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HOU

Houston 35 at Rice 9

RICE
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadHOU aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreHOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4FGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 11:43 · Alex Bacchetta punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 2 yds to the HOU 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q1Q2Q1Q2Q3Q2Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Q3Q4Play 9Pregame prior−35.4Home team on offense+0.0Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 2:00: Timeout , clock 02:00 — RICE win probability +12.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q2 9:20: Enock Gota 42 yd FG GOOD — HOU win probability +1.9 pts (now 73%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 1:04: Timeout Rice, clock 01:04 — RICE win probability +7.2 pts (now 34%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 9:20: Enock Gota 42 yd FG GOOD — HOU win probability +1.9 pts (now 74%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:02: Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — RICE win probability +9.0 pts (now 14%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7HOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 13:22HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:43RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.6%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:31HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:31HOU 4th & 3 at HOU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:40HOU 4th & 4 at RICE 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q1 5:40HOU 4th & 4 at RICE 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    75.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    75.3%−0.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    75.5%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:47HOU 4th & 9 at HOU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:20RICE 4th & 12 at HOU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−3.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:20RICE 4th & 12 at HOU 24, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.7%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.6%
    68% to make
    Punt
    28.9%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:34RICE 4th & 26 at RICE 9, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−2.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.2%
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:34RICE 4th & 26 at RICE 9, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−2.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:37RICE 4th & 7 at HOU 46, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    1.9%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:44HOU 4th & 7 at RICE 29, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:46RICE 4th & 2 at RICE 33, down 26
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 0 of 1HOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q4 9:02RICE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    10.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    9.7%−0.4
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 3:40HOU Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1986% → 86%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
13.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 3 yds to the HOU 36Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-2
14.1%
Conner Weigman sacked for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 34Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 9
OWN 34
0
14.3%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:22
4TH & 9
OWN 34
0
14.5%
Liam Dougherty punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4714% → 15%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
14.4%
Quinton Jackson run for 4 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 6
OWN 30
-2
14.7%
Quinton Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICE 28Similar
Q1 12:11
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+2
15.0%
Drayden Dickmann run for 2 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q1 11:43
4TH & 6
OWN 30
+2
15.1%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 42 yds , Mekhi Mews returns for 2 yds to the HOU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0385% → 84%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
15.3%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
15.4%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Harvey Broussard IIISimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
15.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
15.8%
Liam Dougherty punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 2:5715% → 16%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
15.3%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the HOU 33Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
15.4%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:55
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+4
15.6%
Conner Weigman pass to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the HOU 37Similar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
15.8%
Liam Dougherty punt for 51 yds to the HOU Similar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
15.9%
Daelen Alexander run for 1 yd to the RICE 13Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
16.2%
Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds to the RICE 16Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+4
16.4%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Artis Cole for 4 yds to the RICE 20Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
16.4%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 20 yds · 4:4384% → 82%
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
15.9%
Daelen Alexander run for 1 yd to the Similar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 9
OWN 13
+3
16.2%
Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds to the RICE 16Similar
Q1 9:11
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+4
16.4%
Chase Jenkins pass to Artis Cole for 4 yds to the RICE 20Similar
Q1 8:37
4TH & 2
OWN 20
0
16.4%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 46 yds to the RICE Similar
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
