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TCU

TCU 24 at Arizona State 27

ASU
2025 · Week 5 · Sep 26, 2025 · Mountain America Stadium
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Win probability · ASU
modelASU aheadTCU aheadconfidence bandkey playASU scoreTCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 6:19 · Matt McKenzie punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Home team on offense−0.1Pregame prior+5.9Garbage-time factor−0.2Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:22: Jeremy Payne run for 7 yds for a TD (Nate McCashland KICK) — TCU win probability +10.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:56: Sam Leavitt run for 8 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — ASU win probability +12.2 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 4:02: Josh Hoover run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate McCashland KICK) — TCU win probability +19.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:50: Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 4 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK) — ASU win probability +34.4 pts (now 60%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 1:14: Jesus Gomez 23 yd FG GOOD — ASU win probability +28.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ASU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ASU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10TCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 12:50ASU 4th & 5 at ASU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:06TCU 4th & 12 at TCU 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.5%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:19ASU 4th & 17 at ASU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.1%−0.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:13ASU 4th & 13 at TCU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−1.0
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    48.9%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:24ASU 4th & 2 at ASU 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:24TCU 4th & 6 at ASU 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    53.8%−7.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:33TCU 4th & 13 at TCU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:23TCU 4th & 7 at TCU 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.3%−1.0
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:00ASU 4th & 9 at TCU 9, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.2%−1.8
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−11.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:02ASU 4th & 1 at ASU 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.1%−3.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:49ASU 4th & 3 at TCU 3, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    36.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    33.6%−2.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    19.4%−16.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:16TCU 4th & 5 at TCU 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.0%−0.9
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:07ASU 4th & 8 at TCU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.3%−1.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    29.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    17.1%−12.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:42TCU 4th & 29 at TCU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.0%−6.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:50ASU 4th & 4 at TCU 4, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−12.7
    93% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−17.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:14ASU 4th & 6 at TCU 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−1.9
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    21.5%−34.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ASU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:11TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:22TCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:51ASU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:56ASU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    51.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    51.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:02TCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 1:50ASU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.7%−2.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ASUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:0457% → 57%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.0%
Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+11
57.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
57.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 4 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
57.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q1 12:50
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
57.1%
Matt McKenzie punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3643% → 43%
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
57.1%
Trent Battle run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 25Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 11
OWN 25
-12
57.1%
Josh Hoover sacked by Elijah O'Neal for a loss of 12 yards to the TCU 13Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 23
OWN 13
+11
57.3%
Josh Hoover run for 11 yds to the TCU 24Similar
Q1 11:06
4TH & 12
OWN 24
0
57.5%
Ethan Craw punt for 69 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 18 yds · 4:3857% → 57%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+4
57.2%
Kyson Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 11Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 6
OWN 11
+3
57.2%
Sam Leavitt run for 3 yds to the ASU 14Similar
Q1 9:51
3RD & 3
OWN 14
-7
57.0%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam pass complete deep right to Tyson,Jordyn caught at ASU40, for 26 yards to the ASU40, out of bounds at ASU40 PENALTY ASU Holding (Obigbo,Jimeto) 7 yards from ASU14 to ASU07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+13
57.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 13 yds to the ASU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
57.2%
Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the ASU 23Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
57.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cameron Harpole for 6 yds to the ASU 29Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+3
57.1%
Sam Leavitt run for 3 yds to the ASU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
57.4%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Kanye UdohSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
57.3%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon MetayerSimilar
Q1 6:55
3RD & 10
OWN 32
-7
