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KSU

Kansas State 42 at Kansas 17

KU
2025 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:00 · (12:06) #8 S.McClannan punt 33 yards to the KU21 #85 T.Nagy return 5 yards to the KU26 (#23 A.Newsom)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 138Home team on offense−37.7Score differential−19.1Garbage-time factor−10.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.6Pregame prior+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:12: (00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #12 J.Tibbs caught at KU00, for 27 yards to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:12, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +5.7 pts (now 57%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:30: (00:37) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:30 #99 L.Marjan kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar) — KU win probability +17.1 pts (now 47%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:23: (07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Rice rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:23 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +15.4 pts (now 82%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 1:21: (01:24) #99 L.Marjan field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar), clock 01:21 — KU win probability +6.0 pts (now 26%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:03: (01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep left to #1 J.Brown caught at KU43, for 78 yards to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:03, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson) — KSU win probability +19.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 9KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:16KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, tied
    Close callWent for it · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.6%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:24KU 4th & 3 at KSU 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    56.8%−0.5
    47% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:25KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:27KU 4th & 11 at KU 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:27KU 4th & 25 at KU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:04KSU 4th & 20 at KU 44, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−2.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    57.4%−1.7
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:29KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−1.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:03KSU 4th & 11 at KSU 39, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−2.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:53KSU 4th & 1 at KU 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    58.3%−3.7
    49% to make
    Punt
    57.1%−5.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:48KU 4th & 2 at midfield, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.5%−1.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:21KU 4th & 9 at KSU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.3%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:11KU 4th & 10 at midfield, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:00KSU 4th & 14 at KSU 46, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−1.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:33KU 4th & 6 at KU 30, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:06KSU 4th & 3 at KU 48, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:16KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 1:5556% → 57%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
56.0%
(14:54) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short middle to #7 C.Pickett caught at KSU26, for 3 yards to the KSU22 (#45 A.Romaine)Similar
Q1 14:09
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
56.1%
(14:16) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #11 B.Canty caught at KSU15, for 8 yards to the KSU14 (#47 C.Stufflebean), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
56.3%
(13:39) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSU12, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+6
56.4%
(13:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. caught at KSU15, for 6 yards to the KSU06 (#3 G.Maldonado; #32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q1 12:50
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
57.1%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush right for 6 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:50, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner broke the plane". CALL UPHELD #99 L.Marjan kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:5543% → 45%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+10
56.9%
(12:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep right to #1 J.Brown thrown to KSU40 PENALTY KU Holding (#26 J.Todd) 10 yards from KSU18 to KSU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+13
56.9%
(12:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #0 L.Cure caught at KSU39, for 13 yards to the KSU41 (#27 T.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KSU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#20 R.Ortiz) 15 yards from KSU41 to KSU26Similar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
57.0%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush right for 3 yards gain to the KSU29 (#52 D.Withers)Similar
Q1 11:47
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+6
57.2%
(11:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at KSU26, for 6 yards to the KSU35 (#15 J.Finkley), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 11:41
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+11
57.2%
(11:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 11 yards gain to the KSU46 (#15 J.Finkley; #1 B.Kamara), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY KU Face Mask (#2 L.Rawls) 15 yards from KSU46 to KU39, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+34
57.1%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #1 J.Brown caught at KU10, for 34 yards to the KU05 (#27 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
