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PRST

Portland State 0 at BYU 69

BYU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · LaVell Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · BYU
modelBYU aheadPRST aheadconfidence bandkey playBYU scorePRST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:46 · Tony Johnson punt for 63 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 16
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 55Pregame prior+42.9Home team on offense+12.7Score differential+9.2Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.1Garbage-time factor+2.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:52: Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Noah Moeaki for 5 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:52: Timeout BYU, clock 09:52 — PRST win probability +0.2 pts (now 1%) (top driver: PRST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 6:53: Cody Hagen run for 57 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +0.2 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:15: Bear Bachmeier run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK) — BYU win probability +0.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BYU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BYU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4PRST made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:59PRST 4th & 1 at BYU 48, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54BYU 4th & 6 at BYU 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:37PRST 4th & 5 at PRST 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:58PRST 4th & 12 at BYU 39, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.9%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:23PRST 4th & 9 at PRST 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:47PRST 4th & 3 at PRST 32, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:46PRST 4th & 8 at PRST 19, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:59PRST 4th & 11 at PRST 39, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:54PRST 4th & 14 at PRST 21, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:33BYU 4th & 6 at PRST 7, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:20PRST 4th & 11 at PRST 24, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:09BYU 4th & 10 at PRST 38, up 52
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:04PRST 4th & 16 at PRST 19, down 55
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:16PRST 4th & 6 at PRST 29, down 62
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:24BYU 4th & 2 at PRST 28, up 62
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BYU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 0:00BYU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:52BYU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:53BYU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:15BYU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 3:35BYU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:49BYU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:51BYU Touchdown, up 61 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:55BYU Touchdown, up 68 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRSTDrive 1PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:561% → 1%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.4%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for no gain to the PRST 25Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
99.4%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 18 yds to the PRST 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:28
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.4%
Tyrese Smith run for 2 yds to the PRST 45Similar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+7
99.3%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Micah Avery for 7 yds to the BYU 48Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
99.3%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Chance MillerSimilar
Q1 11:59
4TH & 1
OPP 48
0
99.3%
Tony Johnson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Parker Kingston at the BYU 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 1:5599% → 99%
Q1 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.3%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Parker Kingston for 5 yds to the BYU 16Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+12
99.3%
LJ Martin run for 12 yds to the BYU 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
99.2%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Parker KingstonSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+4
99.2%
Bear Bachmeier run for 4 yds to the BYU 32Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 6
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 6
OWN 32
0
99.2%
Sam Vander Haar punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Cru Newman at the PRST 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 3:151% → 1%
Q1 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.2%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Kristian IngmanSimilar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
99.2%
CJ Jordan run for a loss of 5 yards to the PRST 15Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+20
99.1%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Kristian Ingman for 20 yds to the PRST 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.0%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 6 yds to the PRST 41Similar
Q1 7:27
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-1
99.0%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 40Similar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 5
OWN 40
0
98.9%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Branden AlvarezSimilar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 5
OWN 40
+16
98.9%
Tony Johnson punt for 39 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 16 yds to the BYU 37 Parker Kingston fumbled, recovered by PRST Chance MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 4MISSED FG TD
4 plays · -2 yds · 2:071% → 1%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
98.8%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 3 yds to the BYU 34Similar
Q1 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 34
-9
98.7%
CJ Jordan sacked by Choe Bryant-Strother for a loss of 9 yards to the BYU 43Similar
Q1 4:49
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+4
98.7%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Branden Alvarez for 4 yds to the BYU 39Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 12
OPP 39
+54
98.9%
Mathias Uribe 57 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by John Taumoepeau for a TD , Jack Kelly return for 54 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
PENALTY PSU Delay Of Game (Jordan,CJ) 5 yards from PSU25 to PSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:18
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+6
98.8%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 6 yds to the PRST 26 Jacques Badolato-Birdsell fumbled, recovered by PRST Jacques Badolato-BirdsellSimilar
Q1 3:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for no gain to the PRST 26Similar
