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CONN

UConn 20 at Syracuse 27

SYR
2025 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2025 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadCONN aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreCONN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:59 · Connor Stutz punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 133Home team on offense−20.4Pregame prior+2.8Garbage-time factor−8.3Score differential−8.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:02: Mel Brown run for 45 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK) — CONN win probability +11.4 pts (now 64%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 14:57: Jadyn Oh kickoff for 58 yds , Mel Brown return for 13 yds to the CONN 48 UConn Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the CONN 10 — CONN win probability +5.9 pts (now 57%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:41: Steve Angeli pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 53 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — SYR win probability +19.8 pts (now 33%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:48: Yasin Willis 3 Yd Run (Darrell Gill Jr. Pass to Steve Angeli for Two-Point Conversion) — SYR win probability +71.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:01: Chris Freeman 41 yd FG GOOD — CONN win probability +31.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: CONN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 10 of 10CONN made the numbers' call on 9 of 12
  1. Q1 9:38SYR 4th & 2 at CONN 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    54% to convert
    Field goal
    69.2%−0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:26CONN 4th & 5 at CONN 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:51SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:11CONN 4th & 1 at SYR 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    32.8%−1.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    32.9%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:05SYR 4th & 2 at CONN 10, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.9%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    57.7%−1.3
    88% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−7.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:31CONN 4th & 16 at CONN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.0%−2.7
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:10SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.9%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:32CONN 4th & 1 at CONN 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    47.0%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:37SYR 4th & 11 at CONN 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−1.6
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    75% to make
    Punt
    46.6%−6.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:55CONN 4th & 5 at SYR 17, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.5%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    51.6%−7.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:09SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:16CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 23, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.3%−0.4
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:24SYR 4th & 17 at SYR 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.4%−3.9
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:05CONN 4th & 14 at SYR 44, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−2.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    69.3%−1.8
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  15. Q3 0:00SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.5%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:59CONN 4th & 2 at CONN 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−<0.1
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:49SYR 4th & 11 at CONN 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−0.7
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.1%
    56% to make
    Punt
    19.9%−1.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:45CONN 4th & 6 at CONN 34, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.2%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:15CONN 4th & 7 at SYR 41, up 11
    Close callPunted · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−1.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    87.0%−0.6
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:41SYR 4th & 4 at SYR 47, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    11.4%−0.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:06CONN 4th & 11 at SYR 40, up 5
    Close callPunted · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    82.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.7%−0.2
    average punt
  22. Q4 0:23CONN 4th & 10 at CONN 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.2%
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−2.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 0 of 2CONN made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 14:55CONN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 1:02CONN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 5:41SYR Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    28.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    27.8%−0.4
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:48SYR Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 2.6 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    78.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    75.7%−2.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1DOWNS
13 plays · 68 yds · 5:1862% → 63%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q1 14:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
62.4%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Dan Villari for 17 yds to the SYR 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
62.5%
Will Nixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 40Similar
Q1 13:21
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+7
62.5%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 7 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q1 12:47
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+18
62.5%
Yasin Willis run for 18 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
62.8%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q1 11:34
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+17
62.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 17 yds to the CONN 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
62.8%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Tyshawn RussellSimilar
Q1 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+1
62.8%
Yasin Willis run for 1 yd to the CONN 15Similar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+7
62.7%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Will Nixon for 7 yds to the CONN 8Similar
Q1 9:38
4TH & 2
OPP 8
+1
62.5%
Dan Villari run for 1 yd to the CONN 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 42 yds · 3:0438% → 38%
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 7
0
