN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q3 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.8%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to Chris ParkerSimilar
Q3 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jackson Harper for 3 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q3 1:01
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+14
99.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to Chris Parker for 14 yds to the CCSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.8%
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman run for 8 yds to the CCSU 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
99.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jackson Harper for 1 yd to the CCSU 29Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman run for 6 yds to the CCSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
99.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to John Neider for 3 yds to the CCSU 20Similar
Q4 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
99.8%
Nick Evers pass complete to Louis Hansen for 6 yds to the CCSU 14Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 1
OPP 14
-5
99.8%
PENALTY UConn False Start (Walker,Tamarus) 5 yards from CCSU14 to CCSU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+19
99.9%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jackson Harper for 19 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:230% → 0%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Brett Griffis run for 5 yds to the CCSU 30Similar
Q4 12:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Jadon Turner run for 1 yd to the CCSU 31Similar
Q4 11:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Brett Griffis pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:30
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Zach Bonini punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CONN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22MISSED FG
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:37100% → 100%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
99.9%
Tucker McDonald pass complete to Chris Parker for 45 yds to the CCSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
99.9%
MJ Flowers run for 3 yds to the CCSU 17Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
99.9%
Tucker McDonald pass incomplete to MJ FlowersSimilar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 7
OPP 17
0
99.9%
MJ Flowers run for no gain to the CCSU 17Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+35
99.9%
Chris Freeman 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:330% → 0%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.9%
Davon Smith Jr. run for 1 yd to the CCSU 21Similar
Q4 8:55
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
99.9%
Brett Griffis run for 6 yds to the CCSU 27Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+15
99.9%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Griffis,Brett pass incomplete deep left to Brown,Barry thrown to UConn30 QB hurried by Hoffman,Matt, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UConn Pass Interference (Gilbert,Osiris) 15 yards from CCSU27 to CCSU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Davon Smith Jr. run for no gain to the CCSU 42Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
99.9%
Davon Smith Jr. run for 4 yds to the CCSU 46Similar
Q4 6:40
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-3
99.9%
Brett Griffis sacked by Bryun Parham for a loss of 3 yards to the CCSU 43Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Zach Bonini punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:16100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.9%
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman run for 9 yds to the CONN 29Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman run for 7 yds to the CONN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
99.9%
Nick Evers pass complete to Nader Chirchi for 19 yds to the CCSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
99.9%
Nick Evers run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCSU 47Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+7
99.9%
MJ Flowers run for 7 yds to the CCSU 40Similar
Q4 3:37
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+6
99.9%
MJ Flowers run for 6 yds to the CCSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to John NeiderSimilar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
100.0%
Nick Evers pass incomplete to John NeiderSimilar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+18
100.0%
Nick Evers pass complete to Jackson Harper for 18 yds to the CCSU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
100.0%
MJ Flowers run for 16 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 1:510% → 0%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Davon Smith Jr. run for 3 yds to the CCSU 40Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
100.0%
Davon Smith Jr. run for 5 yds to the CCSU 45Similar
Q4 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-2
100.0%
Michael Trovarelli run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCSU 43Similar
Q4 0:25
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
100.0%
Zach Bonini punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Jackson Harper at the CONN 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
(00:23) Kneel down by UConn at UConn19 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:34
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 3 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q2 11:24
Cam Edwards run for 73 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 8:21
Joe Fagnano run for 4 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)
+2.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com