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2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadRMU aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreRMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:14 · Jayson Jenkins punt for 37 yds , Preston Fox returns for 33 yds to the RMU 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior+14.8Home team on offense+36.0Score differential+30.2Garbage-time factor+10.3Blowout margin+16.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.7
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 11:44: Kade Hensley 27 yd FG GOOD — RMU win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:08: Jayson Jenkins 36 yd FG GOOD — RMU win probability +0.6 pts (now 3%) (top driver: RMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:21: Jahiem White run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — WVU win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:21: Jahiem White run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — WVU win probability +1.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:52: Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 46 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK) — WVU win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7RMU made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 13:37RMU 4th & 4 at RMU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:05RMU 4th & 8 at midfield, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:46WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:35RMU 4th & 9 at RMU 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:44WVU 4th & 5 at RMU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:38RMU 4th & 10 at RMU 31, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:08RMU 4th & 9 at WVU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−0.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:46RMU 4th & 18 at RMU 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:11WVU 4th & 19 at WVU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.7
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:15RMU 4th & 13 at RMU 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:45WVU 4th & 9 at midfield, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:16RMU 4th & 9 at RMU 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WVU 4th & 1 at RMU 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.0%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:07RMU 4th & 7 at RMU 13, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:14RMU 4th & 16 at RMU 19, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:14RMU 4th & 16 at RMU 19, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:29WVU 4th & 3 at RMU 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:29WVU 4th & 3 at RMU 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:15RMU 4th & 1 at RMU 35, down 35
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:13RMU 4th & 1 at RMU 34, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 10:15WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 11:21WVU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 5:21WVU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:52WVU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 10:16WVU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 3:15WVU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RMUDrive 1PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:181% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.3%
Ethan Shine run for 3 yds to the RMU 41Similar
Q1 14:55
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
99.3%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Ethan Shine for 3 yds to the RMU 44Similar
Q1 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
99.3%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Thomas LeeSimilar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
99.2%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 3:2299% → 99%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
99.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 9 yds to the WVU 26Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 1
OWN 26
0
99.2%
Jahiem White run for no gain to the WVU 26Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 26
+19
99.2%
Jahiem White run for 19 yds to the WVU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
99.2%
Jahiem White run for 2 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+20
99.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 20 yds to the RMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.2%
Jahiem White run for 6 yds to the RMU 27Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
99.2%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the RMU 24Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+5
99.2%
PENALTY RMU Offside 5 yards from RMU24 to RMU19, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.1%
Clay Ash run for no gain to the RMU 19Similar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.1%
Oran Singleton Jr. run for 9 yds to the RMU 10Similar
Q1 10:15
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+10
99.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 10 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 3PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 5:051% → 1%
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.1%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Max LopacienskiSimilar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.1%
Donta Whack run for 1 yd to the RMU 26Similar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
99.1%
Zach Tanner run for 9 yds to the RMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Taj Dyches run for no gain to the RMU 35Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
99.1%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Thomas LeeSimilar
Q1 10:10
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.1%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Thomas Lee for 13 yds to the RMU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
99.1%
Donta Whack run for 1 yd to the RMU 49Similar
Q1 6:42
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+2
98.9%
Ethan Shine run for 2 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q1 6:42
3RD & 7
OPP 49
-1
98.9%
Ethan Shine run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:05
4TH & 8
50
0
98.8%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:1999% → 99%
Q1 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
98.8%
Jahiem White run for 5 yds to the WVU 20Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 5
OWN 20
-10
98.8%
Justin Smith-Brown run for a loss of 10 yards to the WVU 10 Justin Smith-Brown fumbled, recovered by WVU Justin Smith-BrownSimilar
Q1 5:05
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+13
98.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jahiem White for 13 yds to the WVU 23Similar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
98.7%
Oliver Straw punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Tahseen Howard at the RMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:111% → 1%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
98.7%
Donta Whack run for 6 yds to the RMU 41Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
98.7%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Tyler Evans for 1 yd to the RMU 42Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-6
98.7%
Zach Tanner sacked by Hammond Russell IV for a loss of 6 yards to the RMU 36Similar
Q1 1:35
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
98.6%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 6FG
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5199% → 98%
Q1 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
98.5%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the WVU 20Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 6
OWN 20
-5
98.5%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Ward,Ryan) 5 yards from WVU20 to WVU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 1:35
2ND & 11
OWN 15
+10
98.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 10 yds to the WVU 25Similar
Q1 1:35
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+8
98.5%
Jahiem White run for 8 yds to the WVU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
98.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jaden Bray for 8 yds to the WVU 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+15
98.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jacob Barrick for 15 yds to the RMU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.5%
Clay Ash run for 7 yds to the RMU 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+11
98.5%
