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OKST

Oklahoma State 13 at Arizona 41

ARIZ
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Arizona Stadium
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Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playARIZ scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of GameFG+0.1ARIZ 99.9%Michael Salgado-Medina 57 yd FG GOODAWAY 13 - HOME 41 · Q4 4:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:12 · Michael Salgado-Medina 57 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+44.0+22.00−22.0−44.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 165Pregame prior+4.4Home team on offense+35.7Score differential+26.9Garbage-time factor+12.8Blowout margin+11.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+11.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:26: Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 22 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:20: Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 47 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:05: Logan Ward 46 yd FG GOOD — OKST win probability +1.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:58: Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK) — ARIZ win probability +2.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:51: Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 29 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK) — ARIZ win probability +1.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: ARIZ has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 7OKST made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 10:08ARIZ 4th & 3 at OKST 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.7%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    90.7%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    90.3%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:09ARIZ 4th & 6 at ARIZ 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:59OKST 4th & 10 at ARIZ 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.4%
    56% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 13:48OKST 4th & 10 at ARIZ 31, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:08ARIZ 4th & 3 at OKST 28, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−1.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:30OKST 4th & 11 at OKST 38, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.5%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:30OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 21, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:05OKST 4th & 17 at ARIZ 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.3%
    58% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:13ARIZ 4th & 26 at ARIZ 39, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:12OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 9, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.2%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:25ARIZ 4th & 3 at OKST 45, up 18
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.9%−1.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:41OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.8%−1.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:12OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 4, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 1:58OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 31, down 25
    Close callWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:53OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:16ARIZ 4th & 19 at ARIZ 32, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:20OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 20, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:12ARIZ 4th & 26 at OKST 39, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%
    36% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:29OKST 4th & 5 at OKST 42, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARIZ made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OKST made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q1 10:08ARIZ Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:26ARIZ Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:20ARIZ Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:58ARIZ Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:51ARIZ Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:40OKST Touchdown, down 26 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARIZDrive 1TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:4394% → 93%
Q1 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.5%
Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
Q1 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+12
93.5%
Ismail Mahdi run for 12 yds to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
93.4%
Noah Fifita run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+13
93.3%
Ismail Mahdi run for 13 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
93.2%
Ismail Mahdi run for 10 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
93.1%
(12:33) Shotgun Fifita,Noah pass incomplete deep right thrown to OSU00 PENALTY OSU Offside (McCoy Jr.,Bryan) 5 yards from OSU34 to OSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:26
1ST & 5
OPP 29
0
93.1%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Javin WhatleySimilar
Q1 12:12
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
93.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 9 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
93.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 3 yds to the OKST 17Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-6
92.9%
Noah Fifita sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 23Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 13
OPP 23
+10
92.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 10 yds to the OKST 13Similar
Q1 10:08
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+13
92.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:037% → 7%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.8%
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 2 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
92.8%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q1 9:01
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
92.8%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+5
92.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 51 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 5 yds to the ARIZ 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3193% → 92%
Q1 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
92.6%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Chris HunterSimilar
Q1 8:32
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
92.5%
Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 5
OWN 33
-1
92.4%
Noah Fifita sacked by Jacobi Oliphant Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q1 7:09
4TH & 6
OWN 32
+9
92.2%
Isaac Lovison punt for 38 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 9 yds to the OKST 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 0:588% → 8%
Q1 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.2%
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 4 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q1 6:28
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+27
92.0%
Zane Flores run for 27 yds to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
91.8%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q1 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
91.8%
Zane Flores pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:05
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
91.9%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Royal CapellSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+47
91.6%
Logan Ward 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 5TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2292% → 92%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kris Hutson for 4 yds to the ARIZ 29Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
91.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 6 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
91.3%
Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 37Similar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+9
91.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
91.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 6 yds to the OKST 48Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+5
91.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 5 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.2%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Luke WysongSimilar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+15
