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ETAM

East Texas A&M 3 at Florida State 77

FSU
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadETAM aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreETAM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 12:46 · Ben Mehan punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 39
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior+43.7Home team on offense+16.2Score differential+13.4Blowout margin+4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Garbage-time factor+3.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:14: Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:48: Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 82 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:18: Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 42 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 14:57: Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — FSU win probability +0.4 pts (now 99%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 11:37: Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 53 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK) — ETAM win probability +0.4 pts (now 1%) (top driver: FSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ETAM made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:52ETAM 4th & 9 at ETAM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:14FSU 4th & 1 at ETAM 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.7%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.5%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:59ETAM 4th & 8 at ETAM 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:10ETAM 4th & 21 at ETAM 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:46ETAM 4th & 8 at ETAM 27, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:37FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 47, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.4%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:58ETAM 4th & 11 at ETAM 35, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:12ETAM 4th & 4 at ETAM 31, down 56
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:26ETAM 4th & 9 at FSU 47, down 63
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:23ETAM 4th & 1 at ETAM 34, down 70
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:30ETAM 4th & 4 at FSU 4, down 70
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:40FSU 4th & 8 at ETAM 42, up 67
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    100.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 11 of 11
  1. Q1 8:14FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:48FSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:18FSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:57FSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:37FSU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 7:21FSU Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:48FSU Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 12:06FSU Touchdown, up 55 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 8:57FSU Touchdown, up 62 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 2:13FSU Touchdown, up 69 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:54FSU Touchdown, up 73 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ETAMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:061% → 1%
Q1 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.1%
EJ Oakmon run for 3 yds to the ETAM 28Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
99.1%
Eric Rodriguez run for 2 yds to the ETAM 30Similar
Q1 13:40
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-4
99.0%
Eric Rodriguez sacked by Darrell Jackson Jr. and Jayson Jenkins for a loss of 4 yards to the ETAM 26Similar
Q1 12:52
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.0%
Ben Mehan punt for 52 yds, downed at the FSU 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
14 plays · 78 yds · 4:1199% → 99%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
98.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the FSU 24Similar
Q1 12:10
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+11
98.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 11 yds to the FSU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
98.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 8 yds to the FSU 43Similar
Q1 11:44
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+8
98.9%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 8 yds to the ETAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
98.9%
Tommy Castellanos run for 5 yds to the ETAM 44Similar
Q1 11:20
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
98.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 2 yds to the ETAM 42Similar
Q1 11:01
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
98.9%
Tommy Castellanos run for 2 yds to the ETAM 40Similar
Q1 10:30
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+15
98.8%
East Texas A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Kyree Anderson) to the ETAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+17
98.8%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 17 yds to the ETAM 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
98.8%
Ousmane Kromah run for 2 yds to the ETAM 6Similar
Q1 9:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
98.7%
Tommy Castellanos run for 5 yds to the ETAM 1Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
98.7%
Ousmane Kromah run for no gain to the ETAM 1Similar
Q1 8:20
4TH & 0
OPP 1
0
98.6%
East Texas A&M Penalty, Defensive Offside (Preston Hamilton) to the ETAM 1Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 3:011% → 2%
Q1 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.7%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 5 yds to the ETAM 30Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
98.7%
KJ Shankle run for 11 yds to the ETAM 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
98.6%
Eric Rodriguez run for 6 yds to the ETAM 47Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 4
OWN 47
-5
98.5%
East Texas A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ETAM 42Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-1
98.5%
KJ Shankle run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 41Similar
Q1 5:33
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+2
98.5%
KJ Shankle run for 2 yds to the ETAM 43Similar
Q1 4:59
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
98.5%
Ben Mehan punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Squirrel White at the FSU 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4TD
1 play · 82 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+82
98.7%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 82 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 1:101% → 1%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
98.6%
EJ Oakmon run for 1 yd to the ETAM 26Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-10
98.6%
East Texas A&M Penalty, Offensive Holding (Billy Thursland) to the ETAM 16Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 19
OWN 16
-2
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETAM 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by ETAM Eric RodriguezSimilar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
98.6%
Eric Rodriguez pass incomplete to Tyler DanielsSimilar
Q1 3:10