Clay Ash run for 11 yds to the RMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
98.5%
Clay Ash run for 1 yd to the RMU 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+11
98.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 11 yds to the RMU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
98.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 2 yds to the RMU 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+3
98.5%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the RMU 9Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
0
98.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Jeff WeimerSimilar
Q2 11:44
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+27
98.1%
Kade Hensley 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 23 yds · 2:272% → 2%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
Donta Whack run for 3 yds to the RMU 28Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Tyler EvansSimilar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+18
98.2%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Kai Holloway for 18 yds to the RMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
98.1%
Zach Tanner run for 1 yd to the RMU 47Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+1
98.0%
Donta Whack run for 1 yd to the RMU 48 Donta Whack fumbled, recovered by WVU Braden SidersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · 48 yds · 1:0998% → 98%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
97.9%
Jahiem White run for 7 yds to the RMU 41Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
97.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 6 yds to the RMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
98.0%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 9 yds to the RMU 26Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 1
OPP 26
+26
97.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 26 yds Cam Vaughn fumbled, recovered by WVUSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:302% → 2%
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
97.9%
Ethan Shine run for 2 yds to the RMU 22Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
97.9%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Thomas Lee for 9 yds to the RMU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Ethan Shine run for no gain to the RMU 31Similar
Q2 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Max LopacienskiSimilar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 10
OWN 31
0
98.0%
Robert Morris Penalty, Offensive Holding (Nathan Carabatsakis) declinedSimilar
Q2 5:38
4TH & 10
OWN 31
+3
97.8%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 54 yds , Preston Fox returns for 3 yds to the WVU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10FUMBLE
2 plays · 18 yds · 0:4797% → 97%
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
97.4%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 21Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+15
97.3%
Oran Singleton Jr. run for 15 yds to the WVU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:433% → 3%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+17
97.3%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Chaz Middleton for 17 yds to the WVU 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
97.1%
Ethan Shine run for 1 yd to the WVU 18Similar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
97.1%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Thomas LeeSimilar
Q2 4:51
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
97.3%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Kai HollowaySimilar
Q2 3:08
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
96.7%
Jayson Jenkins 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
96.8%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 11 yds Grayson Barnes fumbled, recovered by RMU Patrick McDonnellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:084% → 3%
Q2 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
96.5%
Donta Whack run for no gain to the RMU 49Similar
Q2 2:54
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
96.6%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Max LopacienskiSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 10
OWN 49
-3
96.7%
Zach Tanner sacked by Reid Carrico for a loss of 3 yards to the RMU 46Similar
Q2 2:54
4TH & 13
OWN 46
-5
97.0%
PENALTY RMU False Start (Riggins,Jerry) 5 yards from RMU46 to RMU41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 18
OWN 41
+28
96.8%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 46 yds , Preston Fox returns for 28 yds to the WVU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:3597% → 96%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
96.5%
Jahiem White run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 40Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 11
OWN 40
-1
96.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jahiem White for a loss of 1 yard to the WVU 39Similar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 12
OWN 39
-7
96.2%
Nicco Marchiol sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the WVU 32Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 19
OWN 32
0
96.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · 0 yds · 1:113% → 4%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
96.6%
Taj Dyches run for 1 yd to the RMU 36Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
-1
96.3%
Taj Dyches run for a loss of 1 yard to the RMU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:3396% → 98%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
96.2%
Jahiem White run for 13 yds to the WVU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
96.4%
Jahiem White run for 9 yds to the RMU 42Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+7
96.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 7 yds to the RMU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
96.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 4 yds to the RMU 31Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+20
96.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 20 yds to the RMU 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
96.4%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the RMU 8Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+3
96.4%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the RMU 5Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 4
OPP 5
+4
96.3%
Nicco Marchiol run for 4 yds to the RMU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Jahiem White run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:033% → 3%
Q3 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-3
97.3%
Zach Tanner sacked by Chase Wilson for a loss of 3 yards to the RMU 15Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 13
OWN 15
0
97.3%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Max LopacienskiSimilar
Q3 11:18
3RD & 13
OWN 15
0
97.4%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Jaqai CarterSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 13
OWN 15
+1
97.3%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 37 yds , Preston Fox returns for 1 yd to the WVU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:3098% → 97%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
97.6%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds to the RMU 47Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-5
97.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Marchiol,Nicco pass complete short right to Fox,Preston caught at RMU38, for 9 yards to the RMU38 (Henry,Tyler) PENALTY WVU Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Young Bear,Walter) 5 yards from RMU47 to WVU48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
97.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Oran Singleton Jr.Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+7
97.4%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Oran Singleton Jr. for 7 yds to the RMU 45Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 4
OPP 45
-5
97.3%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Crawford,Ty'Kieast) 5 yards from RMU45 to RMU50. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:45
4TH & 9
50
0
97.1%
Oliver Straw punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Tahseen Howard at the RMU 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 19FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 2:333% → 3%
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
97.0%
Donta Whack run for 2 yds to the RMU 14Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+4
97.1%
Donta Whack run for 4 yds to the RMU 18Similar
Q3 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+10
