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W&M

William & Mary 16 at Virginia 55

UVA
2025 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2025 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadW&M aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreW&M score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGSAFETYEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Kneel down by Virginia at W&M20 for loss of 2 yards.
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 10:46: Kameron Courtney run for 23 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — W&M win probability +0.4 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:18: Xavier Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 13:01: Tyler Hughes pass complete to Deven Thompson for 79 yds for a TD (Keegan Shackford KICK) — W&M win probability +2.0 pts (now 4%) (top driver: W&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:27: Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +1.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 6:01: Chandler Morris pass complete to John Rogers for 3 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4W&M made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00UVA 4th & 1 at W&M 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:33W&M 4th & 4 at W&M 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:00W&M 4th & 9 at W&M 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.2%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:15W&M 4th & 9 at W&M 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:49W&M 4th & 1 at W&M 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.8%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:01UVA 4th & 3 at W&M 3, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.6%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    95.9%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:58W&M 4th & 6 at W&M 30, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:52W&M 4th & 10 at W&M 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:46W&M 4th & 11 at UVA 39, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:01W&M 4th & 3 at W&M 32, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:46UVA 4th & 5 at W&M 6, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:13W&M 4th & 1 at W&M 34, down 45
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:58UVA 4th & 9 at W&M 9, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:42W&M 4th & 11 at UVA 44, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:32W&M 4th & 3 at UVA 46, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7W&M made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:46UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:23UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:18UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:01W&M Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:27UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:01UVA Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:59UVA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:31UVA Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:13W&M Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:1498% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.5%
J'Mari Taylor run for 8 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+9
97.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 9 yds to the UVA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
97.5%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Witmer,Jack) 5 yards from UVA42 to UVA37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jahmal EdrineSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+9
97.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 9 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
97.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 5 yds to the W&M 49Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+7
97.5%
Chandler Morris run for 7 yds to the W&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
97.5%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to J'Mari TaylorSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
97.5%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the W&M 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+12
97.5%
Xavier Brown run for 12 yds to the W&M 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
97.2%
Kameron Courtney run for 23 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 2:133% → 3%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
97.1%
Josh Miller run for no gain to the W&M 33Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
97.1%
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Deven Thompson for 4 yds to the W&M 37Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+2
97.1%
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Deven Thompson for 2 yds to the W&M 39Similar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+1
96.8%
Carter Boyd punt for 41 yds , Cam Ross returns for 1 yd to the UVA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3TD
10 plays · 79 yds · 3:1097% → 97%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
96.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 8 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+10
96.9%
J'Mari Taylor run for 10 yds to the UVA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+13
96.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 13 yds to the W&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+18
96.9%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 18 yds to the W&M 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.9%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jahmal EdrineSimilar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
96.9%
Noah Vaughn run for 5 yds to the W&M 25Similar
Q1 8:33
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+12
96.9%
Noah Vaughn run for 12 yds to the W&M 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
96.9%
Noah Vaughn run for 9 yds to the W&M 4Similar
Q1 8:33
2ND & 1
OPP 4
+2
96.9%
Noah Vaughn run for 2 yds to the W&M 2 for a 1ST down William & Mary Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Davin Dzidzienyo) to the W&M 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.1%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:233% → 3%
Q1 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
96.9%
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Trey McDonald for 1 yd to the W&M 26Similar
Q1 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the W&M 26Similar
Q1 5:23
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
96.9%
Tyler Hughes pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:00
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
96.8%
Carter Boyd punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
50
0
97.0%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q1 4:00
2ND & 10
50
+6
97.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the W&M 44Similar
Q1 4:00
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
97.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the W&M 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:224% → 4%
Q1 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
96.5%
Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the W&M 45Similar
Q1 2:37
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Tyler Hughes run for no gain to the W&M 45Similar
Q1 2:37
3RD & 9
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Tyler Hughes pass incomplete to Sean McElwainSimilar
Q1 1:15
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
96.5%
