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ISU

Iowa State 24 at Kansas State 21

KSU
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 23, 2025 · Aviva Stadium
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Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadISU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreISU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:36 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 1:07: R. Becht pass to B. Eskildsen for 24 yds for a TD (K. Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +18.6 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:09: A. Johnson pass to J. Brown for 37 yds for a TD (L. Rodriguez KICK) — KSU win probability +24.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:19: Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the KSU 28 — ISU win probability +12.2 pts (now 69%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 6:38: R. Becht run for 7 yds for a TD (K. Konrardy KICK) — ISU win probability +20.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ISU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:23: A. Johnson pass to J. Bradley for 65 yds for a TD (L. Rodriguez KICK) — KSU win probability +33.1 pts (now 44%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8ISU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:01ISU 4th & 10 at ISU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29KSU 4th & 7 at KSU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:05ISU 4th & 3 at KSU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 41.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.0%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:10KSU 4th & 8 at KSU 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.4%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:18KSU 4th & 1 at ISU 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    53.3%−1.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    49.7%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:58KSU 4th & 1 at ISU 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    60.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    59.4%−1.0
    91% to make
    Punt
    56.6%−3.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:59ISU 4th & 6 at ISU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:29ISU 4th & 1 at ISU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    42.6%−1.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:13ISU 4th & 9 at KSU 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.7%
    54% to make
    Punt
    42.3%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:02KSU 4th & 22 at ISU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−2.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    56.3%−1.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:25KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 28, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 57.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%−2.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:51ISU 4th & 12 at ISU 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.0%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:06KSU 4th & 9 at ISU 33, tied
    Close callWent for it · 59.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.6%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    59.0%
    49% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−1.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:50ISU 4th & 1 at KSU 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    39.9%−7.6
    23% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−4.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:04ISU 4th & 5 at KSU 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−1.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    25.7%−20.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:19KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    35.7%−5.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:18ISU 4th & 3 at KSU 16, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    74.7%−2.5
    81% to make
    Punt
    53.7%−23.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3ISU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 3:26ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:55KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:07ISU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:09KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:38ISU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.5
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 6:23KSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.8%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ISUDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 14 yds · 2:5942% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
58.5%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q1 14:24
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
58.5%
Carson Hansen run for 5 yds to the ISU 32Similar
Q1 13:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
58.6%
Rocco Becht run for 7 yds to the ISU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
58.5%
Carson Hansen run for 4 yds to the ISU 43Similar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 6
OWN 43
0
58.4%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Eli GreenSimilar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 6
OWN 43
-4
58.4%
Rocco Becht sacked by Jordan Allen for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 39Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 10
OWN 39
+53
58.8%
Tyler Perkins punt for 53 yds , Dylan Edwards returns for no gain to the KSU 8 Dylan Edwards fumbled, forced by Tre Bell, recovered by ISU Aiden FloraSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 2FUMBLE
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:1042% → 42%
Q1 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
58.2%
Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 9Similar
Q1 11:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-7
58.1%
Rocco Becht sacked by Tobi Osunsanmi for a loss of 7 yards to the KSU 16Similar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 0
OPP 16
+13
58.1%
Becht, Rocco pass incomplete to Burkle, Gabe, PENALTY KANSASST pass interference (Payne, VJ) 13 yards to the KANSASST3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN IOWAST.Similar
Q1 10:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
58.0%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the KSU 1Similar
Q1 9:51
2ND & 0
OPP 1
-6
57.8%
Abu Sama III run for a loss of 6 yards to the KSU 7 Abu Sama III fumbled, recovered by KSU Austin RomaineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:2259% → 58%
Q1 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
58.7%
Joe Jackson run for 2 yds to the KSU 9Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+1
58.6%
Joe Jackson run for 1 yd to the KSU 10Similar
Q1 8:41
3RD & 7
OWN 10
0
58.2%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 7
OWN 10
0
58.1%
Simon McClannan punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Aiden Flora at the ISU 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2442% → 42%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
58.0%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the ISU 45Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+6
58.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Dominic Overby for 6 yds to the KSU 49Similar
Q1 7:17
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
57.8%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Brett EskildsenSimilar
Q1 7:05
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
58.1%
Jace T. Gilbert punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:5559% → 58%
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
58.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Terrence Enos Jr. for a loss of 3 yards to the KSU 13Similar
Q1 6:33
2ND & 13
OWN 13
0
58.5%
Joe Jackson run for no gain to the KSU 13Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+5
58.1%
Joe Jackson run for 5 yds to the KSU 18Similar
Q1 5:10
4TH & 8
OWN 18
0
57.8%
