OKST
Oklahoma State 13 at Arizona 41
ARIZ2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · Arizona Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · ARIZ
modelARIZ aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey play
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
ARIZ · Drive 1TD · 14 plays · 75 yds
Q1 15:00
Logan Ward kickoff for 59 yds
87.6%
0.0
Q1 14:51
Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 28
89.6%
+2.0
Q1 14:31
Ismail Mahdi run for 12 yds to the ARIZ 40 for a 1ST down
89.6%
-0.1
Q1 14:07
Noah Fifita run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 43
89.9%
+0.3
Q1 13:29
Ismail Mahdi run for 13 yds to the OKST 44 for a 1ST down
90.0%
+0.1
Q1 13:06
Ismail Mahdi run for 10 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST down
90.3%
+0.3
Q1 12:33
(12:33) Shotgun Fifita,Noah pass incomplete deep right thrown to OSU00 PENALTY OSU Offside (McCoy Jr.,Bryan) 5 yards from OSU34 to OSU29. NO PLAY.
90.5%
+0.1
Q1 12:26
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Javin Whatley
90.3%
-0.2
Q1 12:12
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 9 yds to the OKST 20 for a 1ST down
90.3%
+0.1
Q1 11:55
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 3 yds to the OKST 17
90.3%
0.0
Q1 11:26
Noah Fifita sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the OKST 23
90.3%
-0.1
Q1 10:50
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 10 yds to the OKST 13
90.2%
-0.1
Q1 10:14
Timeout Arizona, clock 10:14
91.4%
+1.2
Q1 10:08
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
95.1%
+3.7
OKST · Drive 2PUNT · 5 plays · 1 yds
Q1 10:08
Ian Wagner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
95.1%
0.0
Q1 9:51
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 2 yds to the OKST 23
94.7%
-0.4
Q1 9:28
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 26
94.7%
0.0
Q1 9:01
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis
94.7%
0.0
Q1 8:48
Wes Pahl punt for 51 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 5 yds to the ARIZ 28
94.5%
-0.1
ARIZ · Drive 3PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q1 8:40
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Chris Hunter
95.0%
+0.5
Q1 8:32
Ismail Mahdi run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 33
95.0%
0.0
Q1 7:46
Noah Fifita sacked by Jacobi Oliphant Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 32
95.0%
0.0
Q1 7:09
Isaac Lovison punt for 38 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for 9 yds to the OKST 39
94.9%
-0.1
OKST · Drive 4FG · 6 plays · 31 yds
Q1 6:57
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 4 yds to the OKST 43
94.2%
-0.7
Q1 6:28
Zane Flores run for 27 yds to the ARIZ 30 for a 1ST down
93.6%
-0.6
Q1 6:20
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis
93.3%
-0.4
Q1 6:13
Zane Flores pass incomplete
93.3%
0.0
Q1 6:05
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Royal Capell
93.3%
0.0
Q1 5:59
Logan Ward 47 yd FG GOOD
88.8%
-4.5
ARIZ · Drive 5TD · 12 plays · 75 yds
Q1 5:59
Logan Ward kickoff for 65 yds
89.7%
+0.9
Q1 5:48
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kris Hutson for 4 yds to the ARIZ 29
91.6%
+1.9
Q1 5:21
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 6 yds to the ARIZ 35 for a 1ST down
91.5%
-0.1
Q1 4:42
Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 37
91.5%
0.0
Q1 4:00
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kris Hutson for 9 yds to the ARIZ 46 for a 1ST down
91.7%
+0.2
Q1 3:33
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 6 yds to the OKST 48
91.7%
0.0
Q1 2:55
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 5 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST down
91.9%
+0.2
Q1 2:44
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Luke Wysong
92.0%
+0.1
Q1 2:37
(02:44) No Huddle-Shotgun Fifita,Noah pass incomplete deep right thrown to OSU20 PENALTY OSU Roughing The Passer (White,Trip) 15 yards from OSU43 to OSU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
91.9%
-0.1
Q1 2:29
Ismail Mahdi run for 6 yds to the OKST 22
91.9%
0.0
Q1 2:03
Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the OKST 22
91.6%
-0.3
Q1 1:26
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 22 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
97.0%
+5.3
OKST · Drive 6MISSED FG · 10 plays · 44 yds
Q1 1:26
Ian Wagner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
96.9%
-0.1
Q1 1:07
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Cam Abshire for 4 yds to the OKST 29
95.8%
-1.1
Q1 0:54
Royal Capell run for 4 yds to the OKST 33
95.8%
0.0
Q1 0:35
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 18 yds to the ARIZ 49 for a 1ST down
95.8%
0.0
Q1 0:00
Sam Jackson V run for 3 yds to the ARIZ 46
95.6%
-0.1
Q2 14:55
(14:59) Shotgun Jackson V,Sam rush middle for 2 yards loss to the ARIZ48 (Kennedy,Chase) PENALTY ARIZ Face Mask (Harris,Max) 15 yards from ARIZ46 to ARIZ31, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
95.6%
-0.1
Q2 14:45
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete
95.4%
-0.2
Q2 14:41
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete
95.4%
0.0
Q2 14:29
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for no gain to the ARIZ 31
95.3%
-0.1
Q2 13:48
Logan Ward 48 yd FG MISSED
95.5%
+0.2
ARIZ · Drive 7MISSED FG · 7 plays · 41 yds
Q2 13:40
Kedrick Reescano run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 33
96.8%
+1.4
Q2 12:51
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
97.2%
+0.4
Q2 12:24
Kris Hutson run for 15 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST down
97.3%
+0.1
Q2 12:00
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Kris Hutson
97.3%
0.0
Q2 11:47
Ismail Mahdi run for 7 yds to the OKST 28
97.3%
0.0
Q2 11:14
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Javin Whatley
97.3%
0.0
Q2 11:08
Michael Salgado-Medina 46 yd FG MISSED
97.2%
0.0
OKST · Drive 8PUNT · 5 plays · 10 yds
Q2 10:58
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 11 yds to the OKST 39 for a 1ST down
95.8%
-1.5
Q2 10:39
Rodney Fields Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 35
95.8%
0.0
Q2 10:14
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Rodney Fields Jr.
