2025 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2025 · Amon G. Carter Stadium
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Win probability · TCU
modelTCU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playTCU scoreISU score
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
This game in five plays
- TD · Q3 9:07: (09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at ISU00, for 14 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:02, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU Holding declined. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Dwyer thrown to ISU00 PENALTY ISU Holding (#24 Q.Taylor) 7 yards from ISU14 to ISU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY) #99 N.McCashland kick attempt good (H: #97 E.Black, LS: #96 C.Keeler) — TCU win probability +14.3 pts (now 75%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 8:12: (08:15) #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:12 rush attempt failed #5 C.Moberly rush attempt failed — ISU win probability +21.6 pts (now 34%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
- TD · Q4 6:32: Aiden Flora 79 Yd Punt Return (Carson Hansen Run for Two-Point Conversion) — ISU win probability +44.7 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q4 1:53: Timeout Iowa State, clock 01:53 — ISU win probability +26.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
- KEY PLAY · Q4 1:19: (01:22) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TCU47 (#10 J.Bax) — ISU win probability +25.3 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?
Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works
Fourth downs
TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
- Q1 14:27ISU 4th & 3 at ISU 32, tiedAgrees with the numbersPunted · 29.7% before the snapGo for it29.7%−<0.152% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call29.7%average punt
- Q1 7:41TCU 4th & 8 at TCU 12, down 6Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snapGo for it67.3%−0.332% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call67.5%average punt
- Q1 6:44ISU 4th & 19 at ISU 49, up 6Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.3% before the snapGo for it32.0%−0.711% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call32.6%average punt
- Q2 14:52ISU 4th & 2 at ISU 45, up 6Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 36.9% before the snapGo for itTheir call37.1%57% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt36.7%−0.4average punt
- Q2 13:45ISU 4th & 4 at TCU 41, up 6Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.4% before the snapGo for itTheir call38.6%48% to convertField goal37.7%−0.932% to makePunt38.0%−0.6average punt
- Q2 10:11TCU 4th & 4 at ISU 43, down 6Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call61.9%48% to convertField goal60.1%−1.828% to makePunt60.9%−1.0average punt
- Q2 9:09ISU 4th & 3 at midfield, up 6Close callPunted · 41.9% before the snapGo for it42.2%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call41.5%−0.7average punt
- Q2 3:54TCU 4th & 11 at ISU 18, down 6Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.6% before the snapGo for it54.9%−1.324% to convertField goalTheir call56.2%79% to makePunt49.9%−6.3average punt
- Q2 0:17TCU 4th & 7 at ISU 8, down 3Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.2% before the snapGo for it58.7%−1.829% to convertField goalTheir call60.6%90% to makePunt54.1%−6.4average punt
- Q3 10:10TCU 4th & 8 at ISU 41, down 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.8% before the snapGo for itTheir call56.0%34% to convertField goal54.8%−1.332% to makePunt55.6%−0.5average punt
- Q4 6:32TCU 4th & 3 at TCU 28, up 5Numbers favored go for it by 1.7 ptsPunted · 82.5% before the snapGo for it83.4%52% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call81.7%−1.7average punt
- Q4 1:47ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 40, up 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.6% before the snapGo for itTheir call88.6%70% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt79.6%−9.0average punt
- Q4 0:27ISU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 3Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.7% before the snapGo for it83.3%−0.932% to convertField goalOut of rangePuntTheir call84.2%average punt
- Q4 0:01TCU 4th & 10 at TCU 27, down 3Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snapGo for itTheir call14.7%28% to convertField goalOut of rangePunt13.8%−0.9average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3
- Q1 9:18ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick31.7%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call31.7%−<0.145% to convert
- Q3 9:07TCU Touchdown, up 3 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call69.8%97% to makeGo for two69.6%−0.245% to convert
- Q4 13:30TCU Touchdown, up 10 before the tryAgrees with the numbersKicked · madeKickTheir call87.4%97% to makeGo for two87.3%−<0.145% to convert
- Q4 8:12ISU Touchdown, down 5 before the tryClose callWent for two · failedKick22.3%97% to makeGo for twoTheir call21.6%−0.845% to convert
- Q4 6:32ISU Touchdown, up 1 before the tryAgrees with the numbersWent for two · convertedKick52.3%−2.197% to makeGo for twoTheir call54.5%45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chartISUDrive 1PUNT5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2231% → 31%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
69.0%
(14:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 7 yards gain to the ISU32 (#11 D.Deal)Similar
Q1 14:36
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
68.9%
(14:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.Sowell thrown to TCU25Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
68.9%
(14:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #9 B.Eskildsen thrown to ISU37Similar
Q1 14:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
68.9%
(14:32) #80 T.Perkins punt 43 yards to the TCU25 fair catch by #7 J.Dwyer at TCU25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2INT4 plays · 15 yds · 1:2869% → 69%
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.9%
