Try the model
SDAK

South Dakota 7 at Iowa State 55

ISU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Jack Trice Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ISU
modelISU aheadSDAK aheadconfidence bandkey playISU scoreSDAK score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:16 · Tyler Ebel punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the ISU 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+39.0+19.50−19.5−39.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 142Pregame prior+7.4Home team on offense+36.3Score differential+29.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+10.2Blowout margin+17.2Garbage-time factor+8.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:44: Aidan Bouman pass complete to Larenzo Fenner for 6 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK) — SDAK win probability +1.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SDAK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:12: Abu Sama III run for 15 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +1.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:27: Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +2.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Kyle Konrardy 63 yd FG GOOD — ISU win probability +5.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 9:39: Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 16 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +2.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ISU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1SDAK made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q2 7:51SDAK 4th & 12 at SDAK 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−1.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 2:35ISU 4th & 5 at SDAK 10, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.5%
    88% to make
    Punt
    84.3%−3.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 0:27SDAK 4th & 4 at ISU 31, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%−0.5
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%
    54% to make
    Punt
    9.1%−1.7
    average punt
  4. Q3 11:39SDAK 4th & 7 at SDAK 40, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  5. Q3 9:04SDAK 4th & 10 at SDAK 20, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  6. Q3 4:42SDAK 4th & 14 at SDAK 22, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  7. Q4 9:16SDAK 4th & 4 at SDAK 31, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ISU made the numbers' call on 6 of 7SDAK made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:10ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:44SDAK Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:12ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:27ISU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:39ISU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 8:17ISU Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:57ISU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:22ISU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3189% → 89%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+66
88.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 66 yds to the SDAK 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
88.7%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the SDAK 7Similar
Q1 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
88.6%
Carson Hansen run for 3 yds to the SDAK 4Similar
Q1 13:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
88.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 4 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 2TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 7:1611% → 15%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.6%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 6 yds to the SDAK 31Similar
Q1 12:29
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
88.5%
PENALTY USD False Start (Hawkins,Adrian) 5 yards from USD31 to USD26. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
88.5%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Tysen BozeSimilar
Q1 11:57
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+29
88.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 29 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
88.2%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+10
88.1%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Dallas Holmes for 10 yds to the ISU 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
87.8%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Dallas Holmes for 3 yds to the ISU 30Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+8
87.5%
Tennel Bryant run for 8 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
87.5%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 3 yds to the ISU 19Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+4
87.3%
L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 4 yds to the ISU 15Similar
Q1 7:03
3RD & 3
OPP 15
+8
87.3%
Tennel Bryant run for 8 yds to the ISU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
86.9%
run for 1 yd to the ISU 6 fumbled, recovered by SDAK Wyatt LawsonSimilar
Q1 5:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
85.1%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Larenzo Fenner for 6 yds for a TD (Will Leyland KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 3TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2286% → 87%
Q1 5:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
85.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 18 yds to the ISU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
86.1%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the ISU 45Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+18
85.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 18 yds to the SDAK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
86.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 5 yds to the SDAK 32Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 5
OPP 32
+4
86.0%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the SDAK 28Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
85.6%
Rocco Becht run for 2 yds to the SDAK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
85.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 4 yds to the SDAK 22Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+7
85.5%
Abu Sama III run for 7 yds to the SDAK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
87.4%
Abu Sama III run for 15 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 4INT
9 plays · 53 yds · 2:4113% → 15%
Q1 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
86.9%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 9 yds to the SDAK 34Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+10
86.4%
(00:34) Shotgun Bouman,Aidan pass incomplete short right to Martens,Jack thrown to ISU48 PENALTY ISU Holding (Cooper,Jeremiah) 10 yards from USD34 to USD44, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
86.2%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 43Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
