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BGSU

Bowling Green 20 at Cincinnati 34

CIN
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+3CIN 97.2%Stephen Rusnak 40 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 24 · Q3 12:58
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:58 · Stephen Rusnak 40 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 93Pregame prior+24.8Home team on offense+21.5Score differential+15.1Garbage-time factor+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:11: Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 9 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CIN win probability +3.3 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 12:58: Stephen Rusnak 40 yd FG GOOD — CIN win probability +3.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 4:03: Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 31 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +6.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:24: Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK) — CIN win probability +4.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:35: Mar'Kel Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +5.6 pts (now 7%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 9
  1. Q1 12:43BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:09CIN 4th & 2 at CIN 19, tied
    Close callPunted · 90.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:23BGSU 4th & 7 at CIN 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.1%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:55BGSU 4th & 1 at BGSU 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:40CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:40CIN 4th & 7 at CIN 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.5%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.7%
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:12BGSU 4th & 3 at BGSU 28, down 7
    Close callPunted · 10.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.3%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:19BGSU 4th & 3 at CIN 41, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−0.8
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:00BGSU 4th & 1 at CIN 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−0.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:23BGSU 4th & 7 at CIN 7, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 4.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    4.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−1.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:58CIN 4th & 9 at BGSU 22, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−2.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:25BGSU 4th & 2 at CIN 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    2.4%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−2.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:12CIN 4th & 5 at BGSU 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    93.6%−2.9
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:55BGSU 4th & 12 at CIN 12, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%−0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    1.1%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:17CIN 4th & 2 at BGSU 36, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.1%−0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.2%
    42% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 4 of 4BGSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 7:23CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:17CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:11CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 4:03BGSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 0:24CIN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:35BGSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:177% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
93.0%
Cincinnati Penalty, Personal Foul (Jiquan Sanks) to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
93.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 4 yds to the BGSU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
93.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for no gain to the BGSU 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-1
93.0%
Drew Pyne sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 45Similar
Q1 12:43
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
92.4%
John Henderson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Manny Covey at the CIN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:3492% → 92%
Q1 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
92.4%
Evan Pryor run for 4 yds to the CIN 15Similar
Q1 12:43
2ND & 6
OWN 15
+3
92.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 3 yds to the CIN 18Similar
Q1 12:43
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+1
92.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 1 yd to the CIN 19Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 2
OWN 19
0
91.9%
Max Fletcher punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3MISSED FG
5 plays · 33 yds · 2:468% → 9%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+30
92.0%
Cameron Pettaway run for 30 yds to the CIN 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 6 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+10
92.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 10 yds to the CIN 35Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-1
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 36Similar
Q1 8:23
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+54
91.2%
Jackson Kleather 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 4TD
3 plays · 64 yds · 1:0091% → 92%
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+12
91.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 12 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:23
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
91.4%
Tawee Walker run for 8 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q1 7:23
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+44
92.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 44 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 36 yds · 3:258% → 9%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+12
91.9%
Cameron Pettaway run for 12 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
91.9%
Cameron Pettaway run for 5 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 28
0
91.8%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Allen MiddletonSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+10
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 10 yds to the BGSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
91.8%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Kaderris RobertsSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+9
91.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 9 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 1
OWN 47
0
91.7%
Cameron Pettaway run for no gain to the BGSU 47Similar
Q1 3:55
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+3
91.1%
John Henderson punt for 42 yds , Manny Covey returns for 3 yds to the CIN 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:1591% → 91%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
91.3%
Evan Pryor run for 2 yds to the CIN 16Similar
Q1 3:55
2ND & 8
OWN 16
0
91.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 16
-5
91.2%
PENALTY CIN False Start (Buford,Deondre) 5 yards from CIN16 to CIN11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:55
3RD & 13
OWN 11
+6
91.2%
Evan Pryor run for 6 yds to the CIN 17Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
90.8%
Max Fletcher punt for 62 yds , Brennan Ridley returns for no gain to the BGSU 21Similar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 7