Q1 2:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
98.8%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Andre MillerSimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+9
98.8%
Tony Johnson punt for 39 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 9 yds to the BYU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 56 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q1 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+49
98.8%
LJ Martin run for 49 yds to the PRST 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
98.7%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the PRST 5Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
98.7%
Bear Bachmeier run for 1 yd to the PRST 4Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
98.9%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:081% → 1%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.8%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for a loss of 5 yards to the PRST 20Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
98.7%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 3 yds to the PRST 23Similar
Q2 13:29
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+9
98.7%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Andre Miller for 9 yds to the PRST 32Similar
Q2 12:47
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+31
98.6%
Tony Johnson punt for 47 yds , Parker Kingston returns for 31 yds to the PRST 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 8TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:4999% → 99%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.0%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Cody HagenSimilar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.0%
Parker Kingston run for 8 yds to the PRST 40Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+7
98.9%
LJ Martin run for 7 yds to the PRST 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
99.0%
Sione Moa run for 3 yds to the PRST 30Similar
Q2 11:10
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+19
98.9%
Sione Moa run for 19 yds to the PRST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
98.9%
Parker Kingston run for 6 yds to the PRST 5Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+5
99.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Noah Moeaki for 5 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:561% → 1%
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
99.2%
Tyrese Smith pass incomplete to Jaylen LynchSimilar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.2%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 2 yds to the PRST 19Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 8
OWN 19
0
99.2%
Tyrese Smith pass incomplete to Andre MillerSimilar
Q2 8:46
4TH & 8
OWN 19
0
99.2%
Tony Johnson punt for 63 yds , Parker Kingston returns for no gain to the BYU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:4499% → 100%
Q2 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
99.4%
Sione Moa run for 11 yds to the BYU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.4%
LJ Martin run for 4 yds to the BYU 31Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+12
99.4%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to LJ Martin for 12 yds to the BYU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+57
99.6%
Cody Hagen run for 57 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · -14 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-14
99.7%
Andre Miller run for a loss of 14 yards to the PRST 6 Andre Miller fumbled, recovered by BYU John TaumoepeauSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 12TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:17100% → 100%
Q2 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
99.6%
LJ Martin run for 2 yds to the PRST 4Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
Bear Bachmeier run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
(06:15) Shotgun Jordan,CJ pass incomplete short middle to Lynch,Jaylen thrown to PSU29 PENALTY BYU Targeting (Asiata,Ephraim) 15 yards from PSU25 to PSU40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
99.8%
PENALTY PSU False Start 5 yards from PSU40 to PSU35. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:59
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+4
99.8%
CJ Jordan run for 4 yds to the PRST 39Similar
Q2 5:19
2ND & 11
OWN 39
0
99.8%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Micah AverySimilar
Q2 5:12
3RD & 11
OWN 39
0
99.8%
CJ Jordan pass incomplete to Cru NewmanSimilar
Q2 4:59
4TH & 11
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Tony Johnson punt for 45 yds , Tiger Bachmeier returns for no gain to the BYU 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 91 yds · 1:09100% → 100%
Q2 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+25
99.7%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 25 yds to the BYU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Bear Bachmeier pass incomplete to Chase RobertsSimilar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+44
99.7%
LJ Martin run for 44 yds to the PRST 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+22
99.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Carsen Ryan for 22 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -4 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for no gain to the PRST 25Similar
Q2 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for 2 yds to the PRST 27Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
99.8%
CJ Jordan sacked by Anisi Purcell for a loss of 6 yards to the PRST 21Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Tony Johnson punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 58 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
99.8%
Bear Bachmeier run for 11 yds to the PRST 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+24
99.8%
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Cody Hagen for 24 yds to the PRST 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+11
99.8%
LJ Martin run for 11 yds to the PRST 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.9%
Bear Bachmeier run for 12 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 17END OF HALF
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:340% → 0%
Q2 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
C. Jordan takes a kneeSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-1
99.9%
C. Jordan takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 18FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 8:16100% → 100%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.8%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Tiger Bachmeier for 8 yds to the BYU 33Similar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 1 yd to the BYU 34Similar
Q3 13:40
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 3 yds to the BYU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
McCae Hillstead pass incomplete to Noah MoeakiSimilar
Q3 13:04
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Cody Hagen run for no gain to the BYU 37Similar
Q3 12:24
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+11
