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CP

Cal Poly 9 at Utah 63

UTAH
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Rice-Eccles Stadium
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Win probability · UTAH
modelUTAH aheadCP aheadconfidence bandkey playUTAH scoreCP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 10:20 · Jesse Ehrlich punt for 50 yds, downed at the UTAH 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior+48.0Home team on offense+0.8Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Garbage-time factor+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 7:15: Ty Dieffenbach pass intercepted Jackson Bennee return for 46 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:20: Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 7:04: Gianluca Dimauro 47 yd FG GOOD — CP win probability +0.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: CP has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:44: NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +0.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:03: NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK) — UTAH win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UTAH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTAH made the numbers' call on 3 of 4CP made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 10:20CP 4th & 10 at CP 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42UTAH 4th & 4 at UTAH 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21CP 4th & 4 at UTAH 12, down 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:52CP 4th & 2 at CP 33, down 18
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:25UTAH 4th & 12 at UTAH 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:04CP 4th & 13 at UTAH 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    1.3%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:13UTAH 4th & 10 at CP 41, up 15
    Close callPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    97.5%−<0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39CP 4th & 7 at CP 28, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03UTAH 4th & 1 at CP 1, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:02CP 4th & 3 at CP 32, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:48CP 4th & 13 at CP 22, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:09CP 4th & 3 at UTAH 46, down 43
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:13CP 4th & 13 at UTAH 33, down 50
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:10CP 4th & 4 at CP 48, down 54
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTAH made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:08UTAH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:15UTAH Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:20UTAH Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:44UTAH Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:03UTAH Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:48UTAH Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:12UTAH Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:24UTAH Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 2:12UTAH Touchdown, up 53 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTAHDrive 1TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.3%
Smith Snowden run for 6 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q1 14:34
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.2%
Devon Dampier pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:21
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Hunter Andrews for 5 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Smith Snowden for 3 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q1 13:33
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+9
99.2%
Smith Snowden run for 9 yds to the UTAH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
99.2%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Wayshawn Parker for 52 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 2:141% → 1%
Q1 12:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
99.2%
Ty Dieffenbach pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 10 yds to the CP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
99.1%
Ty Dieffenbach pass complete to Kian Salehi for 1 yd to the CP 35Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+3
99.1%
Tyrei Washington run for 3 yds to the CP 38Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 6
OWN 38
-4
99.1%
Ty Dieffenbach sacked by Kash Dillon for a loss of 4 yards to the CP 34Similar
Q1 10:20
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
99.0%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 50 yds, downed at the UTAH 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:3899% → 99%
Q1 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-5
99.0%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Tanoa Togiai) to the UTAH 11Similar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 15
OWN 11
-1
99.0%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 10Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 16
OWN 10
-5
99.0%
Utah Penalty, Offensive Holding (Caleb Lomu) to the UTAH 5Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 21
OWN 5
+17
99.0%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 17 yds to the UTAH 22Similar
Q1 8:49
3RD & 4
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 4
OWN 22
0
98.9%
Orion Phillips punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Carson Kuhl at the CP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 4INT TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:271% → 1%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
98.9%
Cal Poly Penalty, False Start (Jordan Garrison) to the CP 26Similar
Q1 8:25
1ST & 15
OWN 26
+3
98.9%
Tyrei Washington run for 3 yds to the CP 29Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+15
98.9%
Dieffenbach, Ty pass incomplete to Briscoe, Michael, PENALTY UTAH roughing passer (Hall, Johnathan) 15 yards to the CALPOLY44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALPOLY.Similar
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
98.9%
Tyrei Washington run for 2 yds to the CP 46Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 8
OWN 46
-46
99.0%
Ty Dieffenbach pass intercepted Jackson Bennee return for 46 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 5FG
9 plays · 63 yds · 2:421% → 1%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Paul Holyfield Jr. run for 3 yds to the CP 28Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+42
98.9%
Ty Dieffenbach pass complete to Kian Salehi for 42 yds to the UTAH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
98.9%
Ty Dieffenbach pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 12 yds to the UTAH 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
98.8%
Ty Dieffenbach pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
98.8%
Ty Dieffenbach pass complete to Jordan Garrison for 8 yds to the UTAH 10Similar
Q1 4:59
3RD & 2
OPP 10
-2
98.8%
Ty Dieffenbach run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 12Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 4
OPP 12
+30
98.7%
Noah Serna 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 6TD
14 plays · 65 yds · 4:5799% → 99%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
98.7%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q1 4:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+12
98.7%
Devon Dampier run for 12 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
98.8%
Utah Penalty, False Start (Michael Mokofisi) to the UTAH 42Similar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+7
98.7%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 7 yds to the UTAH 49Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
