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WAG

Wagner 7 at Kansas 46

KU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 29, 2025 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadWAG aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreWAG score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:26 · Joshua Brown punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 41 , Tate Nagy returns for 10 yds to the KU 34 Kansas Penalty, (Yards) to the KU 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 18Pregame prior+47.9Home team on offense+1.2Score differential+0.3Blowout margin+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:12: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:06: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 20 yds for a TD (C. Bruhn Run For Two-point Conversion) — KU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:19: Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +0.4 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:52: Jack Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 45 yds for a TD (Nicholas Romero KICK) — WAG win probability +0.6 pts (now 1%) (top driver: WAG has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 14:11: Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 62 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK) — KU win probability +0.5 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7WAG made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 12:59WAG 4th & 5 at WAG 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:26WAG 4th & 11 at WAG 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:26WAG 4th & 11 at WAG 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:34KU 4th & 5 at KU 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:44WAG 4th & 10 at WAG 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 0:49WAG 4th & 8 at WAG 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:52WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 39, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:51KU 4th & 9 at KU 31, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:51KU 4th & 9 at KU 31, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:26WAG 4th & 15 at WAG 16, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:52WAG 4th & 3 at KU 45, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:43WAG 4th & 14 at WAG 35, down 29
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:50KU 4th & 4 at WAG 10, up 29
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    88% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 5:05WAG 4th & 8 at WAG 37, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:50KU 4th & 6 at KU 35, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:50WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 24, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:38KU 4th & 3 at WAG 3, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:36WAG 4th & 9 at WAG 21, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:47KU 4th & 2 at WAG 11, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 1:54WAG 4th & 2 at WAG 33, down 39
    Close callPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6WAG made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 11:14KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:12KU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:06KU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:19KU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:52WAG Touchdown, down 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 14:11KU Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:40KU Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAGDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
Andre Hines Jr run for no gain to the WAG 25Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.5%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Derek Burrell for 5 yds to the WAG 30Similar
Q1 13:51
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.5%
Jack Stevens run for no gain to the WAG 30Similar
Q1 12:59
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+20
99.4%
Joshua Brown punt for 45 yds , Tate Nagy returns for 20 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 2TD
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:3699% → 99%
Q1 12:50
1ST & 10
50
+6
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 6 yds to the WAG 44Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
99.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the WAG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 7 yds to the WAG 32Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+21
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 21 yds to the WAG 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
99.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the WAG 4Similar
Q1 11:14
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to DeShawn Hanika for 4 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:401% → 1%
Q1 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Andre Hines Jr run for 4 yds to the WAG 29Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
99.4%
Andre Hines Jr run for 1 yd to the WAG 30Similar
Q1 10:03
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
99.3%
PENALTY WAG Delay Of Game (Stevens,Jack) 5 yards from WAG30 to WAG25. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.3%
PENALTY WAG Delay Of Game (Stevens,Jack) 5 yards from WAG25 to WAG20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:17
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
99.3%
Andre Hines Jr run for 4 yds to the WAG 24Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.3%
Joshua Brown punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 41 , Tate Nagy returns for 10 yds to the KU 34 Kansas Penalty, (Yards) to the KU 41Similar
Q1 8:26
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.3%
Joshua Brown punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KU 22 , Tate Nagy returns for 10 yds to the KU 34 Kansas Penalty, (10 Yards) to the KU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:4799% → 99%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Doug EmilienSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+5
99.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the KU 27Similar
Q1 7:40
3RD & 5
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Keaton KubeckaSimilar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 5
OWN 27
0
99.2%
Grayden Addison punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Derek Burrell at the WAG 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:441% → 1%
Q1 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Sekou Kamau run for no gain to the WAG 24Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Damien MazilSimilar
Q1 6:57
3RD & 10
OWN 24
0
99.2%
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Sekou KamauSimilar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 10
OWN 24
+7
99.2%
Joshua Brown punt for 46 yds , Tate Nagy returns for 7 yds to the KU 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 6TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:2399% → 99%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
99.2%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q1 5:51
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
99.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 5 yds to the KU 46Similar
Q1 5:14
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+6
99.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 6 yds to the WAG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
99.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 11 yds to the WAG 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
99.1%
Kansas Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the WAG 43Similar
Q1 3:48
1ST & 16
OPP 43
+27
99.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 27 yds to the WAG 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
99.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the WAG 9Similar
Q1 3:12
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