56.9%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Kaleb Elarms-Orr for a loss of 7 yards to the ASU 25Similar
Q1 6:19
4TH & 17
OWN 25
0
56.6%
Matt McKenzie punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 51 yds · 3:0044% → 49%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
56.3%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass complete short left to Rogers,DJ caught at ASU46, for 8 yards to the ASU43 (Elliott,Keyshaun) PENALTY TCU Illegal Touch-Pass 5 yards from TCU49 to TCU44. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+5
56.9%
Trent Battle run for 5 yds to the TCU 49Similar
Q1 5:09
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+19
56.8%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 19 yds to the ASU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
55.9%
Trent Battle run for 1 yd to the ASU 31Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
55.9%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 9
OPP 31
+12
56.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 12 yds to the ASU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
55.6%
Trent Battle run for 6 yds to the ASU 13Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+13
51.2%
Trent Battle run for 13 yds for a TD (Nate McCashland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 5MISSED FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:5853% → 51%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
52.9%
(03:11) PENALTY ASU False Start (Klemm,Jalen) 5 yards from ASU25 to ASU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:53
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+15
52.7%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 15 yds to the ASU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
52.4%
Sam Leavitt run for 1 yd to the ASU 36Similar
Q1 1:48
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+28
52.3%
Raleek Brown run for 28 yds to the TCU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
53.4%
Raleek Brown run for 11 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
53.9%
Kyson Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 23Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
0
53.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Malik McClainSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-5
52.9%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Kaleb Elarms-Orr for a loss of 5 yards to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+46
50.6%
Jesus Gomez 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 6TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 3:5150% → 61%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
50.2%
Jeremy Payne run for 3 yds to the TCU 32Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
50.1%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+14
50.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 14 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
49.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Major Everhart for 9 yds to the ASU 45Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+17
48.9%
Joseph Manjack IV pass complete to Dozie Ezukanma for 17 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-15
48.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass incomplete deep left to Dwyer,Jordan thrown to ASU05 PENALTY TCU Face Mask (Dwyer,Jordan) 15 yards from ASU28 to ASU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 14:13
1ST & 25
OPP 43
-3
49.3%
Trent Battle run for a loss of 3 yards to the ASU 46Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 28
OPP 46
+39
49.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 39 yds to the ASU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
38.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 7 yds for a TD (Nate McCashland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 7DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:5441% → 40%
Q2 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
41.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 5 yds to the ASU 35Similar
Q2 10:18
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+4
41.7%
Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the ASU 39Similar
Q2 10:18
3RD & 1
OWN 39
-1
42.0%
Kyson Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 38Similar
Q2 8:24
4TH & 2
OWN 38
+1
40.2%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the ASU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 8FG
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:0063% → 69%
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
36.9%
Jeremy Payne run for a loss of 3 yards to the ASU 42Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+3
37.0%
Josh Hoover run for 3 yds to the ASU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
36.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass incomplete deep right to Ezukanma,Dozie thrown to ASU00 PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Abney II,Keith) 14 yards from ASU28 to ASU14, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
36.9%
Jeremy Payne run for 4 yds to the ASU 10Similar
Q2 8:24
2ND & 6
OPP 10
0
36.9%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Joseph Manjack IVSimilar
Q2 8:24
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
37.0%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to DJ RogersSimilar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
31.5%
Nate McCashland 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 9TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:2335% → 44%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
35.2%
Raleek Brown run for 1 yd to the ASU 36Similar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
35.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 7 yds to the ASU 43Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+57
43.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 57 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:1858% → 58%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
41.7%
Trent Battle run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+2
42.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 2 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
42.6%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
42.4%
Ethan Craw punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Keith Abney II at the TCU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 1:3744% → 56%
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
44.1%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 5 yds to the TCU 42Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+10
44.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 10 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
45.6%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Khamari AndersonSimilar
Q2 3:33
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+24
45.5%
Sam Leavitt run for 24 yds to the TCU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
