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BAY

Baylor 45 at Oklahoma State 27

OKST
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:55 · Palmer Williams punt for 59 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OKST 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseDefense timeoutsOffense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 72Pregame prior−36.0Home team on offense−3.2Defense timeouts−10.7Offense timeouts−10.0Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:53: Bryson Washington 19 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick) — BAY win probability +1.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  2. TD · Q2 11:31: Logan Ward 39 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +1.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: offense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  3. TD · Q2 3:40: Michael Trigg 10 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick) — BAY win probability +0.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:02: Logan Ward 42 Yd Field Goal — BAY win probability +0.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · Q4 6:31: Sawyer Robertson 2 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick) — OKST win probability +11.7 pts (now 13%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 9 of 10BAY made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:45OKST 4th & 7 at OKST 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:27BAY 4th & 11 at BAY 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:49OKST 4th & 4 at BAY 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    16.5%−0.3
    36% to make
    Punt
    16.5%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:31OKST 4th & 6 at BAY 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−2.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:55BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:06OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.7%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:02OKST 4th & 7 at BAY 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.1%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.5%
    66% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−2.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24OKST 4th & 8 at OKST 27, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.1%−1.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:08OKST 4th & 13 at midfield, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.4%−2.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:16BAY 4th & 9 at BAY 21, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.6%−3.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:04OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 26, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.5%−4.0
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:25BAY 4th & 2 at OKST 42, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−1.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    83.1%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:05OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 49, down 14
    Close callPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:25OKST 4th & 4 at OKST 42, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.9%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:05BAY 4th & 1 at OKST 36, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.1%−0.5
    42% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:27BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:53BAY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:40BAY Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OKSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 36 yds · 0:596% → 6%
Q1 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+33
6.3%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 33 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
6.3%
Zane Flores run for 3 yds to the OKST 39Similar
Q1 13:49
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
6.3%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Josh FordSimilar
Q1 13:48
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
6.3%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Sam Jackson V, broken up by Keaton ThomasSimilar
Q1 13:45
4TH & 7
OWN 39
+3
6.3%
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds , Josh Cameron returns for 3 yds to the BAY 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2TD
3 plays · 78 yds · 1:0694% → 94%
Q1 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+27
6.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 27 yds to the BAY 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
6.2%
Bryson Washington run for 17 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
6.0%
Kole Wilson 34 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 3TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:326% → 7%
Q1 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
6.0%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trent Howland for 5 yds to the OKST 30Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
6.1%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Will MonneySimilar
Q1 11:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
6.0%
Zane Flores run for 7 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
5.9%
Zane Flores pass complete to Sam Jackson V for no gain to the OKST 37Similar
Q1 10:58
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
5.8%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+12
6.1%
Zane Flores pass complete to Royal Capell for 12 yds to the BAY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
6.4%
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the BAY 43Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
6.4%
Sam Jackson V run for no gain to the BAY 43Similar
Q1 8:37
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+5
6.5%
Zane Flores pass complete to Sam Jackson V for 5 yds to the BAY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
6.6%
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 5 yds to the BAY 33Similar
Q1 7:25
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+7
6.7%
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the BAY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:54
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
6.7%
Josh Ford 26 Yd pass from Sam Jackson V (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2194% → 93%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
6.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 23Similar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
6.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Michael TriggSimilar
Q1 6:13
3RD & 11
OWN 23
0
6.5%
Sawyer Robertson run for no gain to the BAY 23Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 11
OWN 23
+16
6.6%
Palmer Williams punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 10 , Gavin Freeman returns for 16 yds to the OKST 39 Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive holding (Mordecai McDaniel) to the OKST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 54 yds · 3:266% → 7%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-3
6.4%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 7Similar
Q1 4:53
2ND & 13
OWN 7
+15
6.3%
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 15 yds to the OKST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
6.4%
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 6 yds to the OKST 28Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+7
6.5%
Zane Flores pass complete to Will Monney for 7 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
6.5%
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the OKST 40Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+15
6.7%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis for a 1ST down Baylor Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Caldra Williford) to the BAY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:28
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
6.8%
Gavin Freeman run for 1 yd to the BAY 44Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 9
OPP 44
-3
6.8%
Zane Flores run for a loss of 3 yards to the BAY 47Similar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+8
6.6%
Zane Flores pass complete to Cam Abshire for 8 yds to the BAY 39Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+3
6.6%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 3 yds to the BAY 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:5194% → 95%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
6.3%