Carter Boyd punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UVA 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7TD
9 plays · 78 yds · 2:5797% → 98%
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
96.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the UVA 25Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+12
96.6%
Harrison Waylee run for 12 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
96.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 2 yds to the UVA 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+5
96.6%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+5
96.6%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+26
96.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 26 yds to the W&M 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
96.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 21 yds to the W&M 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.9%
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 8TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+79
96.1%
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Deven Thompson for 79 yds for a TD (Keegan Shackford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:2297% → 98%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
96.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to John Rogers for 2 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 29
-10
96.4%
Virginia Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the UVA 29Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+6
96.4%
Noah Vaughn run for 6 yds to the UVA 35Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+54
96.4%
Noah Vaughn run for 54 yds to the W&M 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+6
96.6%
J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the W&M 5Similar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 4
OPP 5
+3
96.5%
Noah Vaughn run for 3 yds to the W&M 2Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 10DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:382% → 2%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Tyler Hughes pass incomplete to Deven ThompsonSimilar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.9%
Tyler Hughes run for 3 yds to the W&M 28Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
97.9%
Tyler Hughes run for 6 yds to the W&M 34Similar
Q2 7:49
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
97.6%
Rashad Raymond run for no gain to the W&M 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:4899% → 99%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+25
98.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to John Rogers for 25 yds to the W&M 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
98.5%
Xavier Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the W&M 11Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
98.5%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q2 7:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+8
98.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Xavier Brown for 8 yds to the W&M 3Similar
Q2 6:01
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to John Rogers for 3 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:561% → 1%
Q2 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
99.2%
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Deven Thompson for 7 yds to the W&M 33Similar
Q2 5:54
2ND & 3
OWN 33
-6
99.1%
Tyler Hughes sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the W&M 27Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 9
OWN 27
+3
99.2%
Tyler Hughes run for 3 yds to the W&M 30Similar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 6
OWN 30
0
99.4%
Carter Boyd punt for 50 yds , Cam Ross returns for no gain to the UVA 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:5999% → 99%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+56
99.2%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 56 yds to the W&M 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+9
99.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 9 yds to the W&M 15Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 1
OPP 15
+6
99.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 6 yds to the W&M 9 for a 1ST down William & Mary Penalty, Illegal Substitution (Davin Dzidzienyo) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
99.3%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the W&M 8Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.4%
Harrison Waylee run for 8 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 1:070% → 0%
Q2 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.6%
Rashad Raymond run for 3 yds to the W&M 28Similar
Q2 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.6%
Rashad Raymond run for 3 yds to the W&M 31Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-6
99.6%
Noah Brannock sacked for a loss of 6 yards to the W&M 25Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.6%
Carter Boyd punt for 41 yds , Cam Ross returns for 16 yds to the UVA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15END OF HALF
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:52100% → 100%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.5%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to Josiah AbdullahSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.5%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 9 yds to the UVA 49Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+4
99.5%
Daniel Kaelin run for 4 yds to the W&M 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
99.5%
PENALTY UVA False Start 5 yards from W&M47 to UVA48. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 15
OWN 48
-5
99.5%
PENALTY UVA False Start 5 yards from UVA48 to UVA43. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 20
OWN 43
0
99.5%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to Isaiah RobinsonSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 20
OWN 43
+5
99.5%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 3:140% → 0%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.6%
Noah Brannock run for 5 yds to the W&M 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
99.6%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Armon Wright for 11 yds to the W&M 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
99.6%
Tariq Sims run for 2 yds to the W&M 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+19
99.6%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Isaiah Lemmond for 19 yds to the UVA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
99.6%
Noah Brannock run for 9 yds to the UVA 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 29
-10
99.5%
No Huddle-Shotgun Sims,Tariq rush right for 0 yards to the UVA29 (Persinger,Josiah) PENALTY W&M Holding (Raley,Hayden) 10 yards from UVA29 to UVA39. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Armon WrightSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 39
0
99.6%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Isaiah LemmondSimilar
Q3 11:46
4TH & 11
OPP 39
0
99.7%
Carter Boyd punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 17TD
2 plays · 97 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+97
99.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 97 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:300% → 0%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Rashad RaymondSimilar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.7%
Rashad Raymond run for 6 yds to the W&M 31Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.7%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Rashad Raymond for 1 yd to the W&M 32Similar
