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WVU

West Virginia 13 at UCF 45

UCF
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 3:01 · Oliver Straw punt for 46 yds , Bredell Richardson returns for 8 yds to the UCF 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 134Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+17.0Pregame prior+4.5Garbage-time factor+5.3Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:54: Tayven Jackson pass complete to Chris Domercant for 34 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — UCF win probability +4.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:19: Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — WVU win probability +4.9 pts (now 32%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:53: Jaden Nixon run for 12 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — UCF win probability +9.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:40: Keli Lawson 32 Yd Fumble Return (Noe Ruelas Kick) — UCF win probability +10.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:12: Jaden Nixon 83 Yd Run (Noe Ruelas Kick) — UCF win probability +2.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 8WVU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 13:18WVU 4th & 14 at WVU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33UCF 4th & 4 at WVU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 67.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    67.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    67.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:01WVU 4th & 13 at UCF 34, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    30.2%
    47% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:54UCF 4th & 5 at WVU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    70.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    70.2%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    69.9%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:48WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:55UCF 4th & 1 at UCF 39, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    75.0%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:44UCF 4th & 1 at WVU 13, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    72.0%−1.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    68.3%−5.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:21WVU 4th & 6 at WVU 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:53UCF 4th & 2 at WVU 48, up 7
    Close callPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 2:11WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.8%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:41UCF 4th & 7 at UCF 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:56WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 35, down 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.1 ptsWent for it · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.5%−1.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.6%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:55WVU 4th & 14 at WVU 42, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:25WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.9%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:01WVU 4th & 13 at WVU 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:53WVU 4th & 9 at UCF 40, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:39UCF 4th & 12 at WVU 48, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 11:02WVU 4th & 16 at WVU 9, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:40UCF 4th & 11 at WVU 33, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 8:59WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 31, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:36WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 31, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 11:33UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:54UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:19WVU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:53UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:40UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:12UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:17UCF Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:46WVU Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 1:3535% → 35%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
65.2%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Fox Jr.,Scotty pass incomplete deep right to Weimer,Jeff thrown to UCF40 broken up by Jackson,Antione PENALTY UCF Pass Interference (Jackson,Antione) 15 yards from WVU25 to WVU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
65.1%
Cyncir Bowers run for 1 yd to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
65.1%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q1 13:59
3RD & 7
OWN 43
-7
65.0%
Scotty Fox Jr. sacked by RJ Jackson Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the WVU 36Similar
Q1 13:18
4TH & 14
OWN 36
0
65.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
6 plays · 97 yds · 1:3665% → 66%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+39
65.0%
Myles Montgomery run for 39 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
65.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Dylan Wade for 12 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
65.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to DJ BlackSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
65.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Duane Thomas Jr.Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+6
65.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 6 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 4
OPP 40
+40
66.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Chris Domercant for 40 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3DOWNS
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:2134% → 33%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
66.0%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 8 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q1 11:04
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
65.8%
Cyncir Bowers run for 4 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
65.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 4 yds to the UCF 49Similar
Q1 10:14
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+7
65.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 7 yds to the UCF 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
66.0%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 9 yds to the UCF 33Similar
Q1 9:24
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+2
65.8%
Cyncir Bowers run for 2 yds to the UCF 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-6
65.8%
Scotty Fox Jr. sacked by Cole Kozlowski for a loss of 6 yards to the UCF 37Similar
Q1 8:26
2ND & 16
OPP 37
+3
66.5%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 3 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 13
OPP 34
0
66.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q1 8:01
4TH & 13
OPP 34
+2
67.3%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 2 yds to the UCF 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:0067% → 73%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
67.2%
Jaden Nixon run for 8 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
67.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to DJ Black for 4 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+25
67.3%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 25 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.3%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Duane Thomas Jr.Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
68.2%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the WVU 39Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+5
68.1%
Duane Thomas Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 5
OPP 34
+34
72.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Chris Domercant for 34 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:5528% → 27%
Q1 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
71.8%
Jarod Bowie run for 13 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
71.6%
Cyncir Bowers run for 4 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q1 3:58
2ND & 6
OWN 42
-3
71.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. sacked by Derrick LeBlanc for a loss of 3 yards to the WVU 39Similar
Q1 3:26
3RD & 9
OWN 39
-4
72.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. sacked by Malachi Lawrence for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 35Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 13
OWN 35
+12
73.4%
Oliver Straw punt for 47 yds , Duane Thomas Jr. returns for 12 yds to the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:4074% → 75%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
74.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Waden Charles for 6 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 2:17
