WVU
West Virginia 24 at BYU 38
BYU2025 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2025 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey play
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WVU · Drive 1PUNT · 5 plays · 8 yds
Q1 15:00
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
87.7%
0.0
Q1 14:49
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 28
86.2%
-1.5
Q1 14:29
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 31
85.6%
-0.5
Q1 14:06
Khalil Wilkins run for 2 yds to the WVU 33
85.6%
0.0
Q1 13:23
Oliver Straw punt for 48 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for no gain to the BYU 13
85.6%
0.0
BYU · Drive 2MISSED FG · 8 plays · 57 yds
Q1 13:09
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 47 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST down
87.6%
+1.9
Q1 12:33
Cody Hagen run for 8 yds to the WVU 32
88.6%
+1.0
Q1 12:07
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST down
88.5%
-0.1
Q1 11:30
Bear Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the WVU 27
88.4%
-0.1
Q1 10:59
PENALTY BYU False Start (Roberts,Chase) 5 yards from WVU27 to WVU32. NO PLAY.
88.4%
0.0
Q1 10:36
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 2 yds to the WVU 30
88.4%
0.0
Q1 9:58
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Carsen Ryan
88.3%
-0.1
Q1 9:51
Will Ferrin 48 yd FG MISSED
88.1%
-0.2
WVU · Drive 3INT · 5 plays · 13 yds
Q1 9:51
Timeout BYU, clock 09:51
84.1%
-4.0
Q1 9:48
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam Vaughn
84.1%
0.0
Q1 9:27
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 13 yds to the WVU 43 for a 1ST down
84.1%
+0.1
Q1 9:19
West Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (Khalil Wilkins) to the WVU 3 for a 1ST down
83.5%
-0.7
Q1 9:19
West Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (Khalil Wilkins) to the WVU 1 for a 1ST down
83.5%
0.0
BYU · Drive 4TD · 2 plays · 1 yds
Q1 9:14
Parker Kingston run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
91.8%
+8.3
Q1 9:14
Timeout BYU, clock 09:14
93.0%
+1.3
WVU · Drive 5DOWNS · 11 plays · 32 yds
Q1 9:14
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
91.4%
-1.6
Q1 9:07
Diore Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVU 29
93.0%
+1.6
Q1 8:48
Diore Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVU 33
92.9%
-0.2
Q1 8:20
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down
92.9%
0.0
Q1 7:48
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds to the WVU 42
92.9%
0.0
Q1 7:23
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVU 45
92.6%
-0.2
Q1 7:06
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 48 for a 1ST down
92.5%
-0.1
Q1 6:33
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd to the WVU 49
91.7%
-0.8
Q1 5:56
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 4 yds to the BYU 47
91.1%
-0.6
Q1 5:32
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 44
90.8%
-0.3
Q1 4:57
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the BYU 43
90.9%
+0.1
BYU · Drive 6TD · 4 plays · 57 yds
Q1 4:57
Timeout BYU, clock 04:57
91.0%
+0.1
Q1 4:50
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the BYU 45
91.0%
0.0
Q1 4:15
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 1 yd to the BYU 46
91.0%
0.0
Q1 3:41
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 54 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
98.0%
+7.0
WVU · Drive 7FG · 10 plays · 48 yds
Q1 3:41
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.0%
0.0
Q1 3:34
Khalil Wilkins run for 11 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST down
96.5%
-1.5
Q1 3:04
Khalil Wilkins run for 9 yds to the WVU 45
96.5%
0.0
Q1 2:44
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd to the WVU 46 for a 1ST down
96.5%
0.0
Q1 2:09
Scotty Fox Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 45
96.4%
-0.1
Q1 1:32
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 23 yds to the BYU 32 for a 1ST down
96.4%
0.0
Q1 0:49
Diore Hubbard run for a loss of 3 yards to the BYU 35
96.1%
-0.3
Q1 0:00
