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KU

Kansas 27 at UCF 20

UCF
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:14 · Anthony Venneri punt for 39 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore differential
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 143Home team on offense−13.2Pregame prior−2.0Garbage-time factor−7.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.9Score differential−4.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:55: Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK) — UCF win probability +7.4 pts (now 58%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:38: Leshon Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +7.3 pts (now 50%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:55: Leshon Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +11.5 pts (now 50%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q3 4:01: Laith Marjan 41 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +7.4 pts (now 54%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:00: Leshon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +25.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 9 of 10KU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 12:48KU 4th & 6 at KU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:55KU 4th & 2 at UCF 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    51.1%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:51UCF 4th & 2 at KU 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 50.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    50.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    49.9%−0.6
    56% to make
    Punt
    49.3%−1.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:38KU 4th & 1 at UCF 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%−2.2
    84% to make
    Punt
    32.0%−8.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49UCF 4th & 11 at KU 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.0%
    75% to make
    Punt
    52.5%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:05UCF 4th & 8 at KU 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.9%
    77% to make
    Punt
    46.9%−7.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:53UCF 4th & 5 at UCF 30, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:07KU 4th & 8 at UCF 15, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    25.5%−12.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:25UCF 4th & 9 at UCF 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−2.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:01KU 4th & 7 at UCF 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−9.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:59UCF 4th & 4 at UCF 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.3%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 13:20KU 4th & 11 at KU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.0%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.5%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:14UCF 4th & 21 at KU 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 24.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−3.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    23.7%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    23.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:36KU 4th & 5 at KU 6, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−2.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:49UCF 4th & 2 at KU 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    17.5%−5.3
    23% to make
    Punt
    18.5%−4.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:47UCF 4th & 1 at KU 1, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−21.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.7%−24.8
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:28KU 4th & 2 at KU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−0.2
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.4%
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:22UCF 4th & 10 at KU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    11.0%−2.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−5.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:15UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:38KU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:55KU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:00KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 1:5463% → 62%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
37.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 15 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
37.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q1 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
37.4%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Cole Kozlowski for a loss of 5 yards to the KU 30Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+9
37.8%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the KU 39Similar
Q1 12:48
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
38.0%
Finn Lappin punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 4:2038% → 43%
Q1 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
38.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Waden Charles for 3 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q1 12:24
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+11
38.2%
Myles Montgomery run for 11 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.4%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Myles MontgomerySimilar
Q1 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+9
38.5%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 9 yds to the UCF 44Similar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+4
38.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 4 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
39.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the KU 49Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+13
39.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Waden Charles for 13 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
40.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 2 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+5
40.2%
Chris Domercant run for 5 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+29
42.7%
Myles Montgomery run for 29 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 35 yds · 4:1658% → 55%
Q1 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
42.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Harry Stewart III for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
42.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
42.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 17 yds to the UCF 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
42.7%
Isaiah Marshall run for 8 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
42.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the UCF 39Similar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 1
OPP 39
-5
43.4%
(05:11) No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jalon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UCF36 (Kozlowski,Cole) PENALTY Kansas Illegal Motion (Groen,Boden) 5 yards from UCF39 to UCF44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+4
43.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 4 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
44.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5347% → 58%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
46.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 22 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
47.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Chris Domercant for 4 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+5
48.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 5 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 2:17
3RD & 1
OPP 29
-1
48.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Dylan Wade for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 30Similar
Q1 1:51
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+11
48.1%
Myles Montgomery run for 11 yds to the KU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
49.8%
(01:18) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Tayven rush right for 0 yards to the Kansas19 (Kamara,Jon Jon; Bray,Alex) PENALTY Kansas Offside (Withers,DJ) 5 yards from Kansas19 to Kansas14. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 5
OPP 14
+9