99.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 9 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 1:421% → 1%
Q1 2:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.1%
Sekou Kamau run for 2 yds to the WAG 44Similar
Q1 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+2
99.0%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Derek Burrell for 2 yds to the WAG 46Similar
Q1 1:41
3RD & 6
OWN 46
-2
99.0%
Sekou Kamau run for a loss of 2 yards to the WAG 44Similar
Q1 0:49
4TH & 8
OWN 44
0
99.0%
Joshua Brown punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:3899% → 99%
Q1 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
99.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the KU 29Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+9
99.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 9 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 41Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+10
99.0%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 10 yds to the WAG 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
99.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 1 yd to the WAG 48Similar
Q2 13:28
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+28
99.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 28 yds to the WAG 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
99.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Keaton KubeckaSimilar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 20 yds for a TD (C. Bruhn Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 3:031% → 1%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.3%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Matt Morad for 4 yds to the WAG 21Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+5
99.3%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for 5 yds to the WAG 26Similar
Q2 11:46
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+12
99.3%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Malik Cooper for 12 yds to the WAG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.3%
Jack Stevens sacked by D.J. Withers for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 37Similar
Q2 10:44
2ND & 11
OWN 37
0
99.3%
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Karlos GrierSimilar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 11
OWN 37
+2
99.3%
Jack Stevens run for 2 yds to the WAG 39Similar
Q2 9:52
4TH & 9
OWN 39
+14
99.3%
Joshua Brown punt for 45 yds , Tate Nagy returns for 14 yds to the KU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:5699% → 99%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
99.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the KU 31Similar
Q2 9:05
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr.Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Doug EmilienSimilar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+38
99.3%
Grayden Addison punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAG 31 Wagner Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brendan Leal) to the WAG 31Similar
Q2 8:51
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+48
99.3%
Grayden Addison punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WAG 31 Wagner Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brendan Leal) to the WAG 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:221% → 1%
Q2 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Matt MoradSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.3%
Jack Stevens pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 10
OWN 21
-10
99.3%
(08:41) No Huddle-Shotgun Stevens,Jack rush right for 8 yards gain to the WAG29 (Dye,Jalen), out of bounds PENALTY WAG Holding (Guitian,Prinz) 10 yards from WAG21 to WAG11. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:08
3RD & 20
OWN 11
+5
99.3%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Karlos Grier for 5 yds to the WAG 16Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 15
OWN 16
0
99.3%
Joshua Brown punt for 44 yds , Tate Nagy returns for no gain to the KU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 68 yds · 2:0299% → 100%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
99.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 3 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+26
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Boden Groen for 26 yds to the WAG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Bryson Canty for 14 yds to the WAG 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Doug Emilien for 5 yds to the WAG 20Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+20
99.7%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 20 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 13TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:170% → 1%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Andre Hines Jr run for 4 yds to the WAG 29Similar
Q2 4:42
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.7%
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Jeremiah ColcloughSimilar
Q2 4:35
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
99.7%
Andre Hines Jr run for 6 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
99.7%
Sekou Kamau run for 13 yds to the WAG 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
99.7%
Sekou Kamau run for 5 yds to the KU 47Similar
Q2 2:58
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-4
99.7%
Sekou Kamau run for a loss of 4 yards to the WAG 49Similar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 9
OWN 49
+6
99.7%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Matt Morad for 6 yds to the KU 45Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 3
OPP 45
+45
99.1%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 45 yds for a TD (Nicholas Romero KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 14INT
11 plays · 57 yds · 0:5999% → 99%
Q2 1:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
99.4%
Jalon Daniels run for 13 yds to the KU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.4%
(01:33) No Huddle-Shotgun Hishaw Jr.,Daniel rush middle for 3 yards gain to the KU50 (Johnson,Jordan) PENALTY WAG Illegal Substitution 5 yards from KU47 to WAG48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 5
OPP 48
+15
99.4%
(01:23) No Huddle-Shotgun Daniels,Jalon pass incomplete deep right to Henderson Jr.,Emmanuel thrown to WAG10 PENALTY WAG Pass Interference (Brown,Jayden) 15 yards from WAG48 to WAG33, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 9 yds to the WAG 24Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+5
99.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 5 yds to the WAG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+9
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Levi Wentz for 9 yds to the WAG 10Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
99.4%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 1 yd to the WAG 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.4%
Jalon Daniels pass intercepted, touchback.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.1%
J. Stevens takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:3899% → 100%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
99.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Carson Bruhn for 13 yds to the KU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+62
99.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 62 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 2:190% → 0%
Q3 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.8%
Andre Hines Jr run for 1 yd to the WAG 26Similar
Q3 13:37
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+13
99.8%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Derek Burrell for 13 yds to the WAG 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Derek Burrell for 2 yds to the WAG 41Similar
Q3 12:31
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Jack Stevens pass incomplete to Derek BurrellSimilar
Q3 12:31
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
99.8%