Khalil Wilkins run for 5 yds to the BYU 30
96.0%
-0.1
Q2 14:50
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 27
96.0%
0.0
Q2 14:15
Kade Hensley 45 yd FG GOOD
93.3%
-2.8
BYU · Drive 8INT · 14 plays · 58 yds
Q2 14:15
Ethan Head kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
93.5%
+0.3
Q2 14:09
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 26
95.6%
+2.0
Q2 13:30
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 6 yds to the BYU 32
96.1%
+0.5
Q2 12:54
Bear Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the BYU 35 for a 1ST down
96.1%
0.0
Q2 12:17
(12:23) Shotgun Bachmeier,Bear pass incomplete deep left to Roberts,Chase thrown to WVU31 PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Coats Jr.,Michael) 15 yards from BYU35 to BYU50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
96.1%
0.0
Q2 12:07
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the WVU 42
96.2%
+0.1
Q2 11:31
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST down
96.2%
0.0
Q2 10:53
LJ Martin run for 8 yds to the WVU 31
96.0%
-0.1
Q2 10:26
Enoch Nawahine run for 4 yds to the WVU 27 for a 1ST down
96.2%
+0.2
Q2 10:25
Timeout BYU, clock 10:25
96.2%
0.0
Q2 10:05
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the WVU 25
96.2%
0.0
Q2 9:25
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 6 yds to the WVU 19
96.6%
+0.4
Q2 8:50
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 17 for a 1ST down
96.6%
0.0
Q2 8:19
Bear Bachmeier pass intercepted Chase Wilson return for 19 yds to the WVU 37
96.7%
+0.1
WVU · Drive 9PUNT · 9 plays · 10 yds
Q2 8:19
Timeout BYU, clock 08:19
93.9%
-2.8
Q2 8:08
Jarod Bowie run for 8 yds to the WVU 45
94.0%
+0.1
Q2 7:38
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam Vaughn
94.0%
0.0
Q2 7:32
Tye Edwards run for 1 yd to the WVU 46
94.0%
0.0
Q2 7:19
PENALTY BYU Offside 5 yards from WVU46 to BYU49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
94.0%
0.0
Q2 6:49
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Tye Edwards for 4 yds to the WVU 47
93.9%
-0.1
Q2 6:24
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Justin Smith-Brown
94.1%
+0.2
Q2 6:19
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam Vaughn
94.1%
0.0
Q2 6:11
Oliver Straw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 11
94.1%
0.0
BYU · Drive 10TD · 2 plays · 89 yds
Q2 5:51
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 85 yds to the WVU 4 for a 1ST down
96.6%
+2.5
Q2 5:17
LJ Martin run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
98.6%
+2.0
WVU · Drive 11PUNT · 8 plays · 19 yds
Q2 5:17
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.7%
+0.1
Q2 5:05
Khalil Wilkins run for no gain to the WVU 25
97.9%
-0.8
Q2 4:38
Khalil Wilkins run for 9 yds to the WVU 34
97.9%
+0.1
Q2 4:08
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVU 37 for a 1ST down
97.9%
0.0
Q2 3:41
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Preston Fox
97.9%
0.0
Q2 3:32
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the WVU 37
97.9%
0.0
Q2 2:42
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Diore Hubbard for 7 yds to the WVU 44
97.9%
0.0
Q2 2:07
Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 9 yds to the BYU 15
97.9%
0.0
BYU · Drive 12FUMBLE · 1 play · -12 yds
Q2 2:02
Bear Bachmeier run for a loss of 12 yards to the BYU 3 Bear Bachmeier fumbled, recovered by WVU Fred Perry
98.7%
+0.8
WVU · Drive 13TD · 2 plays · 3 yds
Q2 1:58
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
92.5%
-6.2
Q2 1:58
Timeout BYU, clock 01:58
96.8%
+4.3
BYU · Drive 14TD · 14 plays · 73 yds
Q2 1:50
Ethan Head kickoff for 65 yds , Cody Hagen return for 27 yds to the BYU 27
94.1%
-2.7
Q2 1:43
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 35 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST down
96.8%
+2.7
Q2 1:24
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 8 yds to the WVU 30
96.9%
0.0
Q2 1:18
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 28 for a 1ST down
96.9%
0.0
Q2 1:02
PENALTY BYU False Start (Kingston,Parker) 5 yards from WVU28 to WVU33. NO PLAY.