91.0%
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Fifita,Noah pass incomplete deep right thrown to OSU20 PENALTY OSU Roughing The Passer (White,Trip) 15 yards from OSU43 to OSU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
91.1%
Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the OKST 22Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
90.9%
Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the OKST 22Similar
Q1 1:26
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+22
92.0%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 22 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6MISSED FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:198% → 9%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.7%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Cam Abshire for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q1 0:54
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
91.5%
Royal Capell run for 4 yds to the OKST 33Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+18
91.5%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 18 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
91.0%
Sam Jackson V run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+15
91.1%
(14:59) Shotgun Jackson V,Sam rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ARIZ48 (Kennedy,Chase) PENALTY ARIZ Face Mask (Harris,Max) 15 yards from ARIZ46 to ARIZ31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
90.8%
Sam Jackson V pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:41
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
90.8%
Sam Jackson V pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:29
3RD & 10
OPP 31
0
91.1%
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for no gain to the ARIZ 31Similar
Q2 13:48
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+48
91.5%
Logan Ward 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 2:3291% → 92%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
91.4%
Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 33Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+17
91.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
50
+15
92.1%
Kris Hutson run for 15 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
92.1%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+7
92.0%
Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q2 11:14
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
91.8%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Javin WhatleySimilar
Q2 11:08
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
91.6%
Michael Salgado-Medina 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 10 yds · 1:289% → 9%
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+11
90.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 11 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-4
90.6%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 35Similar
Q2 10:14
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
91.0%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Rodney Fields Jr.Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 14
OWN 35
+3
91.4%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 3 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 11
OWN 38
0
91.4%
Wes Pahl punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the ARIZ 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 9TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 3:0291% → 94%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
91.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the ARIZ 17Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+25
91.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kris Hutson for 25 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
91.8%
Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+10
91.6%
(07:52) Shotgun Fifita,Noah pass incomplete deep left to Whatley,Javin thrown to OSU10 PENALTY OSU Holding (Gay II,Raymond) 10 yards from ARIZ43 to OSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-3
91.7%
Noah Fifita run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:57
2ND & 13
50
+3
91.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the OKST 47Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+47
93.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 47 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:376% → 6%
Q2 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.7%
Zane Flores run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
93.5%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the OKST 34Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-13
93.5%
Trent Howland sacked by Dalton Johnson for a loss of 13 yards to the OKST 21Similar
Q2 4:30
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+23
94.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 46 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 23 yds to the OKST 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 11INT
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:2994% → 94%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
94.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 6 yds to the OKST 38Similar
Q2 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 38
-33
94.0%
Noah Fifita pass intercepted Parker Robertson return for 33 yds to the ARIZ 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12FG
9 plays · 18 yds · 2:257% → 7%
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
92.9%
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 46Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 9
OPP 46
-1
93.1%
Trent Howland run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 47Similar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+25
94.0%
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 25 yds to the ARIZ 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
92.9%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q2 2:28
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
93.2%
Zane Flores run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 17Similar
Q2 1:53
3RD & 5
OPP 17
-15
93.1%
(02:00) Shotgun Flores,Zane pass incomplete short right to Smith,Kale thrown to ARIZ00 PENALTY OSU Personal Foul (Stewart,Quinton) 15 yards from ARIZ17 to ARIZ32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 20
OPP 32
+3
94.1%
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 3 yds to the ARIZ 29Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 17
OPP 29
+46
93.2%
Logan Ward 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 13FG
10 plays · 59 yds · 0:5094% → 95%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 9 yds to the ARIZ 34Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
93.9%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quincy Craig for 3 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
93.7%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quincy Craig for 15 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
94.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Cam Barmore for 5 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
94.3%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Javin WhatleySimilar
Q2 0:11
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+7
94.1%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 7 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
94.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 20 yds to the OKST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+34
95.2%
Michael Salgado-Medina 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Zane Flores pass intercepted Jay'Vion Cole return for no gain to the OKST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -16 yds · 1:3595% → 96%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
94.6%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Kris HutsonSimilar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+24
96.1%
Ismail Mahdi run for 24 yds to the ARIZ 31 Ismail Mahdi fumbled, recovered by OKST Ka'Ena DecambraSimilar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 34
OWN 31
+8
95.5%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 8 yds to the ARIZ 39Similar
Q3 13:13
4TH & 26
OWN 39
0
95.5%
Isaac Lovison punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:535% → 5%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
94.8%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 9Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 9
0
94.9%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q3 12:25
3RD & 8
OWN 9
0
95.0%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 8
OWN 9
+12
95.0%
Wes Pahl punt for 55 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 12 yds to the ARIZ 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:3796% → 96%