(14:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #1 E.McAlister caught at TCU21, for 3 yards to the TCU28 (#24 Q.Taylor; #31 M.Neal)Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
68.8%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 M.Everhart rush right for 3 yards gain to the TCU31 (#26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
68.7%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at TCU34, for 9 yards to the TCU40 fumbled by #1 E.McAlister at TCU39 forced by #47 K.Ebel recovered by TCU #1 E.McAlister at TCU40, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
68.8%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass intercepted by #7 T.Bell at ISU35 QB hurried by #88 I.Ezeogu, End Of Play. The previous play is under automatic review - "Interception". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2931% → 33%
Q1 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
68.6%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 19 yards gain to the TCU46 (#2 J.Johnson) PENALTY ISU Illegal Formation 5 yards from ISU35 to ISU30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 15
OWN 30
0
68.6%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #9 B.Eskildsen thrown to ISU35Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+4
68.6%
(12:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at ISU33, for 4 yards to the ISU34 (#7 C.Canada; #1 A.Jordan), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+20
68.6%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #9 B.Eskildsen caught at ISU45, for 20 yards to the TCU46 (#21 B.Clark), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
68.1%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TCU44 (#2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 8
OPP 44
0
67.9%
(10:49) #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right to #84 G.Burkle thrown to TCU38Similar
Q1 10:33
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+14
68.0%
(10:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #84 G.Burkle caught at TCU30, for 14 yards to the TCU30 (#2 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+7
67.7%
(10:04) Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TCU23 (#11 D.Deal)Similar
Q1 9:18
2ND & 3
OPP 23
+23
66.7%
(09:26) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #18 B.Brahmer caught at TCU11, for 23 yards to the TCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:18, 1ST DOWN #84 G.Burkle rush attempt failed #18 B.Brahmer rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4PUNT5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1667% → 66%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
66.9%
(09:05) Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TCU13 (#53 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 7
OWN 13
-1
66.7%
(08:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 1 yard loss to the TCU12 (#47 K.Ebel; #29 D.Surges)Similar
Q1 7:53
3RD & 8
OWN 12
0
66.3%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #1 E.McAlister thrown to TCU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5PUNT4 plays · -9 yds · 0:5234% → 34%
Q1 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
65.7%
(07:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TCU39 (#95 M.Deal; #33 M.Carroll)Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 7
OPP 39
-12
65.5%
(07:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht sacked for loss of 12 yards to the ISU49 (#19 K.Jackson) PENALTY ISU Intentional Grounding (#3 R.Becht)Similar
Q1 6:53
3RD & 19
OWN 49
0
66.0%
(06:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #26 C.Hansen thrown to ISU45 QB hurried by #11 D.DealSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6INT10 plays · 47 yds · 4:1266% → 65%
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
66.1%
(06:42) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #4 J.Bailey caught at TCU13, for 2 yards to the TCU16 (#95 D.Orange)Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+6
65.6%
(06:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #2 K.Barnes caught at TCU11, for 6 yards to the TCU22 (#47 K.Ebel), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 5:26
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+9
65.2%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #7 J.Dwyer caught at TCU29, for 9 yards to the TCU31 (#47 K.Ebel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
65.4%
(05:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at TCU39, for 10 yards to the TCU41 (#18 D.Coffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
65.9%
(04:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush left for 2 yards loss to the TCU39 (#41 R.Barnes; #95 D.Orange)Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+6
65.2%
(04:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 6 yards gain to the TCU45 (#29 D.Surges; #9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+16
65.3%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #0 D.Rogers caught at ISU43, for 16 yards to the ISU39 (#41 R.Barnes; #26 C.Bacon), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
65.9%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU34 (#29 D.Surges; #95 D.Orange)Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+5
66.5%
PENALTY TCU False Start (#56 B.Taylor-Whitfield) 5 yards from ISU34 to ISU39. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
65.3%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass intercepted by #25 J.Patterson at ISU26 QB hurried by #31 M.Neal, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7DOWNS11 plays · 33 yds · 3:3037% → 40%
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
63.2%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush left for 7 yards gain to the ISU33 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr)Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+4
62.4%
(01:38) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU37 (#11 D.Deal; #35 T.Johnson), 1ST DOWN. #66 T.Miller injured on the playSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
62.2%
