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BGSU

Bowling Green 17 at Louisville 40

LOU
2025 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2025 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Braxton Jennings run for 3 yds to the LOU 42
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:03: Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK) — LOU win probability +0.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 10:50: Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK) — LOU win probability +2.0 pts (now 94%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:34: Cooper Ranvier 24 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +0.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 2:24: Nick Keller 57 yd FG GOOD — LOU win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 12:37: Lucian Anderson III run for 75 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK) — BGSU win probability +0.8 pts (now 1%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 6BGSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:02BGSU 4th & 11 at BGSU 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:42LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 32, tied
    Close callPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:51BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:44BGSU 4th & 2 at LOU 30, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.5%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:13BGSU 4th & 14 at BGSU 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%−0.4
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:22BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 42, down 18
    Close callPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:33LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.2%−0.4
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.6%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:34LOU 4th & 3 at BGSU 7, up 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.0%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.3%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:28BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:21LOU 4th & 10 at BGSU 22, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.8%
    72% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:34BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 25, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:24LOU 4th & 12 at BGSU 39, up 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    98.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:50BGSU 4th & 4 at BGSU 31, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:53LOU 4th & 5 at BGSU 30, up 27
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3BGSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 2:03LOU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:50LOU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 12:37BGSU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 6:50LOU Touchdown, up 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 4:16BGSU Touchdown, down 24 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.7%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:504% → 5%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
95.6%
Chris McMillian run for 11 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
95.5%
Kaderris Roberts run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 35Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 11
OWN 35
0
95.4%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
95.4%
Allen Middleton run for no gain to the BGSU 35Similar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 11
OWN 35
0
95.3%
John Henderson punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LOU 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:1595% → 95%
Q1 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
95.3%
Miller Moss pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 9 yds to the LOU 32Similar
Q1 12:26
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
95.2%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Kris HughesSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 32
0
95.1%
Keyjuan Brown run for no gain to the LOU 32Similar
Q1 11:42
4TH & 1
OWN 32
0
95.0%
Carter Schwartz punt for 61 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:435% → 6%
Q1 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+13
95.0%
Kaderris Roberts run for 13 yds to the BGSU 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
94.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 10 yds to the BGSU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
94.7%
Allen Middleton run for 4 yds to the BGSU 34Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-1
94.5%
Lucian Anderson III run for a loss of 1 yard to the BGSU 33Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
94.4%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+29
94.4%
John Henderson punt for 29 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for no gain to the LOU 38 Caullin Lacy fumbled, recovered by BGSU Victor VazquezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:026% → 6%
Q1 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
94.1%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the LOU 35Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+3
93.9%
Chris McMillian run for 3 yds to the LOU 32Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+2
93.8%
Chris McMillian run for 2 yds to the LOU 30Similar
Q1 6:44
4TH & 2
OPP 30
+49
93.6%
Jackson Kleather 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:2494% → 93%
Q1 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
93.7%
Isaac Brown run for 18 yds to the BGSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-15
93.5%
(05:54) Shotgun Moss,Miller pass incomplete short right to Bell,Chris thrown to BGF39 PENALTY LOU Pass Interference (Bell,Chris) 15 yards from BGF42 to LOU43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:44
1ST & 25
OWN 43
+18
93.3%
Miller Moss pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 18 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q1 5:05
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+8
93.3%
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.2%
(04:34) Shotgun Moss,Miller pass complete short right to Lacy,Caullin caught at BGF13, for 29 yards to the BGF02 (Lorfils,Darius), out of bounds PENALTY LOU Holding offsetting BGF Face Mask offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+14
93.1%
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 14 yds to the BGSU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
93.0%
Keyjuan Brown run for 7 yds to the BGSU 10Similar
Q1 2:54
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+5
92.8%
(02:56) Shotgun Brown,Keyjuan rush left for 1 yard loss to the BGF11 (Marshall,Caden) PENALTY BGF Personal Foul (Kelly,Dierre) 5 yards from BGF10 to BGF05, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
92.7%
Keyjuan Brown run for 3 yds to the BGSU 2Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.3%
Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 6INT
6 plays · 36 yds · 2:067% → 8%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
92.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jyrin Johnson for 21 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
92.4%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Finn HoganSimilar
Q1 1:16
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
92.4%