Michael Turner run for 3 yds to the BAY 39Similar
Q1 1:19
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
6.2%
Michael Turner run for 6 yds to the BAY 45Similar
Q1 0:46
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+15
6.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Josh Cameron for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, off-side (Iman Oates) to the OKST 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
6.0%
Bryson Washington run for 9 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q1 0:09
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+16
6.0%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Michael Trigg for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dylan Smith) to the OKST 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-4
6.1%
Kole Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 19Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 14
OPP 19
+19
4.8%
Bryson Washington 19 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 7TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:205% → 6%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
5.1%
Trent Howland run for 11 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
5.2%
Zane Flores pass complete to Trent Howland for 9 yds to the OKST 45Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+7
5.3%
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the BAY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
5.4%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the BAY 45Similar
Q2 13:03
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+19
5.3%
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 19 yds to the BAY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
5.6%
Zane Flores pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 26
-4
5.6%
Zane Flores sacked by Jackie Marshall for a loss of 4 yards to the BAY 30Similar
Q2 11:49
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+8
5.2%
Zane Flores run for 18 yds Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive holding (Gavin Freeman) to the BAY 22Similar
Q2 11:36
3RD & 6
OPP 22
0
5.5%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman, broken up by Caldra WillifordSimilar
Q2 11:31
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
6.4%
Logan Ward 39 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:1794% → 94%
Q2 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
6.3%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the BAY 26Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+15
6.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 15 yds to the BAY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
6.0%
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the BAY 45Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
5.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Caden KnightenSimilar
Q2 9:56
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+49
6.2%
Caden Knighten run for 49 yds to the OKST 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
6.0%
Matthew Klopfenstein 6 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:556% → 7%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+47
6.2%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 47 yds to the BAY 28 for a 1ST down Baylor Penalty, Defensive holding (Jackie Marshall) to the BAY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+18
7.3%
Trent Howland run for 18 yds to the BAY 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
7.2%
Trent Howland 10 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:1294% → 94%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
6.0%
Bryson Washington run for 14 yds to the BAY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
5.9%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 28Similar
Q2 7:06
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
5.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn HawkinsSimilar
Q2 7:01
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
6.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Bryson Washington, broken up by Bryan McCoy Jr.Similar
Q2 6:55
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
6.3%
Palmer Williams punt for 59 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OKST 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:376% → 6%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
5.9%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 14Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
5.9%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman, broken up by Devyn BobbySimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
5.7%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar Rigby, broken up by Caden JenkinsSimilar
Q2 6:06
4TH & 6
OWN 14
0
5.7%
Wes Pahl punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12TD
7 plays · 56 yds · 2:2195% → 95%
Q2 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
5.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 4
50
+5
5.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 5 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
5.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Kole WilsonSimilar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+15
5.4%
Caden Knighten run for no gain to the OKST 45 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, personal foul (Aden Kelley) to the OKST 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
5.7%
Michael Turner run for 4 yds to the OKST 26Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 6
OPP 26
+16
5.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 16 yds to the OKST 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
5.1%
Michael Trigg 10 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FG
13 plays · 58 yds · 2:315% → 3%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
4.6%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the OKST 20Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 7
OWN 20
+3
4.5%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the OKST 23Similar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+9
4.7%
Sam Jackson V run for 9 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
3.0%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 5 yds to the OKST 37Similar
Q2 1:50
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+21
3.1%
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 21 yds to the BAY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.3%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Rodney Fields Jr.Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+2
3.2%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 2 yds to the BAY 40Similar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+12
3.2%
Trent Howland run for 12 yds to the BAY 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
3.7%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Trent HowlandSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
3.6%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis, broken up by Caldra WillifordSimilar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+3
3.5%
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the BAY 25Similar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
3.1%
Logan Ward 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14MISSED FG
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:5996% → 96%
Q2 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
4.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins, broken up by Kale SmithSimilar
Q2 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.5%
Sawyer Robertson run for 5 yds to the BAY 30Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
4.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 7 yds to the BAY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
4.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 17 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
3.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 11 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
3.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Josh CameronSimilar
Q2 0:02
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+53
4.0%
Connor Hawkins 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
4.3%
run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 16TD
4 plays · 86 yds · 0:3993% → 93%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
7.5%
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 16Similar
Q3 14:40
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+11