99.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Cody Hagen for 11 yds to the BYU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 3 yds to the PRST 49Similar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+12
99.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 12 yds to the PRST 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+13
99.9%
McCae Hillstead run for 13 yds to the PRST 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
99.9%
(10:16) Shotgun Damuni,Jovesa rush right for 4 yards gain to the PSU20 (Roberts,Jerome; Brannan,Jayden) PENALTY BYU Holding (Griffin,Jake) 10 yards from PSU24 to PSU34. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+13
99.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jovesa Damuni for 13 yds to the PRST 21Similar
Q3 9:03
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+10
99.9%
McCae Hillstead run for 10 yds to the PRST 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.9%
Charles Miska run for no gain to the PRST 11Similar
Q3 7:43
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+3
99.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 3 yds to the PRST 8Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 7
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
McCae Hillstead pass complete to Jovesa Damuni for 1 yd to the PRST 7Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+25
99.9%
Will Ferrin 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 1:040% → 0%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.9%
Tyrese Smith pass complete to Jaylen Lynch for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 24Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Tyrese Smith pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:32
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Tyrese Smith pass incomplete to Cru NewmanSimilar
Q3 5:20
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
Tony Johnson punt for 40 yds , Carsen Ryan returns for 14 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 12 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
50
+2
99.9%
Tiger Bachmeier run for 2 yds to the PRST 48Similar
Q3 4:42
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+10
99.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 10 yds to the PRST 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
99.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass complete to Rowan Reay for 8 yds to the PRST 30Similar
Q3 3:18
2ND & 2
OPP 30
-15
99.9%
(03:25) Shotgun Damuni,Jovesa rush middle for 4 yards gain to the PSU26 (Seiuli,Aedan; Elliott,Spencer) PENALTY BYU Personal Foul (Griffin,Jake) 15 yards from PSU30 to PSU45. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:53
2ND & 17
OPP 45
+7
99.9%
Trey Roberts run for 7 yds to the PRST 38Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Treyson Bourguet pass incomplete to Dominique McKenzieSimilar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 10
OPP 38
+56
99.9%
Will Ferrin 56 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
100.0%
PENALTY PSU Delay Of Game (Smith,Tyrese) 5 yards from PSU25 to PSU20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Tyrese Smith run for no gain to the PRST 20Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Micah Avery run for no gain to the PRST 20Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-1
100.0%
Tyrese Smith pass complete to Micah Avery for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 19Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
100.0%
Tony Johnson punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 0:09100% → 100%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
99.9%
Jovesa Damuni run for 12 yds to the PRST 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+41
99.9%
Dominique McKenzie run for 41 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q4 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Brooks Ferguson for 4 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Micah Avery for 5 yds to the PRST 34Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Jacques Badolato-Birdsell run for no gain to the PRST 34Similar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-5
100.0%
PENALTY PSU False Start (Badolato-Birdsell,Jacques) 5 yards from PSU34 to PSU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+52
100.0%
Tony Johnson punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BYU 21 , Cannon DeVries returns for 52 yds to the BYU 19 BYU Penalty, Illegal Block (Kendal Wall) to the BYU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BYUDrive 24TD
19 plays · 79 yds · 10:14100% → 100%
Q4 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
100.0%
Charles Miska run for 4 yds to the BYU 25Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Charles Miska run for 2 yds to the BYU 27Similar
Q4 10:38
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+4
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 4 yds to the BYU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+21
100.0%
Treyson Bourguet run for 21 yds to the PRST 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 6 yds to the PRST 42Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+6
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 6 yds to the PRST 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+5
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 5 yds to the PRST 31Similar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 5
OPP 31
+2
100.0%
Charles Miska run for 2 yds to the PRST 29Similar
Q4 6:06
3RD & 3
OPP 29
+1
100.0%
Charles Miska run for 1 yd to the PRST 28Similar
Q4 5:24
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+2
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 2 yds to the PRST 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 1 yd to the PRST 25Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+5
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 5 yds to the PRST 20Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+17
100.0%
Cody Hagen run for 17 yds to the PRST 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
100.0%
PENALTY BYU Delay Of Game (Hagen,Cole) 5 yards from PSU03 to PSU08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
100.0%
Lucky Finau run for 3 yds to the PRST 5Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
100.0%
Charles Miska run for 5 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRSTDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:430% → 0%
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
Micah Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the PRST 24Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
CJ Jordan pass complete to Zachary Dodson-Greene for 3 yds to the PRST 27Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
100.0%
CJ Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the PRST 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:52
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Noah Moeaki for 5 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 0:00
Bear Bachmeier pass complete to Chase Roberts for 4 yds for a TD (Will Ferrin KICK)
+0.2
TD · Q2 9:52
Timeout BYU, clock 09:52
-0.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com