Simon McClannan punt for 31 yds, downed at the KSU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 1:4443% → 47%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
57.5%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the KSU 48Similar
Q1 4:38
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+10
57.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 10 yds to the KSU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
57.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 15 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
52.6%
R. Becht pass to D. Overby for 23 yds for a TD (K. Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 3:3154% → 60%
Q1 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+33
54.4%
Jayce Brown run for 33 yds to the ISU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
56.1%
Kansas State Penalty, False Start (Garrett Oakley) to the ISU 37Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
54.9%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Will SwansonSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 15
OPP 37
+10
54.3%
DeVon Rice run for 10 yds to the ISU 27Similar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+4
54.8%
Joe Jackson run for 4 yds to the ISU 23Similar
Q1 1:18
4TH & 1
OPP 23
+7
53.5%
Joe Jackson run for 7 yds to the ISU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
54.6%
Avery Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+6
54.4%
Avery Johnson run for 6 yds to the ISU 10Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 10
+10
60.2%
A. Johnson run for 10 yds for a TD (L. Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 8FUMBLE
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:5642% → 42%
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
57.7%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 26Similar
Q2 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
57.7%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Gabe BurkleSimilar
Q2 13:59
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-10
58.2%
Rocco Becht sacked by Qua Moss for a loss of 10 yards to the ISU 16 Rocco Becht fumbled, forced by Qua Moss, recovered by KSU Chiddi Obiazor , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0161% → 60%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-3
60.9%
DeVon Rice run for a loss of 3 yards to the ISU 19Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 13
OPP 19
+12
60.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 12 yds to the ISU 7Similar
Q2 12:44
3RD & 1
OPP 7
0
60.4%
Joe Jackson run for no gain to the ISU 7Similar
Q2 11:58
4TH & 1
OPP 7
0
59.6%
Joe Jackson run for no gain to the ISU 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5942% → 41%
Q2 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
57.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Benjamin BrahmerSimilar
Q2 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 7
0
58.0%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Gabe BurkleSimilar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 10
OWN 7
+4
58.6%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 4 yds to the ISU 11Similar
Q2 10:59
4TH & 6
OWN 11
0
59.0%
Tyler Perkins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:5060% → 61%
Q2 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
60.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jerand Bradley for a loss of 2 yards to the KSU 39Similar
Q2 10:26
2ND & 12
OWN 39
-1
59.4%
DeVon Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 38Similar
Q2 9:45
3RD & 13
OWN 38
+5
58.4%
Iowa State Penalty, Delay of Game (Cael Brezina) to the KSU 43Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+20
59.3%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 20 yds to the ISU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
61.3%
DeVon Rice run for a loss of 1 yard to the ISU 38Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+17
61.1%
Joe Jackson run for 17 yds to the ISU 21 Joe Jackson fumbled, forced by Drew Surges, recovered by ISU Ta'Shawn JamesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 12MISSED FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:5644% → 45%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
56.1%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Dominic OverbySimilar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+14
56.3%
Abu Sama III run for 14 yds to the ISU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
55.1%
Rocco Becht run for 9 yds to the ISU 44Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
53.2%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Cooper AlexanderSimilar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 1
OWN 44
0
53.8%
Abu Sama III run for no gain to the ISU 44Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+3
54.6%
Rocco Becht run for 3 yds to the ISU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
53.3%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the ISU 48Similar
Q2 5:28
2ND & 9
OWN 48
+20
53.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 20 yds to the KSU 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
51.8%
Abu Sama III run for 1 yd to the KSU 31Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 9
OPP 31
0
51.8%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Xavier TownsendSimilar
Q2 4:23
3RD & 9
OPP 31
0
52.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Dominic OverbySimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 9
OPP 31
+49
54.9%
Kyle Konrardy 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
15 plays · 27 yds · 4:1159% → 57%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
59.1%
Joe Jackson run for 4 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q2 3:38
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
59.7%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jaron TibbsSimilar
Q2 3:31
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+7
58.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Joe Jackson for 7 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
60.9%
DeVon Rice run for 4 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q2 2:21
2ND & 6
OWN 46
-6
61.1%
Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line Kansas State Penalty, Offensive Holding (Taylor Poitier) to the KSU 40Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+4
59.1%
Avery Johnson run for 4 yds to the KSU 44Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+15
59.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 15 yds to the ISU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
61.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 4 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+7
61.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 7 yds to the ISU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-12
62.8%
Avery Johnson sacked by Kooper Ebel for a loss of 12 yards to the ISU 42 Kansas State Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Avery Johnson) to the ISU 42Similar
Q2 0:59
2ND & 22
OPP 42
0
60.4%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q2 0:51
3RD & 22
OPP 42
0
59.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to DeVon Rice for no gain to the ISU 42Similar
Q2 0:02
4TH & 22
OPP 42
0
57.0%
Simon McClannan punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Aiden Flora at the ISU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
55.4%
TEAM run for no gain to the ISU 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:3059% → 57%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
58.9%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Joe JacksonSimilar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+8
58.8%
Avery Johnson run for 8 yds to the KSU 27Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+1
58.2%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Will Anciaux for 1 yd to the KSU 28Similar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 1
OWN 28
0
57.4%
Simon McClannan punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ISU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 1:3447% → 43%
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
52.9%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q3 13:18
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-11
