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GWEB

Gardner-Webb 12 at Georgia Tech 59

GT
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadGWEB aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreGWEB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q1Q2Q4Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:32 · Aaron Philo pass to Daylon Gordon for 4 yds to the GWEB 36
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+48.0+24.00−24.0−48.0Q1Q2Q1Q2Q4Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+34.5Home team on offense+2.9Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:22: Timeout Gardner-Webb, clock 03:22 — GWEB win probability +34.3 pts (now 38%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q3 7:12: Malachi Hosley run for 5 yds to the GWEB 0, for a TD (Aidan Birr PAT MISSED) (Aidan Birr KICK) — GT win probability +4.8 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 0:36: Charlie Viorel 40 yd FG MISSED, Ahmari Harvey returns for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK) — GWEB win probability +9.5 pts (now 16%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 13:39: Cole Pennington pass to Caleb Borders for 14 yds to the GT 14, for a TD for a 1ST down (Charlie Viorel PAT BLOCKED) — GWEB win probability +29.5 pts (now 49%) (top driver: GWEB has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 10:19: Aidan Birr 23 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +4.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 5GWEB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q2 14:01GWEB 4th & 5 at GT 32, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    5.2%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q2 10:42GWEB 4th & 3 at GWEB 43, down 1
    Close callPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 6:48GWEB 4th & 5 at GWEB 6, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:46GWEB 4th & 3 at GWEB 32, down 1
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:33GT 4th & 6 at GT 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−0.7
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.8%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:12GWEB 4th & 6 at GWEB 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:32GT 4th & 17 at GWEB 40, up 1
    Close callWent for it · 89.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.5%−0.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    89.2%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:50GT 4th & 19 at GWEB 36, up 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.1%−1.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    88.3%
    42% to make
    Punt
    88.0%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:46GT 4th & 2 at GWEB 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    87.3%−0.7
    80% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−5.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:33GWEB 4th & 1 at GT 42, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    5.7%−2.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    6.3%−2.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:19GT 4th & 5 at GWEB 5, down 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.0%−0.5
    92% to make
    Punt
    34.2%−17.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:10GWEB 4th & 9 at GT 41, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.1 ptsPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    49.6%−2.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−1.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:15GWEB 4th & 5 at GWEB 38, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%−0.6
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.5%
    average punt
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GWEBDrive 1TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.5%
to Anthony Lowe for 1 yd to the GT 0, for a TD, Nate Hampton pass (Charlie Viorel PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2INT
6 plays · 27 yds · 2:3699% → 98%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.6%
Aaron Philo pass to Malik Rutherford for 11 yds to the GT 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
98.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+4
98.5%
Jamal Haynes run for 4 yds to the GT 46Similar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
98.4%
Aaron Philo pass to Dean Patterson for 6 yds to the GWEB 48Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 4
OPP 48
0
98.3%
Jamal Haynes runSimilar
Q1 7:41
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
98.2%
Aaron Philo pass interceptedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 3DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 3:142% → 3%
Q1 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
98.1%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the GWEB 15Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
98.0%
Cole Pennington pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+10
98.0%
Cole Pennington pass to Chris Lofton for 10 yds to the GWEB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.9%
Cole Pennington pass to Chris Lofton for 10 yds to the GWEB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
97.8%
Carson Gresock run for 4 yds to the GWEB 39Similar
Q1 6:14
2ND & 6
OWN 39
-2
97.8%
Cole Pennington sacked by Christian Garrett for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 37Similar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 8
OWN 37
-7
97.6%
Cole Pennington sacked by Akelo Stone for a loss of 7 yards to the GWEB 30Similar
Q1 4:27
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+24
97.4%
Brady Braun punt for 42 yds to the , Bailey Stockton returns for 24 yds to the GT 28, Georgia Tech Penalty, holding (Omar Daniels)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4TD