57.1%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KU02 (#33 L.Harris III)Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
55.5%
(09:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 2 yards gain to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:50 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · -25 yds · 0:2756% → 54%
Q1 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.4%
(09:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush right for 6 yards gain to the KU31 (#45 A.Romaine; #32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q1 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
56.6%
(09:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Hishaw Jr. thrown to KU30Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
56.2%
(09:25) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #88 B.Groen thrown to KU35 broken up by #32 D.PurnellSimilar
Q1 9:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+20
54.0%
Ralph Ortiz 20 Yd Fumble Return (Luis Rodriguez Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4FUMBLE
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:3854% → 53%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
54.1%
(09:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KU23 (#55 M.Alcorn-Crowder)Similar
Q1 8:27
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+15
53.8%
(08:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush right for 15 yards gain to the KU38 (#18 W.Fair; #6 Q.Moss), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
53.8%
(07:52) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KU47 (#18 W.Fair)Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
54.2%
(07:15) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush right for 2 yards gain to the KU49 (#25 Z.Rich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
53.9%
(06:34) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. thrown to KSU00Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+10
53.8%
(06:28) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush right for 10 yards gain to the KSU41 (#39 T.Bates), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
54.0%
(05:43) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 3 yards gain to the KSU38 (#28 R.Van Wyhe; #56 D.Ilalio)Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+4
53.9%
(05:05) Shotgun #4 L.Williams rush left for 4 yards gain to the KSU34 (#32 D.Purnell; #8 C.Obiazor), out of boundsSimilar
Q1 4:30
3RD & 3
OPP 34
0
53.7%
(04:33) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Canty thrown to KSU35 broken up by #4 D.CobbsSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 3
OPP 34
-8
53.0%
(04:28) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels sacked for loss of 8 yards to the KSU42 (#32 D.Purnell), fumble by #6 J.Daniels recovered by KSU #55 M.Alcorn-Crowder at KSU42, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5249% → 48%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
51.2%
(04:23) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #86 G.Oakley thrown to KSU40 QB hurried by #4 T.LathanSimilar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
51.3%
(04:14) Shotgun #23 D.Rice rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU46 (#94 B.Herold)Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
51.0%
(03:40) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #86 G.Oakley thrown to KSU44 broken up by #1 B.KamaraSimilar
Q1 3:25
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
51.6%
(03:35) #8 S.McClannan punt 34 yards to the KU20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4852% → 51%
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
52.0%
(03:24) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the KU19 (#45 A.Romaine)Similar
Q1 2:43
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
51.8%
(02:47) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Kubecka thrown to KU38Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
50.9%
(02:41) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Pickett thrown to KU28 broken up by #52 R.DavisSimilar
Q1 2:27
4TH & 11
OWN 19
+3
50.5%
(02:36) #35 F.Lappin punt 56 yards to the KSU25 #6 S.Lockett return 3 yards to the KSU28 (#10 J.Gilliom), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 72 yds · 2:0849% → 57%
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
50.9%
(02:23) Shotgun #1 J.Brown rush right for 8 yards gain to the KSU36 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q1 1:56
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+20
50.1%
(02:05) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #1 J.Brown caught at KU46, for 20 yards to the KU44 (#0 A.Alexander), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
49.3%
(01:24) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU43 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q1 0:43
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+16
49.0%
(00:50) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #12 J.Tibbs caught at KU39, for 16 yards to the KU27 (#4 T.Lathan), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
43.4%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep middle to #12 J.Tibbs caught at KU00, for 27 yards to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:12, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:3845% → 42%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
44.9%
(00:05) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KU20 (#45 A.Romaine; #9 D.McIntosh)Similar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+10
45.0%
(14:59) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #1 E.Henderson Jr. caught at KU26, for 10 yards to the KU30 (#4 D.Cobbs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
44.7%
(14:24) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels sacked for loss of 10 yards to the KU20 (#8 C.Obiazor, #91 J.Allen)Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+5
43.5%
(13:44) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 5 yards gain to the KU25 (#91 J.Allen)Similar
Q2 13:00
3RD & 15
OWN 25
-10
42.7%
(13:06) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels sacked for loss of 10 yards to the KU15 (#52 R.Davis)Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 25