50.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 9 yds to the KU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
50.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the KU 3Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
58.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5845% → 50%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
55.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 6 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
55.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+46
56.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 46 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
54.7%
Harry Stewart III run for 1 yd to the UCF 22Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+8
55.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Carson Bruhn for 8 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q2 12:15
3RD & 1
OPP 14
0
56.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for no gain to the UCF 14Similar
Q2 11:38
4TH & 1
OPP 14
+11
57.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the UCF 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
57.2%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the UCF 1Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
49.9%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:4653% → 57%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.9%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q2 10:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
52.8%
(10:29) No Huddle-Shotgun Montgomery,Myles rush right for 15 yards gain to the UCF40 (Rawls,Lyrik) PENALTY UCF Holding (Smith,Keegan) 10 yards from UCF25 to UCF15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+20
53.4%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Kylan Fox for 20 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+46
54.4%
Jaden Nixon run for 46 yds to the KU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
57.0%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Marcus BurkeSimilar
Q2 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-1
57.1%
Jaden Nixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 20Similar
Q2 7:53
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
57.5%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Waden CharlesSimilar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+38
57.3%
Noe Ruelas 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 5:3941% → 50%
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.3%
Harry Stewart III run for 3 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
59.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Harry Stewart III for 8 yds to the KU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+24
59.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 24 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
57.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Carson BruhnSimilar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
58.1%
Leshon Williams run for 13 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
57.1%
Leshon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 4:39
2ND & 12
OPP 29
+12
58.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 12 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
58.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the UCF 15Similar
Q2 3:23
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-5
59.1%
PENALTY Kansas False Start (Bruhn,Carson) 5 yards from UCF15 to UCF20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 13
OPP 20
+12
60.8%
Leshon Williams run for 12 yds to the UCF 8Similar
Q2 2:14
3RD & 1
OPP 8
+4
61.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
49.6%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8FG
17 plays · 54 yds · 1:3552% → 60%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
52.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 3 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+7
52.1%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 7 yds to the UCF 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
53.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Kylan Fox for 8 yds to the UCF 45Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+10
54.7%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 10 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
55.4%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun Jackson,Tayven pass incomplete short left to Fox,Kylan thrown to Kansas41 PENALTY Kansas Illegal Substitution 5 yards from Kansas45 to Kansas40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 5
OPP 40
-5
55.4%
PENALTY UCF False Start (Memmelaar,Gaard) 5 yards from Kansas40 to Kansas45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
55.4%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Dylan WadeSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
55.2%
Jaden Nixon run for no gain to the KU 45Similar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+13
54.8%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Duane Thomas Jr. for 13 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+11
57.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 11 yds to the KU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
57.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 2 yds to the KU 19Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 8
OPP 19
0
56.5%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Chris DomercantSimilar
Q2 0:10
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
55.2%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to DJ BlackSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+38
59.8%
Noe Ruelas 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
61.6%
(00:05) Kneel down by Kansas at Kansas24 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:0160% → 58%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.5%
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds to the UCF 28Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
60.0%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Max Drag for 3 yds to the UCF 31Similar
Q3 13:36
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
59.7%
Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 30Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
58.3%
Anthony Venneri punt for 44 yds , Tate Nagy returns for no gain to the KU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 5:3742% → 46%
Q3 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
57.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 8 yds to the KU 34Similar
Q3 12:06
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+20
55.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 20 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
54.9%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+5
55.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 5 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+4
55.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 4 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+16
54.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Carson Bruhn for 16 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+6
54.2%
Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the UCF 11Similar
Q3 8:17
2ND & 4
OPP 11
+1
54.5%
Cam Pickett run for 1 yd to the UCF 10Similar
Q3 7:43
3RD & 3
OPP 10
-5
56.6%
PENALTY Kansas False Start (Cruz Jr.,Enrique) 5 yards from UCF10 to UCF15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
56.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+33
54.0%
Laith Marjan 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:3557% → 55%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.3%
Myles Montgomery run for 1 yd to the UCF 26Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
57.2%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Dylan WadeSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
55.7%
Tayven Jackson pass incomplete to Waden CharlesSimilar
Q3 6:25
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
55.1%
Anthony Venneri punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13FG
7 plays · 46 yds · 2:1345% → 54%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
55.2%
Isaiah Marshall run for 5 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+38
54.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 38 yds to the UCF 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
50.2%
Harry Stewart III run for 3 yds to the UCF 23Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
