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OKST

Oklahoma State 0 at Texas Tech 42

TTU
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · End of 4th quarter.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:30: C. Dickey run for 7 yds, for a TD C. Dickey Run For Two-point Conversion — TTU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:30: S. Vailahi run for 0 yards, S. Vailahi fumbled, forced by J. Rodriguez, recovered by J. Rodriguez, return for 69 yds for a TD (U. Bellenfant KICK) — TTU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:53: (14:56) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU28 (#13 B.Roberts) — OKST win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 14:18: (14:18) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right to #82 Q.Stewart thrown to OSU25 broken up by #5 C.Wisniewski QB hurried by #9 R.Height — TTU win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 13:07OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, down 7
    Close callPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:12OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 39, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:00TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 24, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:18OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 44, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:52OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 44, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:50OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 37, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:16TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 45, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:50OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 25, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:19TTU 4th & 12 at TTU 49, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−<0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:08OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:42OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 45, down 28
    Close callPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:55OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 43, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:54OKST 4th & 3 at TTU 40, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:56TTU 4th & 14 at OKST 41, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:42OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:49TTU 4th & 5 at OKST 27, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    62% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:40OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 33, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 14:46TTU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:56TTU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:30TTU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:341% → 1%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.7%
(14:42) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete deep right to #7 S.Rigby thrown to OSU45Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.7%
(14:36) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short left to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU27, for 4 yards to the OSU29 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #5 C.Wisniewski)Similar
Q1 13:44
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
98.7%
(13:57) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short middle to #3 S.Vailahi caught at OSU27, for 5 yards to the OSU34 (#10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
98.6%
(13:10) #90 W.Pahl punt 0 yards to the OSU34 blocked by #28 O.Miles III recovered by TTU #18 T.Tilmon at OSU26 #18 T.Tilmon return 0 yards to the OSU26 (#90 W.Pahl)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 3TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
98.7%
J'Koby Williams 26 Yd pass from Will Hammond (Upton Bellenfant PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:361% → 2%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.6%
(12:56) Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU29 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #2 L.Hunter)Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
98.6%
(12:13) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short right to #82 Q.Stewart caught at OSU29, for 7 yards to the OSU36 (#10 J.Rodriguez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
98.6%
(11:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V rush right for 1 yard loss to the OSU35 (#10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+4
98.5%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush left for 4 yards gain to the OSU39 (#31 D.Bailey; #1 A.McCarty)Similar
Q1 10:23
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
98.5%
(10:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right to #7 S.Rigby thrown to OSU48Similar
Q1 10:12
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
98.5%
(10:21) #90 W.Pahl punt 61 yards to the TTU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5599% → 98%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
98.5%
(10:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU16, for 3 yards loss to the TTU17 (#32 M.McDaniel)Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
98.5%
(09:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete deep middle to #5 C.Douglas thrown to OSU30Similar
Q1 9:27
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+7
98.5%
(09:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #8 C.Dickey caught at TTU20, for 7 yards to the TTU24 (#23 K.Harris)Similar
Q1 9:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
+7
98.4%
(09:10) #41 J.Burgess punt 56 yards to the OSU20 #17 G.Freeman return 7 yards to the OSU27 (#3 B.Ramirez)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:312% → 2%
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
98.4%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU24, for 15 yards to the OSU42 (#20 D.Balfour), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
98.3%
(08:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU44 (#13 B.Roberts), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
98.3%
(07:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right thrown to TTU45 QB hurried by #2 L.HunterSimilar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 44
0
98.3%
(07:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right thrown to TTU45 QB hurried by #9 R.Height and #31 D.BaileySimilar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
98.3%