OWN 15
-4
42.2%
(12:27) #35 F.Lappin punt 45 yards to the KSU40 muffed by #6 S.Lockett at KSU40 recovered by KSU #6 S.Lockett at KSU36, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 3:1059% → 62%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
40.9%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to KSU40 broken up by #7 D.Graham IISimilar
Q2 12:04
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+9
41.0%
(12:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #87 B.Loftin caught at KSU40, for 9 yards to the KSU45 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+7
39.8%
(11:32) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KU48 (#2 L.Rawls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
39.3%
(11:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KU42 (#4 T.Lathan)Similar
Q2 10:32
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+8
37.8%
(10:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 8 yards gain to the KU34 (#27 T.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
37.4%
(10:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short right to #23 D.Rice thrown to KU39 broken up by #94 B.HeroldSimilar
Q2 9:53
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
36.8%
(10:02) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short right to #4 J.Jackson caught at KU40, for 5 yards loss to the KU39 (#5 D.MIller)Similar
Q2 9:12
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
36.7%
(09:17) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete deep left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to KU18 QB hurried by #5 D.MIller and #15 J.FinkleySimilar
Q2 9:12
4TH & 15
OPP 39
+5
37.7%
PENALTY KSU Delay Of Game 5 yards from KU39 to KU44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 9:04
4TH & 20
OPP 44
0
37.6%
(09:11) #8 S.McClannan punt 29 yards to the KU15 fair catch by #85 T.Nagy at KU15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10TD
22 plays · 85 yds · 8:2938% → 47%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
37.5%
(09:04) Shotgun #4 L.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU16 (#55 M.Alcorn-Crowder)Similar
Q2 8:11
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+8
36.7%
(08:18) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #7 C.Pickett caught at KU23, for 8 yards to the KU24 (#25 Z.Rich)Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 1
OWN 24
+4
36.7%
(07:57) No Huddle #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KU28 (#32 D.Purnell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
36.0%
(07:17) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #9 D.Hishaw Jr. caught at KU25, for 2 yards loss to the KU26 (#45 A.Romaine; #32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 12
OWN 26
0
35.3%
(06:35) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #88 B.Groen thrown to KU30Similar
Q2 6:22
3RD & 12
OWN 26
+13
34.8%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KU39 (#4 D.Cobbs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
36.1%
(05:47) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete deep right to #7 C.Pickett thrown to KSU32 broken up by #18 W.Fair QB hurried by #32 D.PurnellSimilar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+7
35.3%
(05:42) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #5 D.Emilien caught at KU38, for 7 yards to the KU46 (#56 D.Ilalio)Similar
Q2 4:41
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+6
35.6%
(04:52) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 6 yards gain to the KSU48, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
35.9%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #88 B.Groen caught at KU49, for 9 yards to the KSU39 (#25 Z.Rich), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+4
35.6%
(04:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush right for 4 yards gain to the KSU35 (#3 G.Maldonado; #4 D.Cobbs), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
36.0%
(03:25) #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush right for 7 yards gain to the KSU28 (#7 V.Payne)Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
35.3%
(02:47) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush right for 2 yards gain to the KSU26 (#47 C.Stufflebean)Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+10
33.9%
(02:05) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. thrown to KSU00 PENALTY KU Holding (#9 D.Hishaw Jr.) 10 yards from KSU26 to KSU36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 11
OPP 36
+14
33.3%
(01:59) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short middle to #9 D.Hishaw Jr. caught at KSU30, for 14 yards to the KSU22, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+8
34.2%
(01:27) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #3 K.Kubecka caught at KSU18, for 8 yards to the KSU14 (#32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 2
OPP 14
+9
33.8%
(00:49) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush right for 9 yards gain to the KSU05 (#25 Z.Rich), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
33.9%
(00:45) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KSU03 (#3 G.Maldonado)Similar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
47.0%
(00:37) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:30 #99 L.Marjan kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
40.0%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU26 (#15 J.Finkley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2642% → 41%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
42.3%
(15:00) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KU30 (#3 G.Maldonado)Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
42.7%
(14:24) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush right for 1 yard gain to the KU31 (#55 M.Alcorn-Crowder)Similar
Q3 13:39
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
41.4%
(13:43) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete deep left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. thrown to KSU40Similar
Q3 13:29
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+12
40.6%
