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CIN

Cincinnati 37 at Kansas 34

KU
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadCIN aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreCIN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-5.1KU 43.9%Stephen Rusnak 43 yd FG GOODAWAY 20 - HOME 13 · Q2 0:00
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:00 · Stephen Rusnak 43 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior+5.9Home team on offense−10.1Garbage-time factor−2.8Score differential−1.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 11:38: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 24 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +14.3 pts (now 65%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:54: Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 14 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CIN win probability +15.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:44: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +21.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:45: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 6 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +49.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:29: Tawee Walker run for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CIN win probability +70.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7CIN made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 11:53CIN 4th & 13 at CIN 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42CIN 4th & 1 at CIN 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    34.2%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:42CIN 4th & 5 at KU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    34.3%−0.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    34.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:48KU 4th & 4 at KU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:23CIN 4th & 10 at KU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:00KU 4th & 8 at CIN 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.5%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.9%
    90% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:15KU 4th & 17 at CIN 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%−2.2
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    43.2%−6.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:47CIN 4th & 2 at CIN 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:47KU 4th & 8 at KU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:47KU 4th & 8 at KU 43, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.4%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:00CIN 4th & 9 at KU 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−7.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:24CIN 4th & 6 at KU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.6
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    30.1%−14.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:02CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 32, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−4.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:02KU 4th & 1 at CIN 22, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    43.9%−2.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    28.3%−17.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:08CIN 4th & 10 at CIN 35, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.8%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.4%−3.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:00KU 4th & 6 at KU 29, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.8%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:42KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:10CIN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:09CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 11:38KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:54CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:44KU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:45KU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.9%−0.6
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:29CIN Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.6%−3.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 3:0738% → 38%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
62.0%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the CIN 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
62.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 3 yds to the CIN 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+10
62.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 10 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
62.0%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the CIN 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-3
62.0%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
62.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q1 11:53
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
62.1%
Max Fletcher punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
1 play · 93 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+93
63.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 93 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:3237% → 40%
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
63.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 4 yds to the CIN 29Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
63.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+6
63.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+14
62.9%
Evan Pryor run for 14 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
62.7%
Evan Pryor run for 1 yd to the KU 45Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+4
62.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tawee Walker for 4 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
62.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+6
62.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 6 yds to the KU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
62.6%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the KU 35Similar
Q1 11:42
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
62.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Tawee WalkerSimilar
Q1 11:42
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+33
62.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Isaiah Johnson for 33 yds to the KU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
60.5%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:2262% → 62%
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
61.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 6 yds to the KU 31Similar
Q1 6:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
62.3%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the KU 31Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
61.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to DeShawn HanikaSimilar
Q1 4:48
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
61.5%
Finn Lappin punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Manny Covey at the CIN 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5FG
13 plays · 61 yds · 5:2538% → 41%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
61.6%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the CIN 32Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+15
61.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 15 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
60.7%
Tawee Walker run for 11 yds to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
60.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 17 yds to the KU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
60.3%
Brendan Sorsby run for 6 yds to the KU 19Similar
Q1 4:48
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+2
60.3%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q1 4:48
3RD & 2
OPP 17
+6
60.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 6 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-10
59.0%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan rush left for 11 yards gain to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 00:50 PENALTY CIN Holding (Tyo,Taran) 10 yards from KAN11 to KAN21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:50
1ST & 20
OPP 21
+7
59.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 7 yds to the KU 14Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
-10