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+2
74.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 2 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q1 1:34
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+1
74.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the UCF 39Similar
Q1 0:55
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
74.9%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the UCF 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:2727% → 32%
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+16
72.9%
Khalil Wilkins run for 16 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
72.4%
Khalil Wilkins run for 11 yds to the UCF 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
72.6%
Cyncir Bowers run for 3 yds to the UCF 9Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+3
72.7%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the UCF 6Similar
Q2 14:19
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
67.8%
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8DOWNS
13 plays · 65 yds · 6:1870% → 73%
Q2 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
69.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Dylan Wade for 7 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+4
70.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 4 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
70.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to DJ Black for 3 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q2 12:26
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+17
70.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Marcus Burke for 17 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
71.6%
Davi Belfort run for 3 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+7
71.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Kylan Fox for 7 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
72.2%
Tayven Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+15
72.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Waden Charles for 15 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-2
72.8%
Davi Belfort run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 24Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 12
OPP 24
+11
72.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Carl Jenkins Jr. for 11 yds to the WVU 13Similar
Q2 8:23
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
72.6%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the WVU 13Similar
Q2 7:44
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
72.7%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the WVU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:1528% → 27%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
71.8%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+1
71.8%
Cyncir Bowers run for 1 yd to the WVU 17Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
72.7%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Jarod BowieSimilar
Q2 6:21
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
73.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1674% → 73%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
74.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Chris Domercant for 3 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+5
74.1%
Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 2
OPP 48
0
73.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Chris DomercantSimilar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 2
OPP 48
0
73.1%
Anthony Venneri punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3527% → 26%
Q2 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
73.1%
Jarod Bowie run for 2 yds to the WVU 10Similar
Q2 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+10
72.8%
Khalil Wilkins run for 10 yds to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
72.7%
Khalil Wilkins run for 5 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
72.3%
Diore Hubbard run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q2 2:47
3RD & 3
OWN 27
-10
72.7%
(02:54) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilkins,Khalil rush middle for 7 yards gain to the WVU34 (Lawrence,Malachi) PENALTY WVU Holding (Livingston,Landen) 10 yards from WVU27 to WVU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:21
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+8
73.9%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Diore Hubbard for 8 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 2:11
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
73.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds , Antione Jackson returns for no gain to the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:2274% → 72%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
73.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Chris Domercant for 3 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
74.1%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Duane Thomas Jr.Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
72.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Chris DomercantSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
71.6%
Anthony Venneri punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13MISSED FG
16 plays · 42 yds · 1:3528% → 32%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
72.0%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+1
71.6%
Khalil Wilkins run for 1 yd to the WVU 36Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 6
OWN 36
-1
72.3%
Khalil Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 35Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 7
OWN 35
+12
73.7%
Oliver Straw run for 12 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
70.2%
(00:56) PENALTY WVU False Start 5 yards from WVU47 to WVU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
72.1%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Rodney Gallagher IIISimilar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+1
72.4%
Khalil Wilkins run for 1 yd to the WVU 43Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 14
OWN 43
+16
72.8%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete for a 1ST down UCF Penalty, UNR: Unnecessary Roughness (Nyjalik Kelly) to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
69.1%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 12 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
68.5%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+44
68.5%
Kade Hensley 44 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 2:5973% → 86%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
73.0%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to DJ BlackSimilar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+5
72.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 5 yds to the UCF 13Similar
Q3 14:23
3RD & 5
OWN 13
+21
72.2%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 21 yds to the UCF 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
73.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Waden Charles for 19 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
75.8%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Duane Thomas Jr.Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+1
75.6%
Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+20
74.6%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Caleb Rollerson for 20 yds to the WVU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
76.1%
(12:36) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Tayven pass incomplete deep middle to Rollerson,Caleb thrown to WVU00 broken up by Perry,Fred PENALTY WVU Offside (Robinson,Jimmori) 5 yards from WVU26 to WVU21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 5
OPP 21
+9
76.1%
Jaden Nixon run for 9 yds to the WVU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 12 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:0716% → 7%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.0%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 10 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
83.4%
Khalil Wilkins run for 2 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q3 10:50
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
83.3%
West Virginia Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+32
93.5%
Keli Lawson 32 Yd Fumble Return (Noe Ruelas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 2:376% → 5%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.8%
Cyncir Bowers run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
93.7%
Cyncir Bowers run for 5 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.1%
Cyncir Bowers run for 1 yd to the WVU 36Similar
Q3 9:09
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+10
94.3%
(09:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilkins,Khalil pass intercepted by Marshall,Braeden at UCF40 Marshall,Braeden return 16 yards to the WVU44 (Bowie,Jarod) PENALTY UCF Holding (Bell,DJ) 10 yards from WVU36 to WVU46, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
