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CCU

Coastal Carolina 7 at Virginia 48

UVA
2025 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2025 · Scott Stadium
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Win probability · UVA
modelUVA aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playUVA scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Jalen John run for 4 yds to the CCU 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsGarbage-time factor
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:01: J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +4.8 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:22: Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +4.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:22: Timeout Virginia, clock 11:22 — CCU win probability +1.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:27: Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 29 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK) — UVA win probability +6.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:18: Jahmal Edrine 2 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Will Bettridge Kick) — UVA win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9CCU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 12:06UVA 4th & 9 at CCU 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.6%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:01CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:49UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    79.4%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:04UVA 4th & 9 at UVA 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.1%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:08CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:49CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:20CCU 4th & 5 at CCU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:50UVA 4th & 9 at UVA 12, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:18CCU 4th & 6 at UVA 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:34CCU 4th & 11 at UVA 41, down 21
    Close callPunted · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−<0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    6.2%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:37CCU 4th & 5 at UVA 49, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 1:28CCU 4th & 6 at UVA 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UVA 4th & 2 at CCU 47, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:13UVA 4th & 8 at CCU 15, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:51CCU 4th & 20 at CCU 15, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:03UVA 4th & 2 at CCU 24, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:14CCU 4th & 6 at CCU 29, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:23UVA 4th & 8 at UVA 40, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:18UVA 4th & 3 at CCU 16, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 100.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    100.0%
    81% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UVA made the numbers' call on 6 of 6CCU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 0:01UVA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:22UVA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:27UVA Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:18UVA Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 10:41UVA Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:26CCU Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 4:12UVA Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UVADrive 1MISSED FG
9 plays · 41 yds · 2:5481% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.1%
J'Mari Taylor run for 5 yds to the UVA 30Similar
Q1 14:22
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
81.0%
J'Mari Taylor run for 4 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
80.9%
J'Mari Taylor run for 3 yds to the UVA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+28
80.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down Coastal Carolina Penalty, Roughing The Passer (Se'Von McDowell) to the CCU 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
80.9%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
80.9%
Chandler Morris run for 1 yd to the CCU 34Similar
Q1 12:10
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
80.6%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Dakota TwittySimilar
Q1 12:06
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+52
80.4%
Will Bettridge 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:0520% → 20%
Q1 12:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
80.3%
(12:06) PENALTY CCU False Start (Elam,Zac) 5 yards from CCU34 to CCU29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:06
1ST & 15
OWN 29
0
80.4%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Malcolm GillieSimilar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+10
80.4%
MJ Morris pass complete to Bryson Graves for 10 yds to the CCU 39Similar
Q1 12:06
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+4
80.3%
MJ Morris run for 4 yds to the CCU 43Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 1
OWN 43
-5
80.0%
PENALTY CCU False Start (Elam,Zac) 5 yards from CCU43 to CCU38. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:01
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
80.1%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 34 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 3DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 2:5180% → 79%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
80.0%
Chandler Morris run for 9 yds to the UVA 37Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+2
80.2%
J'Mari Taylor run for 2 yds to the UVA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
80.1%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+2
80.2%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the UVA 48Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 1
OWN 48
-1
80.2%
Xavier Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 47Similar
Q1 7:49
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
79.4%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jayden ThomasSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4FUMBLE
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:2721% → 23%
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
78.6%
Virginia Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UVA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
78.3%
Dominic Knicely run for 6 yds to the UVA 25Similar
Q1 7:49
2ND & 4
OPP 25
0
78.4%
Dominic Knicely run for no gain to the UVA 25Similar
Q1 7:49
3RD & 4