98.7%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the CP 45Similar
Q1 2:43
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+6
98.6%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the CP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+8
98.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Lander Barton for 8 yds to the CP 31Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 2
OPP 31
+5
98.6%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 5 yds to the CP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
98.5%
Hunter Andrews run for 7 yds to the CP 19Similar
Q1 0:51
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+10
98.5%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Hunter Andrews for 10 yds to the CP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
98.5%
Hunter Andrews run for 5 yds to the CP 4Similar
Q2 14:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.5%
Hunter Andrews run for no gain to the CP 4Similar
Q2 14:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.9%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:131% → 1%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.8%
Ty Dieffenbach pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 9 yds to the CP 34Similar
Q2 13:45
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
98.7%
Ty Dieffenbach pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
-1
98.7%
Ty Dieffenbach run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 33Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
98.7%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 43 yds, downed at the UTAH 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:0599% → 99%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
98.8%
Devon Dampier sacked by Mikey D'Amato for a loss of 2 yards to the UTAH 22Similar
Q2 12:08
2ND & 12
OWN 22
0
98.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Smith Snowden for no gain to the UTAH 22Similar
Q2 11:35
3RD & 12
OWN 22
0
98.8%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Tobias MerriweatherSimilar
Q2 11:25
4TH & 12
OWN 22
-2
98.8%
Orion Phillips punt for 44 yds , Carson Kuhl returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 9FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 4:111% → 2%
Q2 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+18
98.7%
Kian Salehi run for 18 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+5
98.6%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
98.5%
Michael Briscoe pass incomplete to Alek MarshallSimilar
Q2 10:02
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+5
98.6%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for 5 yds to the UTAH 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
98.5%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incomplete to Michael BriscoeSimilar
Q2 9:01
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-1
98.5%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTAH 41Similar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 11
OPP 41
+15
98.5%
Utah Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Elijah Davis) to the UTAH 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.4%
Tyrei Washington run for no gain to the UTAH 26Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
98.3%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incomplete to Antoine SullivanSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+2
98.4%
Tyrei Washington run for 2 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 8
OPP 24
-5
98.3%
Cal Poly Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 29Similar
Q2 7:04
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+47
98.2%
Gianluca Dimauro 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 10PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:3298% → 98%
Q2 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
98.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 10 yds to the UTAH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.3%
Utah Penalty, Encroachment (Tobias Merriweather) to the UTAH 30Similar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+10
98.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Tobias Merriweather for 10 yds to the UTAH 40Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+7
98.3%
NaQuari Rogers run for 7 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
98.3%
NaQuari Rogers run for 7 yds to the CP 46Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+5
98.3%
NaQuari Rogers run for 5 yds to the CP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
98.3%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Dallen BentleySimilar
Q2 4:31
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+5
98.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 5 yds to the CP 36Similar
Q2 3:57
3RD & 5
OPP 36
-5
98.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Smith Snowden for a loss of 5 yards to the CP 41Similar
Q2 3:13
4TH & 10
OPP 41
0
98.1%
Orion Phillips punt for 36 yds, downed at the CP 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 11INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 1:142% → 2%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-1
98.1%
Michael Briscoe run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 4Similar
Q2 2:26
2ND & 11
OWN 4
0
98.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incomplete to Brooks WheatleySimilar
Q2 2:12
3RD & 11
OWN 4
+13
98.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 13 yds to the CP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
97.9%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for 2 yds to the CP 19Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 8
OWN 19
-4
97.8%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass intercepted Johnathan Hall return for 4 yds to the CP 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 12TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 1:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.3%
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for 3 yds to the CP 28Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
99.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incomplete to Michael BriscoeSimilar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
99.1%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incomplete to Jordan GarrisonSimilar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+51
99.1%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 53 yds , Rayshawn Glover returns for 51 yds to the CP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 14TD
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:3199% → 100%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.4%
Devon Dampier pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+24
99.3%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 24 yds to the CP 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.3%
Nate Johnson run for 3 yds to the CP 3Similar
Q2 0:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.3%
Wayshawn Parker run for 1 yd to the CP 2Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.2%
Devon Dampier run for 1 yd to the CP 1Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.7%
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:490% → 0%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.7%
Jackson Akins run for 7 yds to the CP 32Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Michael BriscoeSimilar
Q3 14:17
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Jackson Akins pass incomplete to Michael BriscoeSimilar
Q3 14:02
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+7
99.7%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 45 yds , Rayshawn Glover returns for 7 yds to the UTAH 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 17TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.7%
