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Kansas 14 at Iowa State 38

ISU
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · Jack Trice Stadium
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Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 6:43: (06:46) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 55 yards GOOD (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen), clock 06:43 — ISU win probability +8.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:06: (13:06) Shotgun #4 L.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:06 #99 L.Marjan kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar) — KU win probability +10.5 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:52: (08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep right to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at KAN00, for 20 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:52, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen) — ISU win probability +12.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:35: Boden Groen 21 Yd pass from Cole Ballard (Laith Marjan Kick) — KU win probability +8.8 pts (now 23%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:18: (02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at KAN00, for 12 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:18, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen) — ISU win probability +11.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 11:33ISU 4th & 1 at KU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    60.4%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    60.4%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:20KU 4th & 4 at KU 45, down 7
    Close callPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 10:32KU 4th & 9 at ISU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.2%
    70% to make
    Punt
    22.0%−5.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:43ISU 4th & 4 at KU 37, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsKicked a field goal · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.5%−1.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    74.2%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:30KU 4th & 6 at KU 36, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:23ISU 4th & 12 at KU 44, up 17
    Close callPunted · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    83.6%
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:52ISU 4th & 1 at KU 20, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    76.5%−1.8
    75% to make
    Punt
    70.2%−8.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:18ISU 4th & 2 at KU 12, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−1.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    74.0%−8.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:51KU 4th & 3 at ISU 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−2.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−1.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:05ISU 4th & 5 at KU 29, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    95.8%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:07ISU 4th & 6 at KU 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:23ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:56ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:06KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:52ISU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:35KU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:18ISU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:07ISU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2964% → 66%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
63.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 10 yards gain to the ISU35 (#2 L.Rawls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
63.5%
(14:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #26 C.Hansen caught at ISU29, for 4 yards to the ISU39 (#0 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 14:04
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+14
63.5%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KAN47 (#2 L.Rawls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
63.6%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 4 yards gain to the KAN43 (#5 D.MIller)Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+5
63.7%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #18 B.Brahmer caught at KAN38, for 5 yards to the KAN38 (#7 D.Graham II)Similar
Q1 12:09
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
63.7%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 0 yards to the KAN38 (#94 B.Herold; #0 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+6
63.5%
(11:40) No Huddle #26 C.Hansen rush left for 6 yards gain to the KAN32 (#0 A.Alexander), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
63.9%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KAN28 (#4 T.Lathan; #33 L.Harris III)Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
63.9%
(10:22) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush left for 0 yards to the KAN28 (#1 B.Kamara)Similar
Q1 9:35
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+17
63.8%
(09:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #18 B.Brahmer caught at KAN13, for 17 yards to the KAN11, out of bounds at KAN11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
64.0%
(09:05) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KAN09 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q1 8:23
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+9
66.2%
(08:28) No Huddle #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at KAN10, for 9 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:23, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 2:4935% → 34%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
65.4%
(08:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KAN29 (#47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q1 7:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
65.3%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #7 C.Pickett caught at KAN30, for 2 yards to the KAN31 (#29 D.Surges)Similar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+8
65.7%
(06:59) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #10 L.Wentz caught at KAN36, for 8 yards to the KAN39 (#24 Q.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
65.3%
(06:26) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #10 L.Wentz thrown to ISU47 broken up by #47 K.EbelSimilar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
65.5%
(06:21) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 6 yards gain to the KAN45 (#24 Q.Taylor)Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
65.3%
(05:40) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #88 B.Groen thrown to ISU45 broken up by #24 Q.TaylorSimilar
Q1 5:20
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
66.0%
(05:35) #35 F.Lappin punt 27 yards to the ISU28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 5:1766% → 75%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
66.4%
(05:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU30 (#91 A.Bray)Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+9
