Try the model
ISU

Iowa State 20 at Oklahoma State 13

OKST
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Boone Pickens Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:11: (08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at OSU00, for 16 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:11, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Holding declined #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen) — ISU win probability +5.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:21: (01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 8 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:21 #19 L.Ward kick attempt good (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport) — OKST win probability +9.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. FG · Q3 5:31: (05:36) #19 L.Ward field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport), clock 05:31 — OKST win probability +3.3 pts (now 25%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:50: (01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ISU46 (#71 A.Kelley), 1ST DOWN — ISU win probability +16.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:17: (01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 48 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:09 PENALTY ISU Holding (#87 C.Alexander) 10 yards from OSU48 to ISU42. NO PLAY — ISU win probability +14.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:31OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:43ISU 4th & 12 at OKST 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    77.7%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:53OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.6%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35ISU 4th & 9 at OKST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.1%
    62% to make
    Punt
    72.7%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:14OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:40ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    72.9%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:26ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.7%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:50OKST 4th & 4 at ISU 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    20.8%−1.0
    28% to make
    Punt
    21.1%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:33ISU 4th & 11 at ISU 27, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−2.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:31OKST 4th & 7 at ISU 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.4%
    87% to make
    Punt
    12.3%−7.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:06OKST 4th & 2 at OKST 36, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:28ISU 4th & 5 at ISU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.9%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:36OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.5%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:06OKST 4th & 15 at OKST 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.9%−4.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:54ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 26, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:50OKST 4th & 11 at ISU 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−2.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    10.5%−8.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:09ISU 4th & 5 at OKST 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 1ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 8:11ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:21OKST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:1814% → 15%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
14.2%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU36 (#88 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+3
14.5%
(14:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU39 (#47 K.Ebel; #9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
14.7%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete deep left to #7 S.Rigby thrown to ISU38Similar
Q1 13:31
4TH & 4
OWN 39
0
14.7%
(13:36) #90 W.Pahl punt 24 yards to the ISU37, out of bounds at ISU37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:4185% → 83%
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
14.8%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ISU45 (#27 R.Gay II)Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
14.9%
(12:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU48 (#71 A.Kelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
15.1%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ISU44 (#3 C.Smith)Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 14
OWN 44
+15
15.5%
(12:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush right for 15 yards gain to the OSU41 (#88 L.Dean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
15.6%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 5 yards gain to the OSU36 (#13 E.Fletcher), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 5
OPP 36
0
15.9%
(10:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #87 C.Alexander thrown to OSU28 QB hurried by #33 K.DuhonSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-7
16.0%
(10:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 7 yards to the OSU43 (#26 J.Oliphant Jr.)Similar
Q1 9:43
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
16.7%
(09:48) #80 T.Perkins punt 35 yards to the OSU08 fair catch by #17 G.Freeman at OSU08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 1:4217% → 17%
Q1 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+15
16.7%
(09:42) Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #2 T.Davis caught at OSU19, for 15 yards to the OSU23 (#43 C.Matson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU Holding declinedSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
16.9%
(09:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #17 G.Freeman thrown to OSU24 QB hurried by #9 C.BrezinaSimilar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
16.9%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU25 (#47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 8
OWN 25
-1
16.9%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores sacked for loss of 1 yard to the OSU24 (#26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q1 7:53
4TH & 9
OWN 24
+10
17.2%
(08:02) #90 W.Pahl punt 51 yards to the ISU25 #21 A.Flora return 10 yards to the ISU35 (#26 J.Oliphant Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 38 yds · 6:1483% → 80%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
17.4%
(07:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU35 (#87 D.Brown)Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
17.7%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #82 T.Moore caught at ISU37, for 9 yards to the ISU44 (#3 C.Smith), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 6:40
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
17.7%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU48 (#27 R.Gay II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
18.0%
(06:05) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at ISU50, for 9 yards to the OSU43 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q1 5:09