55.9%
Sam Leavitt run for 8 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:3350% → 48%
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
50.3%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 3 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
50.0%
PENALTY TCU False Start (Harris,Quinton) 5 yards from TCU28 to TCU23. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-9
50.6%
Josh Hoover sacked by Prince Dorbah for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 14Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 21
OWN 14
+14
51.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 14 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 1:23
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
51.7%
Ethan Craw punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:3851% → 54%
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
50.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Derek Eusebio for 15 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
52.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 12 yds to the TCU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
53.6%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 4 yds to the TCU 28Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-3
53.5%
Sam Leavitt sacked by Devean Deal for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 14END OF HALF
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:4551% → 50%
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
49.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jeremy Payne for 1 yd to the TCU 26Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
49.2%
No Huddle-Shotgun Hoover,Josh pass complete deep left to Dwyer,Jordan caught at TCU46, for 20 yards to the TCU46, End Of Play PENALTY TCU Holding (Taylor-Whitfield,Ben) 10 yards from TCU26 to TCU16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-2
49.6%
J. Hoover takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 15INT
7 plays · 42 yds · 2:1953% → 53%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
47.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 5 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+6
46.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 6 yds to the ASU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+32
47.2%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 32 yds to the ASU 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
46.1%
Jeremy Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the ASU 7Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
46.1%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Eric McAlisterSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
46.6%
Josh Hoover pass intercepted Adrian Wilson return for 5 yds to the ASU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 16FG
13 plays · 83 yds · 5:4050% → 60%
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+11
49.8%
Raleek Brown run for 11 yds to the ASU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
50.3%
Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the ASU 22Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
50.3%
Raleek Brown run for 3 yds to the ASU 25Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+15
49.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Malik McClain for 15 yds to the ASU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+44
53.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jaren Hamilton for 44 yds to the TCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
55.6%
Raleek Brown run for 4 yds to the TCU 12Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 12
0
55.6%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 12
+8
54.0%
Sam Leavitt run for 8 yds to the TCU 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
55.6%
Derek Eusebio run for no gain to the TCU 4Similar
Q3 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
55.6%
Raleek Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 3Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
54.0%
Sam Leavitt sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 4Similar
Q3 12:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
52.1%
PENALTY ASU Delay Of Game 5 yards from TCU04 to TCU09. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
59.5%
Jesus Gomez 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:5846% → 70%
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
53.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 11 yds to the TCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
51.2%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Jordan DwyerSimilar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
52.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 5 yds to the ASU 49Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 5
OPP 49
+7
51.1%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 7 yds to the ASU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+21
50.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Chase Curtis for 21 yds to the ASU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+20
48.9%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 20 yds to the ASU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.9%
Trent Battle run for no gain to the ASU 1Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
29.8%
Josh Hoover run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate McCashland KICK)Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
29.8%
Arizona State Penalty, Defensive Offside (Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 18DOWNS
15 plays · 62 yds · 5:1338% → 34%
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
37.8%
PENALTY ASU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from ASU35 to ASU30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+4
37.0%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 4 yds to the ASU 34Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+3
37.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 3 yds to the ASU 37Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+7
36.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 7 yds to the ASU 44Similar
Q3 4:02
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+14
38.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 14 yds to the TCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
41.9%
Raleek Brown run for 7 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q3 4:02
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+10
43.7%
Raleek Brown run for 10 yds to the TCU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
43.7%
Kyson Brown run for 1 yd to the TCU 24Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+11
39.9%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 11 yds to the TCU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+11
39.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Cameron Harpole for 11 yds to the TCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