6 plays · 53 yds · 4:2798% → 96%
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
97.6%
to Brett Seither for 21 yds to the GWEB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
97.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 20 yds to the GWEB 12Similar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
97.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 1 yd to the Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+11
97.2%
to Isiah Canion for 11 yds to the GWEB 0, for a TD for a 1ST down, Aaron Philo pass (Aidan Birr PAT MISSED) (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+26
96.2%
Aaron Philo pass to Brett Seither for 26 yds to the GWEB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 4:062% → 4%
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
97.6%
Quasean Holmes run for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 23Similar
Q1 3:07
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+19
97.6%
Nate Hampton pass to Anthony Lowe for 19 yds to the GWEB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
97.5%
Anthony Lowe run for 2 yds to the GWEB 44Similar
Q1 1:40
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
97.2%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+5
97.2%
Nate Hampton run for 5 yds to the GWEB 49Similar
Q1 0:42
4TH & 3
OWN 49
+14
97.0%
Jackson Dorr punt, Georgia Tech Penalty, roughingthekicker (Jordan van den Berg)Similar
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.9%
Nate Hampton runSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+6
96.7%
Nate Hampton run for 6 yds to the GT 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-1
96.7%
Quasean Holmes run for a loss of 1 yards to the GT 32Similar
Q2 14:01
4TH & 5
OPP 32
-4
96.5%
Nate Hampton sacked by Melvin Jordan IV for a loss of 4 yards to the GT 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:2997% → 97%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
96.8%
Aaron Philo pass to Malik Rutherford for 6 yds to the GT 45Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+55
96.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 55 yds to the GWEB 0, for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 2:503% → 3%
Q2 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.2%
Quasean Holmes run for a loss of 1 yards to the GWEB 24Similar
Q2 13:32
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+12
97.3%
Nate Hampton pass to Anthony Lowe for 12 yds to the GWEB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Nate Hampton pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-2
97.0%
Nate Hampton pass to Sean Brady for a loss of 2 yards to the GWEB 34Similar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+9
97.0%
Nate Hampton pass to Quasean Holmes for 9 yds to the GWEB 43Similar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
96.6%
Brady Braun punt for 51 yds to the GWEB Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8DOWNS
3 plays · 41 yds · 1:0797% → 97%
Q2 10:42
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
96.7%
Jamal Haynes run for 2 yds to the GT 8Similar
Q2 10:42
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+45
96.7%
Aaron Philo pass to Zion Taylor for 45 yds to the GWEB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:35
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
96.8%
Jamal Haynes run for 47 yds to the , for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:394% → 4%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
96.5%
Carson Gresock run for 5 yds to the GWEB 6Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+3
96.5%
Carson Gresock run for 3 yds to the GWEB 9Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 2
OWN 9
+4
96.6%
Gardner-Webb Penalty, falsestart (Will Fitzpatrick)Similar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+1
96.3%
Carson Gresock run for 1 yd to the GWEB 6Similar
Q2 6:48
4TH & 5
OWN 6
+11
96.2%
Brady Braun punt for 41 yds to the GWEB 36, Eric Rivers returns for 11 yds to the GWEB 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:4996% → 96%
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.4%
Aaron Philo pass to Malik Rutherford for 2 yds to the GWEB 36Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
96.4%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+5
96.3%
Georgia Tech Penalty, falsestart (Keylan Rutledge)Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 13
OPP 39
+17
96.0%
Aaron Philo pass to Malik Rutherford for 17 yds to the GWEB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:50
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
96.3%
Malachi Hosley run for 4 yds to the GWEB 18Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+10
96.2%
Aaron Philo pass to Malachi Hosley, Georgia Tech Penalty, illegalblockinback (Bailey Stockton)Similar
Q2 5:15
2ND & 16
OPP 28
+1
96.0%
Eric Rivers run for 1 yd to the GWEB 27Similar
Q2 4:36
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+26
95.6%
Aaron Philo pass to Malik Rutherford for 26 yds to the GWEB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.9%
Jamal Haynes run for 1 yd to the GWEB 0, for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:135% → 6%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
94.9%
Quasean Holmes run for 7 yds to the GWEB 32Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+1
94.4%
Quasean Holmes run for 1 yd to the GWEB 33Similar
Q2 2:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
94.2%
Quasean Holmes run for a loss of 1 yards to the GWEB 32Similar
Q2 1:46
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
94.3%
Brady Braun punt for 61 yds to the GWEB Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 44 yds · 1:1394% → 93%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
94.1%
