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KSU

Kansas State 14 at Oklahoma State 6

OKST
2025 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2025 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:26 · (12:31) #8 S.McClannan punt 48 yards to the OSU31 fair catch by #17 G.Freeman at OSU31
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior−41.3Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:07: (07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #1 J.Brown caught at OSU22, for 34 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:07, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 84%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:31: (01:35) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU37 (#6 B.Rawls; #5 B.McCoy Jr.) — KSU win probability +8.4 pts (now 68%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 13:51: (13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #80 W.Anciaux thrown to OSU20 broken up by #8 P.Robertson — KSU win probability +5.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:31: (12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:31, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Illegal Substitution declined #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +16.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:22: (08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 3 yards loss to the KSU19 (#13 E.Fletcher) — KSU win probability +7.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 6KSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:15OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:26KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:37OKST 4th & 10 at KSU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:26KSU 4th & 13 at KSU 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.1%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:42OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 25, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:04KSU 4th & 9 at KSU 31, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:55OKST 4th & 9 at KSU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:39KSU 4th & 9 at OKST 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    73.3%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:51OKST 4th & 9 at KSU 37, down 1
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.4%−0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    24.9%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:15KSU 4th & 10 at OKST 20, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.5%−1.8
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    75% to make
    Punt
    70.9%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:02KSU 4th & 20 at OKST 42, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−3.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    65.7%−1.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    67.0%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:12KSU 4th & 6 at OKST 32, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−0.6
    51% to make
    Punt
    61.6%−3.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:31KSU 4th & 1 at OKST 15, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.1%−5.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    42.7%−21.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:05KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−1.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:38OKST 4th & 17 at KSU 26, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.8 ptsWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−2.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    8.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 7:07KSU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 12:31KSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.4%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:458% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
8.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #85 G.Brousseau caught at OSU25, for 5 yards to the OSU30 (#6 Q.Moss)Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
8.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU32 (#56 D.Ilalio; #23 A.Newsom)Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
8.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #20 R.Fields Jr. caught at OSU24, for 2 yards to the OSU34 (#32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q1 13:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+7
8.9%
#90 W.Pahl punt 54 yards to the KSU12 #6 S.Lockett return 7 yards to the KSU19 (#26 J.Oliphant Jr.), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4991% → 91%
Q1 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
8.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #4 J.Jackson caught at KSU19, for 2 yards to the KSU21 (#6 B.Rawls)Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
8.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Brown thrown to KSU30Similar
Q1 12:34
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
9.2%
(12:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to KSU36 broken up by #8 P.RobertsonSimilar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
9.3%
(12:31) #8 S.McClannan punt 48 yards to the OSU31 fair catch by #17 G.Freeman at OSU31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:439% → 11%
Q1 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
9.3%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OSU30 (#8 C.Obiazor)Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+1
9.5%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #18 S.Jackson V caught at OSU31, for 1 yard to the OSU31 (#18 W.Fair), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+14
9.7%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU35, for 14 yards to the OSU45 (#32 D.Purnell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
10.1%
(10:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores rush middle for 25 yards gain to the KSU30, out of bounds at KSU30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
10.5%
(09:57) Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #85 G.Brousseau thrown to KSU31 QB hurried by #32 D.PurnellSimilar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
10.7%
(09:52) Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at KSU28, for 3 yards to the KSU27 (#6 Q.Moss)Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-3
