Try the model
WVU

West Virginia 10 at Kansas 41

KU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:19 · Oliver Straw punt for 49 yds , Tate Nagy returns for 2 yds to the KU 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 29Pregame prior+26.0Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:11: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Leshon Williams for 39 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +5.9 pts (now 88%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Laith Marjan 44 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +1.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 14:48: Ethan Head kickoff for 59 yds , Emmanuel Henderson Jr. return for 94 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +3.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:43: Boden Groen 7 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Laith Marjan Kick) — KU win probability +2.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 14:31: Jaylen Henderson 13 Yd Run (Kade Hensley Kick) — WVU win probability +1.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9WVU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 13:24WVU 4th & 5 at WVU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:57KU 4th & 1 at WVU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.9%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:06WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:43KU 4th & 2 at KU 45, up 7
    Close callPunted · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:19WVU 4th & 12 at WVU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.1%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:21KU 4th & 13 at KU 44, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.9%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.4%
    average punt
  7. Q1 3:19WVU 4th & 4 at WVU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  8. Q1 1:17KU 4th & 15 at KU 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.8%
    average punt
  9. Q1 0:00WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 10:25KU 4th & 9 at WVU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−2.7
    average punt
  11. Q2 8:38WVU 4th & 10 at KU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%
    average punt
  12. Q2 7:03KU 4th & 8 at KU 10, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:43WVU 4th & 7 at KU 8, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    14.0%−4.1
    average punt
  14. Q2 0:40WVU 4th & 2 at KU 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    13.5%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    12.8%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:43WVU 4th & 18 at WVU 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.8
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:39KU 4th & 1 at WVU 5, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.6%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.2
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.9%−0.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:10WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:05KU 4th & 4 at KU 38, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 5:32WVU 4th & 2 at KU 36, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:54KU 4th & 4 at KU 40, up 31
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:57KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:11KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 14:48KU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:43KU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:31WVU Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:52KU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:3020% → 20%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 14:41
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
80.3%
Clay Ash run for 2 yds to the WVU 32Similar
Q1 14:10
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
80.2%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Dean Miller for a loss of 2 yards to the WVU 30Similar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+30
80.0%
Oliver Straw punt for 50 yds , Tate Nagy returns for 30 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:2280% → 80%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
50
0
80.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
50
+7
80.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the WVU 43Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+2
80.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 2 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q1 11:57
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+41
80.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 41 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:4620% → 20%
Q1 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.3%
Clay Ash run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+11
80.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 11 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
80.1%
Clay Ash run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 37Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 11
OWN 37
+8
80.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 8 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 3
OWN 45
-5
80.0%
(10:28) PENALTY WVU False Start (Krahe,Nick) 5 yards from WVU45 to WVU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:13
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
80.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
80.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tate Nagy at the KU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 3:1980% → 80%
Q1 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
80.4%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the KU 30Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
80.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
80.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 7 yds to the KU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
80.4%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the KU 38Similar
Q1 7:56
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+6
80.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 6 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q1 7:21
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+1
80.5%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the KU 45Similar
Q1 6:43
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
80.3%
Finn Lappin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rodney Gallagher III at the WVU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:1920% → 19%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
80.3%
Cyncir Bowers run for 3 yds to the WVU 11Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 7
OWN 11
0
80.2%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the WVU 11Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 7
OWN 11
-5
80.5%
(05:52) PENALTY WVU False Start (Makane'ole,Kimo) 5 yards from WVU11 to WVU06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:31
3RD & 12
OWN 6
0
80.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Rodney Gallagher IIISimilar
Q1 5:19
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+2
80.6%
Oliver Straw punt for 49 yds , Tate Nagy returns for 2 yds to the KU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:5381% → 80%
Q1 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
80.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Carson BruhnSimilar
Q1 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-5
80.7%
(05:13) PENALTY KU False Start (Clements,Calvin) 5 yards from KU47 to KU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+2
80.4%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the KU 44Similar
Q1 4:27
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
80.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
79.8%
Finn Lappin punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Rodney Gallagher III at the WVU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:5220% → 20%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
80.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Oran Singleton Jr. for 2 yds to the WVU 19Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+4