Cameron Pettaway run for 2 yds to the BGSU 48Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+13
92.1%
Drew Pyne run for 13 yds to the LOU 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.8%
Drew Pyne pass intercepted Antonio Watts return for no gain to the LOU 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 3:1892% → 94%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+13
92.1%
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 13 yds to the LOU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
92.0%
(14:07) Shotgun Moss,Miller pass complete short right to Skinner,Jaleel caught at LOU37, for 16 yards to the LOU50 (Lorfils,Darius) PENALTY LOU Illegal Shift (Collins,Dacari) 5 yards from LOU34 to LOU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 15
OWN 29
+4
91.7%
Miller Moss pass complete to TreyShun Hurry for 4 yds to the LOU 33Similar
Q2 12:42
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-10
91.6%
Louisville Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the LOU 30Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+36
91.1%
Miller Moss pass complete to Dacari Collins for 36 yds to the BGSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+32
92.0%
Miller Moss pass complete to Dacari Collins for 32 yds to the BGSU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
91.9%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Caullin LacySimilar
Q2 11:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.9%
Bowling Green Penalty, Personal Foul (Yards) to the LOU 0Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
93.8%
Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 8PUNT RETURN TD
5 plays · -4 yds · 2:077% → 5%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.2%
Chris McMillian run for no gain to the BGSU 25Similar
Q2 9:36
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-15
93.2%
Bowling Green Penalty, UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the BGSU 17Similar
Q2 9:05
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+4
93.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 4 yds to the BGSU 21Similar
Q2 8:13
4TH & 14
OWN 21
+75
95.5%
John Henderson punt for 54 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 75 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 2:455% → 5%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
95.3%
Cameron Pettaway run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
95.1%
Cameron Pettaway run for 1 yd to the BGSU 33Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
95.1%
Mar'Kel Porter run for 3 yds to the BGSU 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
95.1%
Cameron Pettaway run for 6 yds to the BGSU 42Similar
Q2 5:33
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
94.9%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Cameron PettawaySimilar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
95.1%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:22
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
95.2%
John Henderson punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4496% → 95%
Q2 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
95.5%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris BellSimilar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
95.5%
Miller Moss sacked by Gideon Lampron for a loss of 10 yards to the LOU 10Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 20
OWN 10
+14
94.6%
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 14 yds to the LOU 24Similar
Q2 3:33
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
95.1%
Carter Schwartz punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BGSU 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11INT
12 plays · 49 yds · 3:055% → 6%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
95.0%
Chris McMillian run for 6 yds to the BGSU 42Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
95.0%
Lucian Anderson III run for 5 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
95.0%
Chris McMillian run for 10 yds to the LOU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.7%
Chris McMillian run for no gain to the LOU 43Similar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+8
95.1%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 8 yds to the LOU 35Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 2
OPP 35
+5
94.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 5 yds to the LOU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
94.6%
Bowling Green Penalty, Illegal Touch-Pass (Yards) to the LOU 30Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
94.6%
Drew Pyne run for 4 yds to the LOU 26Similar
Q2 0:27
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+11
94.7%
Drew Pyne pass complete to RJ Garcia II for 11 yds to the LOU 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-5
94.4%
Drew Pyne pass intercepted D'Angelo Hutchinson return for 5 yds to the LOU 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12END OF HALF
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:1296% → 96%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+17
95.7%
Miller Moss pass complete to Keyjuan Brown for 17 yds to the LOU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
95.7%
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 20 yds to the BGSU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-7
96.3%
Miller Moss sacked by Caden Marshall for a loss of 7 yards to the LOU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13FG
10 plays · 68 yds · 4:1795% → 98%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.4%
Miller Moss pass complete to Dacari Collins for 9 yds to the LOU 34Similar
Q3 14:17
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
96.2%
Keyjuan Brown run for no gain to the LOU 34Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+18
96.4%
Keyjuan Brown run for 18 yds to the BGSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:54
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+34
96.8%
Keyjuan Brown run for 34 yds to the BGSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
96.9%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Caullin LacySimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
97.0%
Keyjuan Brown run for 4 yds to the BGSU 10Similar
Q3 11:34
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-10
96.9%
(11:37) Shotgun Moss,Miller pass complete short middle to Collins,Dacari caught at BGF01, for 9 yards to the BGF01 (Washington,Keyon) PENALTY LOU Holding (Church,Jordan) 10 yards from BGF10 to BGF20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 16
OPP 20
+13
96.9%
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 13 yds to the BGSU 7Similar
Q3 10:34
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
97.9%
Cooper Ranvier 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:592% → 2%
Q3 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
97.8%
Allen Middleton run for 1 yd to the BGSU 26Similar
Q3 9:48
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
97.8%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Kaderris Roberts for 2 yds to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Lucian Anderson III run for no gain to the BGSU 28Similar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
98.0%
John Henderson punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LOU 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15FG
5 plays · 33 yds · 0:4898% → 98%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+33
98.0%