(13:38) #35 F.Lappin punt 41 yards to the KSU28 #6 S.Lockett return 12 yards to the KSU40 (#6 J.Hurley)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:1963% → 60%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-6
37.3%
(13:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 J.Brown rush left for 6 yards loss to the KSU34 (#0 A.Alexander)Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 16
OWN 34
+5
39.7%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete short left to #0 L.Cure caught at KSU38, for 5 yards to the KSU39 (#0 A.Alexander)Similar
Q3 12:12
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
38.6%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass incomplete short left to #12 J.Tibbs thrown to KSU45Similar
Q3 12:03
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
40.1%
(12:10) #8 S.McClannan punt 25 yards to the KU36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:4741% → 41%
Q3 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
41.4%
(12:02) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KU40 (#3 G.Maldonado)Similar
Q3 11:19
2ND & 6
OWN 40
0
42.7%
(11:21) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #3 K.Kubecka thrown to KSU45Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-6
40.5%
(11:18) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass intercepted by #4 D.Cobbs at KU48 #4 D.Cobbs return 6 yards to the KU42 (#77 E.Cruz Jr.)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:4265% → 82%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
35.5%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KU38 (#94 B.Herold)Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+2
34.9%
(10:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KU36 (#94 B.Herold)Similar
Q3 9:40
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+3
35.0%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KU33 (#1 B.Kamara; #94 B.Herold)Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 1
OPP 33
+3
37.0%
(08:57) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 3 yards gain to the KU30, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
34.3%
(08:25) No Huddle #23 D.Rice rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU29 (#56 M.Calvin; #94 B.Herold)Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+28
33.0%
(07:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep left to #1 J.Brown caught at KU01, for 28 yards to the KU01 (#23 M.Ellis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
17.6%
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Rice rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:23 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 45 yds · 5:5523% → 26%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.1%
(07:21) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. caught at KU30, for 8 yards to the KU33 (#9 D.McIntosh)Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
23.7%
(06:44) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #7 C.Pickett caught at KU31, for 9 yards to the KU42 (#18 W.Fair), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
24.1%
(06:06) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 7 yards gain to the KU49 (#18 W.Fair)Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-2
24.3%
(05:28) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the KU47, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+3
22.1%
(04:42) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush left for 3 yards gain to the KU50 (#52 R.Davis)Similar
Q3 3:48
4TH & 2
50
+6
21.6%
(03:59) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short middle to #7 C.Pickett caught at KSU44, for 6 yards to the KSU44 (#7 V.Payne; #25 Z.Rich), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
22.1%
(03:15) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short right to #7 C.Pickett caught at KU50, for 0 yards to the KSU44 (#4 D.Cobbs). #5 J.Clemons injured on the playSimilar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+13
21.2%
(02:52) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 13 yards gain to the KSU31 (#18 W.Fair), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
22.0%
(02:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KSU30 (#32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 9
OPP 30
0
20.7%
(01:37) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #9 D.Hishaw Jr. thrown to KSU22 QB hurried by #45 A.RomaineSimilar
Q3 1:26
3RD & 9
OPP 30
0
19.7%
(01:30) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short right to #1 E.Henderson Jr. thrown to KSU19 broken up by #8 C.ObiazorSimilar
Q3 1:21
4TH & 9
OPP 30
+47
25.7%
(01:24) #99 L.Marjan field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar), clock 01:21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+78
6.2%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep left to #1 J.Brown caught at KU43, for 78 yards to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:03, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18DOWNS
11 plays · 25 yds · 1:4211% → 9%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
11.0%
(01:01) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the KU29 (#56 D.Ilalio)Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
10.5%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short left to #3 K.Kubecka caught at KU34, for 5 yards to the KU34 (#25 Z.Rich)Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
10.7%
(00:23) No Huddle #6 J.Daniels rush middle for 2 yards gain to the KU36, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
10.3%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short middle to #7 C.Pickett caught at KU40, for 14 yards to the KU50 (#28 R.Van Wyhe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 14:33
1ST & 10
50
0
10.4%
(14:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #88 B.Groen thrown to KSU40 broken up by #7 V.PayneSimilar
Q4 14:29
2ND & 10
50
0
10.3%
(14:33) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. thrown to KSU38 broken up by #99 U.SeumaloSimilar
Q4 14:15
3RD & 10
50
0
10.0%
(14:26) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #88 B.Groen thrown to KSU45 QB hurried by #47 C.StufflebeanSimilar
Q4 14:11
4TH & 10
50
0
8.8%