OWN 17
0
90.8%
Max Fletcher punt for 62 yds , Brennan Ridley returns for no gain to the BGSU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:289% → 9%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
91.0%
Nakai Amachree run for 3 yds to the BGSU 24Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 24
0
91.0%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q1 2:40
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+4
91.2%
Cameron Pettaway run for 4 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q1 1:12
4TH & 3
OWN 28
0
90.9%
John Henderson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Manny Covey at the CIN 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 8TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:5591% → 93%
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
90.9%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the CIN 37Similar
Q1 1:12
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
90.9%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q1 1:12
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+13
90.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sorsby,Brendan pass incomplete short left to Allen,Cyrus thrown to CIN47, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY BGS Pass Interference (Pascal,Kal-El) 13 yards from CIN37 to CIN50, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
50
-2
91.0%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 48
+20
90.8%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 20 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+29
91.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 29 yds to the BGSU 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
91.1%
Brendan Sorsby run for 1 yd to the BGSU 2Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.1%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for 2 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 3:588% → 8%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
92.2%
Cameron Pettaway run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
92.2%
Cameron Pettaway run for 2 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+22
92.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Mar'Kel Porter for 22 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
91.9%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 4 yds to the CIN 44Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 6
OPP 44
0
91.9%
Mar'Kel Porter run for no gain to the CIN 44Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 6
OPP 44
+3
91.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Reis Stocksdale for 3 yds to the CIN 41Similar
Q2 9:19
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
92.2%
John Henderson punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Manny Covey at the CIN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 10TD
8 plays · 89 yds · 3:0893% → 97%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
93.0%
Evan Pryor run for a loss of 2 yards to the CIN 9Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+73
93.0%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 73 yds to the BGSU 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+5
93.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pryor,Evan rush right for 3 yards gain to the BGS15 (Eklund,Justin) PENALTY BGS Offside (Thomison,Isaiah) 5 yards from BGS18 to BGS13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 5
OPP 13
0
93.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Evan PryorSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 5
OPP 13
+5
93.5%
Brendan Sorsby run for 5 yds to the BGSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
93.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Noah JenningsSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
93.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Cyrus Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 9Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 9 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11FG
22 plays · 68 yds · 5:484% → 7%
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 1 yd to the BGSU 26Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+5
96.0%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 5 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q2 6:11
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
95.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 5 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.8%
Kaderris Roberts run for 5 yds to the BGSU 41 Kaderris Roberts fumbled, recovered by BGSU Kaderris RobertsSimilar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+7
95.7%
Cameron Pettaway run for 7 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
95.7%
Cameron Pettaway run for 1 yd to the BGSU 49Similar
Q2 6:11
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+8
95.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 8 yds to the CIN 43Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 1
OPP 43
0
95.9%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Kaderris RobertsSimilar
Q2 2:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
96.1%
Drew Pyne run for 2 yds to the CIN 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
96.0%
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+7
95.6%
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the CIN 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
95.6%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Allen MiddletonSimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-8
95.8%
Drew Pyne sacked by Jake Golday for a loss of 8 yards to the CIN 35Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 18
OPP 35
+25
96.5%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 25 yds to the CIN 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
95.7%
Drew Pyne pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
96.0%
PENALTY BGS Illegal Substitution 5 yards from CIN02 to CIN07. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
95.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 8 yds to the CIN 2Similar
Q2 0:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
96.0%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
Q2 0:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+25
93.3%
Jackson Kleather 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
94.7%
B. Sorsby takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13FG
7 plays · 55 yds · 1:5894% → 97%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+31
94.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Joe Royer for 31 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+23
94.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 23 yds to the BGSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
94.3%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Cyrus AllenSimilar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+1
94.4%
Tawee Walker run for 1 yd to the BGSU 22Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 9
OPP 22
0
94.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Jeff CaldwellSimilar
Q3 12:58
4TH & 9
OPP 22
+40
97.2%
Stephen Rusnak 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14DOWNS
14 plays · 49 yds · 7:263% → 3%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
96.7%
Kaderris Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+8
96.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 8 yds to the BGSU 47Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 3
OWN 47
+5
96.6%
Drew Pyne run for 5 yds to the CIN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
96.6%
Cameron Pettaway run for 3 yds to the CIN 45Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+6
96.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 6 yds to the CIN 39Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+5