95.8%
0.0
Q2 9:58
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 3 yds to the OKST 38
95.7%
-0.1
Q2 9:30
Wes Pahl punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the ARIZ 17
95.7%
0.0
ARIZ · Drive 9TD · 7 plays · 83 yds
Q2 9:22
Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the ARIZ 17
97.1%
+1.4
Q2 8:40
Noah Fifita pass complete to Kris Hutson for 25 yds to the ARIZ 42 for a 1ST down
97.1%
0.0
Q2 8:15
Ismail Mahdi run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 43
97.1%
0.0
Q2 7:47
(07:52) Shotgun Fifita,Noah pass incomplete deep left to Whatley,Javin thrown to OSU10 PENALTY OSU Holding (Gay II,Raymond) 10 yards from ARIZ43 to OSU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
97.3%
+0.1
Q2 7:39
Noah Fifita run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line
97.3%
0.0
Q2 6:57
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 3 yds to the OKST 47
97.3%
0.0
Q2 6:20
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 47 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
99.2%
+1.9
OKST · Drive 10PUNT · 5 plays · -4 yds
Q2 6:20
Ian Wagner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.2%
0.0
Q2 6:07
Zane Flores run for 4 yds to the OKST 29
98.1%
-1.1
Q2 5:43
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the OKST 34
98.1%
0.0
Q2 5:02
Trent Howland sacked by Dalton Johnson for a loss of 13 yards to the OKST 21
98.1%
0.0
Q2 4:30
Wes Pahl punt for 46 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 23 yds to the OKST 44
98.1%
+0.1
ARIZ · Drive 11INT · 2 plays · 6 yds
Q2 4:11
Noah Fifita pass complete to Keyan Burnett for 6 yds to the OKST 38
99.2%
+1.0
Q2 3:42
Noah Fifita pass intercepted Parker Robertson return for 33 yds to the ARIZ 47
99.1%
0.0
OKST · Drive 12FG · 9 plays · 18 yds
Q2 3:30
Trent Howland run for 1 yd to the ARIZ 46
98.0%
-1.2
Q2 3:06
Trent Howland run for a loss of 1 yard to the ARIZ 47
98.0%
0.0
Q2 2:59
Timeout Oklahoma State, clock 02:59
98.1%
+0.1
Q2 2:51
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 25 yds to the ARIZ 22 for a 1ST down
98.1%
0.0
Q2 2:37
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis
98.0%
-0.1
Q2 2:28
Zane Flores run for 5 yds to the ARIZ 17
98.0%
0.0
Q2 1:53
(02:00) Shotgun Flores,Zane pass incomplete short right to Smith,Kale thrown to ARIZ00 PENALTY OSU Personal Foul (Stewart,Quinton) 15 yards from ARIZ17 to ARIZ32. NO PLAY.
