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UTAH

Utah 21 at BYU 24

BYU
2025 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2025 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD-28BYU 68.1%Devon Dampier pass complete to LarrySimmons for 2 yds for a TD (DillonCurtis KICK)AWAY 21 - HOME 24 · Q4 1:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:24 · Devon Dampier pass complete to Larry Simmons for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 190Home team on offense+2.7Pregame prior−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.6Garbage-time factor+1.8Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:24: Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +16.0 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:15: Daniel Bray run for 49 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +30.8 pts (now 71%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 11:19: Parker Kingston run for 12 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +33.4 pts (now 70%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:22: Bear Bachmeier run for 22 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +19.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:24: Devon Dampier pass complete to Larry Simmons for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +28.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Defense has -6 timeouts left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 12:22BYU 4th & 12 at BYU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:22BYU 4th & 12 at BYU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:50UTAH 4th & 1 at BYU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.8%−0.4
    86% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:38BYU 4th & 1 at UTAH 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.7%−0.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    43.4%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:37UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.8%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:11UTAH 4th & 7 at BYU 28, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    46.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    42.2%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:18BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:18BYU 4th & 8 at BYU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:21BYU 4th & 9 at BYU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.0
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:00BYU 4th & 1 at UTAH 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    49.6%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    43.9%−6.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:03BYU 4th & 6 at UTAH 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 50.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    50.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−7.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:00UTAH 4th & 8 at UTAH 27, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.4%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:58BYU 4th & 13 at BYU 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.4%−2.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:47UTAH 4th & 3 at BYU 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    46.4%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    45.2%−1.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    35.1%−11.3
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:27BYU 4th & 7 at UTAH 47, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:33UTAH 4th & 5 at UTAH 30, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.6%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:04UTAH 4th & 15 at UTAH 30, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:45BYU 4th & 5 at UTAH 23, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:45BYU 4th & 5 at UTAH 23, up 10
    Close callWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTAH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q2 13:37BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:24UTAH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:15UTAH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:19BYU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:22BYU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:24UTAH Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.8%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BYUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:3241% → 42%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.2%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 14:07
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+12
41.5%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 12 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
41.7%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 13:11
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
41.9%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to LJ MartinSimilar
Q1 13:01
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-5
41.9%
Bear Bachmeier sacked by John Henry Daley for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 42Similar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
41.8%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mana Carvalho at the UTAH 12Similar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 12
OWN 42
0
41.8%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mana Carvalho at the UTAH 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2DOWNS
13 plays · 81 yds · 5:3258% → 57%
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
42.0%
PENALTY Utah False Start (Mokofisi,Michael) 3 yards from Utah06 to Utah03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:17
1ST & 13
OWN 3
+3
42.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the UTAH 6Similar
Q1 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 6
+6
42.2%
Wayshawn Parker run for 6 yds to the UTAH 12Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 4
OWN 12
+22
42.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 22 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
42.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the UTAH 35Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+8
42.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 8 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q1 9:49
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+7
42.3%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
50
0
42.3%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Dallen BentleySimilar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 10
50
+29
42.4%
Daniel Bray run for 29 yds to the BYU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
42.1%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+5
42.2%
Devon Dampier run for 5 yds to the BYU 14Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+2
42.4%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the BYU 12Similar
Q1 6:50
4TH & 1
OPP 12
-1
43.0%
Daniel Bray run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 55 yds · 4:0443% → 46%
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
43.4%
Parker Kingston run for 4 yds to the BYU 17Similar
Q1 6:17
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+9
43.5%
LJ Martin run for 9 yds to the BYU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
43.8%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 27Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+32
43.9%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Preston Rex for 32 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
45.4%
Bear Bachmeier sacked by Jonah Lea'ea for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 43Similar
Q1 3:56
2ND & 12
OPP 43
+2
45.1%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 2 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q1 3:14
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+13
44.6%
Bear Bachmeier run for 13 yds to the UTAH 32Similar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
45.5%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the UTAH 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4257% → 55%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
43.5%
Utah Penalty, Intentional Grounding (-10 Yards) to the UTAH 22Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 20
OWN 22
+12
44.1%
Devon Dampier run for 12 yds to the UTAH 34Similar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 8
OWN 34
0
44.2%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 8
OWN 34
+2
44.8%
Orion Phillips punt for 49 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 2 yds to the BYU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 81 yds · 2:5146% → 57%
