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COLO

Colorado 7 at Utah 53

UTAH
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCOLO aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCOLO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGSAFETYTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:51 · (15:00) punt 40 yards to the UTA08
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 137Home team on offense+35.9Pregame prior+9.4Score differential+28.8Blowout margin+17.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.0Garbage-time factor+7.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 4:51: (05:01) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 53 yards GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor), clock 04:51 — UTAH win probability +0.2 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. SAFETY · Q2 14:30: Team Safety — UTAH win probability +0.5 pts (now 89%) (top driver: COLO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 12:50: (13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short right to #81 J.Buchanan caught at COL10, for 22 yards to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:50, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor) — UTAH win probability +1.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:42: (03:45) No Huddle #21 N.Rogers rush right for 2 yards gain to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42 #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor) — UTAH win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:08: (02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete deep left to #12 L.Simmons caught at COL00, for 20 yards to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:08, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor) — UTAH win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 10COLO made the numbers' call on 11 of 12
  1. Q1 13:16COLO 4th & 16 at COLO 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:33UTAH 4th & 11 at UTAH 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:21COLO 4th & 19 at COLO 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.1%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:49UTAH 4th & 6 at UTAH 29, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:51UTAH 4th & 9 at COLO 35, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 82.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    82.1%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:06COLO 4th & 9 at COLO 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.5%−0.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:03COLO 4th & 11 at COLO 37, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:42UTAH 4th & 11 at COLO 44, up 26
    Close callWent for it · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.5%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−0.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    94.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:42COLO 4th & 28 at COLO 7, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:41COLO 4th & 13 at COLO 22, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:07UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 33, up 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:41COLO 4th & 12 at COLO 18, down 40
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00UTAH 4th & 5 at COLO 5, up 40
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.0%−<0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:57COLO 4th & 1 at UTAH 26, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:32UTAH 4th & 17 at COLO 40, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    99.6%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:30COLO 4th & 10 at COLO 20, down 43
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  17. Q3 1:42UTAH 4th & 6 at COLO 27, up 43
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:51COLO 4th & 6 at UTAH 48, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:55UTAH 4th & 8 at COLO 41, up 46
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:42UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 30, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 4:05COLO 4th & 8 at UTAH 30, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:47COLO 4th & 22 at COLO 26, down 46
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:2684% → 84%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
83.7%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Bray rush right for 12 yards gain to the UTA37 (#42 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
83.7%
(14:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush left for 63 yards gain to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:23, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:3016% → 16%
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
83.6%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter rush left for 5 yards loss to the COL17 fumbled by #3 K.Salter at COL17 recovered by COL #18 K.Mikell at COL17 (#37 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 16
OWN 16
0
83.6%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short left to #29 M.Welch thrown to COL18Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 16
OWN 16
0
83.7%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete deep middle to #14 Q.Farrakhan Jr. thrown to COL36 broken up by #5 T.JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:16
4TH & 16
OWN 16
0
83.7%
(13:27) #35 D.Greaves punt 58 yards to the UTA26 #28 M.Carvalho return 0 yards to the UTA26 (#41 K.Salter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:3284% → 84%
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
83.6%
(13:15) Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush left for 1 yard loss to the UTA25 (#42 J.Brown)Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
83.6%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short middle to #88 D.Bentley thrown to UTA29 broken up by #7 T.ByardSimilar
Q1 12:42
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
83.5%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short right to #13 D.Bray thrown to UTA23 QB hurried by #53 A.WalkerSimilar
Q1 12:33
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
83.5%
(12:42) #92 O.Phillips punt 36 yards to the COL39 fair catch by #14 Q.Farrakhan Jr. at COL39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 3:0517% → 17%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
83.5%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush middle for 6 yards gain to the COL45 (#23 J.Bennee)Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+2
83.4%
(12:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush middle for 2 yards gain to the COL47 (#0 L.Fano; #95 A.Vimahi)Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+3