Wayshawn Parker run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTAH 25Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+14
99.7%
Devon Dampier run for 14 yds to the UTAH 39Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+5
99.7%
Hunter Andrews run for 5 yds to the UTAH 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
99.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:15
2ND & 4
50
+4
99.8%
NaQuari Rogers run for 4 yds to the CP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.8%
Hunter Andrews run for 4 yds to the CP 42Similar
Q3 11:08
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+27
99.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 27 yds to the CP 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
99.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Hunter Andrews for 4 yds to the CP 11Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 6
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Nate Johnson run for no gain to the CP 11Similar
Q3 9:48
3RD & 6
OPP 11
+11
99.8%
Devon Dampier pass complete to Dallen Bentley for 11 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:420% → 0%
Q3 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.8%
Jackson Akins pass complete to Paul Holyfield Jr. for 3 yds to the CP 28Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
99.9%
Jackson Akins pass complete to Kian Salehi for 1 yd to the CP 29Similar
Q3 8:09
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-7
99.9%
Jackson Akins sacked by John Henry Daley for a loss of 7 yards to the CP 22Similar
Q3 7:48
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 19TD
2 plays · 50 yds · 0:28100% → 100%
Q3 7:40
1ST & 10
50
+7
99.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 7 yds to the CP 43Similar
Q3 7:12
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Wayshawn Parker run for 43 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 2:500% → 0%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Troy Fletcher run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 24Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+8
99.9%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass complete to Michael Briscoe for 8 yds to the CP 32Similar
Q3 5:50
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+15
99.9%
Grigsby Jr., Anthony pass incomplete to Wheatley, Brooks, PENALTY UTAH pass interference (Tilmon, Nate) 15 yards to the CALPOLY47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CALPOLY.Similar
Q3 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-8
99.9%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. sacked by Paul Fitzgerald and Lance Holtzclaw for a loss of 8 yards to the CP 39Similar
Q3 4:54
2ND & 18
OWN 39
+15
99.9%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for 15 yds to the UTAH 46Similar
Q3 4:19
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incomplete to Fidel PittsSimilar
Q3 4:09
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Jesse Ehrlich punt for 41 yds, downed at the UTAH 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 21TD
6 plays · 95 yds · 2:37100% → 100%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+32
99.9%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to NaQuari Rogers for 32 yds to the UTAH 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the UTAH 43Similar
Q3 3:14
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+11
99.9%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Ryan Davis for 11 yds to the CP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Nate Johnson run for 4 yds to the CP 42Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds to the CP 38Similar
Q3 1:24
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+38
99.9%
Byrd Ficklin run for 38 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 22FG
12 plays · 42 yds · 5:020% → 0%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for 3 yds to the CP 28Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incomplete to Kian SalehiSimilar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+8
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass complete to Fidel Pitts for 8 yds to the CP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
100.0%
Malachi Brown run for 5 yds to the CP 41Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+29
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass complete to Malachi Brown for 29 yds to the UTAH 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for no gain to the UTAH 30Similar
Q4 12:54
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass complete to Cal Zimmerman for 6 yds to the UTAH 24Similar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+1
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. run for 1 yd to the UTAH 23Similar
Q4 11:45
4TH & 3
OPP 23
-5
100.0%
Cal Poly Penalty, False Start (Kamani Fifita) to the UTAH 28Similar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 8
OPP 28
-5
100.0%
Cal Poly Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the UTAH 33Similar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 13
OPP 33
+51
100.0%
Noah Serna 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 23TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 8:43100% → 100%
Q4 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Bryce Duke run for 6 yds to the UTAH 31Similar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Byrd Ficklin run for 5 yds to the UTAH 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
Byrd Ficklin pass complete to Otto Tia for 6 yds to the UTAH 42Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Byrd Ficklin run for 3 yds to the UTAH 45Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
100.0%
Bryce Duke run for 2 yds to the UTAH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
100.0%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 7
50
0
100.0%
Nate Johnson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 7:13
3RD & 7
50
+16
100.0%
Nate Johnson run for 16 yds to the CP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Bryce Duke run for 3 yds to the CP 31Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
100.0%
Raycine Guillory run for 4 yds to the CP 27Similar
Q4 5:03
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+7
100.0%
Byrd Ficklin run for 7 yds to the CP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
100.0%
Nate Johnson run for 9 yds to the CP 11Similar
Q4 3:36
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+6
100.0%
Nate Johnson run for 6 yds to the CP 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
100.0%
Nate Johnson run for 3 yds to the CP 2Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Byrd Ficklin run for 2 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CPDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass complete to Cal Zimmerman for 5 yds to the CP 30Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
100.0%
Trey Wilson run for 12 yds to the CP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Trey Wilson run for 3 yds to the CP 45Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+3
100.0%
Anthony Grigsby Jr. pass complete to Cal Zimmerman for 3 yds to the CP 48Similar
Q4 0:10
4TH & 4
OWN 48
-2
100.0%
Trey Wilson run for a loss of 2 yards to the CP 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTAHDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CP 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:44
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
+0.9
TD · Q2 0:03
NaQuari Rogers run for 1 yd for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
+0.6
TD · Q2 14:20
Devon Dampier pass complete to Ryan Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Dillon Curtis KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com