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WVU

West Virginia 24 at BYU 38

BYU
2025 · Week 6 · Oct 3, 2025 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:23 · Oliver Straw punt for 48 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for no gain to the BYU 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+40.5+20.30−20.3−40.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+39.5Home team on offense−0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:17: LJ Martin run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +2.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:58: Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — WVU win probability +6.8 pts (now 12%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:58: Timeout BYU, clock 01:58 — BYU win probability +3.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:37: Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — WVU win probability +8.3 pts (now 10%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:14: Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 29 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — WVU win probability +1.9 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 13:23WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:51BYU 4th & 10 at WVU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.3%
    56% to make
    Punt
    88.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:57WVU 4th & 2 at BYU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15WVU 4th & 5 at BYU 27, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    8.6%−1.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:11WVU 4th & 14 at WVU 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−0.4
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:07WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 44, down 18
    Close callPunted · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:32BYU 4th & 1 at WVU 19, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.2%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−2.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:36BYU 4th & 1 at BYU 45, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    94.2%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:45BYU 4th & 6 at WVU 35, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−0.3
    45% to make
    Punt
    95.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:53BYU 4th & 5 at WVU 19, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    92.9%−2.9
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:42BYU 4th & 1 at WVU 21, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    94.3%−1.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:08WVU 4th & 1 at BYU 1, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.2
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:50BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 5, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:14BYU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:41BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:17BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:58WVU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:19BYU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:37WVU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:50BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:14WVU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2610% → 10%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
90.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q1 14:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
90.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q1 14:06
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
90.0%
Khalil Wilkins run for 2 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q1 13:23
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
89.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 48 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for no gain to the BYU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 3:1890% → 89%
Q1 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+47
89.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 47 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:33
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
89.8%
Cody Hagen run for 8 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+2
89.7%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
89.6%
Bear Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 7
OPP 27
-5
89.4%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Roberts,Chase) 5 yards from WVU27 to WVU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 12
OPP 32
+2
89.3%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 2 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 9:58
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
89.1%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Carsen RyanSimilar
Q1 9:51
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+48
88.8%
Will Ferrin 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:2911% → 12%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
88.7%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q1 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+13
88.7%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 13 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-47
88.4%
West Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (Khalil Wilkins) to the WVU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-2
88.4%
West Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (Khalil Wilkins) to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 9:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
89.8%
Parker Kingston run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:1010% → 11%
Q1 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.6%
Diore Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
89.5%
Diore Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q1 8:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
89.3%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
89.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
89.0%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 7:06
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+3
89.0%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
88.8%
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd to the WVU 49Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
88.7%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 4 yds to the BYU 47Similar
Q1 5:32
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+3
88.6%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 44Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+1
88.6%
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the BYU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:0990% → 92%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
90.4%
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+1
90.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 1 yd to the BYU 46Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+54
92.0%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 54 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 4:1910% → 12%
Q1 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
90.3%
Khalil Wilkins run for 11 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
90.1%
Khalil Wilkins run for 9 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
89.8%
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-1
89.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 11
OWN 45
+23
89.8%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 23 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
89.2%
Diore Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 35Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+5
89.4%
Khalil Wilkins run for 5 yds to the BYU 30Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+3
89.3%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
88.3%
Kade Hensley 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8INT
14 plays · 58 yds · 5:5091% → 92%
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
90.8%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 26Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
91.0%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 6 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
91.0%
Bear Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
91.2%
(12:23) Shotgun Bachmeier,Bear pass incomplete deep left to Roberts,Chase thrown to WVU31 PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Coats Jr.,Michael) 15 yards from BYU35 to BYU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
50
+8
91.7%
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q2 11:31
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+3
91.7%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
91.8%
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+4
91.7%
Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
92.2%
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+6
92.0%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 6 yds to the WVU 19Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+2
91.7%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-19
91.9%
Bear Bachmeier pass intercepted Chase Wilson return for 19 yds to the WVU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:5711% → 10%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
89.2%
Jarod Bowie run for 8 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
88.8%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q2 7:32
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+1
89.0%
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the WVU 46Similar
Q2 7:19
4TH & 1
OWN 46
+5
89.4%
PENALTY BYU Offside 5 yards from WVU46 to BYU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
88.6%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Tye Edwards for 4 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 14
OWN 47
0
89.2%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Justin Smith-BrownSimilar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
89.4%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q2 6:11
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
89.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 89 yds · 0:3492% → 94%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+85
91.6%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 85 yds to the WVU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.2%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:588% → 7%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.4%
Khalil Wilkins run for no gain to the WVU 25Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
92.5%
Khalil Wilkins run for 9 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q2 4:08
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
92.4%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.2%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Preston FoxSimilar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
92.3%
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the WVU 37Similar