53.5%
Rocco Becht sacked by Tobi Osunsanmi for a loss of 11 yards to the ISU 31Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 21
OWN 31
+9
56.8%
Rocco Becht run for 9 yds to the ISU 40Similar
Q3 11:51
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
57.2%
Tyler Perkins punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Sterling Lockett at the KSU 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 51 yds · 4:4558% → 59%
Q3 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
58.3%
Joe Jackson run for 1 yd to the KSU 17Similar
Q3 11:18
2ND & 9
OWN 17
+10
58.2%
Joe Jackson run for 10 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
58.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jerand Bradley for 12 yds to the KSU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
60.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 9 yds to the KSU 48Similar
Q3 9:42
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+18
62.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Brayden Loftin for 18 yds to the ISU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
63.4%
Avery Johnson run for 1 yd to the ISU 33Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-4
63.4%
Jayce Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the ISU 37Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & 13
OPP 37
+4
59.7%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 4 yds to the ISU 33Similar
Q3 7:06
4TH & 9
OPP 33
0
58.9%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jerand BradleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 67 yds · 5:5946% → 70%
Q3 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
54.3%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 35Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+10
54.3%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 10 yds to the ISU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
52.0%
Abu Sama III run for 2 yds to the ISU 47Similar
Q3 5:26
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+4
51.4%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the KSU 49Similar
Q3 4:32
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+3
51.3%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the KSU 46Similar
Q3 3:50
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+4
53.1%
Rocco Becht run for 4 yds to the KSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
50.4%
Abu Sama III run for 7 yds to the KSU 35Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+8
48.7%
Abu Sama III run for 8 yds to the KSU 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
48.5%
Abu Sama III run for 3 yds to the KSU 24Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 7
OPP 24
0
48.4%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Gabe BurkleSimilar
Q3 1:07
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
29.8%
R. Becht pass to B. Eskildsen for 24 yds for a TD (K. Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:5838% → 64%
Q3 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
37.6%
Jackson, Joe rush for 2 yards to the KANSASST27, PENALTY KANSASST holding (Swanson, Will) 10 yards to the KANSASST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+17
36.9%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jayce Brown for 17 yds to the KSU 32Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+24
37.1%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 24 yds to the ISU 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
39.7%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+7
39.0%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 7 yds to the ISU 37Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+37
64.0%
A. Johnson pass to J. Brown for 37 yds for a TD (L. Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 20FG
11 plays · 57 yds · 4:0046% → 62%
Q4 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
54.2%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Eli Green for 7 yds to the ISU 34Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+15
51.9%
Carson Hansen run for 15 yds to the ISU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
49.6%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
50.5%
Carson Hansen run for 15 yds to the KSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
49.2%
Carson Hansen run for 8 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+7
47.1%
Carson Hansen run for 7 yds to the KSU 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
46.9%
Rocco Becht pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:53
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+5
47.1%
Abu Sama III run for 5 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
49.0%
Rocco Becht pass incomplete to Chase SowellSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+34
37.6%
K. Konrardy 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 9 yds · 1:4044% → 43%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
44.3%
Avery Johnson pass incomplete to Jayce BrownSimilar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-10
44.0%
Johnson, Avery rush for 11 yards to the KANSASST32, PENALTY KANSASST holding (Pastore, John) 10 yards to the KANSASST11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:24
2ND & 20
OWN 11
+17
43.6%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Jaron Tibbs for 17 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+2
44.8%
Avery Johnson pass complete to Garrett Oakley for 2 yds to the KSU 30Similar
Q4 8:19
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
43.4%
Avery Johnson run for no gain to the KSU 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 22TD
4 plays · 30 yds · 1:4169% → 91%
Q4 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
31.2%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the KSU 28Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+21
30.8%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Benjamin Brahmer for 21 yds to the KSU 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
29.5%
Carson Hansen run for no gain to the KSU 7Similar
Q4 6:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
9.1%
R. Becht run for 7 yds for a TD (K. Konrardy KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 65 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
43.5%
A. Johnson pass to J. Bradley for 65 yds for a TD (L. Rodriguez KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ISUDrive 24END OF GAME
17 plays · 60 yds · 5:3868% → 95%
Q4 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
31.9%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 4 yds to the ISU 41Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+10
28.0%
Carson Hansen run for 10 yds to the KSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
25.2%
Carson Hansen run for 2 yds to the KSU 47Similar
Q4 4:18
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+7
25.0%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 7 yds to the KSU 40Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+17
23.4%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Gabe Burkle for 17 yds to the KSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
20.3%
Carson Hansen run for 1 yd to the KSU 22Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-1
17.5%
Carson Hansen run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 23Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+7
18.3%
Rocco Becht run for 7 yds to the KSU 16Similar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+15
20.5%
Rocco Becht pass complete to Carson Hansen for 15 yds to the KSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
12.5%
TEAM run for no gain to the KSU 1Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
10.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 2Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
5.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KSU 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:23
A. Johnson pass to J. Bradley for 65 yds for a TD (L. Rodriguez KICK)
+33.1
TD · Q4 14:09
A. Johnson pass to J. Brown for 37 yds for a TD (L. Rodriguez KICK)
+24.9
TD · Q4 6:38
R. Becht run for 7 yds for a TD (K. Konrardy KICK)
-20.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com