BAY
Baylor 45 at Oklahoma State 27
OKST2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
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OKST · Drive 1PUNT · 6 plays · 36 yds
Q1 15:00
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 62 yds , Sam Jackson V return for no gain to the OKST 3
2.2%
0.0
Q1 14:44
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 33 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST down
2.4%
+0.2
Q1 14:27
Zane Flores run for 3 yds to the OKST 39
2.4%
0.0
Q1 13:49
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Josh Ford
2.4%
0.0
Q1 13:48
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Sam Jackson V, broken up by Keaton Thomas
2.4%
0.0
Q1 13:45
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds , Josh Cameron returns for 3 yds to the BAY 22
2.4%
0.0
BAY · Drive 2TD · 3 plays · 78 yds
Q1 13:33
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 27 yds to the BAY 49 for a 1ST down
2.1%
-0.3
Q1 13:07
Bryson Washington run for 17 yds to the OKST 34 for a 1ST down
1.9%
-0.2
Q1 12:27
Kole Wilson 34 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)
1.1%
-0.9
OKST · Drive 3TD · 13 plays · 75 yds
Q1 12:27
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
1.2%
+0.1
Q1 12:26
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Trent Howland for 5 yds to the OKST 30
1.4%
+0.3
Q1 11:49
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Will Monney
1.4%
0.0
Q1 11:48
Zane Flores run for 7 yds to the OKST 37 for a 1ST down
1.4%
0.0
Q1 11:26
Zane Flores pass complete to Sam Jackson V for no gain to the OKST 37
1.4%
0.0
Q1 10:58
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 3 yds to the OKST 40
1.4%
0.0
Q1 10:24
Zane Flores pass complete to Royal Capell for 12 yds to the BAY 48 for a 1ST down
1.5%
0.0
Q1 9:46
Trent Howland run for 5 yds to the BAY 43
2.5%
+1.1
Q1 9:03
Sam Jackson V run for no gain to the BAY 43
1.6%
-0.9
Q1 8:37
Zane Flores pass complete to Sam Jackson V for 5 yds to the BAY 38 for a 1ST down
1.6%
0.0
Q1 7:56
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 5 yds to the BAY 33
1.7%
+0.1
Q1 7:25
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the BAY 26 for a 1ST down
1.7%
0.0
Q1 6:54
Josh Ford 26 Yd pass from Sam Jackson V (Logan Ward Kick)
2.6%
+1.0
BAY · Drive 4PUNT · 5 plays · -1 yds
Q1 6:54
Logan Ward kickoff for 60 yds , Kole Wilson return for 19 yds to the BAY 24
2.4%
-0.2
Q1 6:48
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for a loss of 1 yard to the BAY 23
2.2%
-0.3
Q1 6:18
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Michael Trigg
2.2%
0.0
Q1 6:13
Sawyer Robertson run for no gain to the BAY 23
2.2%
0.0
Q1 5:27
Palmer Williams punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKST 10 , Gavin Freeman returns for 16 yds to the OKST 39 Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive holding (Mordecai McDaniel) to the OKST 10
2.3%
+0.1
OKST · Drive 5DOWNS · 10 plays · 54 yds
Q1 5:15
Rodney Fields Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 7
2.5%
+0.3
Q1 4:53
Sam Jackson V pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 15 yds to the OKST 22 for a 1ST down
2.5%
0.0
Q1 4:32
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 6 yds to the OKST 28
2.5%
0.0
Q1 4:18
Zane Flores pass complete to Will Monney for 7 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST down
2.5%
0.0
Q1 3:43
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the OKST 40
2.5%
0.0
Q1 3:34
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis for a 1ST down Baylor Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Caldra Williford) to the BAY 45 for a 1ST down