98.0%
0.0
Q2 1:36
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 3 yds to the ARIZ 29
98.0%
0.0
Q2 1:05
Logan Ward 46 yd FG GOOD
97.4%
-0.5
ARIZ · Drive 13FG · 10 plays · 59 yds
Q2 1:05
Logan Ward kickoff for 65 yds
97.6%
+0.1
Q2 0:50
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 9 yds to the ARIZ 34
98.8%
+1.2
Q2 0:38
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quincy Craig for 3 yds to the ARIZ 37 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q2 0:28
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quincy Craig for 15 yds to the OKST 48 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q2 0:28
Timeout Oklahoma State, clock 00:28
98.7%
0.0
Q2 0:24
Noah Fifita pass complete to Cam Barmore for 5 yds to the OKST 43
98.7%
0.0
Q2 0:17
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Javin Whatley
98.8%
0.0
Q2 0:11
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 7 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q2 0:04
Noah Fifita pass complete to Luke Wysong for 20 yds to the OKST 16 for a 1ST down
98.7%
0.0
Q2 0:00
Michael Salgado-Medina 34 yd FG GOOD
99.3%
+0.5
OKST · Drive 14INT · 2 plays · 0 yds
Q3 15:00
Ian Wagner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.0%
-0.2
Q3 14:53
Zane Flores pass intercepted Jay'Vion Cole return for no gain to the OKST 45
98.1%
-1.0
ARIZ · Drive 15PUNT · 4 plays · -16 yds
Q3 14:48
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Kris Hutson
99.1%
+1.0
Q3 14:08
Ismail Mahdi run for 24 yds to the ARIZ 31 Ismail Mahdi fumbled, recovered by OKST Ka'Ena Decambra
99.2%
+0.2
Q3 13:40
Noah Fifita pass complete to Sam Olson for 8 yds to the ARIZ 39
99.2%
0.0
Q3 13:13
Isaac Lovison punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 7
99.3%
+0.1
OKST · Drive 16PUNT · 4 plays · 2 yds
Q3 13:05
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 9
98.0%
-1.3
Q3 12:29
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman
98.0%
0.0
Q3 12:25
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Terrill Davis
98.0%
0.0
Q3 12:12
Wes Pahl punt for 55 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 12 yds to the ARIZ 48
98.0%
0.0
ARIZ · Drive 17PUNT · 4 plays · 7 yds
Q3 12:02
Ismail Mahdi run for 3 yds to the OKST 49
99.3%
+1.3
Q3 11:44
Ismail Mahdi run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 49
99.3%
0.0
Q3 11:01
Noah Fifita pass complete to Quincy Craig for 6 yds to the OKST 45
99.3%
-0.1
Q3 10:25
Isaac Lovison punt for 45 yds for a touchback
99.3%
0.0
OKST · Drive 18FUMBLE · 8 plays · 24 yds
Q3 10:15
Gavin Freeman run for 3 yds to the OKST 23
98.5%
-0.8
Q3 9:29
Sam Jackson V run for 1 yd to the OKST 24
98.5%
0.0
Q3 9:04
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the OKST 29
98.5%
0.0
Q3 8:52
Timeout Arizona, clock 08:52
98.4%
-0.1
Q3 8:41
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 6 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST down
98.4%
0.0
Q3 8:12
Zane Flores run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 32
98.4%
0.0
Q3 7:45
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 11 yds to the OKST 43
98.4%
0.0
Q3 7:14
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 44 Rodney Fields Jr. fumbled, recovered by OKST Tre Smith
98.5%
0.0
ARIZ · Drive 19FUMBLE · 4 plays · 43 yds
Q3 6:40
Noah Fifita sacked by Landon Dean for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 46
99.5%
+1.0
Q3 6:32
Noah Fifita pass incomplete
99.5%
0.0
Q3 6:16
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 45 yds to the OKST 1 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q3 5:33
Noah Fifita run for no gain to the OKST 1 Noah Fifita fumbled, recovered by OKST Bryan McCoy Jr.