(07:18) #90 W.Pahl punt 38 yards to the TTU18 muffed by #3 C.Eakin at TTU18 recovered by TTU #3 C.Eakin at TTU18, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 82 yds · 5:4298% → 99%
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.4%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU21 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.; #8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q1 6:57
2ND & 7
OWN 21
0
98.4%
(06:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Douglas thrown to TTU29 broken up by #13 E.FletcherSimilar
Q1 6:41
3RD & 7
OWN 21
+11
98.4%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush left for 11 yards gain to the TTU32 (#27 R.Gay II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
98.4%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #3 C.Eakin caught at TTU30, for 4 yards to the TTU36 (#3 C.Smith)Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+7
98.4%
(06:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 7 yards gain to the TTU43 (#26 J.Oliphant Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
98.4%
(05:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 3 yards gain to the TTU46 (#30 T.White)Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 46
-4
98.4%
(05:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 4 yards loss to the TTU42 (#87 D.Brown)Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+24
98.3%
(04:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #1 R.Virgil caught at OSU45, for 24 yards to the OSU34 (#30 T.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
98.3%
(04:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short right to #3 C.Eakin caught at OSU35, for 6 yards to the OSU28 (#14 L.Cleveland)Similar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
98.3%
(03:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short left to #3 C.Eakin caught at OSU28, for 3 yards to the OSU25 (#14 L.Cleveland)Similar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+2
98.2%
(02:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU23 (#5 B.McCoy Jr.; #8 P.Robertson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
98.2%
(02:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass complete short middle to #3 C.Eakin caught at OSU26, for 9 yards to the OSU14 (#6 B.Rawls), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+7
98.2%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush left for 2 yards loss to the OSU16 (#4 W.Gregory; #71 A.Kelley) PENALTY OSU Face Mask (#4 W.Gregory) 7 yards from OSU14 to OSU07, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
98.6%
C. Dickey run for 7 yds, for a TD C. Dickey Run For Two-point ConversionSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8DOWNS
9 plays · 21 yds · 3:291% → 1%
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.2%
(01:30) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 0 yards to the OSU25 (#13 B.Roberts; #2 L.Hunter)Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.2%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush left for 6 yards gain to the OSU31 (#5 C.Wisniewski; #13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.2%
(14:55) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU37 (#10 J.Rodriguez), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.2%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 6 yards gain to the OSU43 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+1
99.2%
(13:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU41, for 1 yard to the OSU44 (#6 J.Curry)Similar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 3
OWN 44
0
99.2%
(12:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Davis thrown to OSU40 broken up by #5 C.WisniewskiSimilar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+2
99.3%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #82 Q.Stewart rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU46 (#5 C.Wisniewski; #51 J.Cofield) PENALTY OSU Illegal Formation declined, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9FUMBLE
4 plays · -18 yds · 1:0099% → 99%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+26
99.2%
W. Hammond pass to C. Eakin for 26 yds for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.3%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Eakin thrown to OSU02 broken up by #23 K.HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+2
99.3%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU18 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+16
99.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond sacked for loss of 4 yards to the OSU22 (#40 T.McCoy), fumble by #15 W.Hammond recovered by OSU #40 T.McCoy at OSU22 #40 T.McCoy return 16 yards to the OSU38 (#15 W.Hammond; #1 R.Virgil)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:531% → 1%
Q2 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
(11:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right to #3 S.Vailahi thrown to OSU42 QB hurried by #18 T.TilmonSimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.3%
(11:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right to #9 A.Shotomide-King thrown to OSU45 QB hurried by #18 T.Tilmon and #90 A.NedoreSimilar
Q2 11:17
3RD & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.3%
(11:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short left to #3 S.Vailahi caught at OSU33, for 1 yard loss to the OSU37 (#31 D.Bailey; #33 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 11
OWN 37
0
99.3%
(10:55) #90 W.Pahl punt 62 yards to the TTU01Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:2399% → 99%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+15
99.2%
(10:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 15 yards gain to the TTU16 (#27 R.Gay II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.2%
(10:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush right for 0 yards to the TTU16 (#0 M.Charles; #8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
99.3%
(09:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush right for 5 yards gain to the TTU21 (#32 M.McDaniel)Similar
Q2 9:04
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+5
99.3%
(09:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Douglas thrown to TTU35 PENALTY OSU Offside (#44 R.Bradley) 5 yards from TTU21 to TTU26, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.3%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Eakin thrown to TTU23 QB hurried by #5 B.McCoy Jr.Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
99.3%
(08:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush left for 3 yards gain to the TTU29 (#30 T.White)Similar
Q2 8:39
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+5
99.2%