OPP 25
0
78.6%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 4
OPP 25
+5
77.9%
Afrookhteh,Kian field goal attempt from 42 yards nullified by penaltyGOOD (H: Sebafundi,Emile, LS: Merchant,Nate), clock 06:18 PENALTY UVA Illegal Formation 5 yards from UVA25 to UVA20, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
77.2%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q1 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+7
77.3%
Dominic Knicely run for 7 yds to the UVA 13Similar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 3
OPP 13
-7
77.1%
run for a loss of 7 yards to the UVA 20 fumbled, recovered by UVA James JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:1878% → 77%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
78.4%
Xavier Brown run for 5 yds to the UVA 25Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
78.4%
Xavier Brown run for 7 yds to the UVA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
78.5%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the UVA 34Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
78.4%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Metcalf,Drake) 5 yards from UVA34 to UVA29. NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
78.3%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Jayden ThomasSimilar
Q1 5:22
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+4
78.0%
Chandler Morris run for 4 yds to the UVA 33Similar
Q1 3:04
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
77.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 57 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5623% → 23%
Q1 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
77.3%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q1 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
77.3%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q1 3:04
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
77.6%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for no gain to the CCU 10Similar
Q1 2:08
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
77.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UVA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 7TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 2:0778% → 83%
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
78.4%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd to the UVA 49Similar
Q1 2:08
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+4
78.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 4 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q1 2:08
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+46
78.3%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 46 yds to the CCU 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.1%
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:1120% → 19%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
80.1%
Robby Washington run for 1 yd to the CCU 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+14
80.1%
MJ Morris pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 14 yds to the CCU 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
79.5%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 5 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
0
79.2%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Cameron WrightSimilar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
79.4%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Jameson TuckerSimilar
Q2 13:54
4TH & 5
OWN 45
-5
80.2%
Sebafundi,Emile punt 47 yards to the UVA08 fair catch by Ross,Cam at UVA08 PENALTY CCU Illegal Substitution 5 yards from CCU45 to CCU40. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:49
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
80.7%
Emile Sebafundi punt blocked by Caleb Hardy blocked by Caleb Hardy Sebafundi,Emile punt 0 yards to the CCU40 blocked by Hardy,Caleb recovered by UVA McDonald,Trey at CCU36, End Of Play.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 9TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2782% → 87%
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
82.4%
Xavier Brown run for 4 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+9
82.4%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Jahmal Edrine for 9 yds to the CCU 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
82.5%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Xavier BrownSimilar
Q2 13:49
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+13
82.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 13 yds to the CCU 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+8
82.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 8 yds to the CCU 2Similar
Q2 13:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
81.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd to the CCU 1Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
86.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:0215% → 15%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.0%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
85.1%
Dominic Knicely run for 5 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
84.9%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Jevon EdwardsSimilar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
85.4%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 59 yds , Cam Ross returns for no gain to the UVA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 2:3089% → 89%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-5
88.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morris,Chandler pass complete short right to Harris,Trell caught at UVA16, for 5 yards to the UVA16, End Of Play PENALTY UVA UNR: Unnecessary Roughness 5 yards from UVA11 to UVA06. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:20
1ST & 15
OWN 6
+6
87.1%
J'Mari Taylor run for 6 yds to the UVA 12Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+1
88.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for 1 yd to the UVA 13Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 8
OWN 13
-1
88.5%
Chandler Morris pass complete to J'Mari Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the UVA 12Similar
Q2 7:50
4TH & 9
OWN 12
0
88.5%
Daniel Sparks punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCU 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:3214% → 13%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
86.1%
MJ Morris pass complete to Dominic Knicely for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 48Similar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
86.5%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q2 7:50
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+5
86.6%
MJ Morris run for 5 yds to the UVA 47Similar