Q2 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+7
92.9%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Diore Hubbard for 7 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 2:07
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+9
92.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 9 yds to the BYU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12FUMBLE
1 play · -12 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-12
95.2%
Bear Bachmeier run for a loss of 12 yards to the BYU 3 Bear Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by WVU Fred PerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
88.4%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 1:2492% → 91%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+35
92.3%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 35 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
92.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 8 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+2
91.7%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-5
92.0%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Kingston,Parker) 5 yards from WVU28 to WVU33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:54
1ST & 15
OPP 33
+20
92.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 20 yds to the WVU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 15
OPP 33
0
92.7%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Parker KingstonSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+14
92.3%
Bear Bachmeier run for 14 yds to the WVU 19Similar
Q2 0:32
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+3
91.6%
Bear Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+5
92.3%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 5 yds to the WVU 11Similar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 5
OPP 11
+9
92.2%
(00:25) Bachmeier,Bear pass incomplete short right to Roberts,Chase thrown to WVU00 PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Chambers,Jason) 9 yards from WVU11 to WVU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.4%
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
93.6%
Diore Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16FG
19 plays · 55 yds · 7:4993% → 97%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
93.1%
Jovesa Damuni run for 6 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q3 14:14
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+4
94.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 4 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.9%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q3 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
94.8%
Parker Kingston run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 35Similar
Q3 13:02
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+10
94.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 10 yds to the BYU 45Similar
Q3 12:36
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+2
95.0%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
95.7%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 14 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
95.7%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Lapuaho,Weylin) 5 yards from WVU39 to WVU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:07
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+7
95.7%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to LJ Martin for 7 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
95.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Tiger BachmeierSimilar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 8
OPP 37
+2
95.7%
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 6
OPP 35
+11
95.6%
Sam Vander Haar run for 11 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
96.1%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 8
OPP 22
-10
96.2%
(08:39) Shotgun Kingston,Parker rush right for 5 yards gain to the WVU17 (Chambers,Jason; Carrico,Reid), out of bounds PENALTY BYU Holding (Martin,LJ) 10 yards from WVU22 to WVU32. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 18
OPP 32
+10
96.2%
Bear Bachmeier run for 10 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q3 7:32
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+3
96.2%
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the WVU 19Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 5
OPP 19
+37
97.3%
Will Ferrin 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17INT
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:553% → 3%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the WVU 25Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Khalil Wilkins run for no gain to the WVU 25Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+14
97.2%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Preston Fox for 14 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
97.0%
Diore Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 38Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+3
97.4%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+15
97.5%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 15 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.4%
Khalil Wilkins pass intercepted Tanner Wall return for no gain to the BYU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FUMBLE
4 plays · 18 yds · 1:1099% → 99%
Q3 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+6
98.9%
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 10Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 4
OWN 10
+1
98.8%
Jovesa Damuni run for 1 yd to the BYU 11Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+11
98.9%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Jovesa Damuni for 11 yds Jovesa Damuni fumbled, recovered by WVU Ben CutterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19TD
6 plays · 22 yds · 1:473% → 10%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
97.1%
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q3 1:45
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+9
97.5%
Diore Hubbard run for 9 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
97.7%
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd to the BYU 6Similar
Q3 0:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.1%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Jacob BarrickSimilar
Q3 0:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
89.7%
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:3598% → 100%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.5%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Cody HagenSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
97.6%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 20 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
97.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:45
2ND & 5
50
-1
97.8%
LJ Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 49Similar
Q4 13:59
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+21
97.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 21 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
97.9%
(13:25) Shotgun Bachmeier,Bear rush right for 1 yard gain to the WVU29 (Jones Jr,Curtis) PENALTY BYU Holding (Gentry,Andrew) 10 yards from WVU30 to WVU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+13
98.0%
Bear Bachmeier run for 13 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+2
98.1%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
98.0%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q4 10:42
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+1
98.1%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+14
98.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to LJ Martin for 14 yds to the WVU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.5%
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the WVU 1Similar
Q4 8:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21DOWNS
18 plays · 74 yds · 5:231% → 1%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+32
99.3%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 32 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
99.2%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the BYU 40Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+4
99.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for 4 yds to the BYU 36Similar
Q4 7:15
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
99.3%
Khalil Wilkins run for 5 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
99.2%
Clay Ash run for no gain to the BYU 31Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
99.4%
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilkins,Khalil pass incomplete deep left to Bowie,Jarod thrown to BYU11 PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Beasley,Tayvion) 15 yards from BYU31 to BYU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.3%
Clay Ash run for 3 yds to the BYU 13Similar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+4
99.3%
Khalil Wilkins run for 4 yds to the BYU 9Similar
Q4 5:25
3RD & 3
OPP 9
+7
99.4%
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Keanu Tanuvasa) to the BYU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.4%
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the BYU 7Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.4%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 4Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.5%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 1Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
(03:23) PENALTY BYU Offside (Lutui,Logan). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.5%
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the BYU 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
99.9%
Bear Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 2Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+1
99.9%
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 3Similar
Q4 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 3
+2
99.9%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 5Similar
Q4 1:50
4TH & 6
OWN 5
0
99.9%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:300% → 2%
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+14
99.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 14 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
99.7%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 11 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
97.8%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 29 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24END OF GAME
4 plays · 25 yds · 1:05100% → 100%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+32
99.6%
LJ Martin run for 32 yds to the WVU 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-5
99.6%
PENALTY BYU False Start (Leausa,Austin) 5 yards from WVU12 to WVU17. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 15
OPP 17
-2
99.6%
(00:35) Kneel down by BYU at WVU19 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:37
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-8.3
TD · Q2 1:58
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-6.8
TD · Q2 1:58
Timeout BYU, clock 01:58
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com