99.5%
0.0
OKST · Drive 20PUNT · 4 plays · 3 yds
Q3 5:26
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 2
98.6%
-0.8
Q3 4:58
Zane Flores pass incomplete
98.7%
+0.1
Q3 4:45
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 2 yds to the OKST 4
98.7%
0.0
Q3 4:12
Wes Pahl punt for 38 yds
98.8%
+0.1
ARIZ · Drive 21TD · 3 plays · 38 yds
Q3 4:04
Ismail Mahdi run for no gain to the OKST 38
99.5%
+0.7
Q3 3:28
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 17 yds to the OKST 21 for a 1ST down
99.5%
0.0
Q3 2:58
Noah Fifita pass complete to Javin Whatley for 21 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
99.8%
+0.3
OKST · Drive 22DOWNS · 5 plays · 4 yds
Q3 2:58
Ian Wagner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.8%
0.0
Q3 2:53
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman
99.5%
-0.3
Q3 2:49
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Sam Jackson V
99.5%
0.0
Q3 2:36
Zane Flores pass complete to Christian Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the OKST 31
99.6%
0.0
Q3 1:58
Zane Flores sacked by Julian Savaiinaea for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 29
99.6%
0.0
ARIZ · Drive 23TD · 1 play · 29 yds
Q3 1:51
Noah Fifita pass complete to Chris Hunter for 29 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
99.9%
+0.3
OKST · Drive 24PUNT · 5 plays · 7 yds
Q3 1:51
Ian Wagner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q3 1:42
Gavin Freeman run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 23
99.7%
-0.2
Q3 0:51
Sam Jackson V run for 3 yds to the OKST 26
99.7%
0.0
Q3 0:00
Sam Jackson V run for 6 yds to the OKST 32
99.7%
0.0
Q4 14:53
Wes Pahl punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Luke Wysong at the ARIZ 29
99.7%
0.0
ARIZ · Drive 25PUNT · 7 plays · 3 yds
Q4 14:42
Noah Fifita run for 6 yds to the ARIZ 35
99.9%
+0.2
Q4 14:05
Noah Fifita pass complete to Gio Richardson for 6 yds to the ARIZ 41 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:38
Gio Richardson run for 2 yds to the ARIZ 43
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:02
Noah Fifita pass incomplete to Gio Richardson
99.9%
0.0
Q4 13:02
PENALTY ARIZ False Start (Spivey,Tre) 5 yards from ARIZ43 to ARIZ38. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:51
Noah Fifita sacked by Poasa Utu for a loss of 6 yards to the ARIZ 32
99.9%
0.0
Q4 12:16
Isaac Lovison punt for 49 yds
99.9%
0.0
OKST · Drive 26PUNT · 4 plays · 1 yds
Q4 12:07
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 1 yd to the OKST 20
99.7%
-0.2
Q4 11:31
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 5 yds to the OKST 25
99.7%
0.0
Q4 10:52
Banks Bowen sacked by Myron Robinson for a loss of 5 yards to the OKST 20
99.7%
0.0
Q4 10:20
Wes Pahl punt for 45 yds , Luke Wysong returns for 3 yds to the ARIZ 38
99.7%
0.0
ARIZ · Drive 27INT TD · 4 plays · 11 yds
Q4 10:08
Wesley Yarbrough run for 10 yds to the ARIZ 48 for a 1ST down
99.9%
+0.2
Q4 9:39
Wesley Yarbrough run for 11 yds to the OKST 41 for a 1ST down
99.9%
0.0
Q4 9:05
(09:09) Shotgun Yarbrough,Wesley rush middle for 5 yards gain to the OSU36 (McDaniel,Mordecai) PENALTY ARIZ Holding (Wooten,Michael) 10 yards from OSU41 to ARIZ49. NO PLAY.
99.9%
0.0
Q4 8:40
Braedyn Locke pass intercepted LaDainian Fields return for 55 yds for a TD (Logan Ward KICK)
99.8%
-0.1
ARIZ · Drive 28FG · 10 plays · 36 yds
Q4 8:40
Logan Ward kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.6%
-0.3
Q4 8:31
Wesley Yarbrough run for a loss of 2 yards to the ARIZ 23
99.8%
+0.3
Q4 7:41
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Gio Richardson for 40 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q4 7:17
Wesley Yarbrough run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 40
99.8%
0.0
Q4 6:46
Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Mordecai McDaniel) declined
99.8%
0.0
Q4 6:25
Braedyn Locke pass complete to Cam Barmore for 6 yds to the OKST 23 for a 1ST down
99.8%
0.0
Q4 5:54
Braedyn Locke pass incomplete to Tre Spivey
99.8%
0.0
Q4 5:43
Braedyn Locke sacked by Armstrong Nnodim for a loss of 7 yards to the OKST 30
99.8%
0.0
Q4 4:58
Braedyn Locke sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the OKST 39
99.8%
0.0
Q4 4:12
Michael Salgado-Medina 57 yd FG GOOD
99.9%
0.0
OKST · Drive 29DOWNS · 8 plays · 17 yds
Q4 4:12
Ian Wagner kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.9%
0.0
Q4 3:59
Kalib Hicks run for 1 yd to the OKST 26
99.7%
-0.2
Q4 3:26
Kalib Hicks run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 25
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:37
Banks Bowen run for 12 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST down
99.7%
0.0
Q4 2:09
Kalib Hicks run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKST 35
99.7%
0.0
Q4 1:12
Banks Bowen pass complete to Royal Capell for 5 yds Royal Capell fumbled, recovered by OKST Grant Seagren
99.7%
0.0
Q4 0:51
Banks Bowen run for 12 yds to the OKST 42
99.7%
0.0
Q4 0:29
Banks Bowen pass incomplete to Sesi Vailahi
99.7%
0.0
ARIZ · Drive 30END OF GAME · 1 play · -1 yds
Q4 0:00
B. Locke takes a knee
99.9%
+0.2
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 1:26
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 22 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+5.3
FG · Q1 5:59
Logan Ward 47 yd FG GOOD
-4.5
TD · Q1 10:08
Noah Fifita pass complete to Tre Spivey for 13 yds for a TD (Michael Salgado-Medina KICK)
+3.7