Q2 6:18
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
87.1%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Cam Ross at the UVA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 13TD
8 plays · 90 yds · 2:5190% → 96%
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+29
89.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 29 yds to the UVA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
90.0%
Noah Vaughn run for 7 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-5
89.9%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Josey,Noah) 5 yards from UVA46 to UVA41. NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+7
89.9%
Noah Vaughn run for 7 yds to the UVA 48Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+7
89.5%
Noah Vaughn run for 7 yds to the CCU 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
90.1%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+16
90.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 16 yds to the CCU 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
96.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 29 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 1:536% → 6%
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
93.6%
MJ Morris run for 9 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q2 3:27
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
93.1%
MJ Morris pass complete to Robby Washington for 4 yds to the CCU 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
93.4%
MJ Morris pass complete to Brooks Johnson for 22 yds to the UVA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
92.9%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 1 yd to the UVA 39Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 9
OPP 39
-2
93.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the UVA 41Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 11
OPP 41
0
93.6%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Robby WashingtonSimilar
Q2 1:34
4TH & 11
OPP 41
0
93.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 15TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 1:1696% → 98%
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
95.6%
Chandler Morris run for 8 yds to the UVA 28Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
95.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 3 yds to the UVA 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.9%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Trell HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
95.8%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Dakota Twitty for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:43
3RD & 3
50
+48
96.1%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Trell Harris for 48 yds to the CCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
94.8%
Chandler Morris pass incomplete to Cam RossSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+2
98.4%
Jahmal Edrine 2 Yd pass from Chandler Morris (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.8%
Jalen John run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-70
98.4%
MJ Morris pass intercepted Ethan Minter return for 60 yds Virginia Penalty, Illegal Block (Ja'son Prevard) to the UVA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:5899% → 99%
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
98.6%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 6 yds to the UVA 46Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
98.6%
J'Mari Taylor run for no gain to the UVA 46Similar
Q3 14:39
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+8
98.7%
J'Mari Taylor run for 8 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
98.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 15 yds to the CCU 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
98.7%
PENALTY UVA False Start (Morris,Chandler) 5 yards from CCU31 to CCU36. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+4
98.7%
Chandler Morris pass complete to Xavier Brown for 4 yds to the CCU 32Similar
Q3 14:39
2ND & 11
OPP 32
+2
98.7%
Xavier Brown run for 2 yds to the CCU 30Similar
Q3 14:39
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+28
98.7%
Chandler Morris run for 28 yds to the CCU 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.2%
J'Mari Taylor 2 Yd Run (Will Bettridge Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
18 plays · 79 yds · 6:111% → 1%
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-3
99.2%
Dominic Knicely run for a loss of 3 yards to the CCU 18Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 13
OWN 18
+2
99.3%
MJ Morris pass complete to Jameson Tucker for 2 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 11
OWN 20
+14
99.3%
MJ Morris pass complete to Cameron Wright for 14 yds to the CCU 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
99.2%
MJ Morris pass complete to Colton Hinton for 4 yds to the CCU 38Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+8
99.2%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 8 yds to the CCU 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.2%
MJ Morris pass complete to Colton Hinton for 2 yds to the CCU 48Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+3
99.2%
MJ Morris run for 3 yds to the UVA 49Similar
Q3 10:37
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
99.2%
Tad Hudson pass incomplete to Bryson GravesSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+8
99.2%
MJ Morris pass complete to Eli Aragon for 8 yds to the UVA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
99.2%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the UVA 37Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+10
99.1%
Jalen John run for 10 yds to the UVA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
99.1%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morris,MJ pass incomplete short left to Johnson,Brooks thrown to UVA26 broken up by Charles,Christian PENALTY CCU Holding (Elam,Zac) 10 yards from UVA27 to UVA37. NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 10:37
1ST & 20
OPP 37
+5
99.2%
MJ Morris pass complete to Robby Washington for 5 yds to the UVA 32Similar
Q3 10:37
2ND & 15
OPP 32
+24
99.1%
MJ Morris pass complete to Robby Washington for 24 yds to the UVA 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
99.4%
Ja'Vin Simpkins 8 Yd Run (Kian Afrookhteh Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20DOWNS
9 plays · 43 yds · 2:440% → 0%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.7%
MJ Morris pass complete to Malick Meiga for 9 yds to the CCU 34Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+9
99.7%
MJ Morris pass complete to Cameron Wright for 9 yds to the CCU 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
