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TROY

Troy 16 at Clemson 27

CLEM
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:57 · Jack Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Peyton Higgins at the TROY 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+42.5Home team on offense−1.8Score differential−0.6Garbage-time factor−1.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:58: Cade Klubnik pass intercepted TJ Thompson return for 4 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe PAT MISSED) — TROY win probability +3.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:05: Adam Randall run for 1 yd for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +10.9 pts (now 81%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  3. TD · Q3 11:05: PENALTY TROY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Davis,Elijah) 15 yards from CLEM35 to CLEM50. NO PLAY. — TROY win probability +3.4 pts (now 23%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:07: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +13.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:41: Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK) — CLEM win probability +10.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TROY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 10:43CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 18, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:46TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 46, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:57CLEM 4th & 3 at TROY 49, down 7
    Close callPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:02CLEM 4th & 2 at TROY 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 91.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    91.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    89.9%−1.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:38TROY 4th & 8 at CLEM 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.7%
    77% to make
    Punt
    9.4%−1.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:00CLEM 4th & 14 at CLEM 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.3%−0.6
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:05TROY 4th & 4 at CLEM 49, up 10
    Close callPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.9%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:11CLEM 4th & 5 at TROY 8, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    71.9%−4.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:54CLEM 4th & 8 at TROY 12, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.3%−0.8
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    76.0%−7.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:40TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 34, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    16.1%−0.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:13TROY 4th & 5 at CLEM 22, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%
    72% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−8.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:24TROY 4th & 25 at CLEM 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%−0.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TROY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 12:06TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:58TROY Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:05CLEM Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:07CLEM Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:41CLEM Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:353% → 3%
Q1 14:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
97.2%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Rara Thomas for 11 yds to the TROY 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
97.1%
Tae Meadows run for 1 yd to the TROY 37Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+16
97.0%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Ethan Conner for 16 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
96.8%
Goose Crowder pass complete to DJ Epps for 3 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+44
96.6%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Tray Taylor for 44 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3496% → 96%
Q1 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
96.4%
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 16Similar
Q1 10:52
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+2
96.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 2 yds to the CLEM 18Similar
Q1 10:52
3RD & 5
OWN 18
0
96.3%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 5
OWN 18
+1
96.3%
Jack Smith punt for 51 yds , Peyton Higgins returns for 1 yd to the TROY 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 3:474% → 5%
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-1
96.2%
Tucker Kilcrease run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 31Similar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 11
OWN 31
+4
96.1%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Tray Taylor for 4 yds to the TROY 35Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 35
+7
95.8%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Rara Thomas for 7 yds to the TROY 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-9
95.5%
Goose Crowder sacked by DeMonte Capehart for a loss of 9 yards to the TROY 33Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 19
OWN 33
+13
95.4%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Ethan Conner for 13 yds to the TROY 46Similar
Q1 6:54
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
95.1%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Tae MeadowsSimilar
Q1 6:46
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
95.1%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 44 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CLEM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:4195% → 94%
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
95.1%
Adam Randall run for no gain to the CLEM 10Similar
Q1 6:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+6
94.9%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 6 yds to the CLEM 16Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 4
OWN 16
+16
94.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to T.J. Moore for 1 yd to the CLEM 17 for a 1ST down Troy Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jaquez White) to the CLEM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
94.8%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Tyler BrownSimilar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+1
94.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 1 yd to the CLEM 33Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 9
OWN 33
+11
94.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Olsen Patt-Henry for 11 yds to the CLEM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
94.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 4 yds to the CLEM 48Similar
Q1 3:28
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+3
94.3%
T.J. Moore run for 3 yds to the TROY 49Similar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 3
OPP 49
0
94.2%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to T.J. MooreSimilar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
94.0%
Jack Smith punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Peyton Higgins at the TROY 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:476% → 7%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