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+5
18.2%
(05:19) No Huddle #3 R.Becht rush right for 5 yards gain to the OSU38, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
18.6%
(04:35) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU32 (#30 T.White; #5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
18.6%
(03:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to OSU00Similar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+4
18.9%
(03:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU28 (#25 I.Esonwune), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
19.0%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush left for 1 yard loss to the OSU29 (#23 K.Harris)Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+2
19.2%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU27 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
19.8%
(01:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short middle to #0 C.Sowell thrown to OSU17 QB hurried by #4 W.GregorySimilar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
19.8%
(01:39) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen), clock 01:35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:5520% → 21%
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
20.1%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU24, for 8 yards to the OSU34 (#43 C.Matson)Similar
Q1 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-2
21.0%
(00:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OSU32 fumbled by #24 T.Howland at OSU38 forced by #29 D.Surges recovered by OSU #74 G.Seagren at OSU32, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
20.5%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #18 S.Jackson V thrown to OSU40 broken up by #18 D.CoffeySimilar
Q1 0:14
4TH & 4
OWN 32
-7
20.5%
(00:23) #90 W.Pahl punt 54 yards to the ISU14 muffed by #21 A.Flora at ISU14 recovered by ISU #21 A.Flora at ISU07, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 9 yds · 3:4879% → 77%
Q1 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
21.1%
(00:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU11 (#23 K.Harris)Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+5
20.7%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU16 (#14 L.Cleveland)Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
21.2%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 0 yards to the ISU16 (#8 P.Robertson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 13:40
4TH & 1
OWN 16
+2
21.9%
(13:44) No Huddle #3 R.Becht rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU18 (#88 L.Dean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
21.5%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at ISU30, for 13 yards to the ISU31 (#3 C.Smith) PENALTY ISU Holding (#87 C.Alexander) 9 yards from ISU18 to ISU09. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 19
OWN 9
+4
22.1%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU13 (#98 L.Webb)Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 15
OWN 13
0
22.1%
(12:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #18 B.Brahmer thrown to ISU25 QB hurried by #94 A.NnodimSimilar
Q2 12:03
3RD & 15
OWN 13
+3
22.5%
(12:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU16 (#25 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q2 11:26
4TH & 12
OWN 16
-2
23.3%
(11:34) #80 T.Perkins punt 46 yards to the OSU38 #17 G.Freeman return for loss of 2 yards to the OSU36 (#21 A.Flora)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:5423% → 24%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
23.4%
(11:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU36, for 2 yards to the OSU38 (#43 C.Matson; #18 D.Coffey)Similar
Q2 10:53
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+5
23.8%
(11:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #14 C.Abshire caught at OSU40, for 5 yards to the OSU43 (#43 C.Matson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+3
24.4%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU45, for 3 yards to the OSU46 fumbled by #17 G.Freeman at OSU44 forced by #9 C.Brezina recovered by ISU #31 M.Neal at OSU46, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 46 yds · 2:0278% → 84%
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
21.7%
(10:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU42 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+28
21.8%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush left for 28 yards gain to the OSU14 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
21.6%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 2 yards loss to the OSU16 (#27 R.Gay II; #13 E.Fletcher)Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+16
16.5%
(08:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at OSU00, for 16 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:11, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Holding declined #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
16 plays · 80 yds · 6:1818% → 30%
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
17.5%
(08:04) Shotgun #6 Z.Flores rush middle for 2 yards loss to the OSU18 fumbled by #6 Z.Flores at OSU15 recovered by OSU #6 Z.Flores at OSU15 (#47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+5
17.4%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #24 T.Howland caught at OSU16, for 5 yards to the OSU23 (#7 T.Bell)Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
17.2%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU26, for 9 yards to the OSU32 (#24 Q.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
18.0%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OSU39 (#58 T.McDonough)Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+12
18.7%
(05:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #2 T.Davis caught at ISU49, for 12 yards to the ISU49 (#43 C.Matson), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
19.2%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #7 S.Rigby caught at ISU43, for 6 yards to the ISU43, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 5:14
2ND & 4
OPP 43
-3
19.4%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 3 yards loss to the ISU46 (#47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 4:39
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+3
19.1%
(04:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU43 (#47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+20
18.8%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete deep middle to #7 S.Rigby caught at ISU23, for 20 yards to the ISU23 (#24 Q.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-2
20.7%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush left for 2 yards loss to the ISU25 (#31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 12
OPP 25
+5
20.5%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU20 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q2 2:03
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+13
19.9%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #7 S.Rigby caught at ISU09, for 13 yards to the ISU07, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
20.3%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU08 (#47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 1:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