2.6%
+0.1
Q1 3:28
Gavin Freeman run for 1 yd to the BAY 44
2.7%
+0.1
Q1 2:55
Zane Flores run for a loss of 3 yards to the BAY 47
2.7%
0.0
Q1 2:27
Zane Flores pass complete to Cam Abshire for 8 yds to the BAY 39
2.7%
0.0
Q1 1:49
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 3 yds to the BAY 36
2.7%
0.0
BAY · Drive 6TD · 7 plays · 64 yds
Q1 1:44
Michael Turner run for 3 yds to the BAY 39
2.3%
-0.4
Q1 1:19
Michael Turner run for 6 yds to the BAY 45
2.2%
-0.1
Q1 0:46
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Josh Cameron for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, off-side (Iman Oates) to the OKST 40 for a 1ST down
2.2%
-0.1
Q1 0:44
Bryson Washington run for 9 yds to the OKST 31
2.1%
-0.1
Q1 0:09
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Michael Trigg for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Dylan Smith) to the OKST 15 for a 1ST down
2.1%
0.0
Q1 0:04
Kole Wilson run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKST 19
2.1%
0.0
Q2 14:53
Bryson Washington 19 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick)
1.3%
-0.8
OKST · Drive 7TD · 11 plays · 75 yds
Q2 14:53
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
2.7%
+1.4
Q2 14:51
Trent Howland run for 11 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST down
1.8%
-0.8
Q2 14:31
Zane Flores pass complete to Trent Howland for 9 yds to the OKST 45
1.8%
0.0
Q2 13:55
Trent Howland run for 7 yds to the BAY 48 for a 1ST down
1.9%
+0.1
Q2 13:37
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the BAY 45
2.0%
+0.1
Q2 13:03
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 19 yds to the BAY 26 for a 1ST down
2.0%
0.0
Q2 12:37
Zane Flores pass incomplete
2.1%
+0.1
Q2 12:30
Zane Flores sacked by Jackie Marshall for a loss of 4 yards to the BAY 30
2.1%
0.0
Q2 11:49
Zane Flores run for 18 yds Oklahoma State Penalty, Offensive holding (Gavin Freeman) to the BAY 22
2.0%
0.0
Q2 11:36
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman, broken up by Caldra Williford
2.0%
0.0
Q2 11:31
Logan Ward 39 Yd Field Goal
2.3%
+0.3
BAY · Drive 8TD · 7 plays · 78 yds
Q2 11:31
Logan Ward kickoff for 64 yds , Kole Wilson return for 21 yds to the BAY 22
2.6%
+0.2
Q2 11:25
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the BAY 26
2.1%
-0.4
Q2 10:55
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 15 yds to the BAY 41 for a 1ST down
2.1%
0.0
Q2 10:30
Bryson Washington run for 4 yds to the BAY 45
2.2%
+0.1
Q2 10:00
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Caden Knighten
2.2%
0.0
Q2 9:56
Caden Knighten run for 49 yds to the OKST 6 for a 1ST down
2.2%
0.0
Q2 9:08
Matthew Klopfenstein 6 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)
1.0%
-1.2
OKST · Drive 9TD · 4 plays · 75 yds
Q2 9:08
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
1.1%
+0.1
Q2 9:07
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 47 yds to the BAY 28 for a 1ST down Baylor Penalty, Defensive holding (Jackie Marshall) to the BAY 28 for a 1ST down
1.6%
+0.5
Q2 8:47
Trent Howland run for 18 yds to the BAY 10 for a 1ST down
1.8%
+0.2
Q2 8:12
Trent Howland 10 Yd Run (Logan Ward Kick)
3.2%
+1.4
BAY · Drive 10PUNT · 6 plays · 16 yds
Q2 8:12
Logan Ward kickoff for 63 yds , Kole Wilson return for 10 yds to the BAY 12
2.9%
-0.3
Q2 8:07
Bryson Washington run for 14 yds to the BAY 26 for a 1ST down
2.4%
-0.5
Q2 7:41
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 28
2.5%
0.0
Q2 7:06
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins
2.5%
0.0
Q2 7:01
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Bryson Washington, broken up by Bryan McCoy Jr.
