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CIN

Cincinnati 49 at Oklahoma State 17

OKST
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:12 · Max Fletcher punt for 41 yds Cincinnati Penalty, kick catching interference (Christian Harrison) to the OKST 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseOffense timeoutsDefense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factor
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior−30.3Home team on offense−22.3Offense timeouts−11.6Defense timeouts−12.2Score differential−9.1Garbage-time factor−4.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 11:12: S. Jackson V run for 6 yds for a TD (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) — OKST win probability +1.1 pts (now 6%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 0:13: Cyrus Allen 12 Yd pass from Brendan Sorsby (Stephen Rusnak Kick) — CIN win probability +1.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:39: Rodney Fields Jr. 20 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick) — OKST win probability +3.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. TD · Q4 13:21: Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — OKST win probability +3.2 pts (now 7%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:05: Matthew McDoom 100 Yd Interception Return (Stephen Rusnak Kick) — CIN win probability +1.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:01OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:10OKST 4th & 5 at CIN 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    9.9%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:48OKST 4th & 1 at CIN 19, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.7
    77% to make
    Punt
    9.7%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:28OKST 4th & 1 at CIN 6, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.8%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    11.8%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−3.2
    average punt
  5. Q3 13:12CIN 4th & 6 at CIN 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  6. Q3 8:52CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 39, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    86.4%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 7:34CIN 4th & 9 at CIN 42, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:31OKST 4th & 13 at OKST 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:24OKST 4th & 1 at CIN 18, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.4
    79% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 7:01OKST 4th & 6 at CIN 23, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.3%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%
    70% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−1.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:40OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 31, down 32
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CIN made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:54CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54CIN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:12OKST Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:44CIN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:13CIN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:39OKST Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:21CIN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:05CIN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:39CIN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:586% → 6%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
5.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 14:32
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-1
5.9%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
5.9%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q1 14:01
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+3
5.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 44 yds , Manny Covey returns for 3 yds to the CIN 31 Cincinnati Penalty, off-side (Kye Stokes) to the CIN 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2TD
5 plays · 79 yds · 1:5894% → 94%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+32
5.9%
Evan Pryor run for 32 yds to the OKST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+10
5.9%
Evan Pryor run for 10 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
5.8%
Cyrus Allen run for 3 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+8
5.8%
Evan Pryor run for 8 yds to the OKST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
5.7%
Cyrus Allen 26 Yd pass from Brendan Sorsby (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 7:406% → 6%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
5.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 21Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
5.5%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Terrill Davis, broken up by Logan WilsonSimilar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+11
5.4%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 11 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
5.8%
Sam Jackson V run for 3 yds to the OKST 35Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-5
5.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, false start (Jakobe Sanders) to the OKST 30Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+6
5.7%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Shamar Rigby, broken up by Matthew McDoom for a 1ST down Cincinnati Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Matthew McDoom) to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
5.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+13
5.5%
Gavin Freeman run for 13 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
5.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
5.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 6 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
5.5%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 6 yds to the CIN 29Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+9
5.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 9 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
5.5%
Sam Jackson V run for 4 yds to the CIN 16Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+1
5.4%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the CIN 15Similar
Q1 4:14
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
5.3%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q1 4:10
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
5.8%
Logan Ward 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 4:1095% → 94%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
5.4%
Evan Pryor run for no gain to the CIN 29Similar
Q1 3:18
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
5.4%
Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+11
5.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 11 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
5.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 14 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+15
5.1%
Tawee Walker run for 15 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+18
5.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 18 yds to the OKST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
5.1%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 14Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+14
6.1%
Cyrus Allen 14 Yd Run (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:415% → 6%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
4.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 41 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
5.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for 11 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
5.2%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Christian Fitzpatrick, broken up by Ormanie ArnoldSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+14
5.2%
Sesi Vailahi run for 14 yds to the CIN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
5.2%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the CIN 9Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
5.2%
Sesi Vailahi run for 3 yds to the CIN 6Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.3%
S. Jackson V run for 6 yds for a TD (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK) (L. Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 2:1995% → 94%
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+17
5.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 17 yds to the CIN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
5.4%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+15
5.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Tawee Walker for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, roughing passer (Michael Diatta) to the CIN 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
5.1%
Tawee Walker run for 3 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+11
5.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 11 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
5.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb Goodie for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive holding (Cam Smith) to the OKST 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
5.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 8:44
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
6.1%
Joe Royer 27 Yd pass from Brendan Sorsby (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7DOWNS
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:154% → 5%
Q2 8:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
4.4%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 20Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
4.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q2 7:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+48
4.5%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 48 yds to the CIN 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-8
5.5%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 2 yds to the CIN 26 Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive holding (Quinton Stewart) to the CIN 36Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 18
OPP 36
0
4.9%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Shamar RigbySimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 18
OPP 36
+12
4.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 12 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q2 5:32
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+5
5.3%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the CIN 19Similar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+4
5.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the CIN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