80.1%
Oran Singleton Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 23Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
80.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q1 3:19
4TH & 4
OWN 23
+4
80.5%
Oliver Straw punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 34 , Tate Nagy returns for 4 yds to the KU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:5280% → 79%
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
80.3%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q1 2:21
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+15
80.6%
run for 15 yds to the KU 23 fumbled, recovered by WVU Leshon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 2:04
3RD & 21
OWN 23
+6
79.6%
Leshon Williams run for 6 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 1:17
4TH & 15
OWN 29
0
79.2%
Finn Lappin punt for 51 yds , Rodney Gallagher III returns for no gain to the WVU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:1120% → 20%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
79.7%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the WVU 21Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+1
79.7%
Clay Ash run for 1 yd to the WVU 22Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
80.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for no gain to the WVU 22Similar
Q1 0:00
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
80.4%
Oliver Straw punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:2680% → 81%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
80.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 8 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
80.7%
Harry Stewart III run for 6 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
80.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 11 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
80.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 4 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 12:10
2ND & 14
OPP 40
+2
80.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 2 yds to the WVU 38Similar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
81.0%
Leshon Williams run for 1 yd to the WVU 23Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 12
OPP 38
+14
80.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 14 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST down West Virginia Penalty, unnecessary roughness (Eddie Kelly Jr.) to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
81.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 9
OPP 23
0
80.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 9
OPP 23
+42
80.8%
Laith Marjan 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 1:3919% → 19%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 2 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q2 9:50
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
80.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 3 yds to the WVU 30Similar
Q2 9:32
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+23
81.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cyncir Bowers for 23 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
79.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for no gain to the KU 47Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
80.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q2 8:46
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
80.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Cyncir BowersSimilar
Q2 8:38
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
81.5%
Oliver Straw punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tate Nagy at the KU 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:3081% → 80%
Q2 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
80.6%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the KU 8Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+2
81.0%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the KU 10Similar
Q2 7:10
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
80.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 8
OWN 10
0
80.1%
Finn Lappin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rodney Gallagher III at the WVU 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:0719% → 21%
Q2 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+18
80.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 18 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
80.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Oran Singleton Jr. for 4 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q2 6:04
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+13
79.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Ryan Ward for 13 yds to the KU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
79.1%
Clay Ash run for 5 yds to the KU 17Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+6
79.1%
Oran Singleton Jr. run for 6 yds to the KU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
79.1%
Clay Ash run for 2 yds to the KU 9Similar
Q2 4:08
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+1
79.4%
Cyncir Bowers run for 1 yd to the KU 8Similar
Q2 3:46
3RD & 7
OPP 8
0
80.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
Q2 3:43
4TH & 7
OPP 8
+26
78.9%
Kade Hensley 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 1:1882% → 88%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
81.6%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q2 2:53
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+8
81.7%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 8 yds to the WVU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
87.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Leshon Williams for 39 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 38 yds · 1:2614% → 15%
Q2 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
86.0%
Clay Ash run for 1 yd to the WVU 26Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+10
85.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 10 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
84.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 8 yds to the WVU 44Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
84.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+11
84.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Rodney Gallagher III for 11 yds to the KU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
83.6%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q2 1:04
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
84.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jeff Weimer for 5 yds to the KU 40Similar
Q2 0:55
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+3
83.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Clay Ash for 3 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q2 0:40
4TH & 2
OPP 37
0
84.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Grayson BarnesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 0:3488% → 90%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+12
88.3%
Jalon Daniels run for 12 yds to the KU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
88.5%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
88.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+28
87.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 28 yds to the WVU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
88.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Keaton KubeckaSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & 10
OPP 23
-2
88.5%
J. Daniels takes a kneeSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 25
+44
90.1%
Laith Marjan 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:586% → 6%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.3%
Cyncir Bowers run for no gain to the WVU 25Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-8
94.5%
Nicco Marchiol sacked by Trey Lathan for a loss of 8 yards to the WVU 17Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
94.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q3 13:43
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
94.3%
Oliver Straw punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18TD
13 plays · 69 yds · 6:5395% → 100%
Q3 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
95.2%