2.5%
0.0
Q2 6:55
Palmer Williams punt for 59 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OKST 10
2.5%
0.0
OKST · Drive 11PUNT · 4 plays · 4 yds
Q2 6:43
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 4 yds to the OKST 14
2.9%
+0.5
Q2 6:19
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Gavin Freeman, broken up by Devyn Bobby
3.3%
+0.3
Q2 6:13
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar Rigby, broken up by Caden Jenkins
3.3%
0.0
Q2 6:06
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds
3.3%
0.0
BAY · Drive 12TD · 7 plays · 56 yds
Q2 6:01
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 6 yds to the 50 yard line
2.6%
-0.6
Q2 5:33
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Kole Wilson for 5 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST down
2.6%
0.0
Q2 5:11
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Kole Wilson
2.9%
+0.3
Q2 5:03
Caden Knighten run for no gain to the OKST 45 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, personal foul (Aden Kelley) to the OKST 30 for a 1ST down
2.9%
0.0
Q2 4:52
Michael Turner run for 4 yds to the OKST 26
3.1%
+0.2
Q2 4:11
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 16 yds to the OKST 10 for a 1ST down
3.1%
0.0
Q2 3:40
Michael Trigg 10 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)
1.3%
-1.8
OKST · Drive 13FG · 13 plays · 58 yds
Q2 3:40
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 65 yds , Kobi Foreman return for 17 yds to the OKST 17
1.4%
+0.1
Q2 3:33
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the OKST 20
1.6%
+0.2
Q2 3:03
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the OKST 23
1.6%
0.0
Q2 2:33
Sam Jackson V run for 9 yds to the OKST 32 for a 1ST down
1.6%
-0.1
Q2 1:59
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 5 yds to the OKST 37
1.6%
+0.1
Q2 1:50
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 21 yds to the BAY 42 for a 1ST down
1.6%
0.0
Q2 1:47
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Rodney Fields Jr.
1.8%
+0.2
Q2 1:43
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 2 yds to the BAY 40
1.8%
0.0
Q2 1:37
Trent Howland run for 12 yds to the BAY 28 for a 1ST down
1.8%
0.0
Q2 1:25
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Trent Howland
1.8%
0.0
Q2 1:20
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis, broken up by Caldra Williford
1.8%
0.0
Q2 1:11
Trent Howland run for 3 yds to the BAY 25
1.9%
0.0
Q2 1:02
Logan Ward 42 Yd Field Goal
2.5%
+0.7
BAY · Drive 14MISSED FG · 8 plays · 40 yds
Q2 1:02
Logan Ward kickoff for 65 yds
4.9%
+2.4
Q2 1:01
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins, broken up by Kale Smith
4.2%
-0.8
Q2 0:54
Sawyer Robertson run for 5 yds to the BAY 30
4.2%
0.0
Q2 0:42
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 7 yds to the BAY 37 for a 1ST down
4.2%
0.0
Q2 0:32
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 17 yds to the OKST 46 for a 1ST down
4.2%
0.0
Q2 0:14
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 11 yds to the OKST 35 for a 1ST down
4.0%
-0.2
Q2 0:10
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Josh Cameron
4.0%
0.0
Q2 0:02
Connor Hawkins 53 yd FG MISSED
4.0%
0.0
OKST · Drive 15END OF HALF · 1 play · 0 yds
Q2 0:01
run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 35
2.4%
-1.6
BAY · Drive 16TD · 4 plays · 86 yds