16.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 38Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+13
16.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 13 yds to the RICE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
16.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the RICE 46Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
17.1%
Conner Weigman run for 1 yd to the RICE 45Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+2
17.5%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-3
18.0%
Conner Weigman sacked by Ty Morris for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 5 yds · 4:5083% → 80%
Q1 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
16.7%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the HOU 38Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+13
16.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 13 yds to the RICE 49Similar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
16.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 3 yds to the RICE 46Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+1
17.1%
Conner Weigman run for 1 yd to the RICE 45Similar
Q1 6:16
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+2
17.5%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the RICE 43Similar
Q1 5:40
4TH & 4
OPP 43
-3
18.0%
Conner Weigman sacked by Ty Morris for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 46Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
18.9%
Drayden Dickmann run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 43Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+8
18.9%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Aaron Turner for 8 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
19.6%
Quinton Jackson run for no gain to the HOU 49Similar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
19.6%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 7PUNT
13 plays · 21 yds · 4:4381% → 79%
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
18.9%
Drayden Dickmann run for a loss of 3 yards to the RICE 43Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+8
18.9%
Chase Jenkins pass to Aaron Turner for 8 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
19.6%
Quinton Jackson runSimilar
Q1 3:38
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
19.6%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
19.4%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 17Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+5
19.8%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Luke McGary for 5 yds to the HOU 22Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
20.1%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 18 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
19.3%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the HOU 41Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
20.0%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
20.3%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Koby YoungSimilar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+11
21.1%
Liam Dougherty punt for 41 yds , Tyson Thompson returns for 11 yds to the RICE 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8FG
22 plays · 47 yds · 9:1021% → 27%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
20.8%
Dean Connors run for a loss of 3 yards to the HOU 17Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 13
OWN 17
+5
21.3%
Conner Weigman pass to Luke McGary for 5 yds to the HOU 22Similar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+18
21.7%
Conner Weigman pass to Amare Thomas for 18 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
20.9%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the HOU 41Similar
Q1 1:04
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
21.7%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 9
OWN 41
0
22.1%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:47
4TH & 9
OWN 41
+11
22.8%
Liam Dougherty punt for 41 yds to the RICE 29, Tyson Thompson returns for 11 yds to the RICE 29Similar
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
22.6%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
23.1%
Chase Jenkins run for 1 yd to the RICE 32Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+11
22.9%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 11 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
24.4%
Quinton Jackson run for 8 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+5
25.1%
Quinton Jackson run for 5 yds to the HOU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
25.7%
Daelen Alexander run for 5 yds to the HOU 39Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
26.2%
Daelen Alexander run for 5 yds to the HOU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
27.1%
Quinton Jackson run for 6 yds to the HOU 28Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
27.4%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the HOU 25Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
27.4%
Daelen Alexander run for 3 yds to the HOU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
28.5%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the HOU 20Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
29.0%
Quinton Jackson run for 1 yd to the HOU 19Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-5
29.1%
Drayden Dickmann run for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 24Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
27.2%
Enock Gota 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
22 plays · 10 yds · 8:2422% → 31%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
22.1%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the RICE 31Similar
Q1 0:03
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+1
22.5%
Chase Jenkins run for 1 yd to the RICE 32Similar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+11
22.3%
Chase Jenkins pass to Landon Ransom-Goelz for 11 yds to the RICE 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
23.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 8 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+5
24.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 5 yds to the HOU 44Similar
Q2 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
25.1%
Daelen Alexander run for 5 yds to the HOU 39Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
25.6%