96.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Porter,Mar'Kel rush middle for 4 yards gain to the CIN35 (McCray,C.J.; Gunn,Elijah) PENALTY CIN Offside (James,Daniel) 5 yards from CIN39 to CIN34, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
96.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 29Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+9
96.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Mar'Kel Porter for 9 yds to the CIN 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
96.2%
Nakai Amachree run for a loss of 1 yard to the CIN 21Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+8
96.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 8 yds to the CIN 13Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-5
96.5%
PENALTY BGS False Start (Fatukasi,Tunde) 5 yards from CIN13 to CIN18. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+6
96.6%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Reis Stocksdale for 6 yds to the CIN 12Similar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+1
97.5%
Leo Kemp run for 1 yd to the CIN 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:3598% → 98%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+13
97.8%
Evan Pryor run for 13 yds to the CIN 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
97.8%
Evan Pryor run for 10 yds to the CIN 34 Evan Pryor fumbled, recovered by BGSU Justin EklundSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16TD
2 plays · 34 yds · 0:472% → 9%
Q3 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
97.7%
Cameron Pettaway run for 3 yds to the CIN 31Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+31
91.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 31 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:3994% → 99%
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
94.3%
Tawee Walker run for 9 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
94.4%
Tawee Walker run for 2 yds to the CIN 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.5%
Tawee Walker run for no gain to the CIN 36Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+39
94.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Jeff Caldwell for 39 yds to the BGSU 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+16
94.7%
Brendan Sorsby run for 16 yds to the BGSU 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
94.7%
Brendan Sorsby run for 2 yds to the BGSU 7Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
94.7%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Tawee Walker for 2 yds to the BGSU 9Similar
Q3 0:24
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
98.7%
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:251% → 7%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+23
98.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 23 yds to the CIN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-6
98.7%
Drew Pyne sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the CIN 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 48
+11
98.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 11 yds to the CIN 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+3
98.7%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 3 yds to the CIN 34Similar
Q4 12:40
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+12
98.9%
No Huddle Pyne,Drew pass incomplete short right to Jacon-Duffy,Eli thrown to CIN24, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CIN Pass Interference (Sanks,Jiquan) 12 yards from CIN34 to CIN22, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+20
98.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 20 yds to the CIN 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.7%
Mar'Kel Porter run for no gain to the CIN 2Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.8%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 1 yd to the CIN 1Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.2%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:2396% → 98%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
96.2%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 17 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
96.4%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 17 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
96.4%
Chance Williams run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+8
96.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Caleb Goodie for 8 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
96.5%
Chance Williams run for 1 yd to the BGSU 19Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+11
96.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass complete to Noah Jennings for 11 yds to the BGSU 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
96.5%
Chance Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 9Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
96.5%
Brendan Sorsby pass incomplete to Caleb GoodieSimilar
Q4 10:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
96.4%
Brendan Sorsby run for 4 yds to the BGSU 5Similar
Q4 6:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
97.8%
Stephen Rusnak 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20FG
13 plays · 63 yds · 4:173% → 5%
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.5%
Drew Pyne run for 3 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
97.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 15 yds to the BGSU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
97.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Allen Middleton for 5 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 48
+5
97.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 5 yds to the CIN 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
97.3%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Cameron Pettaway for 4 yds to the CIN 43Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+24
97.2%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Finn Hogan for 24 yds to the CIN 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
96.8%
No Huddle-Shotgun Pyne,Drew pass incomplete short right to Middleton,Allen thrown to CIN00 broken up by Harrison,Christian, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY CIN Pass Interference (Harrison,Christian) 15 yards from CIN19 to CIN04, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-8
96.8%
Drew Pyne sacked by Jack Dingle for a loss of 8 yards to the CIN 12Similar
Q4 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
97.0%
Cameron Pettaway run for no gain to the CIN 12Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
97.7%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Kaderris RobertsSimilar
Q4 1:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
95.3%
Jackson Kleather 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21END OF GAME
9 plays · 11 yds · 1:5498% → 99%
Q4 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
98.3%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the BGSU 40Similar
Q4 1:49
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+5
98.6%
Tawee Walker run for 5 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
Q4 1:49
3RD & 1
OPP 35
-1
98.6%
Tawee Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 36Similar
Q4 0:17
4TH & 2
OPP 36
+4
99.0%
Tawee Walker run for 4 yds to the BGSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-1
99.3%
B. Sorsby takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 4:03
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 31 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
-6.3
TD · Q4 10:35
Mar'Kel Porter run for 1 yd for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q3 0:24
Brendan Sorsby run for 9 yds for a TD (Stephen Rusnak KICK)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com