29.8%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 8 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:21 #19 L.Ward kick attempt good (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10END OF HALF
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:2975% → 75%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
25.0%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 2 yards gain to the ISU32 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+4
24.7%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU36 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+20
24.2%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at OSU46, for 20 yards to the OSU44 (#23 K.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
22.3%
(00:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #18 B.Brahmer caught at OSU40, for 6 yards to the OSU38 (#6 B.Rawls), out of bounds PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (#0 C.Sowell) 15 yards from OSU44 to ISU41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 25
OWN 41
0
24.2%
(00:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #11 D.Overby thrown to ISU45Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 25
OWN 41
+7
24.6%
(00:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 7 yards gain to the ISU48 (#6 B.Rawls)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1874% → 71%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
25.7%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU34 (#25 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 4
OWN 34
0
25.2%
(14:27) No Huddle #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #82 T.Moore thrown to ISU37 broken up by #23 K.HarrisSimilar
Q3 14:16
3RD & 4
OWN 34
-7
26.2%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 7 yards to the ISU27 (#30 T.White)Similar
Q3 13:33
4TH & 11
OWN 27
0
28.7%
(13:40) #80 T.Perkins punt 45 yards to the OSU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 8:4919% → 25%
Q3 14:20
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+6
18.7%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #7 S.Rigby caught at ISU11, for 6 yards to the ISU11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 7:32
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
21.2%
(07:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU13 (#26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-4
21.3%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ISU17 (#31 M.Neal)Similar
Q3 5:31
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
24.7%
(05:36) #19 L.Ward field goal attempt from 28 yards GOOD (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport), clock 05:31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1922% → 21%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
21.6%
(13:30) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 7 yards gain to the OSU35 (#18 D.Coffey)Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 3
OWN 35
0
22.7%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #7 S.Rigby thrown to OSU40Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+1
21.7%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU36 (#26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 12:06
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
20.9%
(12:12) #90 W.Pahl punt 43 yards to the ISU21 fair catch by #21 A.Flora at ISU21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 10:5780% → 80%
Q3 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
19.6%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at ISU32, for 9 yards to the ISU36 (#9 L.Fields), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
19.1%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 3 yards gain (3) to the ISU39 (#9 L.Fields) PENALTY ISU Holding (#0 C.Sowell) 10 yards from ISU39 to ISU29Similar
Q3 10:06
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+7
21.5%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #6 E.Green caught at ISU36, for 7 yards to the ISU41 (#27 R.Gay II)Similar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
20.6%
(05:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU27 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 17
OWN 29
+5
20.8%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 5 yards gain to the ISU34 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q3 3:21
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
20.7%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #11 D.Overby thrown to ISU44Similar
Q3 2:28
4TH & 5
OWN 41
+1
20.2%
(02:41) #80 T.Perkins punt 47 yards to the OSU12 #17 G.Freeman return 1 yard to the OSU13, out of bounds at OSU13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:1180% → 82%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
20.4%
(11:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU27 (#14 L.Cleveland; #30 T.White)Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+19
19.7%
(11:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen pass complete short middle to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at ISU40, for 19 yards to the ISU46 (#8 P.Robertson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
18.8%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 14 yards gain to the OSU40 (#25 I.Esonwune; #14 L.Cleveland), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
18.5%
(10:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 40 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:39, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 2:3922% → 22%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
22.2%
(10:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #2 T.Davis caught at OSU38, for 6 yards to the OSU38 (#43 C.Matson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 4
OWN 38
+8
24.0%
(10:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OSU46 (#47 K.Ebel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
24.2%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU48 (#47 K.Ebel; #29 D.Surges)Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+18
24.7%
(08:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #82 Q.Stewart caught at OSU48, for 18 yards to the ISU34 (#47 K.Ebel), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Holding (#17 G.Freeman) 10 yards from ISU34 to ISU44Similar
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+15
25.5%
PENALTY OSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#7 S.Rigby) 15 yards from ISU44 to OSU41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
22.8%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #18 S.Jackson V thrown to ISU40 PENALTY OSU Illegal Formation declinedSimilar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+8
21.9%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 8 yards gain to the OSU49 (#56 A.Carnell)Similar
Q3 7:36
4TH & 7
OWN 49
+1
22.4%
(07:46) #90 W.Pahl punt 38 yards to the ISU13 muffed by #23 C.Robbins at ISU13 recovered by OSU #57 A.Davenport at ISU14, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17INT
7 plays · 20 yds · 9:4922% → 22%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
21.7%
(02:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #2 T.Davis caught at OSU22, for 14 yards to the OSU27 (#43 C.Matson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
22.1%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #24 T.Howland caught at OSU26, for 6 yards to the OSU33 (#26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 10:06