66.5%
(04:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #26 C.Hansen caught at ISU34, for 9 yards to the ISU39 (#4 T.Lathan; #8 J.Kamara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
67.2%
(04:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU41 (#56 M.Calvin)Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+4
67.6%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU45 (#2 L.Rawls)Similar
Q1 3:12
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+8
67.5%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #26 C.Hansen caught at ISU45, for 8 yards to the KAN47 (#4 T.Lathan), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
68.2%
PENALTY KAN Offside (#9 D.Brinkley) 5 yards from KAN47 to KAN42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:36
1ST & 5
OPP 42
+10
68.0%
(02:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass intercepted by #1 B.Kamara at KAN26 QB hurried by #4 T.Lathan #1 B.Kamara return 4 yards to the KAN30 (#87 C.Alexander) PENALTY KAN Holding (#2 L.Rawls) 10 yards from KAN42 to KAN32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
68.2%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 0 yards to the KAN32 (#56 M.Calvin; #4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q1 1:28
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+10
68.5%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at KAN22, for 10 yards to the KAN22 (#0 A.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
68.7%
(00:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KAN21 (#0 A.Alexander)Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+17
68.9%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at KAN06, for 17 yards to the KAN04 (#2 L.Rawls), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
74.7%
(15:00) No Huddle #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:56 #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4MISSED FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:1428% → 26%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
72.3%
(14:56) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #1 E.Henderson Jr. caught at KAN22, for 15 yards to the KAN40 (#18 D.Coffey), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
72.0%
(14:18) Shotgun #4 L.Williams rush left for 12 yards gain to the ISU48 (#29 D.Surges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
71.9%
(13:43) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 3 yards gain to the ISU45 (#29 D.Surges; #9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q2 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+11
71.9%
(13:05) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #7 C.Pickett caught at ISU49, for 11 yards to the ISU34 (#26 C.Bacon), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
72.0%
(12:33) Shotgun #8 I.Marshall rush left for 6 yards gain to the ISU28 (#18 D.Coffey; #88 I.Ezeogu)Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+4
71.9%
(11:53) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU24 (#31 M.Neal; #47 K.Ebel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
72.3%
(11:08) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #88 B.Groen caught at ISU25, for 6 yards to the ISU18 (#7 T.Bell), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 4
OPP 18
0
72.4%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #10 L.Wentz thrown to ISU08 broken up by #7 T.BellSimilar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+5
72.9%
PENALTY KAN False Start (#70 K.Baynes) 5 yards from ISU18 to ISU23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:36
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
73.3%
(10:42) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #7 C.Pickett thrown to ISU00 broken up by #18 D.CoffeySimilar
Q2 10:32
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+41
74.2%
(10:35) #99 L.Marjan field goal attempt from 41 yards NO GOOD (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar), clock 10:32, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 3:4278% → 88%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
77.9%
(10:31) #26 C.Hansen rush left for 1 yard gain to the ISU24 (#56 M.Calvin)Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+18
78.1%
(09:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #6 E.Green caught at ISU37, for 18 yards to the ISU42 (#1 B.Kamara; #27 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
79.4%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 15 yards gain to the KAN43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
79.8%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at KAN38, for 5 yards to the KAN38 (#22 S.Gibbs)Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-2
79.2%
(08:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KAN40 (#6 J.Hurley; #94 B.Herold)Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+5
79.1%
PENALTY KAN Offside (#52 D.Withers) 5 yards from KAN40 to KAN35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:14
3RD & 2
OPP 35
-2
79.3%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 B.Brahmer rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KAN37 (#9 D.Brinkley)Similar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+55
87.6%
(06:46) #97 K.Konrardy field goal attempt from 55 yards GOOD (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen), clock 06:43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 2:5619% → 17%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
81.0%
(06:36) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 6 yards gain to the KAN27 (#36 C.Van Dinter; #31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
80.6%
(05:58) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the KAN30 (#53 Z.Hawk; #31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
80.9%
(05:09) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KAN32 (#31 M.Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
81.4%
(04:30) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #7 C.Pickett thrown to KAN47 QB hurried by #9 C.BrezinaSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
82.0%
(04:25) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #88 B.Groen caught at KAN35, for 4 yards to the KAN36 (#36 C.Van Dinter)Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
82.0%
(03:42) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Canty thrown to ISU45Similar
Q2 3:30
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+42
82.7%
(03:37) #35 F.Lappin punt 42 yards to the ISU22 #21 A.Flora return for loss of 1 yard to the ISU21 (#6 J.Hurley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 35 yds · 2:5891% → 89%
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
91.0%
(03:29) No Huddle #26 C.Hansen rush right for 5 yards gain to the ISU26 (#94 B.Herold)Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+4
91.2%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU30 (#4 T.Lathan; #94 B.Herold)Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
90.7%
(02:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU32 (#94 B.Herold; #1 B.Kamara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
