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RICH

Richmond 6 at North Carolina 41

UNC
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadRICH aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreRICH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:20 · Tom Maginness punt for 48 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 92Pregame prior+22.2Home team on offense+19.3Score differential+10.5Garbage-time factor+9.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.5Blowout margin−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:22: Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 29 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — UNC win probability +0.9 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:51: Rece Verhoff 22 yd FG GOOD — UNC win probability +1.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:01: Gio Lopez run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK) — UNC win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 1:11: Jayden Alsheskie 25 yd FG GOOD — RICH win probability +2.5 pts (now 6%) (top driver: RICH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 2:06: Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 3 yds for a TD Richmond Penalty, Defensive Holding (Quanye Veney) declined (Rece Verhoff KICK) — UNC win probability +1.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RICH made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 12:36RICH 4th & 1 at RICH 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:57UNC 4th & 9 at RICH 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    92.0%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:27RICH 4th & 16 at RICH 19, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:36RICH 4th & 5 at RICH 21, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.9%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51UNC 4th & 4 at RICH 4, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.4%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:40RICH 4th & 24 at RICH 11, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.5
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:11RICH 4th & 2 at UNC 7, down 20
    Close callKicked a field goal · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    3.2%−0.4
    91% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−2.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:07UNC 4th & 14 at UNC 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:07UNC 4th & 14 at UNC 49, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:49RICH 4th & 1 at UNC 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    4.1%−1.9
    25% to make
    Punt
    4.8%−1.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:27RICH 4th & 1 at UNC 1, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−6.0
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:20UNC 4th & 1 at UNC 10, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:19RICH 4th & 3 at RICH 32, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:22UNC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:01UNC Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:06UNC Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:00UNC Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:13UNC Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICHDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 2:165% → 5%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.3%
Jamaal Brown run for 3 yds to the RICH 28Similar
Q1 14:10
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
95.1%
Jamaal Brown run for no gain to the RICH 28Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
95.0%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Quanye Veney for 6 yds to the RICH 34Similar
Q1 12:36
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
94.8%
Ned Gray punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Will Hardy at the UNC 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 2FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:3395% → 94%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
94.8%
Demon June run for 9 yds to the UNC 42Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
94.7%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Chris CulliverSimilar
Q1 11:51
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+50
94.7%
Demon June run for 50 yds to the RICH 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.6%
Demon June run for no gain to the RICH 8Similar
Q1 10:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
94.5%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Jake JohnsonSimilar
Q1 10:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
94.4%
Gio Lopez sacked for a loss of 1 yard to the RICH 9Similar
Q1 9:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
94.4%
Rece Verhoff 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 2:236% → 6%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.3%
Kyle Wickersham run for 3 yds to the RICH 28Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-3
94.2%
Kyle Wickersham sacked by Melkart Abou-Jaoude for a loss of 3 yards to the RICH 25Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
94.1%
Kyle Wickersham sacked by Melkart Abou-Jaoude for a loss of 6 yards to the RICH 19Similar
Q1 7:27
4TH & 16
OWN 19
0
94.0%
Ned Gray punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Will Hardy at the UNC 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 4TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 4:0094% → 94%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
93.9%
Davion Gause run for 2 yds to the UNC 40Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+3
93.8%
Davion Gause run for 3 yds to the UNC 43Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+3
93.7%
Gio Lopez run for 3 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+5
93.5%
PENALTY UR Offside (Chambers,Zach) 5 yards from UNC46 to UR 49, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
93.6%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 10 yds to the RICH 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
93.6%
Demon June run for 6 yds to the RICH 33Similar
Q1 4:41
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
93.6%
Demon June run for 3 yds to the RICH 30Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+1
93.3%
Demon June run for 1 yd to the RICH 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:22
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
94.2%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 29 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 5DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:316% → 6%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
94.1%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Andrew King for 2 yds to the RICH 18Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
93.8%
Kyle Wickersham pass incomplete to Ja'Vion GriffinSimilar
Q1 2:13
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+3
93.9%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Aidan Steinfeldt for 3 yds to the RICH 21Similar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 5