PENALTY WAG Delay Of Game (Stevens,Jack) 5 yards from WAG41 to WAG36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:23
3RD & 13
OWN 36
-1
99.8%
Jack Stevens sacked by D.J. Withers for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 35Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 14
OWN 35
+10
99.8%
Joshua Brown punt for 45 yds , Tate Nagy returns for 10 yds to the KU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:47100% → 100%
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.8%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 7 yds to the KU 37Similar
Q3 11:17
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+4
99.8%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 4 yds to the KU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.8%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 1
50
0
99.8%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Levi WentzSimilar
Q3 10:20
3RD & 1
50
+15
99.8%
Cole Ballard run for 15 yds to the WAG 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
PENALTY WAG Offside (Charles,Terry) 5 yards from WAG35 to WAG30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 5
OPP 30
+14
99.9%
Harry Stewart III run for 14 yds to the WAG 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 4 yds to the WAG 12Similar
Q3 8:11
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Cole Ballard run for 1 yd to the WAG 11Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 5
OPP 11
+1
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 1 yd to the WAG 10Similar
Q3 6:50
4TH & 4
OPP 10
+27
99.9%
Laith Marjan 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:380% → 0%
Q3 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
99.7%
Andre Hines Jr run for 5 yds to the WAG 40Similar
Q3 6:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
-1
99.6%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Richard Perkins Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 39Similar
Q3 5:44
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+2
99.7%
Jack Stevens pass complete to Sekou Kamau for 2 yds to the WAG 37Similar
Q3 5:05
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
99.7%
Joshua Brown punt for 48 yds , Keaton Kubecka returns for no gain to the KU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Harry Stewart III run for 6 yds to the KU 21Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 4
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Bryson CantySimilar
Q3 4:13
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+10
99.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Leyton Cure for 10 yds to the KU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Harry Stewart III run for 4 yds to the KU 35Similar
Q3 3:02
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Tate NagySimilar
Q3 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Cole Ballard pass incomplete to Bryce CohoonSimilar
Q3 2:50
4TH & 6
OWN 35
0
99.9%
Grayden Addison punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Derek Burrell at the WAG 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:530% → 0%
Q3 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
99.9%
Matt Morad run for a loss of 3 yards to the WAG 20Similar
Q3 2:04
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-1
99.9%
Jordan Barton sacked by Leroy Harris III for a loss of 1 yard to the WAG 19Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 14
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Matt Morad run for 5 yds to the WAG 24Similar
Q3 0:50
4TH & 9
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Joshua Brown punt for 44 yds , Keaton Kubecka returns for no gain to the KU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22FUMBLE
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:59100% → 100%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+28
99.9%
Cole Ballard pass complete to Bryson Canty for 28 yds to the WAG 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 8 yds to the WAG 32Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+11
99.9%
Cole Ballard run for 11 yds to the WAG 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
99.9%
Cole Ballard run for 11 yds to the WAG 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 3 yds to the WAG 7Similar
Q4 12:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
Cole Ballard run for 4 yds to the WAG 3Similar
Q4 12:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for no gain to the WAG 3Similar
Q4 11:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Johnny Thompson Jr. run for 3 yds Johnny Thompson Jr. fumbled, recovered by WAG Alim Parks Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:550% → 0%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
Uriah Maynard run for 4 yds to the WAG 24Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+1
99.9%
Uriah Maynard run for 1 yd to the WAG 25Similar
Q4 10:28
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
David Lonergan run for 1 yd to the WAG 26Similar
Q4 9:48
4TH & 4
OWN 26
-5
99.9%
PENALTY WAG Delay Of Game 5 yards from WAG26 to WAG21. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+18
99.9%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 47 yds , Keaton Kubecka returns for 18 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:47100% → 100%
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
50
+12
99.9%
Isaiah Marshall pass complete to Tate Nagy for 12 yds to the WAG 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Marshall pass complete to Mack Moeller for 8 yds to the WAG 30Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 2
OPP 30
-5
99.9%
(08:18) Shotgun Stewart III,Harry rush middle for 1 yard gain to the WAG29 (Leal,Brendan) PENALTY KU Illegal Formation 5 yards from WAG30 to WAG35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+16
99.9%
Isaiah Marshall run for 16 yds to the WAG 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.9%
Harry Stewart III run for 6 yds to the WAG 13Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
99.9%
Isaiah Marshall run for 2 yds to the WAG 11Similar
Q4 6:02
3RD & 2
OPP 11
-5
99.9%
PENALTY KU False Start (Kelly,Hank) 5 yards from WAG11 to WAG16. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+5
99.9%
Isaiah Marshall run for 5 yds to the WAG 11Similar
Q4 4:47
4TH & 2
OPP 11
+8
99.9%
Isaiah Marshall pass complete to Tate Nagy for 8 yds to the WAG 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Harry Stewart III run for 2 yds to the WAG 1Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
100.0%
Harry Stewart III run for 1 yd for a TD (Dane Efird KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAGDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:390% → 0%
Q4 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
David Lonergan run for 4 yds to the WAG 29Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
100.0%
Terrell Crawley run for 3 yds to the WAG 32Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
100.0%
Terrell Crawley run for 1 yd to the WAG 33Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Vincent Muscillo punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Keaton Kubecka at the KU 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
100.0%
Justin Thurman run for 18 yds to the KU 43 Kansas Penalty, (-10 Yards) to the KU 33Similar
Q4 1:36
1ST & 2
OWN 33
+6
100.0%
Justin Thurman run for 6 yds to the KU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
100.0%
Justin Thurman run for 9 yds to the KU 48Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+8
100.0%
John Kelly run for 8 yds to the WAG 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:52
Jack Stevens pass complete to Jeremiah Colclough for 45 yds for a TD (Nicholas Romero KICK)
-0.6
TD · Q3 14:11
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Emmanuel Henderson Jr. for 62 yds for a TD (Laith Marjan KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q2 13:06
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Cam Pickett for 20 yds for a TD (C. Bruhn Run For Two-point Conversion)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com