51.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Boden GroenSimilar
Q3 4:07
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
53.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q3 4:01
4TH & 7
OPP 23
+41
46.3%
Laith Marjan 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14FUMBLE
3 plays · -8 yds · 0:4451% → 49%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-1
50.9%
Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 14Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 11
OWN 14
+3
50.9%
Tayven Jackson pass complete to Myles Montgomery for 3 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-10
49.2%
Tayven Jackson sacked by Jalen Dye for a loss of 10 yards to the UCF 2 Tayven Jackson fumbled, recovered by KU Trey Lathan , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
23.9%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:5232% → 31%
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
31.8%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the UCF 36Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
32.0%
Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 35Similar
Q3 1:43
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+1
29.9%
Cam Fancher run for 1 yd to the UCF 36Similar
Q3 1:07
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+5
28.8%
(01:25) Venneri,Anthony punt 32 yards to the Kansas32 fair catch by Nagy,Tate at Kansas32 PENALTY Kansas Offside (Moeller,Mack) 5 yards from UCF36 to UCF41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:59
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
30.5%
Anthony Venneri punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Tate Nagy at the KU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:3173% → 74%
Q3 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+15
27.3%
Harry Stewart III run for 15 yds to the KU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
26.5%
PENALTY Kansas False Start (Henderson Jr.,Emmanuel) 5 yards from Kansas26 to Kansas21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 15
OWN 21
+4
26.4%
Harry Stewart III run for 4 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
26.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for no gain to the KU 25Similar
Q4 14:04
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
25.2%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the KU 25Similar
Q4 13:20
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
26.2%
Finn Lappin punt for 43 yds , Antione Jackson returns for no gain to the UCF 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 3:5928% → 24%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
28.3%
Chris Domercant run for 11 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
30.3%
Cam Fancher run for 18 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
32.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Kylan Fox for 4 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q4 11:42
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+8
32.7%
Cam Fancher run for 8 yds to the KU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
34.5%
Myles Montgomery run for 2 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-5
34.5%
PENALTY UCF False Start (Drag,Max) 5 yards from Kansas27 to Kansas32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:23
2ND & 13
OPP 32
-3
31.1%
Cam Fancher sacked by Tommy Dunn Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the KU 35Similar
Q4 9:48
3RD & 16
OPP 35
-5
27.4%
(09:48) PENALTY UCF False Start (Kinnie,Cameron) 5 yards from Kansas35 to Kansas40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:22
3RD & 21
OPP 40
0
26.8%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Carl Jenkins Jr.Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 21
OPP 40
0
24.4%
Anthony Venneri punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3279% → 78%
Q4 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
20.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the KU 3Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 3
0
20.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Carson BruhnSimilar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+3
21.7%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the KU 6Similar
Q4 7:36
4TH & 5
OWN 6
0
22.5%
Finn Lappin punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Antione Jackson at the UCF 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20DOWNS
17 plays · 53 yds · 5:4128% → 25%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
28.2%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the UCF 46Similar
Q4 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
24.3%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Chris Domercant for 8 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q4 6:37
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
27.5%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the KU 46Similar
Q4 5:49
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+22
23.5%
Cam Fancher pass complete to DJ Black for 22 yds to the KU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-5
29.2%
(05:36) PENALTY UCF False Start (Cushman,Preston) 5 yards from Kansas24 to Kansas29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 15
OPP 29
-3
27.1%
Myles Montgomery run for a loss of 3 yards to the KU 32Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 18
OPP 32
0
25.3%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Kylan FoxSimilar
Q4 4:28
3RD & 18
OPP 32
+18
23.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Waden Charles for 18 yds to the KU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:54
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
29.5%
Jaden Nixon run for 1 yd to the KU 13Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-1
29.4%
Cam Fancher run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 14Similar
Q4 2:44
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+6
26.4%
Kansas Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (Leroy Harris III) to the KU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
28.9%
Myles Montgomery run for 4 yds to the KU 1Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.6%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the KU 1Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.3%
Myles Montgomery run for no gain to the KU 1Similar
Q4 1:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
25.2%
Cam Fancher run for no gain to the KU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:1595% → 96%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
5.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the KU 3Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+4
5.7%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the KU 7Similar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+2
3.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the KU 9Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 2
OWN 9
+5
3.7%
Finn Lappin punt for 49 yds , Antione Jackson returns for 5 yds to the UCF 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 31 yds · 1:0116% → 13%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
16.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Kylan Fox for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 7
50
+17
17.1%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Carl Jenkins Jr. for 17 yds to the KU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
22.1%
Myles Montgomery run for 7 yds to the KU 26Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+4
23.8%
Cam Fancher pass complete to Carl Jenkins Jr. for 4 yds to the KU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
20.7%
Cam Fancher pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
17.4%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to DJ BlackSimilar
Q4 0:26
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
15.0%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Chris DomercantSimilar
Q4 0:22
4TH & 10
OPP 22
0
12.5%
Cam Fancher pass incomplete to Kylan FoxSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 23END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
5.3%
(00:22) Kneel down by Kansas at Kansas21 for loss of 1 yard.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:00
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
-25.3
TD · Q2 1:55
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
-11.5
TD · Q2 14:55
Myles Montgomery run for 3 yds for a TD (Noe Ruelas KICK)
+7.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com