OWN 21
+4
93.8%
Owen Laughlin run for 4 yds to the RICH 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 6FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 1:3494% → 95%
Q1 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
93.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Chris Culliver for 15 yds to the RICH 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
93.9%
Gio Lopez run for 6 yds to the RICH 4Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.8%
Demon June run for no gain to the RICH 4Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
93.6%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Kobe PaysourSimilar
Q2 14:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
95.0%
Rece Verhoff 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -14 yds · 2:026% → 6%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
94.4%
Michael Creamer run for a loss of 2 yards to the RICH 23Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-12
94.4%
Kyle Wickersham run for a loss of 12 yards to the RICH 11 Kyle Wickersham fumbled, recovered by RICH Kyle WickershamSimilar
Q2 13:25
3RD & 24
OWN 11
0
94.5%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for no gain to the RICH 11Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 24
OWN 11
+22
94.5%
Ned Gray punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICH 36 , Will Hardy returns for 22 yds to the RICH 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 8TD
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:3395% → 97%
Q2 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
95.2%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Chris CulliverSimilar
Q2 12:19
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
95.2%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jake Johnson for 11 yds to the RICH 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
95.2%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Caleb HoodSimilar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+22
95.2%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Demon June for 19 yds to the RICH 6 for a 1ST down Richmond Penalty, Personal Foul (Devin Geronomi) to the RICH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
95.2%
Davion Gause run for 1 yd to the RICH 2Similar
Q2 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
95.2%
Davion Gause run for 1 yd to the RICH 1Similar
Q2 10:01
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.0%
Gio Lopez run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 9FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 8:353% → 6%
Q2 9:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
96.9%
Kyle Wickersham pass incomplete to Isaiah DawsonSimilar
Q2 9:32
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+5
96.9%
Ashten Snelsire run for 5 yds to the RICH 22Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 5
OWN 22
0
97.1%
(08:58) Shotgun Snelsire,Ashten pass intercepted by Cost,Kaleb at UR 40 Cost,Kaleb return 32 yards to the UR 08 (Gray III,Phillip) PENALTY UNC Personal Foul declined UNC Pass Interference (Cost,Kaleb) 15 yards from UR 22 to UR 37, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
96.9%
Jamaal Brown run for 8 yds to the RICH 45Similar
Q2 7:53
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
96.7%
Ashten Snelsire run for 3 yds to the RICH 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
96.7%
Jamaal Brown run for 7 yds to the UNC 45Similar
Q2 6:23
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+6
96.6%
Andrew King run for 6 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
96.7%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 2 yds to the UNC 37Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+10
96.8%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 10 yds to the UNC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
96.6%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for no gain to the UNC 27Similar
Q2 3:22
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
96.7%
Ashten Snelsire pass complete to Andrew King for 12 yds to the UNC 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
96.7%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 4 yds to the UNC 11Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+2
96.6%
Ashten Snelsire run for 2 yds to the UNC 9Similar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+2
96.8%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 2 yds to the UNC 7Similar
Q2 1:11
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
94.2%
Jayden Alsheskie 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 0:5796% → 95%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.1%
Gio Lopez run for 8 yds to the UNC 33Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+10
95.8%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jake Johnson for 10 yds to the UNC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
96.0%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 10 yds to the RICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.0%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Nathan LeacockSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
95.5%
Gio Lopez pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-4
95.2%
Gio Lopez sacked by Camden Byrd for a loss of 4 yards to the UNC 49 Gio Lopez fumbled, recovered by UNC Aidan Banfield , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
94.9%
Tom Maginness punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICH 17 , Quanye Veney returns for no gain to the RICH 17Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 14
OWN 49
0
94.9%
Tom Maginness punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the RICH 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
94.7%
K. Wickersham takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 12DOWNS
12 plays · 53 yds · 6:255% → 5%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
94.6%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 1 yd to the RICH 47Similar
Q3 14:09
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
94.8%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Ja'Vion Griffin for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 6
50
+5
94.7%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Andreas Hill for 5 yds to the UNC 45Similar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
94.8%
Kyle Wickersham run for 3 yds to the UNC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
94.7%
Michael Creamer run for 2 yds to the UNC 40Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+4
94.8%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 4 yds to the UNC 36Similar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+28
94.7%
Kyle Wickersham pass complete to Isaiah Dawson for 28 yds to the UNC 8 for a 1ST down North Carolina Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
94.3%
Andrew King run for 4 yds to the UNC 4Similar
Q3 9:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
94.3%
Andrew King run for no gain to the UNC 4Similar
Q3 9:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