Q1 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
45.5%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the BYU 19Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+14
45.6%
Bear Bachmeier run for 14 yds to the BYU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
46.2%
LJ Martin run for 13 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
47.5%
PENALTY Utah Delay Of Game (Johnson,Tao) 5 yards from BYU46 to Utah49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 5
OPP 49
+6
47.7%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the UTAH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
48.1%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 26 yds to the UTAH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
56.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 17 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6DOWNS
12 plays · 47 yds · 4:1848% → 44%
Q2 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
52.4%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 12:56
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
52.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Semi Taulanga for 10 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
52.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 9 yds to the UTAH 48Similar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+11
51.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the BYU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
51.5%
Devon Dampier run for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
50.5%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+7
51.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Semi Taulanga for 7 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 17
OPP 38
0
53.8%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Lander BartonSimilar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 17
OPP 38
+10
54.8%
Devon Dampier run for 10 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 7
OPP 28
0
56.5%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4762% → 61%
Q2 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
61.5%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q2 8:32
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
62.0%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 35Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-5
62.4%
Bear Bachmeier run for a loss of 5 yards to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
61.3%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mana Carvalho at the UTAH 25Similar
Q2 7:18
4TH & 8
OWN 30
0
61.3%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Mana Carvalho at the UTAH 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8TD
11 plays · 85 yds · 3:4440% → 57%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+12
60.5%
Daniel Bray run for 12 yds to the UTAH 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
60.3%
Daniel Bray run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 24Similar
Q2 6:09
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+17
61.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Lander Barton for 17 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
60.4%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the UTAH 42Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
61.0%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Larry SimmonsSimilar
Q2 4:54
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+24
61.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Larry Simmons for 24 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
58.7%
Devon Dampier run for 26 yds to the BYU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
58.2%
PENALTY Utah False Start 5 yards from BYU08 to BYU13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
+2
58.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for 2 yds to the BYU 11Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
42.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:5849% → 47%
Q2 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.0%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
48.7%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
47.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Cody HagenSimilar
Q2 2:21
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+34
46.7%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 34 yds , Mana Carvalho returns for no gain to the UTAH 40 Mana Carvalho fumbled, recovered by BYU Talan AlfreySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10FG
13 plays · 33 yds · 2:1352% → 55%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
52.3%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+13
53.9%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 13 yds to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
54.1%
Parker Kingston pass incomplete to Carsen RyanSimilar
Q2 1:16
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+8
54.1%
Bear Bachmeier run for 8 yds to the UTAH 14Similar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+1
53.6%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the UTAH 13Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+2
45.1%
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the UTAH 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
48.1%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the UTAH 9Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+2
48.2%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the UTAH 7Similar
Q2 0:06
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
44.3%
Bear Bachmeier pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+26
55.0%
Will Ferrin 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0460% → 54%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
60.0%
Daniel Bray run for 15 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+10
54.2%
(15:00) Ferrin,Will kickoff 48 yards to the Utah17 Damuni,Levani return 9 yards to the Utah26 (Alfrey,Talan; Doe,Kevin) PENALTY Utah Holding 10 yards from BYU35 to BYU45. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5046% → 43%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
53.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 2 yds to the UTAH 27Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
53.9%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:10
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
55.3%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Dallen BentleySimilar
Q3 14:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
56.6%
Orion Phillips punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5757% → 53%
Q3 13:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
57.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Parker KingstonSimilar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
56.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to LJ Martin for 3 yds to the BYU 38Similar
Q3 13:09
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
54.5%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+16
53.0%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 50 yds , Mana Carvalho returns for 16 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 66 yds · 4:0247% → 48%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
53.4%
Devon Dampier sacked by Max Alford for a loss of 5 yards to the UTAH 23Similar
Q3 12:22
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
54.8%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Larry SimmonsSimilar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+52
56.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 52 yds Dallen Bentley fumbled, recovered by UTAH Tobias Merriweather for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
48.6%
Daniel Bray run for 2 yds to the BYU 23Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+8
48.7%
Daniel Bray run for 8 yds to the BYU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
47.9%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 13
-1
48.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 14Similar
Q3 9:17
3RD & 9
OPP 14
+6
50.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 6 yds to the BYU 8Similar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 3
OPP 8
+2
52.0%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the BYU 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:1156% → 58%
Q3 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+14
55.6%
LJ Martin run for 14 yds to the BYU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
56.5%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 8 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q3 7:33
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+6
58.1%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
57.5%