(08:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short right to #1 R.Virgil thrown to TTU30 broken up by #0 M.Charles PENALTY OSU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from TTU29 to TTU34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 8:32
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+2
98.9%
(08:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU36 (#27 R.Gay II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete deep left to #1 R.Virgil thrown to OSU30Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.4%
(08:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond pass incomplete short middle to #14 M.Hudson thrown to TTU40 broken up by #3 C.SmithSimilar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+9
99.4%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 W.Hammond rush right for 9 yards gain to the TTU45 (#3 C.Smith)Similar
Q2 7:16
4TH & 1
OWN 45
-3
99.3%
(07:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis rush middle for 3 yards loss to the TTU42 (#4 W.Gregory), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · -58 yds · 1:331% → 1%
Q2 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.2%
(07:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at TTU39, for 3 yards to the TTU39 (#7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
99.2%
(06:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU37 (#2 L.Hunter; #51 J.Cofield)Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+6
99.2%
(06:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V rush right for 6 yards gain to the TTU31 (#6 J.Curry), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+69
99.4%
S. Vailahi run for 0 yards, S. Vailahi fumbled, forced by J. Rodriguez, recovered by J. Rodriguez, return for 69 yds for a TD (U. Bellenfant KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:191% → 0%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.5%
(05:22) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete deep left thrown to OSU40 QB hurried by #94 B.RigsbySimilar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.5%
(05:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OSU28 (#14 B.Pollock)Similar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 1
OWN 28
-3
99.4%
(04:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 3 yards loss to the OSU25 (#51 J.Cofield; #33 A.Holmes Jr.)Similar
Q2 3:50
4TH & 4
OWN 25
0
99.6%
(03:54) #90 W.Pahl punt 37 yards to the TTU38 fair catch by #3 C.Eakin at TTU38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:20100% → 99%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
99.5%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #5 C.Douglas caught at TTU43, for 13 yards to the OSU49 (#3 C.Smith), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.5%
(03:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU47 (#6 B.Rawls), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 2:56
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-4
99.4%
(03:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TTU49 (#32 M.McDaniel)Similar
Q2 2:25
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
99.4%
(02:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass incomplete short right to #20 J.Williams thrown to TTU47Similar
Q2 2:19
4TH & 12
OWN 49
0
99.4%
(02:23) #41 J.Burgess punt 35 yards to the OSU16 fair catch by #17 G.Freeman at OSU16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:051% → 0%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.5%
(02:16) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 2 yards gain to the OSU18 (#10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+5
99.5%
(01:56) Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass complete short right to #85 G.Brousseau caught at OSU18, for 5 yards to the OSU23 (#9 R.Height)Similar
Q2 1:19
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
99.5%
(01:21) Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass incomplete short left to #2 T.Davis thrown to OSU27Similar
Q2 1:08
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
99.6%
(01:16) #90 W.Pahl punt 58 yards to the TTU19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16END OF HALF
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:27100% → 100%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
99.6%
(01:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #5 C.Douglas caught at TTU27, for 8 yards to the TTU27, End Of Play PENALTY TTU Holding (#79 H.Sampson) 9 yards from TTU19 to TTU10. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 19
OWN 10
+5
99.6%
(00:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 5 yards gain to the TTU15 (#30 T.White)Similar
Q2 0:33
2ND & 14
OWN 15
0
99.6%
(00:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis rush right for 0 yards to the TTU15 (#81 M.Diatta)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:111% → 0%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.8%
(14:56) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU28 (#13 B.Roberts)Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.7%
(14:18) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right to #82 Q.Stewart thrown to OSU25 broken up by #5 C.Wisniewski QB hurried by #9 R.HeightSimilar
Q3 14:01
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
99.7%
(14:14) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short middle to #24 T.Howland caught at OSU25, for 11 yards to the OSU39 (#5 C.Wisniewski), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.7%
(13:53) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 3 yards gain to the OSU42 (#10 J.Rodriguez; #5 C.Wisniewski)Similar
Q3 13:26
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
99.7%
(13:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short left to #17 G.Freeman thrown to OSU38 broken up by #20 D.BalfourSimilar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+3
99.7%
(13:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass complete short right to #85 G.Brousseau caught at OSU39, for 3 yards to the OSU45 (#51 J.Cofield; #10 J.Rodriguez)Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
99.7%
(12:48) #90 W.Pahl punt 38 yards to the TTU17 fair catch by #3 C.Eakin at TTU17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18TD
9 plays · 83 yds · 3:12100% → 100%
Q3 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
99.7%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 J.Williams rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU20 (#30 T.White)Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+10
99.7%
(12:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #6 K.Valsin caught at TTU18, for 10 yards to the TTU30 (#3 C.Smith), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Offside declinedSimilar