Daelen Alexander run for 5 yds to the HOU 34Similar
Q2 12:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
26.4%
Quinton Jackson run for 6 yds to the HOU 28Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 4
OPP 28
+3
26.7%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the HOU 25Similar
Q2 11:12
3RD & 1
OPP 25
+3
26.6%
Daelen Alexander run for 3 yds to the HOU 22Similar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
27.7%
Daelen Alexander run for 2 yds to the HOU 20Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
28.2%
Quinton Jackson run for 1 yd to the HOU 19Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-5
28.2%
Drayden Dickmann run for a loss of 5 yards to the HOU 24Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 12
OPP 24
+42
26.4%
Enock Gota 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
27.2%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Mekhi Mews for 16 yds to the HOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.3%
Conner Weigman run for no gain to the HOU 41Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-10
27.5%
Houston Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the HOU 33Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 18
OWN 33
0
28.9%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Stephon JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:42
3RD & 18
OWN 33
+2
29.9%
Stacy Sneed run for 2 yds to the HOU 35Similar
Q2 7:14
4TH & 16
OWN 35
0
30.7%
Liam Dougherty punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Tyson Thompson at the RICE 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 10PUNT
12 plays · 11 yds · 3:0166% → 75%
Q2 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
34.4%
to Dean Connors, Houston Penalty, personalfoul (Dalton Merryman)Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 23
OWN 13
+8
34.9%
Dean Connors run for 8 yds to the HOU 21Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+21
35.4%
Conner Weigman pass to Tanner Koziol for 21 yds to the HOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
32.7%
Conner Weigman pass to Tanner Koziol for 4 yds to the HOU 46Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
32.2%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:40
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+54
22.8%
Dean Connors run for 54 yds to the RICE 0, for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
25.9%
Chase Jenkins run for 10 yds to the RICE 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
26.5%
Quinton Jackson run for 1 yd to the RICE 36Similar
Q3 13:49
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
26.9%
Aaron Turner run for no gain to the RICE 36Similar
Q3 13:20
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
26.1%
Chase Jenkins pass incomplete to Artis ColeSimilar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
25.2%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the HOU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -16 yds · 10:5325% → 14%
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
25.2%
Chase Jenkins run for 1 yd to the RICE 22Similar
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-8
16.3%
Chase Jenkins sacked for a loss of 8 yards to the RICE 17Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
16.1%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 3 yds to the RICE 20Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-11
15.3%
Chase Jenkins sacked by Eddie Walls III for a loss of 11 yards to the RICE 9Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 26
OWN 9
0
14.0%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Mekhi Mews at the RICE 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 12TD
15 plays · 76 yds · 6:4283% → 86%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
17.0%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the HOU 27Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+13
16.7%
Dean Connors run for 13 yds to the HOU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
15.8%
run for 3 yds to the HOU 37 fumbled, recovered by HOU Conner WeigmanSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
16.6%
Conner Weigman pass incomplete to Tanner KoziolSimilar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+14
16.9%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stacy Sneed for 14 yds to the RICE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
15.4%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Amare Thomas for 2 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+4
15.6%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+15
15.6%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Tanner Koziol for 15 yds to the RICE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
14.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the RICE 28Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
14.7%
Conner Weigman run for 4 yds to the RICE 24Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
14.7%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
14.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Luke McGary for 8 yds to the RICE 13Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+1
14.2%
DJ Butler run for 1 yd to the RICE 12Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
14.6%
Conner Weigman run for 3 yds to the RICE 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.2%
Conner Weigman run for 9 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 13TD
28 plays · 75 yds · 19:0483% → 86%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
17.0%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the HOU 27Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+13
16.7%
Dean Connors run for 13 yds to the HOU 40Similar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
15.8%
run for a loss of 3 yards to the , Conner Weigman runSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 13
OWN 37
0
16.6%
Conner Weigman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 13
OWN 37
+14
16.9%
Conner Weigman pass to Stacy Sneed for 14 yds to the RICE 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
15.4%
Conner Weigman pass to Amare Thomas for a loss of 2 yards to the HOU 49Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+4
15.6%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+15
15.6%
Conner Weigman pass to Tanner Koziol for 15 yds to the RICE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
