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UTAH

Utah 48 at West Virginia 14

WVU
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadUTAH aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreUTAH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:02 · Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Larry Simmons for 6 yds to the WVU 10 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 163Home team on offense−55.1Score differential−38.8Pregame prior−2.2Garbage-time factor−21.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:16: Devon Dampier pass complete to JJ Buchanan for 7 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.8 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:33: Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +2.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:32: Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 32 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +6.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:13: Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 2 yds for a TD — UTAH win probability +2.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:42: Devon Dampier pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 11 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +1.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 12UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:56WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:07WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 31, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:15WVU 4th & 4 at UTAH 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    20.2%−0.8
    30% to make
    Punt
    20.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:46WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.6%−0.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:22WVU 4th & 1 at WVU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:56WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 39, down 21
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:56WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 39, down 21
    Close callPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:16UTAH 4th & 1 at WVU 16, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.1%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:09WVU 4th & 7 at midfield, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:18UTAH 4th & 5 at WVU 15, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:23WVU 4th & 2 at UTAH 33, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:14WVU 4th & 4 at UTAH 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:14WVU 4th & 4 at UTAH 24, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    1.3%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:46UTAH 4th & 6 at WVU 15, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:02UTAH 4th & 4 at WVU 16, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:56UTAH 4th & 2 at WVU 2, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00WVU 4th & 1 at UTAH 47, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2UTAH made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 7:16UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:33UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:32UTAH Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:13UTAH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:42UTAH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:28WVU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:59WVU Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:56UTAH Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:5320% → 22%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.4%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for no gain to the WVU 25Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
20.7%
Jaylen Henderson run for no gain to the WVU 28 Jaylen Henderson fumbled, recovered by WVU Cam VaughnSimilar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+14
20.8%
Jaylen Henderson run for 14 yds to the WVU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
21.1%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 2 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q1 13:10
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
21.4%
Jaylen Henderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+3
21.7%
Jaylen Henderson run for 3 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q1 11:56
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
21.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTAH 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 2TD
15 plays · 73 yds · 4:1578% → 79%
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
22.0%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the UTAH 25 Devon Dampier fumbled, recovered by UTAH Wayshawn ParkerSimilar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+20
22.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 20 yds to the UTAH 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
22.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q1 10:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
22.1%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Jackson BenneeSimilar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+11
22.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 11 yds to the WVU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
22.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for 5 yds to the WVU 35Similar
Q1 9:33
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+10
22.4%
NaQuari Rogers run for 10 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
22.7%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the WVU 24Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+14
22.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 14 yds to the WVU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
22.9%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
23.0%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the WVU 7Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
21.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to JJ Buchanan for 7 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
Q1 7:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
21.1%
West Virginia Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
21.5%
PENALTY WVU UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Perry,Fred) 15 yards from UTAH35 to UTAH50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0022% → 22%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
21.9%
Jaylen Henderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the WVU 21Similar
Q1 6:38
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+10
21.9%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 10 yds to the WVU 31Similar
Q1 6:17
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
21.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
21.8%
Oliver Straw punt for 36 yds , Mana Carvalho returns for 2 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 4TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2878% → 81%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
21.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for 19 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
21.4%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Jackson Bennee for 3 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
21.5%
NaQuari Rogers run for 2 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 4:37
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+7
21.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 7 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
21.5%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Jackson BenneeSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+14
21.5%
Jackson Bennee run for 14 yds to the WVU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:38
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
21.5%
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the WVU 17Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