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
98.6%
Ben Mehan punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 53 yds · 0:3799% → 99%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
98.7%
Squirrel White run for 7 yds to the ETAM 46Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+2
98.7%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the ETAM 44Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+2
98.6%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 2 yds to the ETAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
99.0%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 42 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-48
99.0%
Eric Rodriguez pass intercepted Earl Little Jr. return for 48 yds to the ETAM 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 15 yds · 1:5799% → 99%
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.0%
Tommy Castellanos pass incomplete to Amaree WilliamsSimilar
Q1 1:27
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-5
99.0%
Tommy Castellanos sacked by Tramar Gilbert for a loss of 5 yards to the ETAM 20Similar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 15
OPP 20
+19
98.9%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 19 yds to the ETAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
99.0%
Caziah Holmes run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 2Similar
Q1 0:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.9%
Caziah Holmes run for 1 yd to the ETAM 1Similar
Q2 14:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:511% → 1%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.4%
KJ Shankle run for 8 yds to the ETAM 33Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.4%
Eric Rodriguez run for no gain to the ETAM 33Similar
Q2 13:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-1
99.4%
KJ Shankle run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 32Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 3
OWN 32
-5
99.4%
East Texas A&M Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the ETAM 27Similar
Q2 12:46
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.5%
Ben Mehan punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FSU 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 1:02100% → 99%
Q2 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Tommy Castellanos pass incomplete to Squirrel WhiteSimilar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
99.5%
Tommy Castellanos pass incomplete to Duce RobinsonSimilar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 10
OWN 39
-5
99.5%
Florida State Penalty, False Start (Gunnar Hansen) to the FSU 34Similar
Q2 12:00
3RD & 15
OWN 34
+13
99.4%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 13 yds Duce Robinson fumbled, forced by Lavon Williams, recovered by FSU Luke PetitbonSimilar
Q2 11:37
4TH & 2
OWN 47
+53
99.1%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 53 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 11INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 2:350% → 1%
Q2 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.6%
Eric Rodriguez run for 9 yds to the ETAM 34Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
99.5%
JaiSean McMillian run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 33Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
99.5%
JaiSean McMillian run for 6 yds to the ETAM 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
99.6%
Will Madonna pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 4 yds to the ETAM 43Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+15
99.6%
Florida State Penalty, Roughing Passer (Jayson Jenkins) to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
99.6%
Will Madonna pass complete to Jaden Proctor for 13 yds to the FSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.5%
Will Madonna pass intercepted Jeremiah Wilson return for no gain to the FSU 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12TD
4 plays · 72 yds · 1:2699% → 100%
Q2 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
99.3%
Ousmane Kromah run for 14 yds to the FSU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
98.9%
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 4 yds to the FSU 46Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+1
99.6%
Ousmane Kromah run for 1 yd to the FSU 47Similar
Q2 7:21
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+53
99.7%
Micahi Danzy run for 53 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.7%
EJ Oakmon run for 11 yds to the ETAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.7%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Randy ReeceSimilar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-1
99.7%
EJ Oakmon run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 35Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 11
OWN 35
0
99.7%
Will Madonna pass incomplete to Jaden ProctorSimilar
Q2 5:58
4TH & 11
OWN 35
+4
99.7%
Ben Mehan punt for 34 yds , Squirrel White returns for 4 yds to the FSU 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:59100% → 100%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
99.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for 4 yds to the FSU 39Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+3
99.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the FSU 42Similar
Q2 4:24
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+3
99.7%
Jaylin Lucas run for 3 yds to the FSU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+13
99.8%
Jaylin Lucas run for 13 yds to the ETAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:15
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
99.8%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Jaylin Lucas for 5 yds to the ETAM 37Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 5
OPP 37
0
99.8%
Kevin Sperry pass incomplete to Jayvan BoggsSimilar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+11
99.8%
Kam Davis run for 11 yds to the ETAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+5
99.8%
Kevin Sperry run for 5 yds to the ETAM 21Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 5
OPP 21
+18
99.8%
Kevin Sperry run for 18 yds to the ETAM 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Jayvan Boggs for 3 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 15END OF HALF
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:470% → 0%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
99.8%
East Texas A&M Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (-5 Yards) to the ETAM 20Similar
Q2 0:15
1ST & 15
OWN 20
-2
99.8%
KJ Shankle run for a loss of 2 yards to the ETAM 18Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+1
99.8%
KJ Shankle run for 1 yd to the ETAM 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 16TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q3 14:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
99.8%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Micahi Danzy for 10 yds to the FSU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+20
99.8%
Ousmane Kromah run for 20 yds to the ETAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
99.8%
Kevin Sperry run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 47Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+10
99.8%
Brock Glenn run for 10 yds to the ETAM 37Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
99.8%