(01:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush left for 1 yard loss to the ISU36 (#11 D.Deal; #2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
62.2%
(00:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #26 C.Hansen thrown to ISU32Similar
Q1 0:21
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+9
62.6%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at ISU45, for 9 yards to the ISU45 (#20 J.McIver Jr.)Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+8
61.9%
(14:57) No Huddle #26 C.Hansen rush right for 8 yards gain to the TCU47 (#2 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
60.7%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #26 C.Hansen thrown to TCU49Similar
Q2 14:30
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
60.7%
(14:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 6 yards gain to the TCU41 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr)Similar
Q2 13:49
3RD & 4
OPP 41
0
59.7%
(13:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short right thrown to TCU33 QB hurried by #92 A.Din-Mbuh and #0 Z.ChapmanSimilar
Q2 13:45
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
60.4%
(13:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #10 C.Brown thrown to TCU37, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8DOWNS7 plays · 16 yds · 3:2863% → 61%
Q2 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-4
63.3%
(13:45) Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush left for 4 yards loss to the TCU37 (#55 J.Gilbert)Similar
Q2 13:10
2ND & 14
OWN 37
+8
61.8%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at TCU36, for 8 yards to the TCU45 (#31 M.Neal; #7 T.Bell)Similar
Q2 12:23
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+6
61.7%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #0 D.Rogers caught at ISU49, for 6 yards to the ISU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
62.7%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU44 (#58 T.McDonough; #31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
62.6%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU42 (#47 K.Ebel; #88 I.Ezeogu). #95 D.Orange injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:52
3RD & 3
OPP 42
-1
62.1%
(10:56) Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 1 yard loss to the ISU43 (#26 C.Bacon; #47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
60.8%
(10:16) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #6 T.Battle thrown to ISU36, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9PUNT4 plays · 7 yds · 0:5943% → 43%
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
57.2%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU48 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr)Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+2
56.3%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU50 (#4 N.Obiazor; #21 B.Clark)Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 3
50
0
56.1%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #0 C.Sowell thrown to ISU50 broken up by #19 K.JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10FG13 plays · 73 yds · 5:0959% → 60%
Q2 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
58.6%
(09:06) Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TCU13 (#29 D.Surges)Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+9
58.5%
(08:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at TCU22, for 9 yards to the TCU22 (#7 T.Bell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
57.6%
(08:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at TCU21, for 5 yards to the TCU27 (#41 R.Barnes), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 7:39
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+5
57.6%
(07:44) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at TCU32, for 5 yards to the TCU32 (#24 Q.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
57.3%
(07:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #7 J.Dwyer caught at TCU47, for 16 yards to the TCU48 (#24 Q.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
58.9%
(06:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #81 C.Curtis thrown to TCU49Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+15
58.6%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at TCU47, for 15 yards to the ISU37 (#47 K.Ebel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+1
59.2%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU36 (#13 C.Smith; #47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 5:31
2ND & 9
OPP 36
+19
58.8%
(05:39) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #1 E.McAlister caught at ISU25, for 19 yards to the ISU17 (#7 T.Bell; #31 M.Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-2
59.7%
(05:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ISU19 (#31 M.Neal)Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 12
OPP 19
+1
59.4%
(04:35) Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU18 (#88 I.Ezeogu; #47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
57.7%
(03:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #1 E.McAlister thrown to ISU10Similar
Q2 3:54
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+35
60.4%
(03:56) #99 N.McCashland field goal attempt from 35 yards GOOD (H: #97 E.Black, LS: #96 C.Keeler), clock 03:54Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11INT7 plays · 15 yds · 1:3241% → 44%
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
58.9%
(03:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #84 G.Burkle caught at ISU25, for 8 yards to the ISU33 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr; #7 C.Canada). #84 G.Burkle injured on the playSimilar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
57.6%
(03:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU39 (#33 M.Carroll), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
56.7%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU40 (#95 M.Deal; #3 K.Elarms-Orr)Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 40
0
55.6%
(02:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #0 C.Sowell thrown to ISU44 QB hurried by #33 M.CarrollSimilar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 9