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.7%
(11:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass incomplete short right to #5 C.Douglas thrown to TTU33Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.7%
(11:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis rush left for 3 yards gain to the TTU33 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+17
99.7%
(11:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #5 C.Douglas caught at TTU38, for 17 yards to the TTU50 (#8 P.Robertson; #5 B.McCoy Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
50
+3
99.7%
(10:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #5 C.Douglas caught at TTU48, for 3 yards to the OSU47 (#8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
99.7%
(10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass incomplete deep middle to #5 C.Douglas thrown to OSU18 broken up by #23 K.Harris. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (10:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete deep middle to #5 C.Douglas caught at OSU18, for 34 yards to the OSU13 (#8 P.Robertson; #23 K.Harris), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
(10:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass intercepted by #9 L.Fields at OSU13 #9 L.Fields return 44 yards to the TTU43 (#79 H.Sampson) PENALTY OSU Offside (#14 L.Cleveland) 5 yards from OSU47 to OSU42. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+42
99.8%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete deep left to #5 C.Douglas caught at OSU12, for 42 yards to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:25, 1ST DOWN #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #41 J.Burgess, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:360% → 0%
Q3 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
(09:21) Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU28 (#13 B.Roberts; #7 B.Jordan)Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.8%
(08:43) Shotgun #3 S.Vailahi rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU31 fumbled by #3 S.Vailahi at OSU29 forced by #5 C.Wisniewski recovered by TTU #11 C.Esters III at OSU31, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 20FUMBLE
1 play · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
99.8%
(08:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 7 yards loss to the OSU38 fumbled by #8 C.Dickey at OSU38 recovered by OSU #25 I.Esonwune at OSU38, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.8%
(08:25) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush right for 5 yards gain to the OSU43 (#51 J.Cofield; #3 B.Ramirez)Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 5
OWN 43
0
99.8%
(07:40) Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush right for 0 yards to the OSU43 (#5 C.Wisniewski)Similar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
99.8%
(07:08) Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass incomplete short right to #14 C.Abshire thrown to OSU49 broken up by #4 M.HornSimilar
Q3 6:55
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
99.8%
(07:03) #90 W.Pahl punt 57 yards to the TTU00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:30100% → 100%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
(06:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #1 R.Virgil caught at TTU19, for 3 yards to the TTU23 (#14 L.Cleveland)Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
99.8%
(06:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass incomplete deep right to #5 C.Douglas thrown to TTU45Similar
Q3 6:06
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+23
99.8%
(06:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short right to #5 C.Douglas caught at TTU42, for 23 yards to the TTU46 (#14 L.Cleveland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+37
99.8%
(05:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete short left to #20 J.Williams caught at TTU40, for 37 yards to the OSU17 (#32 M.McDaniel), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
99.9%
(04:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 13 yards gain to the OSU04 (#40 T.McCoy; #27 R.Gay II), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.9%
(04:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush left for 3 yards gain to the OSU01 (#40 T.McCoy)Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
(04:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 C.Dickey rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU01 (#27 R.Gay II; #3 C.Smith)Similar
Q3 3:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17 #48 S.Harrington kick attempt good (H: #41 J.Burgess, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
(03:17) Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass incomplete deep left to #2 T.Davis thrown to TTU45 broken up by #17 P.MorganSimilar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
(03:06) Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass complete short right to #17 G.Freeman caught at OSU21, for 11 yards to the OSU36 (#4 M.Horn), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
(02:33) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU40 (#94 B.Rigsby)Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
99.9%
(01:54) Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush right for 0 yards to the OSU40 (#94 B.Rigsby)Similar
Q3 1:05
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+13
99.9%
(01:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass complete short left to #17 G.Freeman caught at TTU50, for 13 yards to the TTU47 (#1 A.McCarty; #20 D.Balfour), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
99.9%
(00:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass incomplete deep right to #7 S.Rigby thrown to TTU12 broken up by #4 M.HornSimilar
Q3 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
99.9%
(00:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Hicks rush right for 1 yard gain to the TTU46 (#31 D.Bailey)Similar
Q3 0:46
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
(00:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush left for 6 yards gain to the TTU40 (#1 A.McCarty)Similar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 40
+1
99.9%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TTU39 (#3 B.Ramirez), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 20 yds · 1:46100% → 100%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+24
99.9%
(14:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass complete deep right to #14 M.Hudson caught at OSU37, for 24 yards to the OSU37, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