5.4%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Quinton StewartSimilar
Q2 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+4
5.4%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the CIN 11Similar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+5
5.2%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the CIN 6Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 1
OPP 6
0
5.3%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the CIN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
12 plays · 94 yds · 2:1395% → 99%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
5.4%
Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the CIN 8Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 8
OWN 8
0
3.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 8
OWN 8
+10
3.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 10 yds to the CIN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
3.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 8 yds to the CIN 26Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+8
3.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 8 yds to the CIN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
3.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Gavin Grover for 7 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
3.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Gavin GroverSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
3.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 5 yds to the CIN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+33
3.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 33 yds to the OKST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
3.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Isaiah JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
3.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds to the OKST 12Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
1.4%
Cyrus Allen 12 Yd pass from Brendan Sorsby (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
2.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:4197% → 97%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
3.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 31Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 11
OWN 31
-1
3.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 30Similar
Q3 13:54
3RD & 12
OWN 30
+6
3.3%
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the CIN 36Similar
Q3 13:12
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+26
3.4%
Max Fletcher punt for 41 yds Cincinnati Penalty, kick catching interference (Christian Harrison) to the OKST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 2:253% → 6%
Q3 13:04
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
2.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 8 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+1
2.5%
Sam Jackson V run for 1 yd to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 12:05
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+3
2.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:24
1ST & 10
50
+30
2.5%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Quinton Stewart for 30 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
6.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. 20 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 3:0295% → 96%
Q3 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
4.8%
Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the CIN 36Similar
Q3 10:17
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+3
4.6%
Evan Pryor run for 3 yds to the CIN 39Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 1
OWN 39
0
4.8%
Evan Pryor run for no gain to the CIN 39Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
5.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
3.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell, broken up by Eric FletcherSimilar
Q3 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
3.9%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the CIN 42Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
3.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
4.1%
Max Fletcher punt for 43 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OKST 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 4:554% → 4%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
3.8%
Sesi Vailahi run for 5 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 19
+5
3.7%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 5 yds to the OKST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
3.7%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+9
3.6%
Gavin Freeman run for 9 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+5
3.7%
Sesi Vailahi run for 5 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST down Cincinnati Penalty, substitution infraction (Matthew McDoom) to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
3.8%
Sam Jackson V run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
50
+5
4.2%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 5 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q3 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+4
4.4%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q3 3:04
3RD & 1
OPP 41
-12
4.4%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 12 yards to the OKST 47Similar
Q3 2:31
4TH & 13
OWN 47
0
3.6%
Wes Pahl punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 14TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 4:0495% → 93%
Q3 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
4.6%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the CIN 11Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+9
4.3%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
4.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Elijah Jones for 6 yds to the CIN 26Similar
Q3 0:56
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
3.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Elijah JonesSimilar
Q3 0:52
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+13
4.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 13 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-6
3.3%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by DeSean Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 33
+38
3.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 38 yds to the OKST 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
3.5%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the OKST 24Similar
Q4 14:07
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+15
3.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff Caldwell for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Eric Fletcher) to the OKST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
3.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 8 yds to the OKST 1Similar
Q4 13:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
6.7%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:131% → 0%
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
1.3%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 8 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+8
1.2%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 8 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
1.1%
Sam Jackson V run for 4 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+5
1.0%
Sam Jackson V run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 1
50
+3
1.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+20
1.1%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 20 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
1.4%
Sam Jackson V run for 3 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-3
1.4%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 27Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 10
OPP 27
+9
1.2%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Sesi Vailahi for 9 yds to the CIN 18Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 1
OPP 18
-5
1.2%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Terrill Davis for no gain to the CIN 18 Oklahoma State Penalty, inelgible downfield on pass (-5 Yards) to the CIN 23Similar
Q4 7:01
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+15
1.5%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Terrill Davis for a 1ST down Cincinnati Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Daniel James) to the CIN 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
1.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, false start (Grayson Brousseau) to the CIN 13Similar
Q4 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-1
1.6%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 14Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
-100
0.1%
Matthew McDoom 100 Yd Interception Return (Stephen Rusnak Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16FUMBLE
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:460% → 0%
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
0.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 7 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-19
0.1%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 19 yards to the OKST 13 Sam Jackson V fumbled, recovered by CIN Logan WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
0.4%
Jakorion Caffey run for 4 yds to the OKST 9Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+9
0.3%
Manny Covey run for 9 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Trent Howland run for no gain to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.0%
Kalib Hicks run for no gain to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
0.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 6 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
0.0%
Kalib Hicks run for 2 yds to the OKST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19Uncategorized
6 plays · -15 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
0.1%
Manny Covey run for 9 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-15
0.1%
Cincinnati Penalty, personal foul (Xavier Williams) to the OKST 48Similar
Q4 1:57
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+1
0.1%
Manny Covey run for 1 yd to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
0.1%
Manny Covey run for 2 yds to the OKST 36Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+3
0.1%
Manny Covey run for 3 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q4 0:15
3RD & 5
OPP 33
-2
0.1%
Dakarai Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:39
Rodney Fields Jr. 20 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick)
+3.5
TD · Q4 13:21
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
+3.2
TD · Q2 0:13
Cyrus Allen 12 Yd pass from Brendan Sorsby (Stephen Rusnak Kick)
-1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com