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HOU

Houston 39 at Oklahoma State 17

OKST
2025 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2025 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 1:17 · Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 4 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Pregame prior−23.7Home team on offense−17.0Score differential−6.8Defense timeouts−14.1Offense timeouts−13.1Garbage-time factor−2.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:43: Conner Weigman run for 3 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — HOU win probability +1.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. FG · Q2 11:08: Logan Ward 37 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +2.0 pts (now 12%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q2 5:39: Conner Weigman pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) (Ethan Sanchez KICK) — HOU win probability +4.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · Q3 13:00: Ethan Sanchez 48 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +1.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 8:27: Ethan Sanchez 30 Yd Field Goal — HOU win probability +2.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: HOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 7 of 9HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 4:16OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    23.9%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:45HOU 4th & 4 at OKST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.5%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:45HOU 4th & 6 at OKST 28, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.8%−<0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    73.4%−1.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:18OKST 4th & 6 at HOU 36, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.6%−0.3
    42% to make
    Punt
    25.4%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:01HOU 4th & 16 at HOU 30, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.9%−1.1
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:08OKST 4th & 8 at HOU 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.8%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:44HOU 4th & 6 at HOU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:26OKST 4th & 21 at OKST 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−2.1
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:27OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:17HOU 4th & 3 at OKST 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    84.3%−0.8
    38% to make
    Punt
    83.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:02HOU 4th & 17 at OKST 41, up 14
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−0.7
    32% to make
    Punt
    85.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:00HOU 4th & 5 at OKST 30, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.6%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:51OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 29, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:27HOU 4th & 3 at OKST 12, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.6%−0.5
    86% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−6.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:30OKST 4th & 22 at OKST 24, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−2.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:08OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 26, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:43HOU 4th & 7 at OKST 11, up 26
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.7
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:55OKST 4th & 3 at HOU 33, down 29
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 1 of 2HOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 12:48OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:43HOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:39HOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:20HOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:35HOU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:55OKST Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1113% → 13%
Q1 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.2%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Quinton Stewart, broken up by Jalen GarnerSimilar
Q1 14:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
13.2%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 21Similar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+15
13.0%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 15 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
12.9%
Sam Jackson V run for 1 yd to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+63
13.0%
Shamar Rigby pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 63 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 2TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 4:4987% → 88%
Q1 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+5
13.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 5 yds to the HOU 27Similar
Q1 11:55
2ND & 5
OWN 27
+2
13.4%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the HOU 29Similar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 3
OWN 29
+22
13.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 22 yds to the OKST 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
13.8%
J'Marion Burnette run for 1 yd to the OKST 48 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Wendell Gregory) to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
13.8%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
13.9%
Conner Weigman run for 5 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 3
OPP 26
-5
14.3%
Houston Penalty, false start (Jason Brooks Jr.) to the OKST 31Similar
Q1 8:46
3RD & 8
OPP 31
+29
13.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Harvey Broussard III for 29 yds to the OKST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
13.5%
Conner Weigman run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 3Similar
Q1 7:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.0%
Conner Weigman run for 3 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 3:2712% → 12%
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
12.2%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 8 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 7:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
12.3%
Jaylen Lloyd run for 1 yd to the OKST 34Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
12.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
12.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
11.9%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for no gain to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 4:41
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+11
11.6%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 11 yds to the OKST 44Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
11.9%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Trent Howland, broken up by Jordan AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 4FG
10 plays · 16 yds · 3:3089% → 89%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
11.4%
J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the OKST 44Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
11.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 3 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q1 3:13
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+3
11.3%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 2:45
4TH & 4
OPP 38
+6
11.5%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 6 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
10.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 4 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 1:49
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-10
10.9%
J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the OKST 28 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Dalton Merryman) to the OKST 38Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & 16
OPP 38
+5
11.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jaquise Martin, broken up by JK Johnson Oklahoma State Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 1:26
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+5
10.8%
J'Marion Burnette run for 5 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 0:53
3RD & 6
OPP 28
0
11.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Luke McGary, broken up by Landyn ClevelandSimilar