83.3%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short left to #15 Q.Gibson caught at COL49, for 3 yards to the COL50, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
50
+1
83.2%
(11:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Welch rush left for 1 yard gain to the UTA49 (#91 J.Lea'ea)Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
83.1%
(10:54) Shotgun #29 M.Welch rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA47 (#45 P.Sepulona)Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 7
OPP 47
-12
83.1%
(10:17) Shotgun #3 K.Salter sacked for loss of 12 yards to the COL41 (#37 T.Reynolds)Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 19
OWN 41
+9
83.5%
(09:30) #35 D.Greaves punt 43 yards to the UTA16 #28 M.Carvalho return 9 yards to the UTA25 (#29 I.Yates; #13 K.Mathis)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 5FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:2383% → 83%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
83.4%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA27 (#8 D.McKinney; #42 J.Brown)Similar
Q1 8:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
83.3%
(08:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush left for 2 yards gain to the UTA29 (#88 A.McNeill)Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
83.2%
(08:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short right to #88 D.Bentley thrown to UTA38 broken up by #4 P.HodgeSimilar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+25
83.0%
(08:06) No Huddle #92 O.Phillips pass complete short right to #88 D.Bentley caught at UTA26, for 25 yards to the COL46 (#14 Q.Farrakhan Jr.; #85 Z.Atkins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
83.6%
(07:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Bray rush left for 3 yards gain to the COL43 (#4 P.Hodge; #8 D.McKinney)Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
83.6%
(07:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 N.Rogers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the COL41 (#53 A.Walker; #95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q1 6:26
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+5
83.5%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the COL36 (#95 T.Thomas; #49 Q.Wiggins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.6%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short right to #9 R.Davis thrown to COL30 broken up by #8 D.McKinneySimilar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
83.6%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short right to #9 R.Davis thrown to COL32 broken up by #4 P.HodgeSimilar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+6
83.4%
(05:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush left for 6 yards gain to the COL30 (#7 T.Byard)Similar
Q1 5:09
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+5
83.2%
(05:10) PENALTY UTA False Start (#75 R.Alderman) 5 yards from COL30 to COL35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+53
83.4%
(05:01) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 53 yards GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor), clock 04:51Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:4514% → 13%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
86.3%
(04:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short right to #18 K.Mikell caught at COL30, for 6 yards to the COL31 (#3 L.Damuni)Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-6
86.4%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush left for 6 yards loss to the COL25 (#95 A.Vimahi; #45 P.Sepulona)Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.7%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short right to #9 S.Brown caught at COL25, for 1 yard to the COL26 (#23 J.Bennee) PENALTY COL Personal Foul declinedSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+19
86.9%
(03:25) #35 D.Greaves punt 51 yards to the UTA23 #28 M.Carvalho return 19 yards to the UTA42 (#36 N.Watson; #39 K.Hawkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 7SF
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:1512% → 12%
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
87.8%
(14:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete deep middle to #17 I.Hardge thrown to COL50Similar
Q2 14:38
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
87.9%
(14:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #15 Q.Gibson thrown to COL00 broken up by #15 L.Holtzclaw PENALTY COL Holding declinedSimilar
Q2 14:30
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
88.5%
Team SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 1:2790% → 91%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
89.5%
(14:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA30 (#53 A.Walker; #92 A.Barnes Jr.)Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+20
89.7%
(13:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 20 yards gain to the UTA50 (#28 B.Finneseth), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
50
+28
90.3%
(13:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short left to #9 R.Davis caught at COL46, for 28 yards to the COL22 (#28 B.Finneseth), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
91.4%
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short right to #81 J.Buchanan caught at COL10, for 22 yards to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:50, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:426% → 6%
Q2 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.7%
(12:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #29 M.Welch thrown to COL26Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
93.8%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short right to #9 S.Brown caught at COL31, for 13 yards to the COL38 (#95 A.Vimahi; #2 S.Snowden), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
93.4%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short left to #9 S.Brown thrown to UTA46Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
93.8%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Welch rush middle for 1 yard loss to the COL37 (#90 J.Daley)Similar
Q2 11:18
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
93.9%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #14 Q.Farrakhan Jr. thrown to COL50Similar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+17
94.3%
(11:18) #35 D.Greaves punt 40 yards to the UTA23 #28 M.Carvalho return 17 yards to the UTA40 (#41 K.Salter)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
16 plays · 60 yds · 7:0793% → 98%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
92.9%
(11:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTA44 (#95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
92.8%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short right to #9 R.Davis thrown to COL43Similar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+13