58.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass complete short left to Pryor,Evan caught at KAN20, for 4 yards loss to the KAN18 (Kamara,Jon Jon) PENALTY CIN Illegal Block in Back (Lozowicki,Xavier) 10 yards from KAN14 to KAN24. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 23
OPP 24
+13
59.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 13 yds to the KU 11Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 11
0
59.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q2 14:23
4TH & 10
OPP 11
+29
58.7%
Stephen Rusnak 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6FG
11 plays · 67 yds · 4:2360% → 63%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 12 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+25
60.1%
Leshon Williams run for 25 yds to the CIN 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
61.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the CIN 35Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & 7
OPP 35
-3
62.2%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Antwan Peek Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the CIN 38Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+33
60.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 27 yds to the CIN 11 for a 1ST down Cincinnati Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Simeon Coleman) to the CIN 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
62.2%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 7Similar
Q2 14:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
62.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q2 14:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
61.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the CIN 4Similar
Q2 14:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
60.6%
PENALTY KAN Delay Of Game 4 yards from CIN04 to CIN08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+27
63.0%
Laith Marjan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5140% → 53%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
60.5%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+5
59.5%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
59.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 12 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+29
58.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 29 yds to the KU 20 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, Defensive Holding (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
57.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q2 10:00
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+10
57.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 10 yds to the KU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
47.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 10 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 3:5451% → 55%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
50.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 17 yds to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
52.4%
Leshon Williams run for 3 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+15
52.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 15 yds to the CIN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
53.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Bryson Canty for 31 yds to the CIN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
54.8%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the CIN 5Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+12
54.8%
Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds to the CIN 17 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by KUSimilar
Q2 7:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
0
51.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q2 3:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 17
+35
54.5%
Laith Marjan 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 1:2847% → 49%
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
53.0%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the CIN 30Similar
Q2 3:15
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
52.3%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the CIN 31Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+2
51.3%
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the CIN 33Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
50.9%
Max Fletcher punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tate Nagy at the KU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:0051% → 50%
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+25
50.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 25 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
53.3%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the KU 43Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 43
0
53.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q2 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 43
-26
51.3%
Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass complete deep right to Canty,Bryson caught at CIN36, for 26 yards to the CIN31 (Gola-Callard,Tre) PENALTY KAN Illegal Touch-Pass (Canty,Bryson). NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+88
50.4%
Finn Lappin punt for 45 yds , Manny Covey returns for 88 yds to the CIN 6Similar
Q2 0:47
4TH & 8
OWN 43
+88
50.4%
Finn Lappin punt for 45 yds , Manny Covey returns for 88 yds to the CIN 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 0:4747% → 56%
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+17
52.6%
Evan Pryor run for 17 yds to the CIN 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
51.6%
Evan Pryor run for 5 yds to the CIN 28Similar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+46
50.5%
Evan Pryor run for 46 yds to the KU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
46.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Noah JenningsSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+1
46.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 1 yd to the KU 25Similar
Q2 0:28
3RD & 9
OPP 25
0
47.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 9
OPP 25
+43
43.9%
Stephen Rusnak 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:2245% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
45.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the KU 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+5
45.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 5 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+16
46.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 16 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
48.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+14
48.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Doug Emilien for 14 yds to the CIN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
50.3%
Cole Ballard run for 9 yds to the CIN 24Similar
Q3 11:38
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+24
64.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 24 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13TD
9 plays · 82 yds · 2:3843% → 63%
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+7
57.1%
Tawee Walker run for 7 yds to the CIN 25Similar
Q3 11:32
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+25
56.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
50
+37
53.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 37 yds to the KU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
52.3%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete short right thrown to KAN00 QB hurried by Kamara,Bangally PENALTY KAN Targeting (Kamara,Bangally) 7 yards from KAN13 to KAN06, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
52.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass complete short right to Goodie,Caleb caught at KAN00, for 6 yards to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 09:37 PENALTY CIN Holding (Buford,Deondre) 10 yards from KAN06 to KAN16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
+2
52.4%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the KU 14Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+14
36.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 14 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
61.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15FG
17 plays · 69 yds · 7:2043% → 54%
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-11
57.2%
Brendan Sorsby sacked by Blake Herold for a loss of 11 yards to the CIN 14Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 21
OWN 14
+8
57.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the CIN 22Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+20