OWN 40
0
55.9%
(02:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass intercepted by #21 B.Clark at TCU32 #21 B.Clark return 0 yards to the TCU32 (#9 B.Eskildsen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12MISSED FG10 plays · 60 yds · 1:4458% → 58%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
57.9%
(02:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush right for 3 yards gain to the TCU35 (#53 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q2 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+22
57.9%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #14 J.Manjack IV caught at ISU46, for 22 yards to the ISU43 (#31 M.Neal; #9 C.Brezina), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
61.0%
(01:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #6 T.Battle caught at ISU41, for 2 yards to the ISU41 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+19
60.7%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short middle to #7 J.Dwyer caught at ISU22, for 19 yards to the ISU22 (#24 Q.Taylor), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU Face Mask (#24 Q.Taylor) 11 yard from ISU22 to ISU11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-1
62.1%
(01:14) Shotgun #6 T.Battle rush right for 1 yard loss to the ISU12 (#58 T.McDonough)Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+4
61.9%
(00:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU08 (#47 K.Ebel; #58 T.McDonough)Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
60.0%
(00:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Dwyer thrown to ISU00 broken up by #24 Q.TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:17
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+25
58.2%
(00:18) #99 N.McCashland field goal attempt from 25 yards NO GOOD (H: #97 E.Black, LS: #96 C.Keeler), clock 00:17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13END OF HALF2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14TD16 plays · 78 yds · 5:4058% → 75%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
58.1%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #2 K.Barnes caught at TCU21, for 0 yards to the TCU22 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
57.3%
(14:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 K.Barnes rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TCU27 (#9 C.Brezina; #26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 5
OWN 27
+7
56.4%
(14:06) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #0 D.Rogers caught at TCU33, for 7 yards to the TCU34 (#25 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
57.6%
(13:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Battle rush middle for 4 yards gain to the TCU38 (#26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
59.6%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #14 J.Manjack IV caught at TCU37, for 8 yards to the TCU46 (#29 D.Surges; #31 M.Neal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
59.5%
(12:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at ISU46, for 9 yards to the ISU45 (#24 Q.Taylor)Similar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 1
OPP 45
0
60.2%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep right to #1 E.McAlister thrown to ISU12Similar
Q3 12:03
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+2
59.6%
(12:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Battle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU43 (#56 A.Carnell; #29 D.Surges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
60.0%
(11:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Battle rush middle for 4 yards loss to the ISU47 (#26 C.Bacon; #53 Z.Hawk)Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
57.4%
(11:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep middle to #7 J.Dwyer thrown to ISU27 broken up by #29 D.SurgesSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+6
55.5%
(11:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #6 T.Battle caught at TCU49, for 6 yards to the ISU41 (#26 C.Bacon; #36 C.Van Dinter)Similar
Q3 10:10
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+8
55.1%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #14 J.Manjack IV caught at ISU33, for 8 yards to the ISU33 (#14 C.Willich), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "First down". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #14 J.Manjack IV caught at ISU34, for 7 yards to the ISU34 (#14 C.Willich), out of bounds, TURNOVER ON DOWNS)Similar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
60.8%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at ISU26, for 19 yards to the ISU14 (#36 C.Van Dinter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
60.7%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU14 (#9 C.Brezina)Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+14
75.0%
(09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at ISU00, for 14 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:02, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU Holding declined. The previous play is under automatic review - "Pass completion". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (09:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Dwyer thrown to ISU00 PENALTY ISU Holding (#24 Q.Taylor) 7 yards from ISU14 to ISU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY) #99 N.McCashland kick attempt good (H: #97 E.Black, LS: #96 C.Keeler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15INT12 plays · 31 yds · 5:2832% → 36%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
67.6%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 1 yard loss to the ISU43 (#0 Z.Chapman)Similar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
68.6%
(08:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #0 C.Sowell thrown to TCU46Similar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+12
69.8%
(08:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short left to #0 C.Sowell caught at TCU47, for 12 yards to the TCU45 (#26 V.Glover), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