92.8%
(10:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short left to #81 J.Buchanan caught at COL43, for 13 yards to the COL43 (#3 T.Parks), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
93.2%
(10:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush right for 1 yard gain to the COL42 (#7 T.Byard)Similar
Q2 9:42
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
93.3%
(09:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush right for 3 yards gain (3) to the COL39 (#42 J.Brown) PENALTY UTA Personal Foul (#99 S.Taulanga) 15 yards from COL39 to UTA46Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 21
OWN 46
+10
94.4%
(09:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 10 yards gain to the COL44 (#3 T.Parks)Similar
Q2 7:42
4TH & 11
OPP 44
+13
94.9%
(07:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 13 yards gain to the COL31 (#7 T.Byard; #42 J.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
95.4%
(07:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 12 yards gain to the COL19 (#28 B.Finneseth), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY UTA Personal Foul (#71 C.Lomu) 15 yards from COL19 to COL34Similar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-6
95.5%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Bray rush left for 6 yards loss to the COL40 (#53 A.Walker)Similar
Q2 6:40
2ND & 16
OPP 40
+4
95.6%
(06:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush right for 4 yards gain to the COL36 (#7 T.Byard)Similar
Q2 5:58
3RD & 12
OPP 36
+19
95.9%
(06:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short right to #12 L.Simmons caught at COL18, for 19 yards to the COL17 (#4 P.Hodge), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
96.1%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short middle to #88 D.Bentley thrown to COL10 broken up by #7 T.ByardSimilar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+9
96.1%
(05:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 9 yards gain to the COL08 (#8 D.McKinney)Similar
Q2 4:42
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
95.8%
(04:49) #21 N.Rogers rush right for 4 yards gain to the COL04 (#4 P.Hodge; #27 K.Wade), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
95.9%
(04:19) #21 N.Rogers rush left for 2 yards gain to the COL02 (#7 T.Byard; #44 L.Merritt)Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.2%
(03:45) No Huddle #21 N.Rogers rush right for 2 yards gain to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42 #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:481% → 1%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
(03:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short right to #15 Q.Gibson caught at COL20, for 0 yards to the COL25 (#3 L.Damuni)Similar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
(03:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #14 Q.Farrakhan Jr. thrown to COL35Similar
Q2 2:56
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-18
98.8%
(02:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter sacked for loss of 18 yards to the COL07 (#7 J.Hall)Similar
Q2 2:42
4TH & 28
OWN 7
0
98.8%
(02:48) #35 D.Greaves punt 14 yards to the COL21, out of bounds at COL21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2898% → 99%
Q2 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
98.3%
(02:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 1 yard gain to the COL20 (#42 J.Brown)Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 9
OPP 20
+20
98.9%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete deep left to #12 L.Simmons caught at COL00, for 20 yards to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 02:08, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q2 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
(02:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Welch rush left for 0 yards to the COL25 (#95 A.Vimahi)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.0%
(02:00) PENALTY UTA Offside (#90 J.Daley) 5 yards from COL25 to COL30. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
98.9%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #15 Q.Gibson thrown to COL34 broken up by #2 S.SnowdenSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
98.9%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter sacked for loss of 8 yards to the COL22 (#7 J.Hall, #90 J.Daley)Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.0%
(01:48) #35 D.Greaves punt 50 yards to the UTA28 fair catch by #28 M.Carvalho at UTA28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.7%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete deep left to #81 J.Buchanan thrown to COL35 PENALTY UTA Ineligible Downfield on Pass (#58 K.Ta'aga) 5 yards from UTA28 to UTA23. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+10
98.7%
(01:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush right for 10 yards gain to the UTA33 (#8 D.McKinney), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:21
2ND & 5
OWN 33
0
98.7%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short right to #88 D.Bentley thrown to UTA41Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 5
OWN 33
0
98.8%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short left to #9 R.Davis thrown to UTA40Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 5
OWN 33
0
98.7%
(01:17) #92 O.Phillips punt 67 yards to the COL00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.0%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter rush left for 5 yards gain to the COL25 (#9 E.Davis), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
99.0%
(01:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #14 Q.Farrakhan Jr. thrown to COL41Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 25
-7
99.1%
(00:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter sacked for loss of 7 yards to the COL18 (#0 L.Fano)Similar
Q2 0:41
4TH & 12
OWN 18
0
99.1%
(00:50) #35 D.Greaves punt 0 yards to the COL18 blocked by #23 J.Bennee recovered by COL #85 Z.Atkins at COL07, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:3499% → 99%
Q2 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
98.9%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the COL05 (#44 L.Merritt)Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
99.0%
(00:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 D.Bray rush middle for 0 yards to the COL05 (#7 T.Byard)Similar
Q2 0:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.9%
(00:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete, SpikeSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
98.9%
Dillon Curtis 23 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:561% → 1%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Welch rush left for 1 yard gain to the COL26 (#91 J.Lea'ea)Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