10.8%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores rush middle for 3 yards loss to the KSU30 (#55 M.Alcorn-Crowder)Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
11.0%
(08:41) #19 L.Ward field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport), clock 08:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:5789% → 87%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
11.3%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 10 yards gain to the KSU35 (#13 E.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
11.5%
(07:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson sacked for loss of 5 yards to the KSU30 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q1 7:11
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+2
11.9%
(07:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #86 G.Oakley caught at KSU29, for 2 yards to the KSU32 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q1 6:38
3RD & 13
OWN 32
0
12.4%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #1 J.Brown thrown to KSU38 QB hurried by #4 W.Gregory and #5 B.McCoy Jr.Similar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 13
OWN 32
+1
12.6%
(06:38) #8 S.McClannan punt 50 yards to the OSU18 #17 G.Freeman return 1 yard to the OSU19 (#17 M.Bergeron)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3912% → 12%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
12.2%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete deep middle to #14 C.Abshire thrown to OSU45Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+6
12.3%
(06:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #14 C.Abshire caught at OSU25, for 6 yards to the OSU25 (#0 A.Fortenberry). The previous play is under automatic review - "Targeting". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q1 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 25
0
12.3%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #3 S.Vailahi thrown to OSU30 broken up by #52 R.DavisSimilar
Q1 5:42
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+2
12.3%
(05:52) #90 W.Pahl punt 47 yards to the KSU28 #6 S.Lockett return 2 yards to the KSU30 (#26 J.Oliphant Jr.; #50 G.Wilson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:2787% → 86%
Q1 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
12.8%
(05:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 B.Barnett rush right for 2 yards loss to the KSU28 (#6 B.Rawls; #4 W.Gregory)Similar
Q1 4:59
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+3
13.2%
(05:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 B.Barnett rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU31 (#6 B.Rawls)Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
13.9%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #86 G.Oakley thrown to KSU41Similar
Q1 4:04
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
14.2%
(04:14) #8 S.McClannan punt 53 yards to the OSU16 PENALTY OSU Offside declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:0414% → 18%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
13.7%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU19 (#3 G.Maldonado; #32 D.Purnell) PENALTY KSU Face Mask (#29 K.Thomas) 15 yards from OSU19 to OSU34, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
14.1%
(03:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Freeman rush left for 12 yards gain to the OSU46 (#6 Q.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
15.0%
(03:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU39, for 2 yards loss to the OSU44 (#8 C.Obiazor; #6 Q.Moss)Similar
Q1 2:26
2ND & 12
OWN 44
0
14.9%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short middle to #16 C.Fitzpatrick thrown to KSU45Similar
Q1 2:07
3RD & 12
OWN 44
+25
14.8%
(02:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #7 S.Rigby caught at KSU44, for 25 yards to the KSU31 (#25 Z.Rich; #4 D.Cobbs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
16.6%
(01:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short to #6 Z.Flores caught at KSU38, for 7 yards loss to the KSU38 (#91 J.Allen)Similar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+5
16.3%
(00:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #7 S.Rigby caught at KSU33, for 5 yards to the KSU33 (#0 A.Fortenberry)Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+3
15.9%
(00:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU30 (#32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q2 14:55
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
18.0%
(14:55) #19 L.Ward field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport), clock 14:55Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:0682% → 78%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
18.3%
(14:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to KSU26Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
18.5%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU27 (#27 R.Gay II), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 14:02
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+18
18.9%
(14:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #1 J.Brown caught at KSU28, for 18 yards to the KSU45 (#23 K.Harris; #8 P.Robertson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
18.5%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 11 yards gain to the OSU44 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
18.7%
(13:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Martin Jr. rush right for 1 yard loss to the OSU45 (#33 K.Duhon)Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+2
19.5%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU43 (#8 P.Robertson; #5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q2 11:45
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
20.3%
(11:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 0 yards to the OSU43 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 9
OPP 43
+5
21.9%
(11:03) #8 S.McClannan punt 35 yards to the OSU08 PENALTY OSU Illegal Substitution declined OSU Running Into The Kicker (#30 T.White) 5 yards from OSU43 to OSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:57
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+5
21.2%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #12 J.Tibbs caught at OSU34, for 4 yards to the OSU34, End Of Play PENALTY KSU Illegal Formation 5 yards from OSU38 to OSU43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 10:39