66.1%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 6 yards gain to the TCU39 (#26 V.Glover; #21 B.Clark)Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+8
65.7%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush middle for 15 yards gain (8) to the TCU24 (#21 B.Clark; #19 K.Jackson) PENALTY ISU Holding (#0 C.Sowell) 10 yards from TCU31 to TCU41Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+1
66.0%
(06:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TCU40 (#0 Z.Chapman; #1 A.Jordan)Similar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
66.5%
(06:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 5 yards gain to the TCU35 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
65.0%
(05:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 8 yards gain to the TCU27 (#4 N.Obiazor)Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 2
OPP 27
+3
64.0%
(04:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TCU24 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr; #99 C.Lingren), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
63.9%
(04:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 A.Sama rush right for 1 yard loss to the TCU25 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr)Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
64.3%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass intercepted by #21 B.Clark at TCU08 broken up by #26 V.Glover, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 16TD16 plays · 92 yds · 4:4872% → 90%
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+13
71.6%
(03:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #1 E.McAlister thrown to TCU21, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (#7 T.Bell) 13 yards from TCU08 to TCU21, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
72.3%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at TCU25, for 9 yards to the TCU30 (#24 Q.Taylor)Similar
Q3 2:59
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+14
73.9%
(03:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 14 yards gain to the TCU44 (#25 J.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
74.7%
(02:27) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover rush right for 11 yards gain to the ISU45, out of bounds at ISU45, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY ISU UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (#26 C.Bacon) 15 yards from ISU45 to ISU30, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
75.8%
(02:04) Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU24 (#43 C.Matson; #26 C.Bacon)Similar
Q3 1:21
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+5
76.7%
(01:30) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at ISU24, for 5 yards to the ISU19 (#9 C.Brezina), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
76.8%
(00:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #7 J.Dwyer thrown to ISU00 QB hurried by #31 M.NealSimilar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
76.8%
(00:53) Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU15 (#31 M.Neal; #58 T.McDonough)Similar
Q3 0:09
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+8
75.5%
(00:09) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #1 E.McAlister caught at ISU11, for 8 yards to the ISU07 (#29 D.Surges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
76.9%
(15:00) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short middle thrown to ISU00 QB hurried by #22 J.KlostermanSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+10
76.9%
(14:50) Shotgun #6 T.Battle rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU04 (#22 J.Klosterman; #58 T.McDonough) PENALTY TCU Holding (#51 C.Deery) 10 yards from ISU07 to ISU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 17
0
76.3%
(14:25) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at ISU17, for 0 yards to the ISU17, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 13:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+15
73.8%
(13:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #14 J.Manjack IV thrown to ISU02 PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (#36 C.Van Dinter) 15 yards from ISU17 to ISU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
77.2%
(13:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #7 J.Dwyer caught at ISU00, for 2 yards to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 13:36 PENALTY TCU Ineligible Downfield on Pass offsetting ISU Holding offsetting. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.5%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 T.Battle rush middle for 2 yards gain to the ISU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:30 #99 N.McCashland kick attempt good (H: #97 E.Black, LS: #96 C.Keeler)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD13 plays · 75 yds · 5:1113% → 34%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.7%
(13:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 6 yards gain to the ISU31 (#2 J.Johnson; #4 N.Obiazor)Similar
Q4 13:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
85.3%
(13:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #26 C.Hansen thrown to ISU25 broken up by #11 D.DealSimilar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+25
86.5%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht rush middle for 25 yards gain to the TCU44, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+24
84.3%
(12:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 24 yards gain to the TCU20 (#2 J.Johnson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
82.8%
(12:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TCU17 (#35 T.Johnson)Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+4
84.1%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass incomplete short left to #82 T.Moore thrown to TCU13 PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (#2 J.Johnson) 4 yards from TCU17 to TCU13, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
84.1%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TCU11 (#92 A.Din-Mbuh; #95 M.Deal)Similar
Q4 10:42
2ND & 8
OPP 11
+2