99.2%
(14:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short right to #4 O.Miller caught at COL40, for 14 yards to the COL40 (#2 S.Snowden; #9 E.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
99.1%
(14:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Welch rush middle for 1 yard gain to the COL41 (#90 J.Daley)Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+24
99.3%
(13:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter rush left for 24 yards gain to the UTA35 (#9 E.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-7
99.2%
(12:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short right to #29 M.Welch caught at UTA36, for 7 yards loss to the UTA42 (#16 B.Cotton)Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 17
OPP 42
+4
99.3%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter rush middle for 4 yards gain to the UTA38 (#7 J.Hall)Similar
Q3 11:17
3RD & 13
OPP 38
+12
99.4%
(11:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter rush middle for 12 yards gain to the UTA26 (#7 J.Hall)Similar
Q3 10:57
4TH & 1
OPP 26
0
99.3%
(11:01) No Huddle #3 K.Salter rush middle for 0 yards to the UTA26 (#51 K.Kaufusi), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 4:1399% → 100%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
99.4%
(10:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 N.Rogers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UTA28 (#27 K.Wade) PENALTY COL Personal Foul (#92 A.Barnes Jr.) 15 yards from UTA28 to UTA43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.4%
(10:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short left to #9 R.Davis caught at COL50, for 8 yards to the COL49, out of bounds at COL49Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+3
99.5%
(10:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 N.Rogers rush middle for 3 yards gain to the COL46 (#53 A.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.5%
(09:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 4 yards gain to the COL42 (#95 T.Thomas; #7 T.Byard)Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+9
99.5%
(09:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short right to #88 D.Bentley caught at COL37, for 9 yards to the COL33 (#50 R.Hughes; #13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.6%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short left to #9 R.Davis thrown to COL21Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+2
99.6%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 2 yards gain to the COL31 (#7 T.Byard)Similar
Q3 7:16
3RD & 8
OPP 31
-9
99.6%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin sacked for loss of 9 yards to the COL40 (#42 J.Brown)Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
99.6%
(06:45) #92 O.Phillips punt 40 yards to the COL00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:540% → 0%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
(06:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #4 O.Miller thrown to COL36Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
(06:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush middle for 0 yards to the COL20 (#37 T.Reynolds; #90 J.Daley)Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.7%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass incomplete short right to #15 Q.Gibson thrown to COL26 broken up by #2 S.SnowdenSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+15
99.7%
(05:41) #35 D.Greaves punt 49 yards to the UTA31 #28 M.Carvalho return 15 yards to the UTA46 (#17 I.Hardge)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 3:41100% → 100%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
99.7%
(05:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 5 yards gain to the COL49 (#27 K.Wade; #95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q3 4:41
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+7
99.7%
(04:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush middle for 7 yards gain to the COL42 (#13 J.Slaughter; #53 A.Walker), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.7%
(04:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short left to #80 C.Whittemore caught at COL41, for 3 yards to the COL39 (#7 T.Byard)Similar
Q3 3:32
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+8
99.7%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 N.Rogers rush right for 8 yards gain to the COL31 (#42 J.Brown; #13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-3
99.7%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin rush right for 3 yards loss to the COL34 (#95 T.Thomas; #37 M.French)Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 13
OPP 34
0
99.7%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass incomplete short left to #80 C.Whittemore thrown to COL29 broken up by #4 P.HodgeSimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 13
OPP 34
+7
99.7%
(02:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short left to #80 C.Whittemore caught at COL28, for 7 yards to the COL27 (#37 M.French)Similar
Q3 1:42
4TH & 6
OPP 27
+45
99.8%
(01:51) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 45 yards GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor), clock 01:42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q3 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
(01:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short middle to #15 Q.Gibson caught at COL22, for 8 yards to the COL33 (#4 D.Saunders) PENALTY UTA Horse Collar Tackle (#4 D.Saunders) 15 yards from COL33 to COL48, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.8%
(01:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush right for 5 yards gain to the UTA47 (#93 K.Dillon; #35 C.Polu)Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 5
OPP 47
0
99.8%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 D.Miller rush right for 0 yards to the UTA47 (#83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 47
-1
99.9%
(00:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 K.Salter pass complete short left to #18 K.Mikell caught at COL49, for 1 yard loss to the UTA48 (#83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
99.9%
(15:00) punt 40 yards to the UTA08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22MISSED FG
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 14:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+49
99.9%
(14:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 W.Parker rush left for 49 yards gain to the COL43 (#13 J.Slaughter), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #21 N.Rogers rush middle for 2 yards gain to the COL41 (#37 M.French; #27 K.Wade)Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