94.3%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Makane'ole,Kimo) 5 yards from WVU46 to WVU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 15
OWN 41
+1
94.7%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Diore Hubbard for 1 yd to the WVU 42Similar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 14
OWN 42
0
94.9%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Rodney Gallagher IIISimilar
Q3 8:07
3RD & 14
OWN 42
0
95.0%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 7:55
4TH & 14
OWN 42
0
95.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 54 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17INT
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:2595% → 96%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
94.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Chris Domercant for 9 yds to the UCF 13Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+31
95.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 31 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
95.8%
Myles Montgomery run for 8 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 2
OPP 48
-3
96.0%
Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 49Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-24
96.1%
Tayven Jackson pass intercepted Jason Chambers return for 24 yds to the WVU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 9 yds · 2:135% → 3%
Q3 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
95.5%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
95.5%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+4
96.2%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cyncir Bowers for 4 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q3 4:25
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+3
96.2%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:07
1ST & 10
50
0
96.2%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 10
50
0
96.2%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 3:58
3RD & 10
50
-10
96.3%
(04:02) No Huddle-Shotgun Fox Jr.,Scotty rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UCF44 (Carter,Lewis) PENALTY WVU Holding (Young Bear,Walter) 10 yards from WVU50 to WVU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:41
3RD & 20
OWN 40
+7
96.6%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cyncir Bowers for 7 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q3 3:01
4TH & 13
OWN 47
+8
96.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 46 yds , Bredell Richardson returns for 8 yds to the UCF 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19TD
2 plays · 85 yds · 0:4297% → 100%
Q3 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
96.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q3 2:12
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+83
99.6%
Jaden Nixon 83 Yd Run (Noe Ruelas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 25 yds · 2:110% → 0%
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 5 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 40
0
99.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Justin Smith-BrownSimilar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+8
99.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 8 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
99.7%
Cyncir Bowers run for 8 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+3
99.7%
Cyncir Bowers run for 3 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.7%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-2
99.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. sacked by Malachi Lawrence for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 40Similar
Q4 14:58
3RD & 9
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 9
OPP 40
0
99.8%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
99.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Dylan Wade for 14 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
99.7%
Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q4 13:51
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-1
99.8%
UCF Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Tayven Jackson) to the WVU 45Similar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Jaden Nixon for 2 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 7
OPP 43
-5
99.8%
PENALTY UCF Delay Of Game 5 yards from WVU43 to WVU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
99.8%
Anthony Venneri punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q4 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
99.8%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 1 yd to the WVU 16Similar
Q4 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+1
99.8%
Khalil Wilkins run for 1 yd to the WVU 17Similar
Q4 11:23
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-8
99.9%
Khalil Wilkins sacked by John Walker for a loss of 8 yards to the WVU 9 Khalil Wilkins fumbled, recovered by WVU Kimo Makane'ole , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 11:02
4TH & 16
OWN 9
+26
99.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 49 yds , Antione Jackson returns for 26 yds to the WVU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23FG
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the WVU 32Similar
Q4 10:21
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-1
99.8%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Myles MontgomerySimilar
Q4 9:40
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+51
99.8%
Noe Ruelas 51 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:330% → 0%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Diore Hubbard run for 6 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Jarod BowieSimilar
Q4 9:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Jarod BowieSimilar
Q4 8:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Antione Jackson at the UCF 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:30100% → 100%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Jaden Nixon run for 3 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
99.9%
Agyeman Addae run for 8 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
99.9%
Davi Belfort run for 6 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Davi Belfort pass incomplete to Thomas WadsworthSimilar
Q4 6:56
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+13
99.9%
Davi Belfort run for 13 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
99.9%
Agyeman Addae run for 2 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+39
99.9%
Davi Belfort pass complete to Caleb Rollerson for 39 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+4
99.9%
Davi Belfort pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 4 yds to the WVU 5Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
99.9%
Caleb Rollerson run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 10Similar
Q4 4:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Davi Belfort 10 Yd Run (Noe Ruelas Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:350% → 0%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Diore Hubbard for 6 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q4 3:51
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Justin Smith-BrownSimilar
Q4 3:47
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass incomplete to Rodney Gallagher IIISimilar
Q4 3:36
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Agyeman Addae run for 3 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+1
99.9%
Agyeman Addae run for 1 yd to the UCF 28Similar
Q4 2:21
3RD & 6
OWN 28
-31
99.9%
Brock Hansel pass intercepted Jordan Walker return for 31 yds to the UCF 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28TD
3 plays · 1 yds · 0:140% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
99.9%
run for 19 yds to the UCF 20 fumbled, recovered by WVU Scotty Fox Jr.Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 20
+19
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 19 yds to the UCF 1Similar
Q4 1:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Diore Hubbard 1 Yd Run (Kade Hensley PAT failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 29END OF GAME
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q4 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Brock Hansel pass complete to Tyler Wrenn for 11 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
99.9%
Tyler Wrenn run for 8 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Brock Hansel pass incomplete to Jordyn BridgewaterSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-1
99.9%
(00:27) Kneel down by UCF at UCF43 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:40
Keli Lawson 32 Yd Fumble Return (Noe Ruelas Kick)
+10.3
TD · Q3 11:53
Jaden Nixon run for 12 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+9.7
TD · Q2 14:19
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-4.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com