Bear Bachmeier run for 6 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+2
60.6%
Preston Rex run for 2 yds to the BYU 42Similar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+8
59.2%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to LJ Martin for 8 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
50
-10
62.1%
(05:02) Shotgun Martin,LJ rush right for 1 yard loss to the BYU49 (Davis,Elijah) PENALTY BYU Holding (Gentry,Andrew) 10 yards from BYU50 to BYU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:40
1ST & 20
OWN 40
0
59.5%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 20
OWN 40
+10
59.0%
(04:40) Shotgun Bachmeier,Bear pass intercepted by Bennee,Jackson at BYU50 Bennee,Jackson return 9 yards to the BYU41, End Of Play PENALTY Utah Holding (Johnson,Tao) 10 yards from BYU40 to BYU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
50
+3
62.3%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q3 3:42
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
62.6%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 3:37
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
61.1%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 3:27
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
58.4%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16TD
12 plays · 90 yds · 4:0542% → 71%
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
57.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the UTAH 10Similar
Q3 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+12
59.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to JJ Buchanan for 12 yds to the UTAH 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
58.7%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
59.2%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the UTAH 22Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+8
60.7%
(01:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Dampier,Devon pass incomplete short left to Buchanan,JJ thrown to Utah30 broken up by Johnson,Evan PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Johnson,Evan) 8 yards from Utah22 to Utah30, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
57.8%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+6
59.0%
Daniel Bray run for 6 yds to the UTAH 36Similar
Q3 0:51
3RD & 4
OWN 36
+4
57.6%
Daniel Bray run for 4 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
56.5%
PENALTY Utah Delay Of Game (Dampier,Devon) 5 yards from Utah40 to Utah35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+16
59.5%
Byrd Ficklin run for 16 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
28.7%
Daniel Bray run for 49 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 17TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:3933% → 70%
Q4 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+9
32.5%
Bear Bachmeier run for 9 yds to the BYU 28Similar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 1
OWN 28
+4
34.5%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+17
33.1%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 17 yds to the BYU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
36.6%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 26 yds to the UTAH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
70.0%
Parker Kingston run for 12 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18INT
5 plays · 11 yds · 1:4336% → 35%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.2%
Byrd Ficklin run for 3 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+11
63.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 11 yds to the UTAH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-3
62.0%
Byrd Ficklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTAH 36Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 13
OWN 36
0
64.8%
Devon Dampier pass intercepted Tanner Wall return for no gain to the BYU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 64 yds · 4:5474% → 98%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
73.6%
LJ Martin run for 15 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
76.6%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 7:56
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
75.5%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 2 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q4 7:21
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+10
74.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 10 yds to the UTAH 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
77.5%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Kingston,Parker) 5 yards from Utah33 to Utah38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:24
1ST & 15
OPP 38
+17
76.1%
LJ Martin run for 17 yds to the UTAH 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
78.1%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the UTAH 18Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 7
OPP 18
-4
78.4%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 22Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 11
OPP 22
+22
97.7%
Bear Bachmeier run for 22 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 3 yds · 1:067% → 5%
Q4 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
93.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
Q4 3:58
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
92.2%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to JJ BuchananSimilar
Q4 3:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
92.8%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Dallen BentleySimilar
Q4 3:33
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+5
94.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 5 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
93.4%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
93.5%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q4 3:12
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
95.1%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 10
OWN 35
-5
95.2%
PENALTY Utah Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Utah35 to Utah30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:04
4TH & 15
OWN 30
-2
95.5%
Devon Dampier sacked by Jack Kelly for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:1698% → 98%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
98.4%
LJ Martin run for no gain to the UTAH 28Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
98.4%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the UTAH 25Similar
Q4 2:50
3RD & 7
OPP 25
+2
98.5%
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the UTAH 23Similar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
98.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q4 2:45
4TH & 5
OPP 23
0
98.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 22TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 1:003% → 32%
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+31
96.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to JJ Buchanan for 31 yds to the BYU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
96.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 16 yds to the BYU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
95.8%
(02:00) No Huddle-Shotgun Dampier,Devon pass incomplete deep right to Merriweather,Tobias thrown to BYU00 PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Beasley,Tayvion) 15 yards from BYU30 to BYU15, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
95.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q4 1:38
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+4
95.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the BYU 6Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+4
96.1%
(01:28) No Huddle-Shotgun Dampier,Devon pass incomplete short right to Merriweather,Tobias thrown to BYU00 PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Johnson,Evan) 4 yards from BYU06 to BYU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Larry Simmons for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3795% → 96%
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
95.0%
(00:37) Kneel down by BYU at Utah43 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
Q4 0:27
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+5
94.8%
PENALTY Utah Delay Of Game 5 yards from Utah43 to Utah38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 38
-1
96.1%
(00:14) Kneel down by BYU at Utah39 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:19
Parker Kingston run for 12 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+33.4
TD · Q4 14:15
Daniel Bray run for 49 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
-30.8
TD · Q4 1:24
Devon Dampier pass complete to Larry Simmons for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
-28
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com