84.3%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 A.Manske rush right for 2 yards gain to the TCU09 (#21 B.Clark; #33 M.Carroll)Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 6
OPP 9
+6
87.2%
(10:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short right to #0 C.Sowell caught at TCU03, for 6 yards to the TCU03, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
87.3%
(09:22) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush right for 2 yards gain to the TCU01 (#92 A.Din-Mbuh; #95 M.Deal)Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
87.4%
(08:50) #3 R.Becht rush middle for 0 yards to the TCU01 (#2 J.Johnson)Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
65.8%
(08:15) #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TCU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:12 rush attempt failed #5 C.Moberly rush attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 18TD5 plays · -19 yds · 1:2382% → 38%
Q4 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
81.7%
(08:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short right to #7 J.Dwyer caught at TCU19, for 4 yards to the TCU25 (#7 T.Bell)Similar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
83.0%
(07:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TCU28 (#9 C.Brezina; #47 K.Ebel)Similar
Q4 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 28
0
82.9%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short middle to #1 E.McAlister thrown to TCU35 broken up by #29 D.SurgesSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 3
OWN 28
+79
38.2%
Aiden Flora 79 Yd Punt Return (Carson Hansen Run for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19DOWNS5 plays · 53 yds · 1:0242% → 46%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
41.7%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short right to #1 E.McAlister thrown to TCU44 broken up by #7 T.BellSimilar
Q4 6:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+13
41.3%
(06:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #7 J.Dwyer caught at TCU46, for 13 yards to the TCU48 (#18 D.Coffey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
45.8%
(05:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 12 yards gain to the ISU40 (#29 D.Surges), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+28
45.6%
(05:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 J.Payne rush middle for 28 yards gain to the ISU12 fumbled by #26 J.Payne at ISU16 forced by #7 T.Bell recovered by ISU #29 D.Surges at ISU12, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20PUNT17 plays · 41 yds · 4:3770% → 94%
Q4 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
30.5%
(05:11) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 3 yards gain to the ISU15 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr; #0 Z.Chapman)Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+1
29.5%
(04:28) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 1 yard gain to the ISU16 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr; #0 Z.Chapman)Similar
Q4 3:30
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+15
28.2%
(03:46) Shotgun #3 R.Becht pass complete short middle to #6 E.Green caught at ISU29, for 15 yards to the ISU31 (#21 B.Clark), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
23.9%
(03:00) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 5 yards gain to the ISU36 (#21 B.Clark)Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
19.4%
(02:18) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 4 yards gain to the ISU40 (#95 M.Deal; #3 K.Elarms-Orr)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
14.2%
(01:58) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 0 yards to the ISU40, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+9
14.6%
(01:46) #3 R.Becht rush left for 9 yards gain to the ISU49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
11.5%
(01:25) #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TCU49 (#3 K.Elarms-Orr; #4 N.Obiazor)Similar
Q4 1:19
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+2
10.3%
(01:22) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TCU47 (#10 J.Bax)Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 6
OPP 47
-3
10.9%
(01:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush left for 3 yards loss to the TCU50 (#11 D.Deal)Similar
Q4 0:27
4TH & 9
50
0
6.5%
(00:32) #80 T.Perkins punt 34 yards to the TCU16 fair catch by #7 J.Dwyer at TCU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21END OF GAME6 plays · 28 yds · 0:1715% → 12%
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
15.3%
(00:25) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #3 M.Everhart caught at TCU27, for 11 yards to the TCU27 (#24 Q.Taylor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
14.5%
(00:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep left to #0 D.Rogers thrown to TCU48Similar
Q4 0:04
2ND & 10
OWN 27
0
13.1%
(00:08) Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete deep left to #7 J.Dwyer thrown to TCU49Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 10
OWN 27
0
12.6%
(00:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass incomplete short left to #1 E.McAlister thrown to TCU46Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 10
OWN 27
+7
11.9%
(00:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #10 J.Hoover pass complete short left to #1 E.McAlister caught at TCU35, for 17 yards to the TCU44 lateral to #14 J.Manjack IV for 9 yards loss to the TCU25 lateral to #10 J.Hoover for 5 yards loss to the TCU20 lateral to #3 M.Everhart for 2 yards gain to the TCU22 lateral to #0 D.Rogers for 3 yards gain to the TCU25 lateral to #14 J.Manjack IV for 19 yards gain to the TCU44 fumbled by #14 J.Manjack IV at TCU44, out of bounds at TCU44, 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:32
Aiden Flora 79 Yd Punt Return (Carson Hansen Run for Two-Point Conversion)
-44.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:53
Timeout Iowa State, clock 01:53
-26.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 1:19
(01:22) Shotgun #26 C.Hansen rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TCU47 (#10 J.Bax)
-25.3