Georgia Tech Penalty, falsestart (Malachi Carney)Similar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 13
OWN 4
+17
94.1%
Aaron Philo pass to Eric Rivers for 17 yds to the GT 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
94.0%
Aaron Philo pass to Jamal Haynes for 8 yds to the GT 29Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+16
94.3%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the , Georgia Tech Penalty, holding (Malachi Carney)Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
93.8%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
93.4%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
93.1%
Marshall Nichols punt for 46 yds to the GT Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:167% → 6%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
93.3%
to Anthony Lowe for 6 yds to the GWEB 35, Nate Hampton passSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-3
93.0%
Quasean Holmes run for a loss of 3 yards to the GWEB 32Similar
Q2 0:24
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+1
93.6%
Quasean Holmes run for 1 yd to the GWEB 33Similar
Q2 0:12
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
93.6%
Brady Braun punt for 46 yds to the GWEB Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:0093% → 94%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
93.3%
Malachi Hosley run for 15 yds to the GT 36Similar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
93.6%
Aaron Philo pass to Bailey Stockton for 19 yds to the GWEB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 15DOWNS
12 plays · 79 yds · 7:4894% → 92%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
93.8%
Aaron Philo pass to Eric Rivers, Georgia Tech Penalty, passinterference (Eric Rivers)Similar
Q3 14:48
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+8
93.6%
Aaron Philo pass to Zion Taylor for 8 yds to the GT 21Similar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+24
93.3%
Aaron Philo pass to Bailey Stockton for 24 yds to the GT 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
93.8%
Malachi Hosley run for 9 yds to the GWEB 46Similar
Q3 13:02
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+8
93.8%
Malachi Hosley run for 8 yds to the GWEB 38Similar
Q3 12:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
93.5%
Aaron Philo pass to Luke Harpring for 5 yds to the GWEB 35Similar
Q3 12:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
93.6%
Jamal Haynes run for 6 yds to the GWEB 27Similar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 20
OPP 37
-3
92.7%
Aaron Philo pass to Dean Patterson for a loss of 3 yards to the GWEB 40Similar
Q3 11:32
3RD & 17
OPP 40
0
92.2%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 17
OPP 40
+4
91.8%
Aaron Philo pass to Daylon Gordon for 4 yds to the GWEB 36Similar
Q3 9:50
4TH & 19
OPP 36
+16
90.9%
to Eric Rivers for 16 yds to the GWEB 20, Aaron Philo passSimilar
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
91.7%
Jamal Haynes run, Georgia Tech Penalty, holding (Joe Fusile)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 16DOWNS
1 play · 0 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
90.6%
Quasean Holmes run for 5 yds to the , Matthew Alexander runSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 17TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 2:1993% → 96%
Q3 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
92.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 1 yd to the GWEB 24Similar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
92.5%
Aaron Philo pass to Zion Taylor for 5 yds to the GWEB 19Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+2
91.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 2 yds to the GWEB 17Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+12
90.8%
Aaron Philo run for 12 yds to the GWEB 5Similar
Q3 7:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
95.7%
Malachi Hosley run for 5 yds to the GWEB 0, for a TD (Aidan Birr PAT MISSED) (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 18TD
17 plays · 62 yds · 6:206% → 6%
Q3 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
93.9%
Cole Pennington pass to Jabre Bevineau for 12 yds to the GWEB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
93.8%
Cole Pennington pass to Anthony Lowe for 9 yds to the GWEB 46Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 1
OWN 46
0
93.2%
Cole Pennington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:16
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+3
93.2%
Quasean Holmes run for 3 yds to the GWEB 49Similar
Q3 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
92.9%
Cole Pennington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-6
93.2%
Cole Pennington sacked by Amontrae Bradford for a loss of 6 yards to the GWEB 43Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 16
OWN 43
+15
93.9%
Cole Pennington pass to Chris Lofton for 15 yds to the GT 42Similar
Q3 4:33
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+9
93.2%
Quasean Holmes run for 9 yds to the GT 33Similar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
91.8%
Cole Pennington pass to Chris Lofton for 8 yds to the GT 25Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 2
OPP 25
0
91.5%
Cole Pennington pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:29
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+16
92.1%
Carson Gresock run for 16 yds to the GT 9Similar
Q3 3:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
91.4%
Gardner-Webb Penalty, falsestart (Will Fitzpatrick)Similar
Q3 2:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
+5
92.1%
Carson Gresock run for 5 yds to the GT 9Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
-9
91.8%
Similar
Q3 1:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 18
-10
93.1%
Cole Pennington sacked by Akelo Stone for a loss of 10 yards to the GT 28Similar
Q3 0:52