58.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 20 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
54.6%
Evan Pryor run for 7 yds to the CIN 49Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
53.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Evan Pryor for 5 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-10
53.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass complete deep right to Goodie,Caleb caught at KAN20, for 31 yards to the KAN15, End Of Play PENALTY CIN Holding (Gurd,Patrick) 10 yards from KAN46 to CIN44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 20
OWN 44
+8
56.0%
Brendan Sorsby run for 8 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+11
54.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 11 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q3 8:44
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+5
53.6%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
52.2%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the KU 34Similar
Q3 8:44
2ND & 12
OPP 34
+33
52.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Gavin Grover for 33 yds to the KU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-10
49.6%
No Huddle Walker,Tawee rush right for 1 yard gain to the KAN00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 02:04 PENALTY CIN Holding (Buford,Deondre) 10 yards from KAN01 to KAN11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
49.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q3 2:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+5
49.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the KU 6Similar
Q3 2:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
51.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Evan PryorSimilar
Q3 1:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
45.7%
Stephen Rusnak 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FUMBLE
11 plays · 74 yds · 4:1651% → 57%
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
50.6%
Leshon Williams run for 16 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
54.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Leshon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+9
51.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
50
+3
54.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
55.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 18 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+20
58.6%
Isaiah Marshall run for 20 yds to the CIN 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
58.5%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the CIN 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
58.5%
Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete short left to Henderson Jr.,Emmanuel thrown to CIN00 PENALTY CIN Pass Interference (Harrison,Christian) 6 yards from CIN08 to CIN02, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
58.6%
Shotgun Kansas rush middle for 4 yards loss to the CIN06 fumbled by Kansas at CIN04 recovered by KAN Daniels,Jalon at CIN06, End Of Play PENALTY KAN False Start 5 yards from CIN02 to CIN07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
56.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the CIN 1 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by CIN Antwan Peek Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 4:0656% → 61%
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
44.3%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the CIN 2Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+14
44.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 14 yds to the CIN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
42.8%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the CIN 19Similar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+6
42.9%
Tawee Walker run for 6 yds to the CIN 25Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+4
42.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the CIN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
42.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
42.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 3 yds to the CIN 32Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 7
OWN 32
0
43.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 7
OWN 32
0
38.9%
Max Fletcher punt for 53 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
15 plays · 85 yds · 6:1744% → 94%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
43.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 22 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
45.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 7 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+13
48.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 13 yds to the CIN 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
50.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds to the CIN 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
53.3%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the CIN 27Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+4
53.3%
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. run for 4 yds to the CIN 23Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
50.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the CIN 22Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+1
48.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the CIN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-10
53.3%
Shotgun Daniels,Jalon rush right for 11 yards gain to the CIN10 (Hunt,Jalen), out of bounds PENALTY KAN Holding (Clements,Calvin) 10 yards from CIN21 to CIN31. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 20
OPP 31
+5
52.0%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the CIN 26Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 15
OPP 26
+16
39.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 16 yds to the CIN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
44.2%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the CIN 6Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 6 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:1614% → 95%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
85.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 6 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
83.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:45
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+4
85.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 4 yds to the CIN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
84.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-38
84.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass complete deep right to Johnson,Isaiah caught at KAN33, for 38 yards to the KAN27 (Rawls,Lyrik) PENALTY CIN Illegal Touch-Pass (Johnson,Isaiah). NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:08
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
87.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 10
OWN 35
+18
88.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 18 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
81.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 21 yds to the KU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
75.6%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Gavin Grover for 7 yds to the KU 19Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+17
75.6%
Tawee Walker run for 17 yds to the KU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
4.8%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20END OF GAME
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:2718% → 13%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
18.1%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
18.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q4 0:19
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
17.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Keaton KubeckaSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+26
13.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 26 yds Cam Pickett fumbled, recovered by KU Enrique Cruz Jr. for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:29
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
-70.4
TD · Q4 1:45
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 6 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
+49.6
TD · Q3 8:44
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 75 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
+21.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com