Kam Davis run for 2 yds to the ETAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:06
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
99.8%
Brock Glenn pass complete to Amaree Williams for 35 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:480% → 0%
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Hymond Drinkard run for no gain to the ETAM 25Similar
Q3 11:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Christian Jourdain run for 2 yds to the ETAM 27Similar
Q3 10:52
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez run for 4 yds to the ETAM 31Similar
Q3 10:12
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+21
99.9%
Ben Mehan punt for 38 yds , Jaylin Lucas returns for 21 yds to the ETAM 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 48 yds · 1:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 5 yds to the ETAM 43Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for no gain to the ETAM 43Similar
Q3 8:57
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+43
99.9%
Kevin Sperry pass complete to Ousmane Kromah for 43 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 4:050% → 0%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jordon Hamilton run for no gain to the ETAM 25Similar
Q3 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Jordon Hamilton for 6 yds to the ETAM 31Similar
Q3 7:25
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+21
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez pass complete to Dayan Bilbo for 21 yds to the FSU 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez sacked by Amaree Williams and AJ Cottrill for a loss of 5 yards to the ETAM 47Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 15
OWN 47
-15
99.9%
East Texas A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Trent Savage) to the ETAM 32Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 30
OWN 32
+8
99.9%
KJ Shankle run for 8 yds to the ETAM 40Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 22
OWN 40
+13
99.9%
Eric Rodriguez run for 13 yds to the FSU 47Similar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Ben Mehan punt for 45 yds, downed at the FSU 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 20TD
4 plays · 98 yds · 2:01100% → 100%
Q3 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass complete to Chase Loftin for 6 yds to the FSU 8Similar
Q3 3:38
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+15
99.9%
Brock Glenn pass complete to Elijah Moore for 15 yds to the FSU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+24
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 24 yds to the FSU 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
99.9%
Samuel Singleton Jr. run for 53 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:270% → 0%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Jordon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the ETAM 28Similar
Q3 1:27
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
100.0%
Jordon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the ETAM 33Similar
Q3 0:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Major McBride run for 1 yd to the ETAM 34Similar
Q3 0:23
4TH & 1
OWN 34
-1
100.0%
Eric Rodriguez run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 22FUMBLE
6 plays · 11 yds · 2:13100% → 100%
Q3 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.9%
Zay Parks run for 7 yds to the ETAM 26Similar
Q4 14:40
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Zay Parks run for 1 yd to the ETAM 25Similar
Q4 14:07
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+9
99.9%
Zay Parks run for 9 yds to the ETAM 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
99.9%
Zay Parks run for 3 yds to the ETAM 13Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+25
99.9%
Michael Grant sacked by Kaleb Miles for a loss of 9 yards to the ETAM 47 Michael Grant fumbled, forced by Kaleb Miles, recovered by ETAM Preston Hamilton , return for 0 yards , return for 25 yds to the ETAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 23FG
7 plays · 49 yds · 3:200% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
100.0%
Matthew Goldman run for 5 yds to the FSU 48Similar
Q4 11:50
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+19
100.0%
Jack Jacobs pass complete to Christian Jourdain for 19 yds to the FSU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+24
100.0%
Jack Jacobs pass complete to Josh Wiggins for 24 yds to the FSU 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
100.0%
Major McBride run for 1 yd to the FSU 4Similar
Q4 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
100.0%
Major McBride run for no gain to the FSU 4Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
100.0%
Jack Jacobs pass incomplete to Nick JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
100.0%
Ozlo Rigby 21 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 24TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 7:18100% → 100%
Q4 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
99.9%
Zay Parks run for 7 yds to the FSU 27Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+14
100.0%
Zay Parks run for 14 yds to the FSU 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
100.0%
Zay Parks run for 4 yds to the FSU 45Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+11
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 11 yds to the ETAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for no gain to the ETAM 44Similar
Q4 5:31
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ETAM 45Similar
Q4 4:47
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+3
100.0%
Zay Parks run for 3 yds to the ETAM 42Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 8
OPP 42
+14
100.0%
Michael Grant pass complete to Teriq Mallory for 14 yds to the ETAM 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+11
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 11 yds to the ETAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:43
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
100.0%
Jeremiah Johnson run for 4 yds to the ETAM 13Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
100.0%
Zay Parks run for no gain to the ETAM 13Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+13
100.0%
Zay Parks run for 13 yds for a TD (Brunno Reus KICK)Similar
Q4 1:54
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-15
100.0%
Florida State Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Jayvan Boggs) to the FSU 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ETAMDrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · 21 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
100.0%
Jack Jacobs sacked by Tyeland Coleman for a loss of 4 yards to the ETAM 21Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+3
100.0%
Jordon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the ETAM 24Similar
Q4 0:27
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+22
100.0%
Major McBride run for 22 yds to the ETAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:57
Gavin Sawchuk run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
+0.4
TD · Q2 11:37
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Gavin Sawchuk for 53 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
-0.4
TD · Q1 4:48
Tommy Castellanos pass complete to Duce Robinson for 82 yds for a TD (Jake Weinberg KICK)
+0.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com