97.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Tanner,Zach pass incomplete short middle to Lee,Thomas thrown to RMU30 PENALTY WVU Holding (Coats Jr.,Michael) 10 yards from RMU18 to RMU28, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
96.9%
Donta Whack run for a loss of 2 yards to the RMU 26Similar
Q3 6:12
2ND & 12
OWN 26
-2
96.7%
Zach Tanner sacked by Hammond Russell IV for a loss of 2 yards to the RMU 24 Zach Tanner fumbled, recovered by WVU Reid Carrico , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:5198% → 99%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
97.5%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jaden Bray for 11 yds to the RMU 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
97.5%
Rodney Gallagher III run for 9 yds to the RMU 4Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+4
99.1%
Jahiem White run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 21PUNT
8 plays · 23 yds · 3:051% → 1%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.0%
Ethan Shine run for 11 yds to the RMU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.9%
Ethan Shine run for 2 yds to the RMU 38Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+9
98.9%
Zach Tanner pass complete to Tyler Evans for 9 yds to the RMU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
98.9%
Donta Whack run for 1 yd to the RMU 48Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Jaqai CarterSimilar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 9
OWN 48
0
98.9%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Taj DychesSimilar
Q3 2:16
4TH & 9
OWN 48
0
99.1%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WVU 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 3:2499% → 100%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
99.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 3 yds to the WVU 22Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+6
99.1%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Grayson Barnes for 6 yds to the WVU 28Similar
Q3 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 28
+4
99.1%
Clay Ash run for 4 yds to the WVU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.1%
Nicco Marchiol run for 5 yds to the WVU 37Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+7
99.2%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Jaden Bray for 7 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.3%
Jahiem White run for 3 yds to the WVU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 47
0
99.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass incomplete to Cam VaughnSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-5
99.3%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Young Bear,Walter) 5 yards from WVU47 to WVU42. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 42
+11
99.3%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 11 yds to the RMU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+1
99.3%
Nicco Marchiol run for 1 yd to the RMU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:52
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
99.9%
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 46 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:400% → 0%
Q4 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
99.9%
Xavier Goulbourne run for 1 yd to the RMU 11Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & 9
OWN 11
0
99.9%
Zach Tanner pass incomplete to Thomas LeeSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+2
99.9%
Owen McGraw run for 2 yds to the RMU 13Similar
Q4 12:07
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 47 yds , Preston Fox returns for 6 yds to the WVU 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24TD
6 plays · 54 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 3 yds to the WVU 49Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-9
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Henderson,Jaylen rush right for 10 yards gain to the RMU41 (Dickerson,Robert) PENALTY WVU Holding (Haslam,Donovan) 9 yards from WVU49 to WVU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:07
2ND & 16
OWN 40
+18
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson run for 18 yds to the RMU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
99.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 16 yds to the RMU 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Bowers,Cyncir rush left for 17 yards gain to the RMU09 (Roach,Noel), out of bounds PENALTY WVU Holding offsetting RMU Illegal Substitution offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
99.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 26 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -6 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Xavier Goulbourne run for a loss of 1 yard to the RMU 24Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-5
99.9%
PENALTY RMU False Start (Piper,Riley) 5 yards from RMU24 to RMU19. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Xavier Goulbourne run for no gain to the RMU 19Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
99.9%
Ameer Dudley pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+33
100.0%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 37 yds , Preston Fox returns for 33 yds to the RMU 23Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+33
100.0%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 37 yds , Preston Fox returns for 33 yds to the WVU 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 26 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.9%
PENALTY WVU False Start (Martin,Robby) 5 yards from WVU48 to WVU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+2
99.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 2 yds to the WVU 45Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 13
OWN 45
+22
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson run for 22 yds to the RMU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 3 yds to the RMU 30Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+4
99.9%
Cyncir Bowers run for 4 yds to the RMU 26Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Jordan McCantsSimilar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 3
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Colin McBeeSimilar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 3
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jaylen Henderson pass incomplete to Colin McBeeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:140% → 0%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
100.0%
Xavier Goulbourne run for 3 yds to the RMU 29Similar
Q4 6:29
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+2
100.0%
Xavier Goulbourne run for 2 yds to the RMU 31Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Ameer Dudley run for 4 yds to the RMU 35Similar
Q4 4:15
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
100.0%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 28TD
3 plays · 71 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 4 yds to the WVU 33Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+8
99.9%
Scotty Fox Jr. pass complete to Logan Ramper for 8 yds to the WVU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+59
100.0%
Scotty Fox Jr. run for 59 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RMUDrive 29PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 2:020% → 0%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
100.0%
Xavier Goulbourne run for 6 yds to the RMU 31Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
100.0%
Xavier Goulbourne run for 1 yd to the RMU 32Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Xavier Goulbourne run for 2 yds to the RMU 34Similar
Q4 1:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jayson Jenkins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Preston Fox at the WVU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30FUMBLE
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:13100% → 100%
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
100.0%
Khalil Wilkins run for 9 yds to the WVU 34Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
100.0%
Tyler Jacklich run for 10 yds to the WVU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+22
100.0%
Khalil Wilkins run for 22 yds to the RMU 34 Khalil Wilkins fumbled, recovered by RMU Noel RoachSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:21
Jahiem White run for 4 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q3 11:21
Jahiem White run for 1 yd for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q4 13:52
Nicco Marchiol pass complete to Cam Vaughn for 46 yds for a TD (Kade Hensley KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com