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
22.3%
(10:45) #8 S.McClannan punt 31 yards to the OSU12 fair catch by #17 G.Freeman at OSU12 PENALTY OSU Holding (#13 E.Fletcher) 6 yards from OSU12 to OSU06Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9INT
4 plays · 26 yds · 1:5722% → 25%
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+12
22.4%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores rush middle for 12 yards gain to the OSU18 (#27 B.Wheeler; #4 D.Cobbs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
23.1%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU24 (#28 R.Van Wyhe; #10 L.Bartley)Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 4
OWN 24
+8
24.1%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 8 yards gain to the OSU32 (#18 W.Fair), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
25.0%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass intercepted by #25 Z.Rich at KSU50 broken up by #52 R.Davis #25 Z.Rich return 0 yards to the OSU48 (#18 S.Jackson V)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 48 yds · 1:1577% → 84%
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
23.0%
(08:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at OSU48, for 7 yards to the OSU41 (#87 D.Brown)Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
23.4%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU39 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q2 7:29
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
24.2%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to OSU02 broken up by #1 J.JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+5
25.3%
(07:24) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the OSU40 (#4 W.Gregory; #5 B.McCoy Jr.) PENALTY OSU Offside 5 yards from OSU39 to OSU34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
16.0%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #1 J.Brown caught at OSU22, for 34 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:07, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11MISSED FG
13 plays · 38 yds · 5:0719% → 22%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
18.9%
(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OSU34 (#25 Z.Rich; #35 G.Powers)Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
20.4%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #11 R.Capell caught at OSU32, for 6 yards to the OSU40 (#0 A.Fortenberry; #3 G.Maldonado), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
21.0%
(06:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #20 R.Fields Jr. caught at OSU39, for 3 yards to the OSU43 (#7 V.Payne)Similar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+7
21.7%
(05:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #2 T.Davis caught at OSU40, for 7 yards to the OSU50 (#0 A.Fortenberry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
50
+5
22.4%
(04:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU45 (#7 V.Payne)Similar
Q2 4:01
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
23.2%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU41 (#3 G.Maldonado)Similar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+3
23.4%
(03:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU38 (#32 D.Purnell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
24.0%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #20 R.Fields Jr. thrown to KSU42 QB hurried by #52 R.DavisSimilar
Q2 2:36
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
24.0%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU37 (#28 R.Van Wyhe; #91 J.Allen)Similar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 9
OPP 37
0
23.7%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Davis thrown to KSU26Similar
Q2 1:51
4TH & 9
OPP 37
+55
21.9%
(01:51) #19 L.Ward field goal attempt from 55 yards NO GOOD (H: #90 W.Pahl, LS: #57 A.Davenport), clock 01:51, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12MISSED FG
10 plays · 43 yds · 1:3080% → 78%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
19.9%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 0 yards to the KSU37, out of bounds at KSU37Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+2
20.2%
(01:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU39 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+30
20.6%
(01:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #1 J.Brown caught at OSU35, for 30 yards to the OSU31 (#23 K.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
18.2%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #86 G.Oakley caught at OSU26, for 11 yards to the OSU20 (#25 I.Esonwune; #27 R.Gay II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
18.2%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to OSU00Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
18.5%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to OSU00Similar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 20
0
19.4%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #4 J.Jackson thrown to OSU14Similar
Q2 0:15
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+38
21.7%
(00:19) #43 L.Rodriguez field goal attempt from 38 yards NO GOOD (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson), clock 00:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 36 yds · 0:1024% → 27%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
23.8%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #18 S.Jackson V caught at OSU32, for 12 yards to the OSU32 (#18 W.Fair), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:02
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+24
24.3%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush left for 24 yards gain to the KSU44 (#25 Z.Rich), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
27.0%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass intercepted by #7 V.Payne at OSU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3178% → 77%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
22.2%
(14:56) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU29 (#3 C.Smith)Similar
Q3 14:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
22.1%
(14:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short middle to #86 G.Oakley thrown to KSU35Similar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