86.5%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Larenzo FennerSimilar
Q2 14:33
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+35
86.7%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 35 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:09
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
85.3%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for no gain to the ISU 22Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-22
85.2%
Aidan Bouman pass intercepted Jamison Patton return for 22 yds to the ISU 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 5TD
9 plays · 76 yds · 3:4488% → 92%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
88.4%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ISU 28Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+44
88.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 44 yds to the SDAK 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
89.1%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the SDAK 25Similar
Q2 11:13
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
88.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 6 yds to the SDAK 19Similar
Q2 10:28
3RD & 1
OPP 19
+15
88.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Tyler Moore for 15 yds to the SDAK 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
88.9%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the SDAK 3Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
91.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:2110% → 10%
Q2 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
90.0%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 4 yds to the SDAK 21Similar
Q2 8:39
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+2
90.2%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 23Similar
Q2 8:01
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
90.3%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Dallas HolmesSimilar
Q2 7:51
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
90.4%
Tyler Ebel punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 7FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 5:0393% → 94%
Q2 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
92.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 6 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
92.8%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the ISU 44Similar
Q2 6:33
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+5
92.6%
Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
93.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 4 yds to the SDAK 47Similar
Q2 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+2
93.1%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the SDAK 45Similar
Q2 4:53
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+19
92.7%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 19 yds to the SDAK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+11
92.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 11 yds to the SDAK 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
92.4%
Rocco Becht run for no gain to the SDAK 15Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
92.8%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Keaton RoskopSimilar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+5
92.8%
Rocco Becht run for 5 yds to the SDAK 10Similar
Q2 2:35
4TH & 5
OPP 10
+28
94.2%
Kyle Konrardy 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 8DOWNS
14 plays · 44 yds · 1:558% → 8%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
92.5%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 11 yds to the SDAK 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
92.6%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 8 yds to the SDAK 44Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
92.0%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Charles Pierre Jr.Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+7
92.7%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Tysen Boze for 7 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
92.2%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Dallas Holmes for 3 yds to the ISU 46Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+9
92.0%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 9 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
91.8%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Jack MartensSimilar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
92.0%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to L.J. Phillips Jr. for 4 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+2
92.1%
L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 2 yds to the ISU 31Similar
Q2 0:27
4TH & 4
OPP 31
0
92.0%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to L.J. Phillips Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 9FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:2093% → 97%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
92.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 11 yds to the ISU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
92.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 6 yds to the ISU 48Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
90.1%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 7 yds to the SDAK 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+63
96.6%
Kyle Konrardy 63 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:094% → 4%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
96.2%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 25Similar
Q3 14:02
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+12
96.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Zach Witte for 12 yds to the SDAK 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
96.5%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Charles Pierre Jr. for 3 yds to the SDAK 40Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
95.9%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for no gain to the SDAK 40Similar
Q3 12:00
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
96.1%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Jack MartensSimilar
Q3 11:39
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+66
96.1%
Tyler Ebel punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDAK 33 , Aiden Flora returns for 66 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 11TD
6 plays · 33 yds · 1:5097% → 99%
Q3 11:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
97.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 15 yds to the SDAK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
97.1%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the SDAK 17Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+1
97.1%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the SDAK 16Similar
Q3 9:39
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+16
99.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 16 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)Similar