93.8%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Roman MothershedSimilar
Q1 2:36
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+4
93.7%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Peyton Higgins for 4 yds to the TROY 12Similar
Q1 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 12
0
93.5%
Troy Penalty, Illegal Formation (Roman Mothershed) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:5694% → 93%
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
93.9%
Adam Randall run for 5 yds to the TROY 25Similar
Q1 1:30
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+3
93.7%
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the TROY 22Similar
Q1 0:50
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
93.2%
Christopher Vizzina run for no gain to the TROY 22Similar
Q1 0:02
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+7
92.9%
Adam Randall run for 7 yds to the CLEM 32 Adam Randall fumbled, recovered by TROY Justin PoweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7FG
7 plays · 13 yds · 2:228% → 10%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
92.0%
Troy Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 22
OPP 44
+17
92.1%
Goose Crowder pass complete to DJ Epps for 17 yds to the CLEM 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+6
92.0%
Goose Crowder run for 6 yds to the CLEM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
92.0%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Ethan ConnerSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
92.0%
Tae Meadows run for 2 yds to the CLEM 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
92.1%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Rara ThomasSimilar
Q2 12:38
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
90.4%
Scott Taylor Renfroe 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 2:3390% → 88%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
90.2%
(12:38) Shotgun Klubnik,Cade pass incomplete short middle to Wesco Jr.,Bryant thrown to CLEM41 PENALTY CLEM Holding (Jacobs,Brayden) 10 yards from CLEM25 to CLEM15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:21
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+23
90.0%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 23 yds to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
90.2%
PENALTY CLEM False Start (Sadler,Collin) 5 yards from CLEM38 to CLEM33. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:55
1ST & 15
OWN 33
+3
89.6%
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 12
OWN 36
-11
89.2%
Cade Klubnik sacked by Jah-Mal Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the CLEM 25Similar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 23
OWN 25
+9
88.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 9 yds to the CLEM 34Similar
Q2 10:00
4TH & 14
OWN 34
0
87.9%
Jack Smith punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Tray Taylor at the TROY 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 2:4212% → 15%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
88.5%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Rara Thomas for 3 yds to the TROY 26Similar
Q2 9:12
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
87.9%
Goose Crowder pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:02
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+19
88.0%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Mojo Dortch for 19 yds to the TROY 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
86.5%
Goose Crowder run for 6 yds to the CLEM 49Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
85.0%
Tae Meadows run for no gain to the CLEM 49Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 4
OPP 49
0
84.6%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Tray TaylorSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 4
OPP 49
0
84.8%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Bryant Wesco Jr. at the CLEM 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
81.6%
Cade Klubnik pass intercepted TJ Thompson return for 4 yds for a TD (Scott Taylor Renfroe PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11FG
8 plays · 57 yds · 2:2982% → 82%
Q2 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
81.7%
Bryant Wesco Jr. run for 4 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q2 6:22
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
81.6%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to David EziomumeSimilar
Q2 6:09
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+35
81.1%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 35 yds to the TROY 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
82.6%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Adam Randall for 7 yds to the TROY 6Similar
Q2 5:05
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
81.9%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the TROY 6Similar
Q2 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+2
80.3%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tristan Smith for 2 yds to the TROY 8Similar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
81.6%
Nolan Hauser 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 12MISSED FG
13 plays · 42 yds · 4:0222% → 38%
Q2 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
78.5%
Tae Meadows run for 28 yds to the CLEM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
76.2%
Tae Meadows run for 3 yds to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
74.8%
Tae Meadows run for no gain to the CLEM 44Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+10
73.4%
Tae Meadows run for 10 yds to the CLEM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
69.5%
Tae Meadows run for 9 yds to the CLEM 25Similar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 1
OPP 25
-13
68.1%
Goose Crowder run for 2 yds to the CLEM 23 for a 1ST down Troy Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Garner Langlo) to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
66.0%
Mojo Dortch run for 3 yds to the CLEM 35Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+2
64.7%
Jordan Lovett run for 2 yds to the CLEM 33Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+51
62.4%
Paddy McAteer 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:4973% → 77%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
73.4%
Adam Randall run for 7 yds to the CLEM 32Similar
Q3 14:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+30
73.6%
Adam Randall run for 30 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-1
73.3%
Gideon Davidson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TROY 39Similar
Q3 13:10
2ND & 11
OPP 39
+4
72.2%
(13:13) No Huddle-Shotgun Klubnik,Cade pass incomplete short left to Woodaz,Drew thrown to TROY35 broken up by Stringer,Jordan PENALTY TROY Pass Interference (Stringer,Jordan) 4 yards from TROY39 to TROY35, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
72.1%
Adam Randall run for 10 yds to the TROY 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-16
72.0%
(12:34) No Huddle-Shotgun Klubnik,Cade rush left for 16 yards gain to the TROY09 (Stringer,Jordan) PENALTY CLEM Holding offsetting TROY Holding offsetting. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
69.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 7 yds to the TROY 18Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+6
69.6%
Gideon Davidson run for 6 yds to the TROY 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+11
69.6%
Adam Randall run for 11 yds to the TROY 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
80.5%
Adam Randall run for 1 yd for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