23.1%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass intercepted by #8 P.Robertson at KSU36 QB hurried by #94 A.Nnodim #8 P.Robertson return 0 yards to the KSU36 (#86 G.Oakley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15FUMBLE
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:0327% → 28%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+23
27.4%
(14:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #2 T.Davis caught at KSU28, for 23 yards to the KSU13 (#25 Z.Rich), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:28
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-3
29.0%
(13:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 3 yards loss to the KSU16 (#3 G.Maldonado)Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 13
OPP 16
+7
29.2%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU09 (#32 D.Purnell; #7 V.Payne)Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-2
28.3%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores sacked for loss of 2 yards to the KSU11 (#47 C.Stufflebean), fumble by #6 Z.Flores recovered by KSU #25 Z.Rich at KSU11, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 47 yds · 6:4375% → 69%
Q3 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
24.6%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU15 (#25 I.Esonwune; #81 M.Diatta)Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+1
25.0%
(11:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU16 (#8 P.Robertson; #87 D.Brown)Similar
Q3 10:35
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+7
26.4%
(10:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #0 L.Cure caught at KSU20, for 7 yards to the KSU23 (#13 E.Fletcher), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
25.7%
(10:07) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush left for 7 yards gain to the KSU30 (#1 J.Johnson), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+11
25.4%
(09:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #12 J.Tibbs caught at KSU39, for 11 yards to the KSU41 (#23 K.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
25.1%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #0 L.Cure caught at KSU38, for 3 yards loss to the KSU38 (#17 S.Havili Kaufusi)Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 13
OWN 38
+30
27.2%
(08:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 30 yards gain to the OSU32 (#17 S.Havili Kaufusi), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
24.0%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Martin Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU32 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
24.5%
(06:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU32 (#27 R.Gay II; #71 A.Kelley)Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-5
26.4%
(06:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson sacked for loss of 5 yards to the OSU37 (#23 K.Harris)Similar
Q3 5:17
4TH & 15
OPP 37
+5
31.1%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from OSU37 to OSU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:02
4TH & 20
OPP 42
0
31.4%
(05:08) #8 S.McClannan punt 32 yards to the OSU10 fair catch by #17 G.Freeman at OSU10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 60 yds · 3:2131% → 40%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
31.0%
(05:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU10 (#32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+27
31.3%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #20 R.Fields Jr. caught at OSU07, for 27 yards to the OSU37 (#10 L.Bartley), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
33.5%
(04:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #2 T.Davis caught at OSU40, for 9 yards to the OSU46, out of bounds at OSU46Similar
Q3 3:30
2ND & 1
OWN 46
+5
36.7%
(03:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Freeman rush left for 5 yards gain to the KSU49 (#21 J.Scott), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+25
38.0%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #85 G.Brousseau caught at KSU43, for 25 yards to the KSU24 (#91 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
40.7%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #24 T.Howland caught at KSU25, for 1 yard to the KSU23 (#29 K.Thomas)Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 9
OPP 23
-7
40.1%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores sacked for loss of 7 yards to the KSU30 (#52 R.Davis), fumble by #6 Z.Flores recovered by KSU #28 R.Van Wyhe at KSU30, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 4:0068% → 87%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
31.7%
(01:35) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU37 (#6 B.Rawls; #5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:52
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+27
30.7%
(01:02) No Huddle #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #12 J.Tibbs caught at OSU42, for 27 yards to the OSU36 (#23 K.Harris), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
29.3%
(00:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #83 W.Swanson thrown to OSU35 QB hurried by #30 T.WhiteSimilar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+2
29.5%
(00:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU34 (#27 R.Gay II; #87 D.Brown)Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+2
29.4%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #86 G.Oakley caught at OSU32, for 2 yards to the OSU32 (#8 P.Robertson), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 14:12
4TH & 6
OPP 32
+8
32.4%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #86 G.Oakley caught at OSU28, for 8 yards to the OSU24 (#27 R.Gay II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
27.3%
(13:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #80 W.Anciaux thrown to OSU20 broken up by #8 P.RobertsonSimilar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+5
28.0%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU19 (#17 S.Havili Kaufusi)Similar
Q4 13:06
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+4
29.5%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU15 (#25 I.Esonwune)Similar
Q4 12:31
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+15
13.0%
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:31, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Illegal Substitution declined #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19INT