(14:13) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short middle to #88 B.Groen thrown to KSU42 broken up by #52 R.Davis, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 2:0495% → 95%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
50
-6
5.0%
(14:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 6 yards loss to the KSU44 (#97 K.Caldwell)Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 16
OWN 44
+4
5.0%
(13:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 4 yards gain to the KSU48 (#2 L.Rawls)Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-2
4.8%
(12:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 2 yards loss to the KSU46 (#7 D.Graham II)Similar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 14
OWN 46
+5
5.1%
(12:06) #8 S.McClannan punt 33 yards to the KU21 #85 T.Nagy return 5 yards to the KU26 (#23 A.Newsom)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:166% → 5%
Q4 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-4
6.4%
(11:52) Shotgun #6 J.Daniels rush right for 4 yards loss to the KU22 (#45 A.Romaine; #52 R.Davis)Similar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 14
OWN 22
-8
5.6%
(11:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels sacked for loss of 8 yards to the KU14 (#55 M.Alcorn-Crowder)Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 22
OWN 14
+16
5.4%
(11:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass complete short middle to #9 D.Hishaw Jr. caught at KU18, for 16 yards to the KU30 (#32 D.Purnell)Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
5.3%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #6 J.Daniels pass incomplete short left to #1 E.Henderson Jr. thrown to KU38, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
12 plays · 30 yds · 6:1197% → 100%
Q4 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
3.5%
(10:33) #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KU27 (#1 B.Kamara)Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+9
3.3%
(09:48) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 9 yards gain to the KU18 (#15 J.Finkley; #2 L.Rawls), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
3.1%
(09:02) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush left for 8 yards gain to the KU10, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 2
OPP 10
0
2.9%
(08:17) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 0 yards to the KU10 (#1 B.Kamara)Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
2.9%
(07:34) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KU07 (#7 D.Graham II), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+10
2.6%
(06:52) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush left for 4 yards gain to the KU03 (#91 A.Bray) PENALTY KSU Holding (#77 A.Talalele) 10 yards from KU07 to KU17. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 17
+1
2.3%
(06:25) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU16 (#5 D.MIller)Similar
Q4 5:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 16
-2
2.1%
(05:40) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 2 yards loss to the KU18 (#92 T.Dunn Jr.)Similar
Q4 5:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
+6
2.0%
(05:33) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 6 yards gain to the KU12 (#94 B.Herold) PENALTY KU Face Mask (#92 T.Dunn Jr.) 6 yards from KU12 to KU06, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 4:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
1.6%
(05:01) Shotgun #4 J.Jackson rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KU03 (#97 K.Caldwell)Similar
Q4 4:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.2%
(04:21) Shotgun #2 A.Johnson rush right for 3 yards gain to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:17 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22INT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:380% → 0%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.1%
(04:11) Shotgun #15 C.Ballard rush right for 5 yards gain to the KU40 (#39 T.Bates)Similar
Q4 3:41
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+8
0.1%
(03:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass complete short middle to #88 B.Groen caught at KU45, for 8 yards to the KU48 (#28 R.Van Wyhe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
0.1%
(03:30) PENALTY KU False Start (#75 C.Clements) 5 yards from KU48 to KU43. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 15
OWN 43
-5
0.1%
(03:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #15 C.Ballard pass intercepted by #3 G.Maldonado at KSU40 #3 G.Maldonado return 5 yards to the KSU45, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23END OF GAME
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:38100% → 100%
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
0.2%
(03:18) Shotgun #31 M.Elston Jr. rush left for 0 yards to the KSU45 (#56 M.Calvin; #1 B.Kamara)Similar
Q4 2:28
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
0.2%
(02:33) Shotgun #22 A.Martin Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the KSU47 (#56 M.Calvin; #94 B.Herold)Similar
Q4 1:53
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+5
0.1%
(01:59) Shotgun #7 J.Knuth rush middle for 5 yards gain to the KU48 (#10 J.Gilliom)Similar
Q4 1:06
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+40
0.1%
(01:15) Shotgun #7 J.Knuth rush middle for 40 yards gain to the KU08 (#26 J.Todd), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
0.1%
(00:34) Kneel down by #7 J.Knuth at KU09 for loss of 1 yardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 1:03
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 A.Johnson pass complete deep left to #1 J.Brown caught at KU43, for 78 yards to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:03, 1ST DOWN #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
-19.3
TD · Q2 0:30
(00:37) Shotgun #9 D.Hishaw Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KSU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:30 #99 L.Marjan kick attempt good (H: #37 G.Addison, LS: #51 E.Duggar)
+17.1
TD · Q3 7:23
(07:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 D.Rice rush middle for 1 yard gain to the KU00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:23 #43 L.Rodriguez kick attempt good (H: #8 S.McClannan, LS: #33 A.Johnson)
-15.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com