Leshon Williams run for 11 yds to the KU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
95.6%
Leshon Williams run for 9 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+2
95.7%
Leshon Williams run for 2 yds to the WVU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Cam PickettSimilar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+7
96.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 7 yds to the WVU 40Similar
Q3 11:21
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+6
96.0%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 6 yds to the WVU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.2%
(10:40) Shotgun Williams,Leshon rush right for 2 yards gain to the WVU32 (Redwood,Asani) PENALTY WVU Offside (Oxley,Marshon) 5 yards from WVU34 to WVU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 5
OPP 29
0
96.3%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the WVU 29Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+5
96.5%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
96.6%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the WVU 16Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+5
96.6%
Leshon Williams run for 5 yds to the WVU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
96.8%
Leshon Williams run for 4 yds to the WVU 7Similar
Q3 6:43
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Boden Groen 7 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Laith Marjan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:551% → 1%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.5%
(06:43) No Huddle-Shotgun Bowers,Cyncir rush left for 8 yards gain to the WVU33 (Rawls,Lyrik), out of bounds PENALTY WVU Holding (Young Bear,Walter) 10 yards from WVU25 to WVU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 4 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q3 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
99.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q3 5:43
3RD & 6
OWN 37
-32
99.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass intercepted Trey Lathan return for 32 yds to the WVU 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:59100% → 100%
Q3 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
99.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Keaton Kubecka for 3 yds to the WVU 11Similar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+5
99.6%
Harry Stewart III run for 5 yds to the WVU 6Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+1
99.6%
Harry Stewart III run for 1 yd to the WVU 5Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
99.6%
Leshon Williams run for no gain to the WVU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 21TD
11 plays · 95 yds · 3:580% → 2%
Q3 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
99.7%
Jaylen Henderson run for 7 yds to the WVU 12Similar
Q3 3:04
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+4
99.7%
Tyler Jacklich run for 4 yds to the WVU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
99.7%
Jaylen Henderson run for 8 yds to the WVU 24Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+2
99.8%
Tyler Jacklich run for 2 yds to the WVU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
99.8%
Jaylen Henderson run for 12 yds to the WVU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
99.8%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Justin Smith-Brown for 8 yds to the WVU 46Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-1
99.8%
Tyler Jacklich run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 45Similar
Q3 0:29
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+32
99.8%
Jaylen Henderson run for 32 yds to the KU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.8%
Tyler Jacklich run for 5 yds to the KU 18Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+5
99.7%
Jaylen Henderson run for 5 yds to the KU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
98.2%
Jaylen Henderson 13 Yd Run (Kade Hensley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2999% → 100%
Q4 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.5%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 28Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Carson BruhnSimilar
Q4 13:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
98.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 10 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
99.8%
Leshon Williams 62 Yd Run (Laith Marjan Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 1:310% → 0%
Q4 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 8 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 12:17
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
99.8%
Tyler Jacklich run for 3 yds to the WVU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson run for 2 yds to the WVU 38Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Oran Singleton Jr.Similar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Oran Singleton Jr.Similar
Q4 11:10
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Oliver Straw punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tate Nagy at the KU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 2:54100% → 100%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
99.8%
Harry Stewart III run for 7 yds to the KU 24Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+8
99.8%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Bryson Canty for 8 yds to the KU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.9%
Cole Ballard run for 5 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+1
99.9%
Harry Stewart III run for 1 yd to the KU 38Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 4
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Keaton KubeckaSimilar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Finn Lappin punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Rodney Gallagher III at the WVU 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 25FUMBLE
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:260% → 0%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+30
99.9%
Khalil Wilkins run for 20 yds to the KU 46 for a 1ST down Kansas Penalty, (10 Yards) to the KU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
99.9%
Khalil Wilkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 45Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 11
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Young Bear,Walter) 5 yards from KU45 to KU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:47
2ND & 16
50
+2
99.9%
Khalil Wilkins run for 2 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+12
99.9%
Khalil Wilkins run for 12 yds to the KU 36Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+14
99.9%
Tyler Jacklich run for 14 yds to the KU 22 Tyler Jacklich fumbled, recovered by WVU Blake HeroldSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
99.9%
Cole Ballard run for 3 yds to the KU 25Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 9 yds to the KU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 38Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q4 2:35
3RD & 3
OWN 41
-1
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the KU 40Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Finn Lappin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rodney Gallagher III at the WVU 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27END OF GAME
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
99.9%
Diore Hubbard run for 8 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+3
99.9%
Diore Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVU 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
99.9%
Khalil Wilkins run for 3 yds to the WVU 27Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+5
99.9%
Diore Hubbard run for 5 yds to the WVU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:11
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Leshon Williams for 39 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
+5.9
FG · Q3 14:48
Ethan Head kickoff for 59 yds , Emmanuel Henderson Jr. return for 94 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q3 6:43
Boden Groen 7 Yd pass from Jalon Daniels (Laith Marjan Kick)
+2.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com