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
96.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the OKST 49Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 7
OPP 49
-2
96.4%
Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 49Similar
Q3 11:01
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+6
96.3%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quincy Craig for 6 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q3 10:25
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
96.1%
Isaac Lovison punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 18FUMBLE
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:015% → 5%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.5%
Gavin Freeman run for 3 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
95.6%
Sam Jackson V run for 1 yd to the OKST 24Similar
Q3 9:04
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+5
95.7%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q3 8:41
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+6
94.7%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 6 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
94.7%
Zane Flores run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 32Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+11
95.3%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 11 yds to the OKST 43Similar
Q3 7:14
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
94.8%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 44 Rodney Fields Jr. fumbled, recovered by OKST Tre SmithSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:0796% → 96%
Q3 6:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
96.4%
Noah Fifita sacked by Landon Dean for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 46Similar
Q3 6:32
2ND & 12
OPP 46
0
96.3%
Noah Fifita pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 12
OPP 46
+45
96.2%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 45 yds to the OKST 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
96.4%
Noah Fifita run for no gain to the OKST 1 Noah Fifita fumbled, recovered by OKST Bryan McCoy Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:144% → 4%
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
95.7%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 2Similar
Q3 4:58
2ND & 9
OWN 2
0
95.9%
Zane Flores pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+2
95.9%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 2 yds to the OKST 4Similar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 7
OWN 4
0
95.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 21TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 1:0697% → 99%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
96.6%
Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the OKST 38Similar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+17
96.6%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 17 yds to the OKST 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.4%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 22DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:552% → 2%
Q3 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin FreemanSimilar
Q3 2:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Sam Jackson VSimilar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+6
98.1%
Zane Flores pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q3 1:58
4TH & 4
OWN 31
-2
98.2%
Zane Flores sacked by Julian Savaiinaea for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 23TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
99.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 29 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.8%
Gavin Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 23Similar
Q3 0:51
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+3
99.8%
Sam Jackson V run for 3 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+6
99.8%
Sam Jackson V run for 6 yds to the OKST 32Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the ARIZ 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
99.8%
Noah Fifita run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 35Similar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+6
99.8%
Noah Fifita pass complete to Gio Richardson for 6 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.8%
Gio Richardson run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 43Similar
Q4 13:02
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
99.8%
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Gio RichardsonSimilar
Q4 13:02
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-5
99.8%
PENALTY ARIZ False Start (Spivey,Tre) 5 yards from ARIZ43 to ARIZ38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 13
OWN 38
-6
99.8%
Noah Fifita sacked by Poasa Utu for a loss of 6 yards to the ARIZ 32Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Isaac Lovison punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:470% → 0%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 20Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-5
99.9%
Banks Bowen sacked by Myron Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 20Similar
Q4 10:20
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Wes Pahl punt for 45 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 3 yds to the ARIZ 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 27INT TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:28100% → 100%
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.9%
Wesley Yarbrough run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.9%
Wesley Yarbrough run for 11 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:05
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
99.9%
(09:09) Shotgun Yarbrough,Wesley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU36 (McDaniel,Mordecai) PENALTY ARIZ Holding (Wooten,Michael) 10 yards from OSU41 to ARIZ49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:40
1ST & 20
OWN 49
-55
99.7%
Braedyn Locke pass intercepted LaDainian Fields return for 55 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 28FG
10 plays · 36 yds · 4:19100% → 100%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
99.6%
Wesley Yarbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 23Similar
Q4 7:41
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+40
99.7%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Gio Richardson for 40 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
99.8%
Wesley Yarbrough run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 40Similar
Q4 6:46
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+11
99.8%
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mordecai McDaniel) declinedSimilar
Q4 6:25
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+6
99.8%
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Cam Barmore for 6 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.8%
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Tre SpiveySimilar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-7
99.8%
Braedyn Locke sacked by Armstrong Nnodim for a loss of 7 yards to the OKST 30Similar
Q4 4:58
3RD & 17
OPP 30
-9
99.8%
Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OKST 39Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 26
OPP 39
+57
99.9%
Michael Salgado-Medina 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 29DOWNS
8 plays · 17 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Kalib Hicks run for 1 yd to the OKST 26Similar
Q4 3:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Kalib Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 25Similar
Q4 2:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+12
99.9%
Banks Bowen run for 12 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
99.9%
Kalib Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 35Similar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
100.0%
Banks Bowen pass complete to Royal Capell for 5 yds Royal Capell fumbled, recovered by OKST Grant SeagrenSimilar
Q4 0:51
3RD & 17
OWN 30
+12
100.0%
Banks Bowen run for 12 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q4 0:29
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
100.0%
Banks Bowen pass incomplete to Sesi VailahiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARIZDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
B. Locke takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:58
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+2.8
TD · Q2 6:20
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 47 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+2.4
TD · Q3 1:51
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 29 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com