Q1 0:45
4TH & 6
OPP 28
+46
11.0%
Ethan Sanchez 46 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5MISSED FG
6 plays · 39 yds · 1:2710% → 11%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
10.4%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Cam Abshire for 35 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
11.0%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q1 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
11.0%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the HOU 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+2
10.8%
Sam Jackson V run for 2 yds to the HOU 36Similar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 6
OPP 36
+53
10.7%
Logan Ward 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:1590% → 89%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
10.3%
DJ Butler run for 5 yds to the HOU 41Similar
Q2 13:48
2ND & 5
OWN 41
0
10.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q2 13:44
3RD & 5
OWN 41
-11
10.1%
Conner Weigman sacked by Malik Charles for a loss of 11 yards to the HOU 30Similar
Q2 13:01
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
10.8%
punt for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7FG
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:4212% → 12%
Q2 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
11.5%
Sam Jackson V pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:23
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-10
11.5%
Trent Howland run for no gain to the HOU 22 Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive holding (Jakobe Sanders) to the HOU 32Similar
Q2 12:13
2ND & 20
OPP 32
-5
10.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the HOU 37Similar
Q2 11:49
2ND & 25
OPP 37
0
10.4%
Gavin Freeman pass incomplete to Sam Jackson VSimilar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 25
OPP 37
+17
10.1%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 17 yds to the HOU 20Similar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
12.1%
Logan Ward 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:1889% → 89%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+11
11.0%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 11 yds to the HOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
10.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Amare Thomas, broken up by Kenneth HarrisSimilar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
11.0%
J'Marion Burnette run for no gain to the HOU 30Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-9
11.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Dean Connors for 1 yd to the HOU 31 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Tanner Koziol) to the HOU 21Similar
Q2 8:44
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+13
11.4%
Dean Connors run for 13 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q2 8:44
4TH & 6
OWN 34
0
11.5%
Liam Dougherty punt for 28 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:1112% → 11%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-7
11.9%
Sam Jackson V sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the OKST 31 Oklahoma State Penalty, intentional grounding (Sam Jackson V) to the OKST 31Similar
Q2 8:27
2ND & 17
OWN 31
+1
11.4%
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the OKST 32 Trent Howland fumbled, recovered by OKST Miguel ChavezSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 16
OWN 32
-5
11.6%
Oklahoma State Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the OKST 27Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & 21
OWN 27
0
11.6%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 21
OWN 27
0
11.3%
Wes Pahl punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:4189% → 94%
Q2 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+19
11.0%
Dean Connors run for 19 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+39
10.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 39 yds to the OKST 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
10.3%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the OKST 6Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:068% → 7%
Q2 5:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
7.7%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Grayson Brousseau for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
7.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q2 4:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
7.5%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Christian FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+9
7.4%
Wes Pahl punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the HOU 37 , Mekhi Mews returns for 9 yds to the HOU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 63 yds · 1:0394% → 94%
Q2 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
6.0%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the HOU 42Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+15
5.8%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson, broken up by Cam Smith for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cam Smith) to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+29
5.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 29 yds to the OKST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
5.7%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Harvey Broussard III for 14 yds for a TD Oklahoma State Penalty, substitution infraction (Yards) to the OKST 0 (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13INT
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:075% → 5%
Q2 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.6%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman, broken up by Carlos Allen Jr.Similar
Q2 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
4.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 9 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
5.1%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
5.0%
Sam Jackson V pass intercepted Latreveon McCutchin return for no gain to the OKST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:5297% → 97%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
3.4%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q2 1:30
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
3.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Harvey Broussard IIISimilar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+4
3.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+4
3.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 4 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-10
3.5%
Conner Weigman run for no gain to the OKST 34 Houston Penalty, Offensive holding (Alvin Ebosele) to the OKST 44Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 20
OPP 44
+2
3.4%
Conner Weigman run for 2 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 18
OPP 42
0
3.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Jaquise Martin, broken up by LaDainian FieldsSimilar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+1
3.4%
Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the OKST 41Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 17
OPP 41
0
3.3%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Koby YoungSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15FG
8 plays · 45 yds · 1:5994% → 94%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
5.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 6 yds to the HOU 31Similar
Q3 14:35
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
5.5%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+30
5.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 30 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon Johnson, broken up by Kale SmithSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+5
4.9%
J'Marion Burnette run for 5 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 5
OPP 30
0
4.7%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Luke McGary, broken up by Mordecai McDanielSimilar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
5.7%
Ethan Sanchez 48 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:085% → 4%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.7%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman, broken up by Eddie Walls IIISimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
4.6%
Sam Jackson V run for 1 yd to the OKST 26Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+3