Q3 10:01
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Carter Boyd punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jayden Thomas at the UVA 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 19FG
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:15100% → 100%
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to Hayden RollisonSimilar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 10
OWN 23
-1
99.7%
Davis Lane Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 22Similar
Q3 10:01
3RD & 11
OWN 22
+14
99.7%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 14 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+30
99.7%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Kameron Courtney for 30 yds to the W&M 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+23
99.7%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to TyLyric Coleman for 23 yds to the W&M 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to Dillon Newton-ShortSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+5
99.8%
Davis Lane Jr. run for 5 yds to the W&M 6Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to TyLyric ColemanSimilar
Q3 6:46
4TH & 5
OPP 6
+24
99.8%
Will Bettridge 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Isaiah LemmondSimilar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.9%
Noah Brannock run for 8 yds to the W&M 33Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Rashad Raymond run for 1 yd to the W&M 34Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Carter Boyd punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Jayden Thomas at the UVA 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21INT
4 plays · 17 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q3 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
99.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the UVA 37Similar
Q3 5:06
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+15
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Isaiah Robinson for 15 yds to the W&M 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass intercepted Trevon Cannon return for 15 yds to the W&M 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 22TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Carson JenkinsSimilar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+39
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Alfred Honesty for 39 yds to the UVA 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
99.8%
Noah Brannock run for 8 yds to the UVA 6Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 2
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Alfred HonestySimilar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+6
99.8%
Noah Brannock run for 6 yds for a TD (Keegan Shackford KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23FG
9 plays · 38 yds · 4:08100% → 100%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
99.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 11 yds to the W&M 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
99.9%
Davis Lane Jr. run for 11 yds to the W&M 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
99.9%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Suderian Harrison for 6 yds to the W&M 19Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
+11
99.9%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Josiah Abdullah for 11 yds to the W&M 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
99.9%
Davis Lane Jr. run for 1 yd to the W&M 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Daniel Kaelin run for no gain to the W&M 7Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
99.9%
Daniel Kaelin run for a loss of 2 yards to the W&M 9 Daniel Kaelin fumbled, recovered by UVA Daniel KaelinSimilar
Q4 12:58
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+31
99.9%
Will Bettridge 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 24PUNT
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:110% → 0%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Jor'dyn Whitelaw run for 2 yds to the W&M 17Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Noah Brannock run for 4 yds to the W&M 21Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 4
OWN 21
+16
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Deven Thompson for 16 yds to the W&M 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+20
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Jackson Blee for 20 yds to the UVA 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-4
99.9%
Noah Brannock sacked by Billy Koudelka for a loss of 4 yards to the UVA 47Similar
Q4 10:45
2ND & 14
OPP 47
0
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Kai AustinSimilar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 14
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Tariq Sims for 3 yds to the UVA 44Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 11
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Carter Boyd punt for 30 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 25SF
4 plays · -14 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.9%
Davis Lane Jr. run for 8 yds to the UVA 22Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 2
OWN 22
+2
99.9%
Cole Geer pass complete to Josiah Abdullah for 2 yds to the UVA 20Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 4
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Cole Geer run for 3 yds to the UVA 23Similar
Q4 7:59
4TH & 1
OWN 23
-23
99.9%
run for a loss of 23 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
W&MDrive 26DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:190% → 0%
Q4 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
99.9%
Noah Brannock run for 5 yds to the UVA 48Similar
Q4 7:51
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+2
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass complete to Josh Miller for 2 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 3
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Josh MillerSimilar
Q4 6:32
4TH & 3
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Noah Brannock pass incomplete to Joseph JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 27END OF GAME
11 plays · 34 yds · 6:32100% → 100%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.9%
Cole Geer run for 12 yds to the W&M 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Owen Gardner run for 3 yds to the W&M 39Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+2
99.9%
Xay Davis run for 2 yds to the W&M 37Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+10
99.9%
Cole Geer pass complete to Dillon Newton-Short for 10 yds to the W&M 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
99.9%
Xay Davis run for 5 yds to the W&M 22Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+3
99.9%
Xay Davis run for 3 yds to the W&M 19Similar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Xay Davis run for 3 yds to the W&M 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
100.0%
Owen Gardner run for 1 yd to the W&M 15Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
-3
100.0%
Kneel down by Virginia at W&M18 for loss of 3 yards.Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 12
OPP 18
-2
100.0%
Kneel down by Virginia at W&M20 for loss of 2 yards.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 13:01
Tyler Hughes pass complete to Deven Thompson for 79 yds for a TD (Keegan Shackford KICK)
-2
TD · Q2 9:27
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+1.6
TD · Q2 13:18
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com