14.8%
Stacy Sneed run for 4 yds to the RICE 28Similar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+4
14.7%
Conner Weigman run for 4 yds to the Similar
Q3 8:17
3RD & 2
OPP 24
+3
14.7%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 21Similar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
14.3%
Conner Weigman pass to Luke McGary for 8 yds to the RICE 13Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+1
14.2%
DJ Butler run for 1 yd to the RICE 12Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
14.6%
Conner Weigman run for 3 yds to the RICE 9Similar
Q3 6:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
14.2%
Conner Weigman run for 9 yds to the RICE 0, for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
6.1%
Chase Jenkins run for 17 yds to the RICE 42 for a 1ST down Rice Penalty, Offensive Holding (Artis Cole) to the RICE 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 3
OWN 32
+16
5.8%
Daelen Alexander run for 16 yds to the RICE 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
5.5%
Daelen Alexander run for 11 yds to the HOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
5.7%
Tyson Thompson run for 10 yds to the HOU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
5.7%
Daelen Alexander run for 4 yds to the HOU 27Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
5.4%
Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds to the HOU 24Similar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+3
4.9%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Tyson Thompson for 3 yds to the HOU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
5.0%
Quinton Jackson run for 4 yds to the HOU 17Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+7
4.9%
Quinton Jackson run for 7 yds to the HOU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
4.8%
Quinton Jackson run for 3 yds to the HOU 7Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
4.9%
Tyson Thompson run for 4 yds to the HOU 3Similar
Q4 9:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
13.9%
Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 26 yds · 16:379% → 2%
Q3 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
8.6%
Chase Jenkins sacked by Brandon Mack II for a loss of 4 yards to the RICE 17Similar
Q3 5:38
2ND & 18
OWN 17
+3
8.3%
Chase Jenkins pass to Drayden Dickmann for 3 yds to the RICE 20Similar
Q3 5:13
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-11
8.2%
Chase Jenkins sacked by Eddie Walls III for a loss of 11 yards to the RICE 9Similar
Q3 4:34
4TH & 26
OWN 9
0
7.2%
Alex Bacchetta punt for 37 yds to the RICE Similar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
3.6%
Quinton Jackson run for 9 yds to the RICE 32Similar
Q4 7:20
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+9
3.7%
Chase Jenkins run for 9 yds to the RICE 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
3.7%
Aaron Turner run for 4 yds to the RICE 45Similar
Q4 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+6
3.1%
Daelen Alexander run for 6 yds to the HOU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
2.4%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 4 yds to the HOU 45Similar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+4
2.4%
Chase Jenkins pass complete to Drayden Dickmann for 4 yds to the HOU 49Similar
Q4 4:49
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+3
2.3%
Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds to the HOU 46Similar
Q4 4:37
4TH & 7
OPP 46
-5
2.2%
Chase Jenkins sacked by Corey Platt Jr. for a loss of 5 yards to the RICE 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 15TD
12 plays · 49 yds · 15:4697% → 100%
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
3.4%
Stacy Sneed run for 7 yds to the RICE 39Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 3
OPP 39
0
3.2%
Stacy Sneed runSimilar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+7
2.9%
Conner Weigman run for 7 yds to the RICE 32Similar
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
2.8%
Stacy Sneed run for a loss of 1 yards to the RICE 33Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 11
OPP 33
+3
2.8%
Dean Connors run for 3 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+1
2.8%
Conner Weigman pass to Dean Connors for 1 yd to the RICE 29Similar
Q3 0:44
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
3.1%
Ethan Sanchez 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
Q4 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
1.1%
Dean Connors run for 2 yds to the RICE 47Similar
Q4 3:44
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+5
0.9%
Conner Weigman run for 5 yds to the RICE 42Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+42
0.2%
Dean Connors run for 42 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 8 yds · 13:480% → 0%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
0.3%
Chase Jenkins run for 1 yd to the RICE 30Similar
Q3 0:02
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+5
0.3%
Chase Jenkins pass to Drayden Dickmann for 5 yds to the RICE 35Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-37
0.3%
Will James return for 37 yds to the RICE 0, for a TD, Chase Jenkins pass intercepted (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
Q4 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
D'Andre Hardemann run for 5 yds to the RICE 30Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
0.1%
Semaj Pierre run for 2 yds to the RICE 32Similar
Q4 2:24
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
0.1%
Drew Devillier pass complete to David Kasemervisz for 1 yd to the RICE 33Similar
Q4 1:46
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+20
0.0%
Alex Bacchetta punt blocked by Myles Parker blocked by Myles ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOUDrive 17TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:34100% → 100%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.4%
Dean Connors run for 1 yd to the HOU 26Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+74
0.3%
Conner Weigman pass complete to Stephon Johnson for 74 yds for a TD (Ethan Sanchez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 2:00
Timeout , clock 02:00
+12.5
TD · Q4 9:02
Chase Jenkins run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+9
FG · Q2 1:04
Timeout Rice, clock 01:04
+7.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com