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+10
23.1%
(01:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #2 T.Davis caught at OSU34, for 10 yards to the OSU43 (#17 C.Welsch), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
26.7%
(00:49) No Huddle #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #18 S.Jackson V caught at OSU40, for 5 yards to the OSU48 (#29 D.Surges) PENALTY OSU Holding (#2 T.Davis) 10 yards from OSU43 to OSU33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 0:22
1ST & 20
OWN 33
0
22.4%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #82 Q.Stewart thrown to OSU37 broken up by #47 K.EbelSimilar
Q3 0:17
2ND & 20
OWN 33
0
22.4%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass intercepted by #29 D.Surges at ISU50, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 8:2818% → 19%
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
18.3%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #82 T.Moore thrown to OSU37 broken up by #25 I.EsonwuneSimilar
Q4 10:52
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
22.7%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #85 G.Brousseau thrown to OSU40 QB hurried by #47 K.EbelSimilar
Q4 10:06
4TH & 15
OWN 22
0
18.8%
(10:20) #90 W.Pahl punt 69 yards to the ISU09Similar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
20.8%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #85 G.Brousseau caught at OSU25, for 0 yards to the OSU27 (#47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 10
OWN 27
-5
18.8%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores sacked for loss of 5 yards to the OSU22 (#26 C.Bacon)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:0782% → 81%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+10
18.4%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ISU19 (#3 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
17.3%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU25 (#23 K.Harris)Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+1
16.8%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU26 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 3
OWN 26
0
17.3%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short middle thrown to ISU22 QB hurried by #8 P.RobertsonSimilar
Q4 7:54
4TH & 3
OWN 26
0
18.9%
(08:01) #80 T.Perkins punt 31 yards to the OSU43 fair catch by #17 G.Freeman at OSU43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20FG
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:5925% → 20%
Q4 7:49
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
24.6%
(07:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #29 C.Lai thrown to OSU40 QB hurried by #26 C.BaconSimilar
Q4 7:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
23.5%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores rush right for 3 yards gain to the OSU46 (#55 J.Gilbert)Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+2
21.8%
(07:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU48, for 2 yards to the OSU48 (#7 T.Bell)Similar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 5
OWN 48
+10
21.1%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete deep middle to #2 T.Davis thrown to ISU30 broken up by #7 T.Bell PENALTY ISU Holding (#7 T.Bell) 10 yards from OSU48 to ISU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
24.6%
(05:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #7 S.Rigby caught at ISU40, for 7 yards to the ISU35 (#17 C.Welsch)Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+12
26.9%
(05:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #17 G.Freeman caught at ISU38, for 12 yards to the ISU23 (#26 C.Bacon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
27.9%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Davis thrown to ISU22Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-14
27.0%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores sacked for loss of 14 yards to the ISU37 (#26 C.Bacon), fumble by #6 Z.Flores recovered by OSU #82 Q.Stewart at ISU37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 24
OPP 37
+13
21.1%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #14 C.Abshire caught at ISU24, for 13 yards to the ISU24 (#18 D.Coffey)Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+41
19.6%
(03:51) #19 L.Ward field goal attempt from 41 yards GOOD (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport), clock 03:50Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 21PUNT
15 plays · 24 yds · 3:2388% → 95%
Q4 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.9%
(03:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU30 (#94 A.Nnodim)Similar
Q4 2:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
10.2%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU34 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
10.4%
(02:13) No Huddle #3 R.Becht rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU36 (#40 T.McCoy), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
9.0%
(01:59) No Huddle #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU38 (#17 S.Havili Kaufusi)Similar
Q4 1:50
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
5.0%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ISU46 (#71 A.Kelley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
5.0%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU48 (#88 L.Dean)Similar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+10
4.6%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 48 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:09 PENALTY ISU Holding (#87 C.Alexander) 10 yards from OSU48 to ISU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 12
OWN 44
+1
5.1%
(01:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU45 (#14 L.Cleveland)Similar
Q4 0:56
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+6
5.0%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush right for 6 yards gain to the OSU49 (#40 T.McCoy)Similar
Q4 0:09
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+3
5.5%
(00:11) #80 T.Perkins punt 33 yards to the OSU16 #17 G.Freeman return 3 yards to the OSU19 (#22 J.Klosterman), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22Uncategorized
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:029% → 9%
Q4 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
8.6%
(00:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #17 G.Freeman thrown to OSU30Similar
Q4 0:03
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+10
8.5%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU29, for 10 yards to the OSU29 (#5 B.Ngoyi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:50
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 8 yards gain to the ISU46 (#71 A.Kelley), 1ST DOWN
-16.3
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:17
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 48 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:09 PENALTY ISU Holding (#87 C.Alexander) 10 yards from OSU48 to ISU42. NO PLAY
-14.7
TD · Q2 1:21
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 8 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:21 #19 L.Ward kick attempt good (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport)
+9.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com