21.5%
NaQuari Rogers run for 3 yds to the WVU 14Similar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+4
21.7%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the WVU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
21.5%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the WVU 7Similar
Q1 1:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
18.6%
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5DOWNS
9 plays · 33 yds · 2:1219% → 20%
Q1 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
19.3%
(01:32) Shotgun Henderson,Jaylen pass incomplete deep right to Vaughn,Cam thrown to UTAH45 PENALTY UTAH Pass Interference (Cotton,Blake) 15 yards from WVU25 to WVU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
19.8%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q1 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-9
19.9%
Jaylen Henderson sacked for a loss of 9 yards to the WVU 34Similar
Q1 0:23
3RD & 16
OWN 34
+18
19.0%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 18 yds to the UTAH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
20.1%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Justin Smith-BrownSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+4
20.0%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Jarod Bowie for 4 yds to the UTAH 44Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+2
20.1%
Jaylen Henderson run for 2 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
20.0%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
6 plays · 58 yds · 2:3182% → 89%
Q2 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
18.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 12 yds to the WVU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
18.0%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 13:07
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
17.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for no gain to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 12:35
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+9
17.9%
NaQuari Rogers run for 9 yds to the WVU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-1
17.7%
NaQuari Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 32Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+32
11.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 32 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:4114% → 13%
Q2 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.7%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Rodney Gallagher IIISimilar
Q2 11:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
13.6%
Clay Ash run for 9 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q2 10:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
13.9%
Clay Ash run for 1 yd to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
13.6%
Jaylen Henderson run for 5 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 9:56
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+4
13.8%
Jaylen Henderson run for 4 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 9:11
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
13.8%
Jaylen Henderson run for no gain to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-1
13.4%
Tyler Jacklich run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
9.9%
Devon Dampier pass intercepted Nick Taylor return for no gain to the WVU 20Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
9.9%
Devon Dampier pass intercepted Nick Taylor return for no gain to the WVU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 3:3413% → 13%
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
12.7%
Clay Ash run for 8 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
13.6%
Clay Ash run for no gain to the WVU 28Similar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
13.1%
Jaylen Henderson run for 1 yd to the WVU 29Similar
Q2 7:22
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+2
12.8%
Jaylen Henderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
12.8%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Barnes,Grayson) 5 yards from WVU31 to WVU26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+4
12.5%
Clay Ash run for 4 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+1
12.4%
Clay Ash run for 1 yd to the WVU 31Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+8
12.2%
Jaylen Henderson run for 8 yds to the WVU 39Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+4
12.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , Mana Carvalho returns for 4 yds to the UTAH 15Similar
Q2 4:56
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+4
12.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , Mana Carvalho returns for 4 yds to the UTAH 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10TD
19 plays · 94 yds · 4:4391% → 97%
Q2 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-3
9.5%
(04:55) PENALTY UTAH False Start 3 yards from UTAH06 to UTAH03. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:47
1ST & 13
OWN 3
0
9.5%
Devon Dampier run for no gain to the UTAH 3Similar
Q2 4:06
2ND & 13
OWN 3
+11
9.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to JJ Buchanan for 11 yds to the UTAH 14Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+3
9.5%
Devon Dampier run for 3 yds to the UTAH 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
8.9%
NaQuari Rogers run for 7 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+4
9.0%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the UTAH 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
8.8%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
8.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 7 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+14
8.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to JJ Buchanan for 14 yds to the UTAH 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
7.5%
West Virginia Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+21
7.1%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 21 yds to the WVU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
6.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 3 yds to the WVU 10Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
6.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the WVU 10Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+9
6.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 9 yds to the WVU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
5.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 2Similar
Q2 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11END OF HALF
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.7%
Diore Hubbard run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
12 plays · 63 yds · 4:0496% → 99%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
3.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the UTAH 41Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+21
3.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 21 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-8
3.3%
Devon Dampier run for 2 yds to the WVU 36 Utah Penalty, Offensive Holding (Caleb Lomu) to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 18
OPP 46
+4
3.0%
Devon Dampier run for 4 yds to the WVU 42Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 14
OPP 42
+17
3.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 17 yds to the WVU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
2.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 4 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q3 12:27
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-5
2.6%
Byrd Ficklin run for a loss of 5 yards to the WVU 26Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 11
OPP 26
+10
2.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 10 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
2.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 5 yds to the WVU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