Q3 15:00
Logan Ward kickoff for 62 yds , Kole Wilson return for 21 yds to the BAY 44 Baylor Penalty, Offensive holding (Micah Gifford) to the BAY 14
2.4%
0.0
Q3 14:49
Bryson Washington run for 2 yds to the BAY 16
1.9%
-0.5
Q3 14:40
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Matthew Klopfenstein for 11 yds to the BAY 27 for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive holding (Cam Smith) to the BAY 27 for a 1ST down
1.8%
0.0
Q3 14:10
Kobe Prentice 73 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)
0.7%
-1.1
OKST · Drive 17PUNT · 5 plays · 2 yds
Q3 14:10
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.7%
0.0
Q3 14:10
Trent Howland run for 2 yds to the OKST 27
1.0%
+0.3
Q3 13:37
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Will Monney, broken up by Keaton Thomas
1.0%
0.0
Q3 13:29
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Trent Howland
1.0%
0.0
Q3 13:24
Wes Pahl punt for 52 yds
1.0%
0.0
BAY · Drive 18FUMBLE · 1 play · 0 yds
Q3 13:18
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Caden Knighten for 39 yds Sawyer Robertson fumbled, recovered by OKST David Kabongo
0.7%
-0.3
OKST · Drive 19PUNT · 4 plays · -3 yds
Q3 12:59
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar Rigby
1.1%
+0.4
Q3 12:50
Trent Howland run for a loss of 3 yards to the 50 yard line
1.1%
0.0
Q3 12:13
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar Rigby
1.0%
-0.1
Q3 12:08
Wes Pahl punt for 42 yds
1.0%
0.0
BAY · Drive 20PUNT · 6 plays · 13 yds
Q3 12:00
Michael Turner run for 9 yds to the BAY 17
0.7%
-0.3
Q3 11:28
Michael Turner run for 3 yds to the BAY 20 for a 1ST down
0.7%
0.0
Q3 11:05
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins, broken up by JK Johnson
0.7%
0.0
Q3 11:00
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Turner for 1 yd to the BAY 21
0.7%
0.0
Q3 10:22
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Kole Wilson
0.8%
+0.1
Q3 10:16
Palmer Williams punt for 49 yds , Gavin Freeman returns for no gain to the OKST 30
0.8%
0.0
OKST · Drive 21PUNT · 5 plays · -4 yds
Q3 10:06
Sam Jackson V pass incomplete to Josh Ford
1.0%
+0.2
Q3 9:59
Zane Flores pass complete to Royal Capell for 1 yd to the OKST 31
1.1%
+0.1
Q3 9:29
Oklahoma State Penalty, false start (Bob Schick) to the OKST 26
1.1%
0.0
Q3 9:12
Zane Flores pass incomplete
1.1%
0.0
Q3 9:04
Wes Pahl punt for 38 yds
1.1%
0.0
BAY · Drive 22Uncategorized · 5 plays · 18 yds
Q3 8:59
Caden Knighten run for 14 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down
0.9%
-0.2
Q3 8:42
Caden Knighten run for 4 yds to the OKST 46
1.9%
+1.0
Q3 8:12
Sawyer Robertson sacked by Taje McCoy for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard line Baylor Penalty, intentional grounding (Sawyer Robertson) to the 50 yard line
0.8%
-1.1
Q3 8:06
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Ashtyn Hawkins for 8 yds to the OKST 42
0.8%
0.0
Q3 7:25
Bryson Washington run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKST 45
0.8%
0.0
OKST · Drive 23PUNT · 8 plays · 24 yds
Q4 14:49
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.9%
+0.2
Q4 14:48
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Shamar Rigby
2.0%
+1.0
Q4 14:43
Rodney Fields Jr. run for 2 yds to the OKST 27
2.0%
0.0
Q4 14:13
Zane Flores pass complete to Rodney Fields Jr. for 18 yds to the OKST 45 for a 1ST down