96.8%
0.0
Q2 1:02
Timeout BYU, clock 01:02
96.9%
+0.1
Q2 0:54
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 20 yds to the WVU 13 for a 1ST down
96.9%
0.0
Q2 0:47
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Parker Kingston
96.9%
0.0
Q2 0:39
Bear Bachmeier run for 14 yds to the WVU 19
96.9%
0.0
Q2 0:35
Timeout BYU, clock 00:35
96.8%
-0.1
Q2 0:32
Bear Bachmeier run for 3 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST down
96.8%
0.0
Q2 0:25
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 5 yds to the WVU 11
96.8%
0.0
Q2 0:22
(00:25) Bachmeier,Bear pass incomplete short right to Roberts,Chase thrown to WVU00 PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Chambers,Jason) 9 yards from WVU11 to WVU02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
96.8%
0.0
Q2 0:19
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
98.7%
+1.8
WVU · Drive 15END OF HALF · 2 plays · 4 yds
Q2 0:19
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
98.7%
+0.1
Q2 0:00
Diore Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVU 29
97.8%
-0.9
BYU · Drive 16FG · 19 plays · 55 yds
Q3 14:52
Ethan Head kickoff for 65 yds , Cody Hagen return for 26 yds to the BYU 26
98.0%
+0.2
Q3 14:42
Jovesa Damuni run for 6 yds to the BYU 32
98.8%
+0.7
Q3 14:14
Jovesa Damuni run for 4 yds to the BYU 36 for a 1ST down
99.0%
+0.2
Q3 13:44
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase Roberts
99.0%
0.0
Q3 13:33
Parker Kingston run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 35
99.0%
0.0
Q3 13:02
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 10 yds to the BYU 45
99.1%
+0.1
Q3 12:36
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 47 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q3 11:53
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 14 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q3 11:27
PENALTY BYU False Start (Lapuaho,Weylin) 5 yards from WVU39 to WVU44. NO PLAY.
99.1%
0.0
Q3 11:07
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to LJ Martin for 7 yds to the WVU 37
99.1%
-0.1
Q3 10:42
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Tiger Bachmeier
99.1%
0.0
Q3 10:32
Bear Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the WVU 35
99.1%
0.0
Q3 9:45
Sam Vander Haar run for 11 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST down
99.1%
0.0
Q3 9:10
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 22
99.1%
0.0
Q3 8:33
(08:39) Shotgun Kingston,Parker rush right for 5 yards gain to the WVU17 (Chambers,Jason; Carrico,Reid), out of bounds PENALTY BYU Holding (Martin,LJ) 10 yards from WVU22 to WVU32. NO PLAY.
99.1%
0.0
Q3 8:12
Bear Bachmeier run for 10 yds to the WVU 22
99.1%
0.0
Q3 7:32
LJ Martin run for 3 yds to the WVU 19
99.1%
0.0
Q3 6:53
Will Ferrin 37 yd FG GOOD
99.4%
+0.3
Q3 6:53
Timeout BYU, clock 06:53
98.2%
-1.2
WVU · Drive 17INT · 9 plays · 31 yds
Q3 6:53
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.3%
+1.2
Q3 6:53
Timeout BYU, clock 06:53
99.0%
-0.3
Q3 6:44
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the WVU 25
98.9%
-0.1
Q3 6:11
Khalil Wilkins run for no gain to the WVU 25
98.9%
0.0
Q3 5:27
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Preston Fox for 14 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q3 5:17
Diore Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 38
98.9%
0.0
Q3 4:49
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 41
99.1%
+0.2
Q3 4:06
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 15 yds to the BYU 44 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q3 3:49
Khalil Wilkins pass intercepted Tanner Wall return for no gain to the BYU 4
99.2%
0.0
BYU · Drive 18FUMBLE · 4 plays · 18 yds
Q3 3:49
Timeout BYU, clock 03:49
99.5%
+0.3
Q3 3:42
LJ Martin run for 6 yds to the BYU 10
99.5%
0.0
Q3 3:06
Jovesa Damuni run for 1 yd to the BYU 11
99.5%
0.0
Q3 2:32
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Jovesa Damuni for 11 yds Jovesa Damuni fumbled, recovered by WVU Ben Cutter
99.5%
0.0
WVU · Drive 19TD · 6 plays · 22 yds
Q3 2:24
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds to the BYU 16
99.2%
-0.3
Q3 1:45
Diore Hubbard run for 9 yds to the BYU 7 for a 1ST down
99.2%
0.0
Q3 1:19
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd to the BYU 6
99.2%
0.0
Q3 0:43
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Jacob Barrick
99.2%
0.0
Q3 0:37
Khalil Wilkins run for 6 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
95.7%
-3.5
Q3 0:37
Timeout BYU, clock 00:37
95.7%
0.0
BYU · Drive 20TD · 15 plays · 75 yds
Q3 0:32
Ethan Head kickoff for 65 yds , Cody Hagen return for 25 yds to the BYU 25
96.2%
+0.4
Q3 0:25
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Cody Hagen
98.9%
+2.7
Q3 0:00
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 20 yds to the BYU 45 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 14:53
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 5 yds to the 50 yard line
98.9%
0.0
Q4 14:45
LJ Martin run for a loss of 1 yard to the BYU 49
98.9%
0.0
Q4 13:59
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 21 yds to the WVU 30 for a 1ST down
98.7%
-0.1
Q4 13:15
(13:25) Shotgun Bachmeier,Bear rush right for 1 yard gain to the WVU29 (Jones Jr,Curtis) PENALTY BYU Holding (Gentry,Andrew) 10 yards from WVU30 to WVU40. NO PLAY.