62.3%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the CONN 7Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 10
OWN 7
+15
62.2%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Louis Hansen for 15 yds to the CONN 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
62.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 6 yds to the CONN 28Similar
Q1 7:53
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+16
61.7%
Mel Brown run for 16 yds to the CONN 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:12
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
61.1%
Cam Edwards run for 5 yds to the CONN 49Similar
Q1 6:41
2ND & 5
OWN 49
0
61.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q1 6:34
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
61.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Louis HansenSimilar
Q1 6:26
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
61.6%
Connor Stutz punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:1362% → 61%
Q1 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
61.8%
Steve Angeli run for 6 yds to the SYR 16Similar
Q1 5:56
2ND & 4
OWN 16
+3
61.7%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the SYR 19Similar
Q1 5:38
3RD & 1
OWN 19
-1
61.3%
Yasin Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 18Similar
Q1 4:57
4TH & 2
OWN 18
-5
61.0%
(05:00) PENALTY SYRA Delay Of Game 5 yards from SYRA18 to SYRA13. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 7
OWN 13
+2
60.9%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 49 yds , Jackson Harper returns for 2 yds to the CONN 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 4TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:3139% → 47%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
60.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 8 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+1
60.4%
Mel Brown run for 1 yd to the CONN 49Similar
Q1 3:31
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
60.5%
Cam Edwards run for 2 yds to the SYR 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
60.1%
PENALTY UCONN False Start 5 yards from SYRA49 to UCONN46. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+2
60.5%
Mel Brown run for 2 yds to the CONN 48Similar
Q1 1:54
2ND & 13
OWN 48
+1
60.3%
Terrence Smith run for 1 yd to the CONN 49Similar
Q1 1:06
3RD & 12
OWN 49
+11
60.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 11 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+10
59.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Ksaan Farrar for 10 yds to the SYR 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
58.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 10 yds to the SYR 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
58.3%
Cam Edwards run for 5 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+15
52.8%
John Neider pass complete to Alex Honig for 15 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FUMBLE
15 plays · 38 yds · 5:4255% → 53%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
54.8%
Will Nixon run for 6 yds to the SYR 31Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
55.3%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Dan VillariSimilar
Q2 14:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
54.3%
Steve Angeli run for 6 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
54.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Will Nixon for 7 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+8
55.7%
Yasin Willis run for 8 yds to the CONN 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:04
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
56.0%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaylan Hornsby for 6 yds to the CONN 42Similar
Q2 12:34
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+9
55.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaylan Hornsby for 9 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-3
56.5%
Steve Angeli sacked by Donovan Branch for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 36Similar
Q2 11:28
2ND & 13
OPP 36
+18
54.5%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Dan Villari for 18 yds to the CONN 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
56.1%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Dan Villari for 2 yds to the CONN 16Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+4
55.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Johntay Cook for 4 yds to the CONN 12Similar
Q2 9:51
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+2
54.2%
Yasin Willis run for 2 yds to the CONN 10Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 2
OPP 10
-27
53.1%
Steve Angeli run for a loss of 27 yards to the CONN 37 Steve Angeli fumbled, recovered by CONN Bryun ParhamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 1:2949% → 49%
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
50.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Shamar PorterSimilar
Q2 8:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
51.2%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 41Similar
Q2 8:06
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-10
48.9%
Joe Fagnano sacked by Kevin Jobity Jr. for a loss of 10 yards to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 7:31
4TH & 16
OWN 31
+2
51.4%
Connor Stutz punt for 41 yds , Davien Kerr returns for 2 yds to the SYR 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:1350% → 47%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
50.0%
Will Nixon run for 4 yds to the SYR 34Similar
Q2 6:52
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-5
50.5%
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA34 to SYRA29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
49.1%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
48.1%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 11
OWN 29
+2
47.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 51 yds , Jackson Harper returns for 2 yds to the CONN 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:2551% → 52%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
49.0%
Victor Rosa run for 1 yd to the CONN 23Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
48.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Louis HansenSimilar
Q2 4:59
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+8
49.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 1
OWN 31
-12
48.2%
run for a loss of 12 yards to the CONN 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FG
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:3452% → 54%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
52.3%
Tyshawn Russell run for a loss of 1 yard to the CONN 20Similar
Q2 3:45
2ND & 11
OPP 20
0
52.1%
Syracuse Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 3:41
3RD & 11
OPP 20
0
50.5%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Will NixonSimilar
Q2 3:37
4TH & 11
OPP 20
+38
53.7%
Tripp Woody 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 10TD
8 plays · 77 yds · 2:1848% → 64%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+10
51.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 10 yds to the CONN 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+6
50.4%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the CONN 39Similar
Q2 2:07
2ND & 4
OWN 39
+7
48.8%