4TH & GOAL
OPP 28
+5
94.0%
Charlie Viorel yd FG MISSED, Georgia Tech Penalty, offside (Ahmari Harvey)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 19TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5716% → 49%
Q3 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
83.6%
Cole Pennington pass to Anthony Lowe for 14 yds to the GWEB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+20
81.7%
Cole Pennington pass to Anthony Lowe for 20 yds to the GT 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:02
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+13
80.1%
Cole Pennington pass to Chris Lofton for 13 yds to the GT 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
79.0%
Cole Pennington pass to Anthony Lowe for 6 yds to the GT 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 22
0
79.0%
Cole Pennington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+3
79.6%
Cole Pennington pass to Giovanni Adopte for 3 yds to the GT 19Similar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+5
80.5%
Georgia Tech Penalty, offside (D.J. Moore)Similar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
51.0%
Cole Pennington pass to Caleb Borders for 14 yds to the GT 14, for a TD for a 1ST down (Charlie Viorel PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20FG
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:2066% → 65%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+42
66.2%
Aaron Philo pass to Isiah Canion for 42 yds to the GWEB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
71.6%
Daylon Gordon run for 3 yds to the GWEB 17Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+3
70.1%
J.P. Powell run for 3 yds to the GWEB 14Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 4
OPP 14
0
67.0%
J.P. Powell runSimilar
Q4 12:14
4TH & 4
OPP 14
+5
64.5%
Aidan Birr yd FG GOOD, Gardner-Webb Penalty, illegalformation (De'Arieun Hicks)Similar
Q4 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
68.2%
Shane Marshall run for 2 yds to the GWEB 7Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
64.7%
Aaron Philo run for 2 yds to the GWEB 5Similar
Q4 10:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
60.9%
Aaron Philo pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
65.0%
Aidan Birr 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:0944% → 49%
Q4 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
56.5%
Daniel Moyer run for 4 yds to the GWEB 29Similar
Q4 9:53
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+29
53.9%
Cole Pennington pass to Sean Brady for 29 yds to the GT 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
49.5%
Cole Pennington run for a loss of 2 yards to the GT 44Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+3
48.7%
Daniel Moyer run for 3 yds to the GT 41Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 9
OPP 41
0
46.8%
Cole Pennington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 9
OPP 41
+7
50.6%
Jackson Dorr punt for 34 yds to the , Bailey Stockton returns for 7 yds to the GT 7, Bailey Stockton returnsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22DOWNS
3 plays · 85 yds · 1:3658% → 62%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+78
57.6%
Aaron Philo pass to Jordan Allen for 78 yds to the GWEB 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
64.5%
J.P. Powell run for 7 yds to the GWEB 1Similar
Q4 6:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
61.9%
J.P. Powell run for 1 yd to the GWEB 0, for a TD (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 3:0656% → 69%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.9%
Daniel Moyer run for 1 yd to the GWEB 26Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
39.9%
Daniel Moyer run for 2 yds to the GWEB 28Similar
Q4 5:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
39.9%
Cole Pennington pass incomplete, Georgia Tech Penalty, passinterference (Dalen Penson)Similar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
37.5%
Cole Pennington pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:07
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
38.2%
Christian Vann run for 4 yds to the GWEB 37Similar
Q4 4:12
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+1
33.2%
Cole Pennington pass to Sean Brady for 1 yd to the GWEB 38Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
31.5%
Brady Braun punt for 46 yds to the GWEB Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24DOWNS
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+84
43.0%
Graham Knowles pass to Dean Patterson for 84 yds to the GWEB 0, for a TD for a 1ST down (Aidan Birr KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GWEBDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:3571% → 90%
Q4 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-4
28.9%
Daniel Moyer run for a loss of 4 yards to the GWEB 23Similar
Q4 2:12
2ND & 14
OWN 23
+1
24.8%
Daniel Moyer run for 1 yd to the GWEB 24Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 13
OWN 24
+11
22.5%
Christian Vann run for 11 yds to the GWEB 35Similar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 2
OWN 35
+5
17.6%
Cole Pennington pass incomplete, Georgia Tech Penalty, offside (Tah'j Butler)Similar
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
11.6%
Christian Vann run for 15 yds to the GT 45Similar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
10.1%
Christian Vann run for 2 yds to the Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
10.3%
Christian Vann runSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+88.4
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:22
Timeout Gardner-Webb, clock 03:22
-34.3
TD · Q4 13:39
Cole Pennington pass to Caleb Borders for 14 yds to the GT 14, for a TD for a 1ST down (Charlie Viorel PAT BLOCKED)
-29.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com