90.3%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU33 (#1 B.Kamara; #94 B.Herold)Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
90.4%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left thrown to ISU33 broken up by #33 L.Harris IIISimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+25
90.3%
(01:16) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 25 yards gain to the KAN42 (#1 B.Kamara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
91.0%
(01:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KAN44 (#52 D.Withers)Similar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 12
OPP 44
0
91.2%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #11 D.Overby thrown to KAN12Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
90.9%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #87 C.Alexander thrown to KAN41 broken up by #4 T.Lathan QB hurried by #92 T.Dunn Jr.Similar
Q2 0:23
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
89.1%
(00:28) #80 T.Perkins punt 44 yards to the KAN00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4616% → 26%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
84.2%
(14:59) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 9 yards gain to the KAN44 (#47 K.Ebel; #26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+22
83.7%
(14:18) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 22 yards gain to the ISU34 (#26 C.Bacon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+30
84.0%
(13:34) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete deep right to #10 L.Wentz caught at ISU05, for 30 yards to the ISU04 (#36 C.Van Dinter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
73.6%
(13:06) Shotgun #4 L.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:06 #99 L.Marjan kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:0479% → 92%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
79.0%
(13:04) No Huddle #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at ISU37, for 12 yards to the ISU37, out of bounds at ISU37, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
79.7%
PENALTY ISU False Start (#63 J.Bonifas) 5 yards from ISU37 to ISU32. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 12:24
1ST & 15
OWN 32
+10
79.1%
(12:24) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 3 yards gain to the ISU35 (#1 B.Kamara) PENALTY ISU Holding (#51 B.Black) 10 yards from ISU32 to ISU22. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:57
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+11
78.8%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #26 C.Hansen caught at ISU16, for 11 yards to the ISU33 (#92 T.Dunn Jr.; #4 T.Lathan). #92 T.Dunn Jr., #26 C.Hansen injured on the playSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+2
78.1%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush right for 2 yards gain to the ISU35 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+36
77.7%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep right to #0 C.Sowell caught at KAN31, for 36 yards to the KAN29 (#22 S.Gibbs), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
80.8%
(10:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lee rush left for 2 yards gain to the KAN27 (#9 D.Brinkley)Similar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+5
79.9%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KAN22 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+2
79.3%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KAN20 (#2 L.Rawls; #1 B.Kamara)Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+20
91.7%
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep right to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at KAN00, for 20 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:52, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 0:5613% → 23%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+34
87.4%
(08:41) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete deep right to #88 B.Groen caught at ISU39, for 34 yards to the ISU28 (#29 D.Surges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
85.6%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #88 B.Groen thrown to ISU23 broken up by #36 C.Van DinterSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+7
86.2%
(08:15) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush right for 7 yards gain to the ISU21 (#31 M.Neal; #36 C.Van Dinter). #6 J.Daniels injured on the playSimilar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 3
OPP 21
+21
77.4%
Boden Groen 21 Yd pass from Cole Ballard (Laith Marjan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 59 yds · 5:0183% → 98%
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
83.3%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU46 (#56 M.Calvin)Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+1
83.5%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush left for 1 yard gain to the ISU47 (#97 K.Caldwell)Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+5
82.8%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KAN48 (#52 D.Withers; #26 J.Todd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
84.4%
(05:48) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 6 yards gain to the KAN42 (#27 T.Davis), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 4
OPP 42
-2
84.0%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KAN44 (#99 G.Keys; #4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q3 4:22
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+24
83.8%
(04:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at KAN38, for 24 yards to the KAN20 (#6 J.Hurley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
84.8%
(03:51) Shotgun #2 D.Lee rush right for 5 yards loss to the KAN25 (#9 D.Brinkley)Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 15
OPP 25
0
86.6%
(03:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #6 E.Green thrown to KAN08 broken up by #94 B.HeroldSimilar
Q3 2:57
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+13
85.9%
(03:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KAN12 (#26 J.Todd)Similar
Q3 2:18
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+12
97.5%
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at KAN00, for 12 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:18, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:177% → 6%
Q3 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
93.1%
(02:16) Shotgun #4 L.Williams rush middle for 24 yards gain to the KAN49 (#29 D.Surges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
92.6%
(01:36) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 1 yard gain to the KAN50 (#36 C.Van Dinter), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 9
50
0
93.2%
(00:54) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the KAN50 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q3 0:01
3RD & 9
50
+6
93.6%
(00:09) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #7 C.Pickett caught at ISU46, for 6 yards to the ISU44 (#7 T.Bell)Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 3
OPP 44
+2
93.9%
(14:59) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU42 (#47 K.Ebel; #26 C.Bacon), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 29 yds · 4:3799% → 99%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