Miller Moss pass complete to Jaleel Skinner for 33 yds to the BGSU 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
98.2%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Caullin LacySimilar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
98.2%
Miller Moss pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:26
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
98.2%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Antonio MeeksSimilar
Q3 7:21
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
98.1%
Cooper Ranvier 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:402% → 2%
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Chris McMillian run for no gain to the BGSU 25Similar
Q3 6:49
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jyrin JohnsonSimilar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
98.3%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
Q3 6:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
98.4%
John Henderson punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17FG
8 plays · 26 yds · 4:0398% → 100%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.4%
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the LOU 43Similar
Q3 5:52
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+8
98.5%
Keyjuan Brown run for 8 yds to the BGSU 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.6%
Keyjuan Brown run for 5 yds to the BGSU 44Similar
Q3 4:29
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+7
98.8%
Miller Moss pass complete to Dacari Collins for 7 yds to the BGSU 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.8%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to TreyShun HurrySimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-8
98.8%
Miller Moss sacked by Keyon Washington for a loss of 8 yards to the BGSU 45Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 18
OPP 45
+6
98.8%
Miller Moss pass complete to Kris Hughes for 6 yds to the BGSU 39Similar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 12
OPP 39
+57
99.8%
Nick Keller 57 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 2:230% → 0%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Kaderris Roberts run for 7 yds to the BGSU 32Similar
Q3 1:35
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
99.9%
Kaderris Roberts run for 1 yd to the BGSU 33Similar
Q3 0:53
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
99.9%
PENALTY BGF False Start (Cleaver,Blane) 5 yards from BGF33 to BGF28. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 3 yds to the BGSU 31Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+31
99.9%
John Henderson punt for 35 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 31 yds to the BGSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19FG
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:50100% → 100%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
99.9%
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 8 yds to the BGSU 27Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 2
OPP 27
0
99.8%
Shaun Boykins Jr. run for no gain to the BGSU 27Similar
Q4 13:31
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+3
99.8%
Miller Moss pass complete to Nate Kurisky for 3 yds to the BGSU 30Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
99.9%
Cooper Ranvier 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:120% → 1%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass incomplete to Blane CleaverSimilar
Q4 12:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
99.1%
Lucian Anderson III run for 75 yds for a TD (Jackson Kleather KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:2999% → 100%
Q4 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.1%
Jamarice Wilder run for 7 yds to the LOU 32Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.1%
Jamarice Wilder run for no gain to the LOU 32Similar
Q4 10:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+9
99.1%
Miller Moss pass complete to Chris Bell for 9 yds to the LOU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
99.2%
Jamarice Wilder run for 3 yds to the LOU 44Similar
Q4 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 44
+25
99.2%
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 25 yds to the BGSU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
99.2%
Miller Moss pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 9 yds to the BGSU 22Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+8
99.3%
Braxton Jennings run for 8 yds to the BGSU 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
99.3%
Braxton Jennings run for 13 yds to the BGSU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
99.3%
PENALTY LOU False Start (Pounders,Mak) 5 yards from BGF01 to BGF06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.3%
Miller Moss pass incomplete to Chris BellSimilar
Q4 6:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
99.3%
(06:54) Shotgun Moss,Miller pass incomplete short right to Bell,Chris thrown to BGF00 broken up by Mitchell,Jabari PENALTY BGF Holding (Johnson,JoJo) 3 yards from BGF06 to BGF03, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Braxton Jennings run for 3 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:060% → 1%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
99.9%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Eli Jacon-Duffy for 22 yds to the BGSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
99.9%
Nakai Amachree run for 11 yds to the LOU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
99.9%
Nakai Amachree run for 4 yds to the LOU 38Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+38
99.4%
Drew Pyne pass complete to Jacob Harris for 38 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 17 yds · 4:0699% → 100%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
99.4%
Shaun Boykins Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the LOU 22Similar
Q4 3:33
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-10
99.4%
(03:37) Shotgun Allen,Brady pass complete short left to Golden,Bobby caught at LOU29, for 9 yards to the LOU31 (Washington,Keyon), out of bounds PENALTY LOU Holding (Sylvester,Trevonte) 10 yards from LOU22 to LOU12. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+5
99.4%
Jamarice Wilder run for 5 yds to the LOU 17Similar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+15
99.5%
(02:29) Shotgun Allen,Brady pass incomplete deep left to McWilliams Jr.,Terrence thrown to LOU38 QB hurried by Branch-Haynes,Evan PENALTY BGF Roughing The Passer (Branch-Haynes,Evan) 15 yards from LOU17 to LOU32, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
99.5%
Braxton Jennings run for a loss of 2 yards to the LOU 30Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 12
OWN 30
+18
99.5%
Braxton Jennings run for 18 yds to the LOU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-6
99.6%
Deuce Adams run for a loss of 6 yards to the LOU 42 Deuce Adams fumbled, recovered by LOU Deuce AdamsSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 16
OWN 42
+3
99.6%
Deuce Adams pass complete to Jaedon King for 3 yds to the LOU 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 19
OWN 39
+3
99.6%
Braxton Jennings run for 3 yds to the LOU 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 10:50
Keyjuan Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Cooper Ranvier KICK)
+2
FG · Q3 2:24
Nick Keller 57 yd FG GOOD
+1
FG · Q3 10:34
Cooper Ranvier 24 yd FG GOOD
+0.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com