Cam Edwards run for 7 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
48.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Terrence Smith for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 6
50
+5
47.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Shamar Porter for 5 yds to the SYR 45Similar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+45
36.4%
Mel Brown run for 45 yds for a TD (Chris Freeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 0:5839% → 49%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
38.8%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.6%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Dan Villari for 5 yds to the SYR 30Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+24
38.2%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Dan Villari for 24 yds to the CONN 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
40.9%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Yasin WillisSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+12
40.4%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Dan Villari for 12 yds to the CONN 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+20
42.0%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 20 yds to the CONN 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
43.2%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+32
49.1%
Tripp Woody 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 12FG
10 plays · 73 yds · 4:4359% → 66%
Q3 14:38
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+11
40.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 11 yds to the CONN 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
40.4%
Victor Rosa run for 5 yds to the CONN 26Similar
Q3 13:38
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+9
39.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
38.5%
Terrence Smith run for 3 yds to the CONN 38Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+6
37.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Alex Honig for 6 yds to the CONN 44Similar
Q3 11:29
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+34
36.9%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Cam Edwards for 34 yds to the SYR 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:13
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
35.1%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 7 yds to the SYR 15Similar
Q3 10:42
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+3
34.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 3 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 6
OPP 18
+1
35.3%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the SYR 17Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
34.0%
Chris Freeman 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2633% → 30%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
33.2%
Will Nixon run for 2 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+5
32.7%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Will Nixon for 5 yds to the SYR 23Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 3
OWN 23
0
31.7%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q3 8:09
4TH & 3
OWN 23
0
30.4%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 62 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4768% → 68%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-7
32.4%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun Brown,Mel rush right for 4 yards gain to the UCONN19 (Reese,David) PENALTY UCONN Personal Foul 7 yards from UCONN15 to UCONN08. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:41
1ST & 17
OWN 8
0
32.4%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 17
OWN 8
-3
32.4%
Cam Edwards run for a loss of 3 yards to the CONN 5Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 20
OWN 5
+18
32.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 18 yds to the CONN 23Similar
Q3 6:16
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
32.2%
Connor Stutz punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:4932% → 28%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
31.5%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Yasin WillisSimilar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
31.2%
Steve Angeli pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 31
-7
29.4%
Steve Angeli sacked by Bryun Parham for a loss of 7 yards to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 5:24
4TH & 17
OWN 24
0
28.1%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 48 yds , Jackson Harper returns for no gain to the CONN 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:0470% → 72%
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
29.6%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 8 yds to the CONN 35Similar
Q3 4:38
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+7
28.5%
Victor Rosa run for 7 yds to the CONN 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
26.8%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 18 yds to the SYR 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
26.0%
Cam Edwards run for 1 yd to the SYR 39Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-10
25.6%
PENALTY UCONN Holding 10 yards from SYRA39 to SYRA49. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:56
2ND & 19
OPP 49
0
26.0%
Joe Fagnano pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:45
3RD & 19
OPP 49
+5
26.4%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Reymello Murphy for 5 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q3 2:05
4TH & 14
OPP 44
0
27.9%
Connor Stutz punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SYR 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5526% → 22%
Q3 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+7
25.6%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 7 yds to the SYR 10Similar
Q3 1:34
2ND & 3
OWN 10
0
25.4%
Yasin Willis run for no gain to the SYR 10Similar
Q3 0:43
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+8
23.4%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 8 yds to the SYR 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+6
24.2%
Will Nixon run for 6 yds to the SYR 24Similar
Q3 0:08
2ND & 4
OWN 24
0
24.6%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q3 0:05
3RD & 4
OWN 24
0
23.1%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Jaylan HornsbySimilar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 4
OWN 24
+5
21.7%
Jack Stonehouse punt for 56 yds , Jackson Harper returns for 5 yds to the CONN 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:5677% → 76%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
23.3%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Alex HonigSimilar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.4%
Mel Brown run for 8 yds to the CONN 33Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
23.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q4 13:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
23.8%
Connor Stutz punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19MISSED FG
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:5222% → 20%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
22.3%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Darrell Gill Jr. for 40 yds to the CONN 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