39.9%
Raleek Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
39.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
37.8%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Derek EusebioSimilar
Q4 13:49
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
34.0%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Chamon MetayerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:3372% → 70%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
28.2%
Jeremy Payne run for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 2Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+6
28.6%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 6 yds to the TCU 8Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 5
OWN 8
0
29.5%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to DJ RogersSimilar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 5
OWN 8
0
30.0%
Ethan Craw punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0936% → 29%
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
36.3%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 4 yds to the TCU 35Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+7
38.2%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for 7 yds to the TCU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
38.2%
Kyson Brown run for 6 yds to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 12:16
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
38.2%
Kyson Brown run for no gain to the TCU 22Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 4
OPP 22
-15
35.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam pass complete short left to Tyson,Jordyn caught at TCU20, for 5 yards to the TCU17 (Oyewale,Paul) PENALTY ASU Pass Interference (Eusebio,Derek) 15 yards from TCU22 to TCU37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
3RD & 19
OPP 37
+11
32.5%
Sam Leavitt run for 11 yds to the TCU 26Similar
Q4 9:07
4TH & 8
OPP 26
+43
29.4%
Jesus Gomez 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 3:2578% → 81%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
21.9%
Josh Hoover sacked by Keyshaun Elliott for a loss of 3 yards to the TCU 23Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+10
22.8%
Trent Battle run for 10 yds to the TCU 33Similar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+11
21.7%
Josh Hoover pass complete to Ed Small for 11 yds to the TCU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
19.4%
Josh Hoover sacked by Clayton Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 34Similar
Q4 9:07
2ND & 20
OWN 34
0
22.7%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Dozie EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 9:07
3RD & 20
OWN 34
-9
23.8%
Josh Hoover sacked by Prince Dorbah for a loss of 9 yards to the TCU 25Similar
Q4 5:42
4TH & 29
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Ethan Craw punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 22TD
14 plays · 73 yds · 3:5223% → 60%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+35
23.1%
Raleek Brown run for 35 yds to the TCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
28.4%
Raleek Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 36Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+13
28.2%
Raleek Brown run for 13 yds to the TCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-1
30.8%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Chamon Metayer for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 24Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 24
0
30.1%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 11
OPP 24
0
26.5%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Derek EusebioSimilar
Q4 3:17
4TH & 11
OPP 24
+12
21.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam pass incomplete short middle to McClain,Malik thrown to TCU12 PENALTY TCU Pass Interference (Canada,Channing) 12 yards from TCU24 to TCU12, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
30.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Raleek Brown for 5 yds to the TCU 7Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
30.4%
No Huddle-Shotgun Leavitt,Sam pass complete short left to Tyson,Jordyn caught at TCU06, for 1 yard to the TCU06 (Jordan,Austin) PENALTY TCU Roughing The Passer (Deal,Devean) 4 yards from TCU07 to TCU03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
30.4%
Raleek Brown run for no gain to the TCU 3Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
30.4%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Khamari Anderson for a loss of 1 yard to the TCU 4Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
25.0%
Sam Leavitt pass incomplete to Jordyn TysonSimilar
Q4 1:50
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
59.5%
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 4 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0851% → 50%
Q4 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
49.4%
Josh Hoover pass incomplete to Joseph Manjack IVSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
50.0%
Josh Hoover sacked by Prince Dorbah for a loss of 10 yards to the TCU 15 Josh Hoover fumbled, recovered by ASU Prince Dorbah , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 24FG
10 plays · 9 yds · 0:2866% → 92%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
65.6%
TCU Penalty, Horse Collar Tackle (Austin Jordan) to the TCU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
66.1%
Raleek Brown run for 2 yds to the TCU 3Similar
Q4 1:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
68.6%
Sam Leavitt run for 1 yd to the TCU 2Similar
Q4 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
65.4%
Arizona State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
64.0%
Leavitt,Sam rush middle for 1 yard gain to the TCU00 TOUCHDOWN nullified by penalty, clock 01:15 PENALTY ASU False Start 5 yards from TCU01 to TCU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
92.0%
Jesus Gomez 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TCUDrive 25INT
3 plays · 9 yds · 0:1312% → 13%
Q4 0:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+9
88.0%
Josh Hoover pass complete to DJ Rogers for 9 yds to the TCU 21Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 1
OWN 21
-6
87.1%
Josh Hoover pass intercepted Martell Hughes return for 6 yds to the TCU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ASUDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:2796% → 97%
Q4 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
96.0%
S. Leavitt takes a kneeSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 11
OPP 29
-1
96.8%
S. Leavitt takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:50
Sam Leavitt pass complete to Jordyn Tyson for 4 yds for a TD (Jesus Gomez KICK)
+34.4
FG · Q4 1:14
Jesus Gomez 23 yd FG GOOD
+28
TD · Q3 4:02
Josh Hoover run for 1 yd for a TD (Nate McCashland KICK)
-19.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com