1.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 11 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:011% → 1%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.4%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
1.3%
Khalil Wilkins run for 17 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
1.3%
Diore Hubbard run for 2 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+2
1.3%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 2 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+4
1.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for 4 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q3 8:32
4TH & 2
OPP 45
-5
1.2%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Haslam,Donovan) 5 yards from UTAH45 to UTAH50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 7
50
+10
1.1%
Khalil Wilkins run for 10 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
1.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for 1 yd to the UTAH 39Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+39
1.4%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 39 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14FG
7 plays · 60 yds · 1:5898% → 98%
Q3 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+40
1.8%
Wayshawn Parker run for 40 yds to the WVU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
1.6%
(06:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Dampier,Devon pass incomplete deep right to Buchanan,JJ thrown to WVU00 PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Tarnue,Kekoura) 15 yards from WVU35 to WVU20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
1.6%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 21Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+6
1.5%
Devon Dampier run for 6 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q3 5:48
3RD & 5
OPP 15
0
1.4%
Wayshawn Parker run for no gain to the WVU 15Similar
Q3 5:18
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
2.2%
Dillon Curtis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15DOWNS
14 plays · 51 yds · 3:541% → 1%
Q3 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
1.0%
Khalil Wilkins run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
0.8%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+29
0.8%
Diore Hubbard run for 29 yds to the UTAH 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
0.9%
Diore Hubbard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+4
0.8%
Khalil Wilkins run for 4 yds to the UTAH 35Similar
Q3 3:23
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+2
0.8%
Diore Hubbard run for 2 yds to the UTAH 33Similar
Q3 3:23
4TH & 2
OPP 33
+3
0.8%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the UTAH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:31
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
0.8%
Clay Ash run for 2 yds to the UTAH 28Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 8
OPP 28
0
0.8%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 8
OPP 28
-15
0.7%
(02:01) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilkins,Khalil pass complete deep left to Gallagher III,Rodney caught at UTAH00, for 28 yards to the UTAH00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:58 PENALTY WVU Pass Interference (Gallagher III,Rodney) 15 yards from UTAH28 to UTAH43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:41
3RD & 23
OPP 43
+19
0.6%
Khalil Wilkins pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 19 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 4
OPP 24
0
0.6%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan WardSimilar
Q3 1:14
4TH & 4
OPP 24
0
0.6%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Ryan WardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 16FG
10 plays · 61 yds · 5:0799% → 100%
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
0.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Daniel Bray for 2 yds to the UTAH 26Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 26
+8
0.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 8 yds to the UTAH 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+17
0.6%
Daniel Bray run for 17 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+15
0.5%
Byrd Ficklin run for 15 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
0.5%
Daniel Bray run for 15 yds to the WVU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
0.4%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the WVU 17Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+2
0.4%
Byrd Ficklin run for 2 yds to the WVU 15Similar
Q4 11:18
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
0.4%
Daniel Bray run for no gain to the WVU 15Similar
Q4 10:46
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+33
0.4%
Dillon Curtis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+68
0.2%
Jarod Bowie run for 68 yds to the UTAH 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
0.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTAH 11Similar
Q4 9:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
-1
0.2%
Khalil Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 12Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
0.1%
(08:46) No Huddle-Shotgun Wilkins,Khalil pass incomplete short right to Vaughn,Cam thrown to UTAH00 PENALTY UTAH Pass Interference (Hart,JC) UTAH Face Mask declined 10 yards from UTAH12 to UTAH02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
0.1%
Khalil Wilkins pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q4 8:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.1%
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd to the UTAH 1Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.1%
Diore Hubbard run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 18TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:51100% → 100%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.3%
Bryce Duke run for 12 yds to the UTAH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+41
0.2%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Larry Simmons for 41 yds to the WVU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
0.2%
Bryce Duke run for 9 yds to the WVU 13Similar
Q4 5:34
2ND & 1
OPP 13
0
0.2%
Bryce Duke run for no gain to the WVU 13Similar
Q4 4:39
3RD & 1
OPP 13
-3
0.1%
Byrd Ficklin run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVU 16Similar
Q4 4:02
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+6
0.2%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Larry Simmons for 6 yds to the WVU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
0.1%
Byrd Ficklin run for 1 yd to the WVU 9Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
0.1%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Bryce Duke for 4 yds to the WVU 5Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
0.1%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the WVU 2Similar
Q4 1:56
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.1%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Bryce Duke for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19END OF GAME
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:450% → 0%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Max Brown run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q4 1:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+14
0.0%
Max Brown run for 14 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
0.1%
Diore Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVU 48Similar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
0.0%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 0:12
3RD & 4
50
+3
0.0%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 3 yds to the UTAH 47Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+12
0.0%
Diore Hubbard run for 12 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 11:32
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 32 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
-6.4
TD · Q1 1:33
Devon Dampier run for 7 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q2 0:13
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 2 yds for a TD
-2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com