98.5%
(14:51) No Huddle #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ISU40 (#91 A.Bray)Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+14
98.7%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 14 yards gain to the KAN46 (#2 L.Rawls), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
98.9%
(13:29) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 3 yards gain to the KAN43 (#52 D.Withers; #1 B.Kamara)Similar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
98.9%
(12:43) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush left for 5 yards gain to the KAN38 (#1 B.Kamara)Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
99.0%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KAN34 (#15 J.Finkley), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
99.1%
(11:14) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KAN28 (#2 L.Rawls). #99 G.Keys injured on the playSimilar
Q4 10:58
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
98.9%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #10 C.Brown thrown to KAN16 broken up by #7 D.Graham IISimilar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 4
OPP 28
-1
98.9%
(10:57) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 1 yard loss to the KAN29 (#4 T.Lathan; #5 D.MIller)Similar
Q4 10:05
4TH & 5
OPP 29
-2
98.6%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 2 yards to the KAN31 (#15 J.Finkley), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14INT
11 plays · 59 yds · 2:543% → 3%
Q4 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
97.0%
(10:04) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 2 yards gain to the KAN33, out of bounds at KAN33Similar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+7
97.1%
(09:29) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #3 K.Kubecka caught at KAN38, for 7 yards to the KAN40 (#36 C.Van Dinter)Similar
Q4 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
97.3%
(09:00) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #7 C.Pickett caught at KAN43, for 3 yards to the KAN43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
97.2%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. thrown to ISU47Similar
Q4 8:38
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+15
97.2%
(08:38) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #87 L.Cure thrown to ISU38 PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (#31 M.Neal) 15 yards from KAN43 to ISU42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
97.1%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #10 L.Wentz caught at ISU35, for 15 yards to the ISU27 (#47 K.Ebel; #7 T.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.6%
(08:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #10 L.Wentz thrown to ISU00Similar
Q4 7:54
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+13
96.9%
(08:06) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #3 K.Kubecka caught at ISU15, for 13 yards to the ISU14, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
96.7%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 4 yards gain to the ISU10 (#26 C.Bacon), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-16
96.8%
(07:11) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass intercepted by #31 M.Neal at ISU00 #31 M.Neal return 16 yards to the ISU16 (#61 B.Foster; #75 C.Clements)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 5:4499% → 100%
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
99.4%
(07:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU20 (#4 T.Lathan; #97 K.Caldwell)Similar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
99.4%
(06:16) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 5 yards gain to the ISU25 (#11 D.Dye; #52 D.Withers)Similar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+14
99.5%
(05:35) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 14 yards gain to the ISU39 (#11 D.Dye), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
99.6%
(04:50) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU40 (#33 L.Harris III)Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+18
99.6%
(04:07) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #87 C.Alexander caught at ISU42, for 18 yards to the KAN42 (#8 J.Kamara), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.7%
(03:22) Shotgun #2 D.Lee rush middle for 0 yards to the KAN42 (#94 B.Herold; #4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.7%
(02:38) #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #82 T.Moore caught at KAN36, for 6 yards to the KAN36, out of bounds at KAN36Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 4
OPP 36
-2
99.2%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 D.Lee rush left for 2 yards loss to the KAN38 (#22 S.Gibbs)Similar
Q4 1:07
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+38
99.8%
(01:13) Shotgun #21 A.Flora rush left for 38 yards gain to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:07, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen) PENALTY #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen) PENALTY KAN Illegal Substitution declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16END OF GAME
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:520% → 0%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
99.8%
(01:02) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass complete short left to #88 B.Groen caught at KAN45, for 11 yards to the ISU49 (#22 J.Klosterman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass incomplete short right to #10 L.Wentz thrown to ISU45Similar
Q4 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+5
99.8%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass complete short right to #11 B.Canty caught at ISU48, for 5 yards to the ISU44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+9
99.8%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Ballard rush middle for 9 yards gain to the ISU35 (#41 R.Barnes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
(00:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass incomplete deep left to #11 B.Canty thrown to ISU01 broken up by #48 H.SowellSimilar
Q4 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
99.7%
(00:05) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass incomplete deep right to #10 L.Wentz thrown to ISU02 broken up by #5 B.NgoyiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:52
(08:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete deep right to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at KAN00, for 20 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:52, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)
+12.4
TD · Q3 2:18
(02:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at KAN00, for 12 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:18, 1ST DOWN #97 K.Konrardy kick attempt good (H: #80 T.Perkins, LS: #46 D.Clausen)
+11.7
TD · Q3 13:06
(13:06) Shotgun #4 L.Williams rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:06 #99 L.Marjan kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar)
-10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com