Q3 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-15
99.4%
Moore,Tyler pass attempt Successful PENALTY ISU Pass Interference (Eskildsen,Brett) 15 yards from USD03 to USD18. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:251% → 1%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Dallas HolmesSimilar
Q3 9:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Charles Pierre Jr.Similar
Q3 9:19
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Jack MartensSimilar
Q3 9:04
4TH & 10
OWN 20
+51
99.4%
Tyler Ebel punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SDAK 24 , Aiden Flora returns for 51 yds to the SDAK 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 24 yds · 0:3599% → 100%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+13
99.4%
Alex Manske run for 13 yds to the SDAK 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:17
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.5%
Xavier Townsend run for 11 yds for a TD (Chase Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 3:120% → 0%
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
99.6%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jesse Miller for 3 yds to the SDAK 15Similar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+6
99.6%
Charles Pierre Jr. run for 6 yds to the SDAK 21Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+5
99.6%
L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 5 yds to the SDAK 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-10
99.7%
South Dakota Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the SDAK 20Similar
Q3 5:42
1ST & 16
OWN 20
+2
99.7%
L.J. Phillips Jr. run for 2 yds to the SDAK 22Similar
Q3 5:08
2ND & 14
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to Tysen BozeSimilar
Q3 4:59
3RD & 14
OWN 22
-9
99.7%
(05:07) Shotgun Bouman,Aidan pass complete short left to Martens,Jack caught at USD31, for 9 yards to the USD31, End Of Play PENALTY USD Illegal Touch-Pass (Martens,Jack). NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:42
4TH & 14
OWN 22
0
99.7%
Tyler Ebel punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ISU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 15TD
19 plays · 64 yds · 8:37100% → 100%
Q3 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-4
99.7%
Dylan Lee run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 32Similar
Q3 3:49
2ND & 14
OWN 32
0
99.7%
Alex Manske pass complete to Dylan Lee for no gain to the ISU 32Similar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 14
OWN 32
+15
99.7%
(03:22) No Huddle-Shotgun Manske,Alex pass incomplete short left to Townsend,Xavier thrown to ISU46 broken up by Walsh,Matt, 1ST DOWN, PENALTY USD Pass Interference (Walsh,Matt) 15 yards from ISU32 to ISU47, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.7%
Dylan Lee run for 2 yds to the ISU 49Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+4
99.7%
Alex Manske run for 4 yds to the SDAK 47Similar
Q3 1:45
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+5
99.8%
Alex Manske run for 5 yds to the SDAK 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
99.8%
Dylan Lee run for 1 yd to the SDAK 41Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+10
99.8%
Alex Manske pass complete to Xavier Townsend for 10 yds to the SDAK 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.8%
Dylan Lee run for 4 yds to the SDAK 27Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
99.9%
Alex Manske pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 6
OPP 27
+9
99.9%
Alex Manske pass complete to Carson Brown for 9 yds to the SDAK 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
99.9%
Dylan Lee run for a loss of 1 yard to the SDAK 19Similar
Q4 12:35
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+9
99.9%
Alex Manske pass complete to Tripp Walsh for 9 yds to the SDAK 10Similar
Q4 12:08
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+3
99.9%
Dylan Lee run for 3 yds to the SDAK 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
99.9%
Dylan Lee run for 3 yds to the SDAK 4Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.9%
Alex Manske run for 4 yds for a TD (Chase Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Reid Watkins for 2 yds to the SDAK 23Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+8
99.9%
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Dallas Holmes for 8 yds to the SDAK 31Similar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Aidan Bouman pass incomplete to L.J. Phillips Jr.Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Tyler Ebel punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Xavier Townsend at the ISU 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 17TD
10 plays · 85 yds · 4:45100% → 100%
Q4 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+21
99.9%
Dylan Lee run for 21 yds to the ISU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
99.9%
Dylan Lee run for 4 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+8
99.9%
Dylan Lee run for 8 yds to the ISU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Dylan Lee run for 4 yds to the SDAK 48Similar
Q4 6:26
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Easton Miller run for 9 yds to the SDAK 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Easton Miller run for 3 yds to the SDAK 36Similar
Q4 5:04
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+28
100.0%
Dylan Lee run for 28 yds to the SDAK 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Dylan Lee run for 8 yds for a TD (Chase Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SDAKDrive 18INT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Reid Watkins run for 2 yds to the SDAK 27Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Reid Watkins run for 2 yds to the SDAK 29Similar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
100.0%
Aidan Bouman pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 19END OF GAME
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:43100% → 100%
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
100.0%
Easton Miller run for 7 yds to the SDAK 31Similar
Q4 2:01
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+14
100.0%
Major Cantrell run for 14 yds to the SDAK 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-5
100.0%
PENALTY ISU False Start (Eledge,Easton) 5 yards from USD17 to USD22. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 15
OPP 22
+4
100.0%
Easton Miller run for 4 yds to the SDAK 18Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+6
100.0%
South Dakota Penalty, Face Mask (6 yards) (6 Yards) to the SDAK 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
100.0%
Major Cantrell run for 5 yds to the SDAK 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:00
Kyle Konrardy 63 yd FG GOOD
+5.4
TD · Q2 9:27
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 3 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)
+2.7
TD · Q3 9:39
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 16 yds for a TD (Kyle Konrardy KICK)
+2.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com