99.9%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Hill rush left for 0 yards to the OSU37 (#0 M.Charles; #71 A.Kelley)Similar
Q4 13:48
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-6
99.9%
(13:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis sacked for loss of 6 yards to the OSU43 (#71 A.Kelley)Similar
Q4 13:35
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+2
99.9%
(13:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the OSU41 (#30 T.White; #87 D.Brown)Similar
Q4 12:56
4TH & 14
OPP 41
0
99.9%
(13:01) #41 J.Burgess punt 32 yards to the OSU09 fair catch by #22 D.Dugar Jr. at OSU09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
99.9%
(12:54) Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass incomplete short right to #24 T.Howland thrown to OSU00 broken up by #11 C.Esters IIISimilar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 9
+12
99.9%
(12:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 12 yards gain to the OSU21 (#24 M.Esquerra; #17 P.Morgan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.9%
(12:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass incomplete deep left to #2 T.Davis thrown to OSU45 broken up by #4 M.HornSimilar
Q4 11:56
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+5
99.9%
(12:02) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU26 (#88 A.Washington; #11 C.Esters III)Similar
Q4 11:12
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+6
99.9%
(11:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass complete short right to #14 C.Abshire caught at OSU31, for 6 yards to the OSU32 (#27 A.Boyd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
99.9%
(10:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters sacked for loss of 7 yards to the OSU25 (#90 A.Nedore)Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 17
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
(10:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush middle for 9 yards gain to the OSU34 (#17 P.Morgan; #24 M.Esquerra)Similar
Q4 9:53
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
99.9%
(09:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass incomplete short right to #14 C.Abshire thrown to OSU45Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+15
99.9%
(09:53) #90 W.Pahl punt 45 yards to the TTU21 #21 T.Gentry return 15 yards to the TTU36 (#72 L.Taukeiaho)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 26MISSED FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:33100% → 100%
Q4 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 O.Miles III rush right for 2 yards gain to the TTU38 (#6 B.Rawls)Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+11
99.9%
(08:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass incomplete short middle to #14 M.Hudson thrown to TTU49, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (#22 K.Foreman) 11 yard from TTU38 to TTU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
99.9%
(08:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 O.Miles III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU47 (#6 B.Rawls)Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+15
99.9%
(08:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 M.Griffis pass incomplete deep right to #14 M.Hudson thrown to OSU20 PENALTY OSU Pass Interference (#22 K.Foreman) 15 yards from OSU47 to OSU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
99.9%
(08:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 O.Miles III rush middle for 4 yards gain to the OSU28 (#81 M.Diatta; #8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 28
0
99.9%
(07:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Hill rush right for 0 yards to the OSU28 (#40 T.McCoy; #6 B.Rawls)Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+1
99.9%
(06:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Hill rush middle for 1 yard gain to the OSU27 (#14 L.Cleveland; #17 S.Havili Kaufusi)Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
99.9%
(05:53) #48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 45 yards NO GOOD (H: #41 J.Burgess, LS: #89 J.Llewellyn), clock 05:49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
(05:48) Shotgun #12 N.Walters pass complete short middle to #11 R.Capell caught at OSU22, for 4 yards to the OSU31 (#45 B.Golwas; #17 P.Morgan)Similar
Q4 5:05
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+2
100.0%
(05:10) Shotgun #1 K.Hicks rush left for 2 yards gain to the OSU33 (#17 P.Morgan)Similar
Q4 4:18
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
100.0%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #12 N.Walters rush middle for 0 yards to the OSU33 (#8 E.Banks; #88 A.Washington)Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 4
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
(03:51) #90 W.Pahl punt 55 yards to the TTU12 #21 T.Gentry return 2 yards to the TTU14 (#16 C.Bradley; #26 J.Oliphant Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 28END OF GAME
8 plays · 12 yds · 2:55100% → 100%
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
100.0%
(03:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 A.Hill rush middle for 2 yards gain to the TTU16 (#35 P.Utu; #99 I.Oates)Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+3
100.0%
(02:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 H.Phillips rush right for 3 yards gain to the TTU19 (#37 D.Fullbright; #8 P.Robertson)Similar
Q4 1:59
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+8
100.0%
(02:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 H.Phillips pass complete short right to #14 M.Hudson caught at TTU27, for 8 yards to the TTU27 (#37 D.Fullbright; #30 T.White), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
100.0%
(01:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 O.Miles III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the TTU30 (#81 M.Diatta; #98 L.Webb)Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-2
100.0%
(01:12) No Huddle-Shotgun Texas Tech rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TTU28, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 9
OWN 28
-2
100.0%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Texas Tech rush middle for 2 yards loss to the TTU26, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:53
(14:56) Shotgun #24 T.Howland rush middle for 3 yards gain to the OSU28 (#13 B.Roberts)
-0.8
KEY PLAY · Q3 14:18
(14:18) Shotgun #18 S.Jackson V pass incomplete short right to #82 Q.Stewart thrown to OSU25 broken up by #5 C.Wisniewski QB hurried by #9 R.Height
+0.8
TD · Q1 1:30
C. Dickey run for 7 yds, for a TD C. Dickey Run For Two-point Conversion
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com