98.8%
0.0
Q4 12:46
Bear Bachmeier run for 13 yds to the WVU 27
98.8%
0.0
Q4 12:06
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the WVU 25
98.8%
0.0
Q4 11:26
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the WVU 21
98.8%
0.0
Q4 10:42
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the WVU 20 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q4 10:04
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to LJ Martin for 14 yds to the WVU 6 for a 1ST down
98.8%
0.0
Q4 9:26
LJ Martin run for 5 yds to the WVU 1
98.8%
0.0
Q4 8:50
LJ Martin run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
99.6%
+0.8
Q4 8:50
Timeout BYU, clock 08:50
99.1%
-0.5
WVU · Drive 21DOWNS · 18 plays · 74 yds
Q4 8:50
Will Ferrin kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
99.6%
+0.5
Q4 8:50
Timeout BYU, clock 08:50
99.0%
-0.5
Q4 8:31
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 32 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST down
99.0%
0.0
Q4 8:17
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the BYU 40
99.0%
0.0
Q4 7:53
Khalil Wilkins run for 4 yds to the BYU 36
98.9%
-0.1
Q4 7:15
Khalil Wilkins run for 5 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST down
98.9%
0.0
Q4 7:01
Clay Ash run for no gain to the BYU 31
98.9%
0.0
Q4 6:32
(06:37) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilkins,Khalil pass incomplete deep left to Bowie,Jarod thrown to BYU11 PENALTY BYU Pass Interference (Beasley,Tayvion) 15 yards from BYU31 to BYU16, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.
98.9%
0.0
Q4 6:23
Clay Ash run for 3 yds to the BYU 13
98.9%
0.0
Q4 6:04
Khalil Wilkins run for 4 yds to the BYU 9
98.9%
0.0
Q4 5:25
BYU Penalty, Personal Foul (Keanu Tanuvasa) to the BYU 7 for a 1ST down
98.6%
-0.3
Q4 4:59
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the BYU 7
98.7%
+0.1
Q4 4:28
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 4
98.7%
0.0
Q4 4:03
Timeout BYU, clock 04:03
98.5%
-0.2
Q4 3:55
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the BYU 1
98.5%
0.0
Q4 3:20
(03:23) PENALTY BYU Offside (Lutui,Logan). NO PLAY.
98.5%
0.0
Q4 3:15
Timeout BYU, clock 03:15
98.5%
0.0
Q4 3:08
Diore Hubbard run for no gain to the BYU 1
98.5%
0.0
BYU · Drive 22PUNT · 6 plays · 4 yds
Q4 3:01
Bear Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the BYU 2
99.4%
+0.9
Q4 2:19
LJ Martin run for 1 yd to the BYU 3
99.4%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Timeout BYU, clock 02:00
99.4%
0.0
Q4 1:57
Timeout West Virginia, clock 01:57
99.5%
0.0
Q4 1:55
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the BYU 5
99.5%
0.0
Q4 1:50
Sam Vander Haar punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 46
99.5%
0.0
WVU · Drive 23TD · 3 plays · 54 yds
Q4 1:44
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 14 yds to the BYU 40 for a 1ST down
98.7%
-0.8
Q4 1:28
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 11 yds to the BYU 29 for a 1ST down
98.6%
-0.1
Q4 1:14
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 29 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
95.0%
-3.6
BYU · Drive 24END OF GAME · 4 plays · 25 yds
Q4 1:13
RJ Kocan kickoff for 10 yds
95.2%
+0.2
Q4 1:05
LJ Martin run for 32 yds to the WVU 12 for a 1ST down
98.7%
+3.4
Q4 0:37
PENALTY BYU False Start (Leausa,Austin) 5 yards from WVU12 to WVU17. NO PLAY.
98.7%
0.0
Q4 0:00
(00:35) Kneel down by BYU at WVU19 for loss of 2 yards.
98.8%
+0.1
Biggest swings
TD · Q1 9:14
Parker Kingston run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+8.3
TD · Q1 3:41
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 54 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+7
TD · Q2 1:58
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
-6.2