1.9%
-0.1
Q4 13:33
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Terrill Davis
1.9%
0.0
Q4 13:33
Kalib Hicks run for no gain to the OKST 45
1.9%
0.0
Q4 12:54
Zane Flores run for 4 yds to the OKST 49
1.9%
0.0
Q4 12:05
Wes Pahl punt for 40 yds , Josh Cameron returns for no gain to the BAY 11
2.0%
+0.1
BAY · Drive 24TD · 14 plays · 89 yds
Q4 11:57
Caden Knighten run for no gain to the BAY 11 Baylor Penalty, Offensive holding (Sidney Fugar) to the BAY 6
1.1%
-0.9
Q4 11:23
Joseph Dodds run for 5 yds to the BAY 11
1.1%
0.0
Q4 11:09
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Joseph Dodds for 5 yds to the BAY 16
1.1%
0.0
Q4 10:49
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Matthew Klopfenstein for 7 yds to the BAY 23 for a 1ST down
1.1%
0.0
Q4 10:21
Joseph Dodds run for no gain to the BAY 23 Baylor Penalty, Offensive holding (Sidney Fugar) to the BAY 13
1.0%
0.0
Q4 9:57
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins Baylor Penalty, Offensive holding (Kaden Sieracki) to the BAY 13
1.0%
0.0
Q4 9:52
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Josh Cameron for 9 yds to the BAY 22
1.0%
0.0
Q4 9:14
Sawyer Robertson pass complete to Michael Trigg for 35 yds to the OKST 43 for a 1ST down
1.0%
0.0
Q4 8:32
Michael Turner run for 7 yds to the OKST 36
0.9%
-0.1
Q4 8:06
Michael Turner run for no gain to the OKST 36
0.9%
0.0
Q4 7:25
Caden Knighten run for 5 yds to the OKST 31 for a 1ST down
0.8%
-0.1
Q4 6:46
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Josh Cameron, broken up by JK Johnson for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (JK Johnson) to the OKST 16 for a 1ST down
0.8%
0.0
Q4 6:41
Sawyer Robertson pass incomplete to Ashtyn Hawkins, broken up by Kale Smith for a 1ST down Oklahoma State Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Kale Smith) to the OKST 2 for a 1ST down
0.8%
0.0
Q4 6:31
Sawyer Robertson 2 Yd Run (Connor Hawkins Kick)
0.2%
-0.6
OKST · Drive 25DOWNS · 7 plays · 20 yds
Q4 6:31
Rhett Armstrong kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
0.2%
0.0
Q4 6:31
Zane Flores pass complete to Terrill Davis for 6 yds to the OKST 31
0.4%
+0.2
Q4 6:07
Zane Flores pass complete to Shamar Rigby for 5 yds to the OKST 36 for a 1ST down
0.4%
0.0
Q4 5:37
Zane Flores pass incomplete to Royal Capell
0.4%
0.0
Q4 5:30
Zane Flores pass complete to Royal Capell for 1 yd to the OKST 37
0.4%
0.0
Q4 4:57
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 5 yds to the OKST 42
0.4%
0.0
Q4 4:25
Zane Flores pass complete to Gavin Freeman for 3 yds to the OKST 45
0.4%
0.0
BAY · Drive 26Uncategorized · 7 plays · 18 yds
Q4 4:15
Michael Turner run for 3 yds to the OKST 42
0.2%
-0.2
Q4 3:29
Michael Turner run for 6 yds to the OKST 36
0.2%
0.0
Q4 2:40
Michael Turner run for no gain to the OKST 36
0.2%
0.0
Q4 2:05
Sawyer Robertson run for 3 yds to the OKST 33 for a 1ST down
0.2%
0.0
Q4 2:00
Joseph Dodds run for 4 yds to the OKST 29
0.2%
0.0
Q4 1:15
Joseph Dodds run for 2 yds to the OKST 27
0.2%
0.0
Q4 0:35
Joseph Dodds run for 1 yd to the OKST 27
0.2%
0.0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:02
Logan Ward kickoff for 65 yds
+2.4
TD · Q2 3:40
Michael Trigg 10 Yd pass from Sawyer Robertson (Connor Hawkins Kick)
-1.8
KEY PLAY · Q2 0:01
run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKST 35
-1.6