7.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Matthew Klopfenstein for 11 yds to the BAY 27 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive holding (Cam Smith) to the BAY 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+73
7.3%
Kobe Prentice 73 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:467% → 7%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
7.1%
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
7.1%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Will Monney, broken up by Keaton ThomasSimilar
Q3 13:29
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
6.7%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Trent HowlandSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
6.5%
Wes Pahl punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 18FUMBLE
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q3 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+39
7.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Caden Knighten for 39 yds Sawyer Robertson fumbled, recovered by OKST David KabongoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:519% → 8%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
9.4%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar RigbySimilar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-3
9.2%
Trent Howland run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 13
50
0
8.2%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar RigbySimilar
Q3 12:08
4TH & 13
50
0
7.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:4492% → 91%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
8.2%
Michael Turner run for 9 yds to the BAY 17Similar
Q3 11:28
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+3
7.9%
Michael Turner run for 3 yds to the BAY 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
8.1%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins, broken up by JK JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:00
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
8.2%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Turner for 1 yd to the BAY 21Similar
Q3 10:22
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
8.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Kole WilsonSimilar
Q3 10:16
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
8.9%
Palmer Williams punt for 49 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OKST 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:029% → 8%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
8.6%
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Josh FordSimilar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
8.4%
Zane Flores pass complete to Royal Capell for 1 yd to the OKST 31Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-5
8.1%
Oklahoma State Penalty, false start (Bob Schick) to the OKST 26Similar
Q3 9:12
3RD & 14
OWN 26
0
7.9%
Zane Flores pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 14
OWN 26
0
7.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 22Uncategorized
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:3492% → 97%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+14
8.2%
Caden Knighten run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
50
+4
2.9%
Caden Knighten run for 4 yds to the OKST 46Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 46
-4
2.9%
Sawyer Robertson sacked by Taje McCoy for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line Baylor Penalty, intentional grounding (Sawyer Robertson) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 10
50
+8
2.9%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 8 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q3 7:25
4TH & 2
OPP 42
-3
3.1%
Bryson Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:432% → 2%
Q4 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.5%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar RigbySimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.5%
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q4 14:13
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
1.4%
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 18 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
2.0%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill DavisSimilar
Q4 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
1.9%
Kalib Hicks run for no gain to the OKST 45Similar
Q4 12:54
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+4
1.7%
Zane Flores run for 4 yds to the OKST 49Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
1.8%
Wes Pahl punt for 40 yds , Josh Cameron returns for no gain to the BAY 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 24TD
14 plays · 89 yds · 5:2699% → 87%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
1.4%
Caden Knighten run for no gain to the BAY 11 Baylor Penalty, Offensive holding (Sidney Fugar) to the BAY 6Similar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+5
1.8%
Joseph Dodds run for 5 yds to the BAY 11Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+5
1.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Joseph Dodds for 5 yds to the BAY 16Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 5
OWN 16
+7
1.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Matthew Klopfenstein for 7 yds to the BAY 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
1.3%
Joseph Dodds run for no gain to the BAY 23 Baylor Penalty, Offensive holding (Sidney Fugar) to the BAY 13Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 20
OWN 13
0
1.3%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins Baylor Penalty, Offensive holding (Kaden Sieracki) to the BAY 13Similar
Q4 9:52
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+9
1.4%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 9 yds to the BAY 22Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+35
1.5%
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 35 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
1.2%
Michael Turner run for 7 yds to the OKST 36Similar
Q4 8:06
2ND & 3
OPP 36
0
1.1%
Michael Turner run for no gain to the OKST 36Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
1.1%
Caden Knighten run for 5 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
1.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Josh Cameron, broken up by JK Johnson for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (JK Johnson) to the OKST 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+14
1.6%
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins, broken up by Kale Smith for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kale Smith) to the OKST 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
13.2%
Sawyer Robertson 2 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:061% → 1%
Q4 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
1.2%
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 6 yds to the OKST 31Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
1.0%
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 5 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
0.8%
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Royal CapellSimilar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+1
0.7%
Zane Flores pass complete to Royal Capell for 1 yd to the OKST 37Similar
Q4 4:57
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
0.7%
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q4 4:25
4TH & 4
OWN 42
+3
0.7%
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 3 yds to the OKST 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26Uncategorized
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:4096% → 99%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
3.8%
Michael Turner run for 3 yds to the OKST 42Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+6
4.3%
Michael Turner run for 6 yds to the OKST 36Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
4.1%
Michael Turner run for no gain to the OKST 36Similar
Q4 2:05
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+3
4.6%
Sawyer Robertson run for 3 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
0.9%
Joseph Dodds run for 4 yds to the OKST 29Similar
Q4 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+2
0.9%
Joseph Dodds run for 2 yds to the OKST 27Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 4
OPP 27
+1
0.9%
Joseph Dodds run for 1 yd to the OKST 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:31
Sawyer Robertson 2 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick)
+11.7
TD · Q2 14:53
Bryson Washington 19 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick)
-1.3
TD · Q2 11:31
Logan Ward 39 Yd Field Goal
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com