9 plays · 48 yds · 3:4814% → 20%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
14.3%
(12:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU27 (#25 Z.Rich), out of boundsSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
14.6%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the OSU30 (#32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q4 11:10
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
14.4%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #7 S.Rigby caught at OSU36, for 6 yards to the OSU36 (#91 J.Allen), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+16
15.3%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #2 T.Davis caught at KSU48, for 16 yards to the KSU48 (#0 A.Fortenberry; #35 G.Powers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
18.1%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU45 (#39 T.Bates)Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+10
18.3%
(09:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OSU49 (#56 D.Ilalio) PENALTY KSU Holding (#0 A.Fortenberry) 10 yards from KSU45 to KSU35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
20.3%
(09:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush right for 8 yards gain to the KSU27 (#28 R.Van Wyhe)Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-17
20.0%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland pass intercepted by #4 D.Cobbs at KSU05 #4 D.Cobbs return 17 yards to the KSU22 (#17 G.Freeman)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 4:1788% → 92%
Q4 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
12.4%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 3 yards loss to the KSU19 (#13 E.Fletcher)Similar
Q4 7:48
2ND & 13
OWN 19
+2
11.0%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU21 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.)Similar
Q4 7:04
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+18
9.8%
(07:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #17 A.Moise caught at KSU32, for 18 yards to the KSU39 (#1 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
7.4%
(06:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KSU44 (#23 K.Harris)Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
7.2%
(05:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at KSU44, for 3 yards to the KSU47 (#6 B.Rawls)Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
7.4%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU48 (#6 B.Rawls; #40 T.McCoy)Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 1
OWN 48
+10
7.9%
(04:24) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU50 (#27 R.Gay II) PENALTY KSU Holding (#56 A.Leingang) 10 yards from KSU48 to KSU38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 11
OWN 38
+8
8.5%
(04:11) #8 S.McClannan punt 48 yards to the OSU14 #17 G.Freeman return 8 yards to the OSU22 (#17 M.Bergeron; #22 J.Adler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21DOWNS
14 plays · 52 yds · 3:1610% → 4%
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
10.3%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short left to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU36, for 17 yards to the OSU39 (#25 Z.Rich), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
10.9%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 G.Freeman rush right for 0 yards to the OSU39 (#23 A.Newsom)Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+6
10.5%
(03:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU45 (#3 G.Maldonado)Similar
Q4 2:28
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+5
7.9%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game (#23 A.Newsom) 5 yards from OSU45 to OSU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
50
0
8.1%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Davis thrown to KSU45 QB hurried by #32 D.Purnell and #45 A.RomaineSimilar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 10
50
+5
7.6%
(02:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #17 G.Freeman caught at KSU45, for 5 yards to the KSU45 (#35 G.Powers)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+12
6.1%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 R.Fields Jr. rush left for 12 yards gain to the KSU33 (#3 G.Maldonado), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+14
7.7%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short middle to #20 R.Fields Jr. caught at KSU35, for 14 yards to the KSU19 (#3 G.Maldonado), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
8.0%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSU08 (#3 G.Maldonado) PENALTY OSU Holding (#75 J.Sanders) 10 yards from KSU19 to KSU29. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 20
OPP 29
+3
6.5%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass complete short right to #3 S.Vailahi caught at KSU29, for 3 yards to the KSU26 (#9 D.McIntosh)Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
5.6%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short right to #3 S.Vailahi thrown to KSU25Similar
Q4 0:38
3RD & 17
OPP 26
0
4.8%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short left thrown to KSU18 QB hurried by #99 U.SeumaloSimilar
Q4 0:38
4TH & 17
OPP 26
0
4.0%
(00:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 Z.Flores pass incomplete short left to #18 S.Jackson V thrown to KSU14 broken up by #29 K.Thomas, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 0:21
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
3.7%
(00:21) Kneel down by #2 A.Johnson at KSU25 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:31
(12:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 15 yards gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:31, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Illegal Substitution declined #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
-16.5
TD · Q2 7:07
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short middle to #1 J.Brown caught at OSU22, for 34 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:07, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
-9.3
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:31
(01:35) No Huddle #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KSU37 (#6 B.Rawls; #5 B.McCoy Jr.)
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com