77.2%
PENALTY TROY UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Davis,Elijah) 15 yards from CLEM35 to CLEM50. NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 14INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:4325% → 25%
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
75.3%
Tae Meadows run for no gain to the TROY 6Similar
Q3 10:13
2ND & 10
OWN 6
0
74.6%
Goose Crowder pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15TD
1 play · 26 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
88.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 16INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5414% → 14%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
86.0%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Ethan ConnerSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.1%
PENALTY TROY False Start (Langlo,Garner) 5 yards from TROY25 to TROY20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:47
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
86.2%
Goose Crowder pass complete to DJ Epps for 10 yds to the TROY 30Similar
Q3 9:08
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-13
85.7%
Goose Crowder pass intercepted Ronan Hanafin return for 13 yds to the TROY 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:4188% → 87%
Q3 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
87.8%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 3 yds to the TROY 25Similar
Q3 8:14
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+11
87.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 11 yds to the TROY 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
87.5%
Cade Klubnik run for no gain to the TROY 14Similar
Q3 7:16
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-3
87.2%
Adam Randall run for a loss of 3 yards to the TROY 17Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 13
OPP 17
+5
85.4%
Cade Klubnik run for 5 yds to the TROY 12Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+30
87.2%
Nolan Hauser 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 18DOWNS
18 plays · 41 yds · 8:3414% → 21%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.9%
Tae Meadows run for no gain to the TROY 25Similar
Q3 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
85.8%
Tae Meadows run for no gain to the TROY 25Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+9
85.8%
Tae Meadows run for 9 yds to the TROY 34Similar
Q3 3:40
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+3
84.9%
Goose Crowder run for 3 yds to the TROY 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.4%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Mojo DortchSimilar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
83.6%
Tae Meadows run for 9 yds to the TROY 46Similar
Q3 2:11
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
81.3%
Tae Meadows run for 2 yds to the TROY 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
80.7%
Jordan Lovett run for no gain to the TROY 48Similar
Q3 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
81.0%
Goose Crowder pass incomplete to Roman MothershedSimilar
Q3 0:42
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-5
81.8%
(00:59) PENALTY TROY Delay Of Game 5 yards from TROY48 to TROY43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 0:22
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+19
82.8%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Rara Thomas for 19 yds to the CLEM 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
78.9%
Tae Meadows run for 2 yds to the CLEM 36Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+9
78.8%
Goose Crowder run for 9 yds to the CLEM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
76.7%
Tucker Kilcrease run for no gain to the CLEM 27Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+4
76.5%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Mojo Dortch for 4 yds to the CLEM 23Similar
Q4 12:41
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+1
76.8%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Mojo Dortch for 1 yd to the CLEM 22Similar
Q4 12:13
4TH & 5
OPP 22
-12
78.8%
Evan Crenshaw sacked by Avieon Terrell for a loss of 12 yards to the CLEM 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2583% → 96%
Q4 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
82.7%
Adam Randall run for 5 yds to the CLEM 39Similar
Q4 11:33
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+2
84.0%
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the CLEM 41Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+5
82.7%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 5 yds to the CLEM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
83.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Tyler Brown for 13 yds to the TROY 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.4%
Cade Klubnik pass incomplete to Cole TurnerSimilar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
85.1%
Adam Randall run for 7 yds to the TROY 34Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+34
95.5%
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 20PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 5:176% → 5%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.3%
PENALTY TROY False Start (Conner,Ethan) 5 yards from TROY25 to TROY20. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
94.4%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Tray Taylor for 14 yds to the TROY 34Similar
Q4 9:16
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
93.9%
Goose Crowder run for 4 yds to the TROY 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
93.8%
Goose Crowder run for 5 yds to the TROY 43Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+7
93.7%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Tray Taylor for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:11
1ST & 10
50
+24
93.5%
Goose Crowder pass complete to Ethan Conner for 24 yds to the CLEM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
92.5%
Tae Meadows run for 1 yd to the CLEM 25Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 9
OPP 25
-11
93.1%
Goose Crowder sacked by T.J. Parker for a loss of 11 yards to the CLEM 36Similar
Q4 4:33
3RD & 20
OPP 36
-5
94.9%
Goose Crowder sacked by Will Heldt for a loss of 5 yards to the CLEM 41Similar
Q4 4:24
4TH & 25
OPP 41
0
95.4%
Evan Crenshaw punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 23 yds · 4:1796% → 97%
Q4 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
95.5%
Adam Randall run for 6 yds to the CLEM 26Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+2
96.1%
Adam Randall run for 2 yds to the CLEM 28Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
96.7%
Adam Randall run for 3 yds to the CLEM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
96.7%
Adam Randall run for a loss of 2 yards to the CLEM 29Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+12
97.0%
Adam Randall run for 12 yds to the CLEM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Adam Randall run for no gain to the CLEM 41Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
97.3%
Cade Klubnik run for 2 yds to the CLEM 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:07
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 26 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+13.9
TD · Q3 11:05
Adam Randall run for 1 yd for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q4 9:41
Cade Klubnik pass complete to Bryant Wesco Jr. for 34 yds for a TD (Nolan Hauser KICK)
+10.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com