25.6%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Will Nixon for 11 yds to the CONN 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
27.7%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Darrell Gill Jr.Similar
Q4 12:43
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+6
26.5%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Tyshawn Russell for 6 yds to the CONN 23Similar
Q4 12:24
3RD & 4
OPP 23
-7
24.3%
Steve Angeli sacked by Oumar Diomande for a loss of 7 yards to the CONN 30Similar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 11
OPP 30
+48
19.9%
Tripp Woody 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:5881% → 83%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
19.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Alex HonigSimilar
Q4 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
19.1%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the CONN 34Similar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 6
OWN 34
0
17.2%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Shamar PorterSimilar
Q4 10:45
4TH & 6
OWN 34
+4
17.5%
Connor Stutz punt for 52 yds , Davien Kerr returns for 4 yds to the SYR 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21INT
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:1916% → 17%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+19
16.4%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Tyshawn Russell for 19 yds to the SYR 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
17.2%
Steve Angeli pass intercepted D'Mon Brinson return for no gain to the CONN 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 2:3686% → 88%
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
14.4%
Cam Edwards run for 7 yds to the SYR 48Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+4
13.1%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the SYR 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
12.7%
Cam Edwards run for a loss of 1 yard to the SYR 45Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 11
OPP 45
+4
11.9%
Cam Edwards run for 4 yds to the SYR 41Similar
Q4 7:22
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
11.4%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q4 7:15
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
12.1%
Connor Stutz punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Davien Kerr at the SYR 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 1:2514% → 33%
Q4 7:06
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
13.7%
Yasin Willis run for 8 yds to the SYR 18Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+3
13.8%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the SYR 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+20
11.6%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Jaylan Hornsby for 20 yds to the SYR 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
13.4%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Yasin WillisSimilar
Q4 5:58
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
12.7%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Tyshawn Russell for 6 yds to the SYR 47Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 4
OWN 47
0
13.1%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Justus Ross-SimmonsSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 4
OWN 47
+53
32.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 53 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 24PUNT
11 plays · 35 yds · 3:1776% → 86%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
23.9%
Cam Edwards run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
50
+6
17.1%
Cam Edwards run for 6 yds to the SYR 44Similar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
15.9%
Cam Edwards run for no gain to the SYR 44Similar
Q4 3:19
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+5
15.8%
PENALTY SYRA Offside 5 yards from SYRA44 to SYRA39, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:12
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
13.2%
Cam Edwards run for a loss of 4 yards to the SYR 43Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 14
OPP 43
+3
12.6%
Cam Edwards run for 3 yds to the SYR 40Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 11
OPP 40
0
12.0%
Skyler Bell run for no gain to the SYR 40Similar
Q4 2:06
4TH & 11
OPP 40
0
13.7%
Connor Stutz punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 1:1122% → 92%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
21.9%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Will Nixon for 7 yds to the SYR 27Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+12
16.3%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Johntay Cook for 12 yds to the SYR 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
17.6%
Steve Angeli pass incomplete to Ibn McDanielsSimilar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+26
16.0%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Dan Villari for 26 yds to the CONN 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
21.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Johntay Cook for 4 yds to the CONN 31Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+6
24.0%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Tyshawn Russell for 6 yds to the CONN 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+10
24.0%
Will Nixon run for 10 yds to the CONN 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:03
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
21.8%
Steve Angeli pass complete to Justus Ross-Simmons for 9 yds to the CONN 6Similar
Q4 0:53
2ND & 1
OPP 6
+3
21.2%
Yasin Willis run for 3 yds to the CONN 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.3%
Yasin Willis 3 Yd Run (Darrell Gill Jr. Pass to Steve Angeli for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CONNDrive 26FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:4123% → 63%
Q4 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.1%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Shamar PorterSimilar
Q4 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
77.6%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Skyler BellSimilar
Q4 0:31
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
78.8%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Reymello MurphySimilar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+27
80.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 27 yds to the SYR 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
67.9%
Joe Fagnano pass incomplete to Thai Chiaokhiao-BowmanSimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
71.5%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 9 yds to the SYR 39Similar
Q4 0:06
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+16
69.0%
Joe Fagnano pass complete to Skyler Bell for 16 yds to the SYR 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+41
37.4%
Chris Freeman 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
57.5%
run for a loss of 2 yards to the SYR 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:48
Yasin Willis 3 Yd Run (Darrell Gill Jr. Pass to Steve Angeli for Two-Point Conversion)
+71.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+42.5
FG · Q4 0:01
Chris Freeman 41 yd FG GOOD
-31.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com