99.7%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 2 yds to the CCU 45Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+19
99.7%
MJ Morris pass complete to Malick Meiga for 19 yds to the UVA 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
99.6%
Ja'Vin Simpkins run for 4 yds to the UVA 32Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
99.6%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 6
OPP 32
0
99.6%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Brooks JohnsonSimilar
Q3 1:28
4TH & 6
OPP 32
0
99.7%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Robby WashingtonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 21FG
17 plays · 53 yds · 5:15100% → 100%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
99.7%
Noah Vaughn run for 5 yds to the UVA 37Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+4
99.7%
Noah Vaughn run for 4 yds to the UVA 41Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+4
99.7%
Noah Vaughn run for 4 yds to the UVA 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.7%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to Noah VaughnSimilar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to TyLyric Coleman for 6 yds to the CCU 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+2
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin run for 2 yds to the CCU 47Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+5
99.7%
Noah Vaughn run for 5 yds to the CCU 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to TyLyric ColemanSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
99.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 7 yds to the CCU 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+5
99.8%
Harrison Waylee run for 5 yds to the CCU 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Dillon Newton-Short for 13 yds to the CCU 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to Dillon Newton-ShortSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.8%
Noah Vaughn run for 2 yds to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 15
0
99.8%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to Dakota TwittySimilar
Q4 11:13
4TH & 8
OPP 15
+32
99.9%
Will Bettridge 32 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
99.9%
No Huddle-Shotgun Morris,MJ pass complete short left to Wright,Cameron caught at CCU24, for 8 yards to the CCU33 (Platt,Donavon), out of bounds PENALTY CCU Holding (Washington,Robby) 10 yards from CCU25 to CCU15. NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:13
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+6
99.9%
Jevon Edwards run for 6 yds to the CCU 21Similar
Q4 11:13
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+1
99.9%
MJ Morris pass complete to Jevon Edwards for 1 yd to the CCU 22Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-7
99.9%
MJ Morris sacked for a loss of 7 yards to the CCU 15Similar
Q4 8:51
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CCU 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 23FG
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q4 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
99.9%
Daniel Kaelin pass complete to Andre Greene Jr. for 7 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 8:51
2ND & 3
OPP 25
+2
99.9%
Harrison Waylee run for 2 yds to the CCU 23Similar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 1
OPP 23
-1
99.9%
Harrison Waylee run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCU 24Similar
Q4 7:03
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Will Bettridge 41 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Dominic Knicely run for 2 yds to the CCU 27Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-10
99.9%
Coastal Carolina Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the CCU 19Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+10
99.9%
Dominic Knicely run for 10 yds to the CCU 29Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
MJ Morris pass incomplete to Eli AragonSimilar
Q4 5:14
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
99.9%
Emile Sebafundi punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UVA 38 , Josiah Abdullah returns for 12 yds to the UVA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:51100% → 100%
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to John RogersSimilar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.9%
Davis Lane Jr. run for 2 yds to the UVA 40Similar
Q4 5:14
3RD & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Daniel Kaelin pass incomplete to John RogersSimilar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 8
OWN 40
0
99.9%
Elijah Slibeck punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Bryson Graves at the CCU 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26FUMBLE
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:130% → 0%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
100.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Cameron Wright for 5 yds to the CCU 10Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 5
OWN 10
+6
100.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Malcolm Gillie for 6 yds to the CCU 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
100.0%
MJ Morris pass complete to Cameron Wright for 4 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q4 4:23
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
100.0%
Breyahn Townsend run for 5 yds to the CCU 25Similar
Q4 2:10
3RD & 1
OWN 25
-2
100.0%
Breyahn Townsend run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCU 23 Breyahn Townsend fumbled, recovered by UVA Kevon GraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:52100% → 100%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
100.0%
Harrison Waylee run for 3 yds to the CCU 20Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+1
100.0%
Noah Vaughn run for 1 yd to the CCU 19Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 6
OPP 19
+3
100.0%
Noah Vaughn run for 3 yds to the CCU 16Similar
Q4 0:18
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+13
100.0%
run for 13 yds to the CCU 29 fumbled, recovered by UVA Boone LourdSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 28END OF GAME
1 play · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
100.0%
Jalen John run for 4 yds to the CCU 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:27
Chandler Morris pass complete to Cam Ross for 29 yds for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 11:22
Harrison Waylee run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q1 0:01
J'Mari Taylor run for 1 yd for a TD (Will Bettridge KICK)
+4.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com