99.9%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 I.Wilson rush right for 0 yards to the COL41 (#37 M.French)Similar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
99.9%
(13:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 I.Wilson pass incomplete short left to #17 R.Glover thrown to COL35 broken up by #4 P.HodgeSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & 8
OPP 41
+59
99.9%
(13:01) #17 D.Curtis field goal attempt from 59 yards NO GOOD (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor), clock 12:55, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 23TD
10 plays · 59 yds · 3:450% → 0%
Q4 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+13
99.9%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush left for 13 yards gain to the UTA46 (#35 C.Polu), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.9%
(12:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass complete short left to #9 S.Brown caught at UTA49, for 13 yards to the UTA33 (#45 P.Sepulona), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.9%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass incomplete deep right to #4 O.Miller thrown to UTA00Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UTA30 (#45 P.Sepulona)Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+7
99.9%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub rush middle for 7 yards gain to the UTA23 (#83 E.Elliss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
99.9%
(10:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush right for 1 yard loss to the UTA24 (#11 R.Caldwell). #45 P.Sepulona injured on the playSimilar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+23
99.9%
(10:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass complete short middle to #4 O.Miller caught at UTA09, for 23 yards to the UTA01 (#14 J.Hart), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
(09:45) #16 R.Staub rush middle for 0 yards to the UTA01 (#49 M.Tauteoli; #51 K.Kaufusi)Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
(09:03) #16 R.Staub rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UTA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:03 #16 A.Mata kick attempt good (H: #35 D.Greaves, LS: #39 K.Hawkins)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
(08:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Johnson rush left for 2 yards gain to the UTA27 (#59 T.Marois)Similar
Q4 8:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 I.Wilson rush right for 4 yards gain to the UTA31 (#42 J.Brown)Similar
Q4 7:27
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
99.9%
(07:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 I.Wilson rush middle for 1 yard loss to the UTA30 (#44 L.Merritt)Similar
Q4 6:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.9%
(06:54) #92 O.Phillips punt 50 yards to the COL20 fair catch by #14 Q.Farrakhan Jr. at COL20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 25DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
100.0%
(06:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass complete short right to #15 Q.Gibson caught at COL27, for 7 yards to the COL27 (#29 L.Thompson)Similar
Q4 6:09
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+17
100.0%
(06:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush middle for 17 yards gain to the COL44 (#11 R.Caldwell; #33 K.Lopes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
100.0%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 K.Mikell rush middle for 2 yards gain to the COL46 (#33 K.Lopes; #49 M.Tauteoli)Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+22
100.0%
(05:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass complete short right to #4 O.Miller caught at COL45, for 22 yards to the UTA32 (#11 R.Caldwell), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
100.0%
(04:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Hayden rush right for 2 yards gain to the UTA30 (#93 K.Dillon; #24 M.Anae)Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
100.0%
(04:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass incomplete deep left to #15 Q.Gibson thrown to UTA00Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
100.0%
(04:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass incomplete deep right to #4 O.Miller thrown to UTA00Similar
Q4 4:05
4TH & 8
OPP 30
0
100.0%
(04:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub pass incomplete deep left to #9 S.Brown thrown to UTA00, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 26TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
100.0%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Duke rush right for 14 yards gain to the UTA44 (#13 J.Slaughter), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+56
100.0%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 N.Johnson rush middle for 56 yards gain to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:12, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
COLODrive 27PUNT
5 plays · -12 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub rush right for 4 yards gain to the COL42 (#15 L.Holtzclaw)Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-6
100.0%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub sacked for loss of 6 yards to the COL36 (#83 E.Elliss)Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 12
OWN 36
-10
100.0%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 R.Staub sacked for loss of 10 yards to the COL26 (#93 K.Dillon)Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & 22
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
(01:59) #35 D.Greaves punt 40 yards to the UTA34 #17 R.Glover return 4 yards to the UTA38 (#28 B.Finneseth), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:08100% → 100%
Q4 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
100.0%
(01:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Duke rush left for 12 yards gain to the UTA50 (#7 T.Byard), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
50
+6
100.0%
(01:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #25 B.Duke rush middle for 6 yards gain to the COL44 (#44 L.Merritt; #95 T.Thomas)Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 4
OPP 44
-1
100.0%
(00:32) Kneel down by Utah at COL45 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:42
(03:45) No Huddle #21 N.Rogers rush right for 2 yards gain to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:42 #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor)
+2.3
TD · Q2 12:50
(13:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 B.Ficklin pass complete short right to #81 J.Buchanan caught at COL10, for 22 yards to the COL00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:50, 1ST DOWN #17 D.Curtis kick attempt good (H: #92 O.Phillips, LS: #44 L.Castor)
+1.1
SAFETY · Q2 14:30
Team Safety
+0.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com