94.7%
Kyle Wickersham run for 3 yds to the UNC 1Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.8%
Kyle Wickersham run for no gain to the UNC 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:0496% → 96%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
96.4%
Gio Lopez run for 4 yds to the UNC 5Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+2
96.4%
Gio Lopez run for 2 yds to the UNC 7Similar
Q3 6:56
3RD & 4
OWN 7
+3
96.3%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Owens for 3 yds to the UNC 10Similar
Q3 6:20
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
96.1%
Tom Maginness punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 14FUMBLE
2 plays · -8 yds · 0:454% → 4%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
95.7%
Jamaal Brown run for no gain to the RICH 42Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 42
-8
95.7%
Kyle Wickersham sacked by Mikai Gbayor for a loss of 8 yards to the RICH 34 Kyle Wickersham fumbled, recovered by UNC Melkart Abou-Jaoude , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 15TD
7 plays · 34 yds · 3:1397% → 99%
Q3 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+18
96.8%
Demon June run for 18 yds to the RICH 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
96.9%
Gio Lopez pass incomplete to Jordan ShippSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
96.9%
Demon June run for 1 yd to the RICH 15Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+12
96.8%
Gio Lopez run for 12 yds to the RICH 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
96.9%
Demon June run for 1 yd to the RICH 2Similar
Q3 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
96.9%
Davion Gause run for a loss of 1 yard to the RICH 3Similar
Q3 2:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
98.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 3 yds for a TD Richmond Penalty, Defensive Holding (Quanye Veney) declined (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:511% → 0%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.8%
Michael Creamer run for 4 yds to the RICH 30Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+4
98.8%
Ashten Snelsire run for 4 yds to the RICH 34Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+9
99.0%
Ashten Snelsire pass complete to Isaiah Dawson for 9 yds to the RICH 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-15
99.0%
(14:58) Shotgun Snelsire,Ashten pass incomplete deep left to Griffin,Ja'Vion thrown to UNC29 broken up by Allen,Marcus QB hurried by Abou-Jaoude,Melkart PENALTY UNC Roughing The Passer (Abou-Jaoude,Melkart) 15 yards from UR 43 to UNC42, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.0%
Michael Creamer run for 3 yds to the UNC 39Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+62
99.9%
Mikai Gbayor 62 Yd Fumble Return (Rece Verhoff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:350% → 0%
Q4 13:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 3 yds to the RICH 28Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
99.9%
Ashten Snelsire run for 4 yds to the RICH 32Similar
Q4 12:26
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Ashten Snelsire pass incomplete to Trey MancusoSimilar
Q4 12:19
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.9%
Ned Gray punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kaleb Cost at the UNC 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 3:58100% → 100%
Q4 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Demon June run for 3 yds to the UNC 31Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+4
99.9%
Gio Lopez run for 4 yds to the UNC 35Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 3
OWN 35
-5
99.9%
PENALTY UNC False Start (O'Steen,Will) 5 yards from UNC35 to UNC30. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+9
99.9%
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jake Johnson for 9 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
99.9%
Demon June run for 7 yds to the UNC 46Similar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Demon June run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:50
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.9%
Gio Lopez run for 5 yds to the RICH 45Similar
Q4 8:13
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+45
99.9%
Demon June run for 45 yds for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 19INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-7
100.0%
Ashten Snelsire pass intercepted Jaiden Patterson return for 7 yds to the RICH 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-14
99.9%
Au'Tori Newkirk pass intercepted Jordan Allen return for 14 yds to the RICH 21Similar
Q4 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-14
99.9%
Au'Tori Newkirk pass intercepted Jordan Allen return for 14 yds to the RICH 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICHDrive 21FG
16 plays · 68 yds · 7:380% → 0%
Q4 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
100.0%
Michael Creamer run for 5 yds to the RICH 26Similar
Q4 7:06
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
100.0%
Ashten Snelsire run for 9 yds to the RICH 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
100.0%
Andrew King run for 12 yds to the RICH 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
100.0%
Michael Creamer run for 6 yds to the UNC 47Similar
Q4 4:54
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+1
100.0%
Ashten Snelsire run for 1 yd to the UNC 46Similar
Q4 3:55
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+7
100.0%
Ashten Snelsire pass complete to Aidan Steinfeldt for 7 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
100.0%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 5 yds to the UNC 34Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+4
100.0%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 4 yds to the UNC 30Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+3
100.0%
Aziz Foster-Powell run for 3 yds to the UNC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
100.0%
Ashten Snelsire run for 5 yds to the UNC 22Similar
Q4 1:13
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+1
100.0%
Andrew King run for 1 yd to the UNC 21Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+10
100.0%
Michael Creamer run for 10 yds to the UNC 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Ashten Snelsire pass incomplete to Andreas HillSimilar
Q4 0:09
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
100.0%
Ashten Snelsire pass incomplete to Andreas HillSimilar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+28
100.0%
Jayden Alsheskie 28 yd FG GOOD Richmond Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
A. Newkirk takes a kneeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:11
Jayden Alsheskie 25 yd FG GOOD
-2.5
TD · Q3 2:06
Gio Lopez pass complete to Jordan Shipp for 3 yds for a TD Richmond Penalty, Defensive Holding (Quanye Veney) declined (Rece Verhoff KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 10:01
Gio Lopez run for 1 yd for a TD (Rece Verhoff KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com