4.5%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Royal Capell for 3 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
4.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 71 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1295% → 98%
Q3 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
4.8%
Dean Connors run for 5 yds to the HOU 25Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+43
4.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 43 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+13
4.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Jaquise Martin for 13 yds to the OKST 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
4.3%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the OKST 15Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-1
4.3%
Conner Weigman run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 16Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-5
4.1%
Houston Penalty, false start (Jason Brooks Jr.) to the OKST 21Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+9
4.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 9 yds to the OKST 12Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
2.1%
Ethan Sanchez 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:552% → 1%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
1.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q3 7:39
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
1.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
1.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 6
OWN 40
-6
1.4%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 34Similar
Q3 6:02
3RD & 12
OWN 34
-10
1.3%
Sam Jackson V sacked by Jalen Garner for a loss of 10 yards to the OKST 24 Sam Jackson V fumbled, recovered by OKST Nuku Mafi , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 22
OWN 24
+8
1.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 52 yds for a 1ST down , Mekhi Mews returns for 8 yds to the HOU 32 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, personal foul (Grant Seagren) to the HOU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 19TD
12 plays · 53 yds · 4:5298% → 98%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
2.1%
Dean Connors run for 14 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
2.0%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q3 4:25
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+13
2.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 13 yds to the OKST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
2.2%
J'Marion Burnette run for 4 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+1
2.0%
J'Marion Burnette run for 1 yd to the OKST 19Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 5
OPP 19
+15
2.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 15 yds to the OKST 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
2.2%
Houston Penalty, false start (Demetrius Hunter) to the OKST 9Similar
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
1.9%
Dean Connors run for 4 yds to the OKST 5Similar
Q3 1:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
2.2%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the OKST 3Similar
Q3 0:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
2.2%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Harvey Broussard III for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Cam Smith) to the OKST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.6%
Dean Connors 2 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
Q3 0:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-62
1.6%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Traville Frederick Jr., broken up by Trip WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 2:270% → 0%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
0.3%
Sam Jackson V run for a loss of 9 yards to the OKST 16Similar
Q4 14:59
2ND & 19
OWN 16
+9
0.2%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Cam Abshire for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Keany Parks) to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.3%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q4 14:24
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
0.3%
Oklahoma State Penalty, false start (Noah McKinney) to the OKST 23Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
0.3%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q4 13:38
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
0.2%
Sam Jackson V run for no gain to the OKST 26Similar
Q4 13:08
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+6
0.2%
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 6 yds to the HOU 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 21FG
13 plays · 51 yds · 1:1999% → 100%
Q4 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
0.7%
Zeon Chriss run for 8 yds to the HOU 46Similar
Q4 8:42
2ND & 2
OWN 46
+4
0.6%
DJ Butler run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
50
+9
0.6%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to DJ Butler for 9 yds to the OKST 41Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+2
0.6%
DJ Butler run for 2 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
0.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 1 yd to the OKST 38Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+13
0.6%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Marquis Shoulders for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kenneth Harris) to the OKST 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
0.7%
DJ Butler run for 4 yds to the OKST 21Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+2
0.7%
DJ Butler run for 2 yds to the OKST 19Similar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+5
0.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 5 yds to the OKST 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
0.6%
Zeon Chriss run for 4 yds to the OKST 10Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 6
OPP 10
-1
0.7%
Zeon Chriss pass complete to Mekhi Mews for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 11Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
0.6%
Zeon Chriss pass incomplete to Amare Thomas, broken up by Landyn ClevelandSimilar
Q4 7:43
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
0.5%
Ethan Sanchez 29 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.1%
Noah Walters pass incomplete to Christian FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 7:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 7:02
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+15
0.1%
Noah Walters pass incomplete to Christian Fitzpatrick for a 1ST down Houston Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Keany Parks) to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
0.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 4
50
+3
0.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for 3 yds to the HOU 47Similar
Q4 5:56
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+7
0.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for 7 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
0.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for 3 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q4 5:03
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+4
0.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for 4 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 3
OPP 33
0
0.1%
Sesi Vailahi run for no gain to the HOU 33Similar
Q4 3:55
4TH & 3
OPP 33
+33
0.4%
Gavin Freeman 33 Yd pass from Noah Walters (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 23Uncategorized
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:2699% → 100%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.1%
Austin Carlisle run for 5 yds to the HOU 30Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
1.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
1.1%
Stacy Sneed run for 1 yd to the HOU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
1.0%
Austin Carlisle run for 12 yds to the HOU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
0.3%
Austin Carlisle run for 8 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+7
0.2%
Zane Smith run for 7 yds to the OKST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
0.2%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:39
Conner Weigman pass complete to Dean Connors for 6 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK) (Ethan Sanchez KICK)
-4.1
FG · Q3 8:27
Ethan Sanchez 30 Yd Field Goal
-2.3
FG · Q2 11:08
Logan Ward 37 Yd Field Goal
+2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com