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ND

Notre Dame 49 at Stanford 20

STAN
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · Stanford Stadium
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Win probability · STAN
modelSTAN aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playSTAN scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:31 · (08:38) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #25 M.Brown caught at STAN20, for 13 yards to the STAN34 (#7 J.Stroman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior−33.8Home team on offense−43.9Score differential−30.2Garbage-time factor−13.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−9.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:43: (08:48) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 2 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:43 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +0.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:52: (01:58) Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 1 yard gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:52 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +0.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:33: (14:44) No Huddle #40 J.Burnham pass complete short middle to #28 L.Talich caught at UND25, for 84 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:33, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:26: (07:32) Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:26 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — ND win probability +0.8 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:17: (00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #24 J.Price caught at STAN08, for 12 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:17, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci) — STAN win probability +0.5 pts (now 1%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
STAN made the numbers' call on 7 of 10ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 12:22ND 4th & 1 at STAN 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.3%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:19STAN 4th & 6 at STAN 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:57ND 4th & 3 at STAN 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%−<0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 0:28STAN 4th & 5 at STAN 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:33ND 4th & 9 at ND 16, up 14
    Close callWent for it · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.8%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:47STAN 4th & 7 at ND 46, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    3.6%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    3.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:10STAN 4th & 3 at midfield, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.1%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:38STAN 4th & 7 at ND 21, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:41ND 4th & 2 at ND 31, up 25
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:34STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 25, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:12STAN 4th & 10 at STAN 25, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:45ND 4th & 6 at ND 40, up 39
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:31STAN 4th & 2 at STAN 21, down 39
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:30STAN 4th & 1 at STAN 43, down 39
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.4%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:09STAN 4th & 4 at ND 26, down 39
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q3 0:10ND 4th & 7 at ND 45, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 8:43ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:52ND Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:33ND Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:26ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:43ND Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:08ND Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1TD
12 plays · 66 yds · 6:0798% → 97%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
2.3%
(14:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #0 M.Fields caught at UND39, for 10 yards to the UND44 (#22 C.Ojarikre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
2.4%
(14:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND46 (#91 C.Patterson; #35 M.Rose)Similar
Q1 13:48
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
2.5%
(13:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 0 yards to the UND46 (#35 M.Rose; #21 S.Edwards)Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+7
2.6%
(13:06) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 7 yards gain to the STAN47 (#35 M.Rose). The previous play is under automatic review - "Short of the line to gain". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (13:06) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 8 yards gain to the STAN46 (#35 M.Rose), 1ST DOWN)Similar
Q1 12:22
4TH & 1
OPP 47
+2
2.7%
(12:28) No Huddle #13 C.Carr rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN45 (#94 A.Franklin), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
2.8%
(11:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN45 (#5 J.Green)Similar
Q1 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
2.9%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 7 yards gain to the STAN38 (#44 E.Cooper)Similar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+18
3.0%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 18 yards gain to the STAN20 (#32 M.Leigber; #22 C.Ojarikre), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+18
3.1%
(10:01) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 18 yards gain to the STAN02 (#32 M.Leigber), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
3.2%
(09:22) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN02 (#35 M.Rose; #98 Z.Buckey)Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.0%
(08:48) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 2 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 08:43 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:143% → 3%
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
3.2%
(08:37) #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN24 (#3 J.Sneed)Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+1
3.3%
(08:04) #11 B.Farrell rush left for 1 yard gain to the STAN25 (#40 J.Burnham)Similar
Q1 7:26
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
3.3%
(07:28) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #3 C.Williams thrown to STAN27Similar
Q1 7:19
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
3.3%
(07:25) #37 A.Flintoft punt 36 yards to the UND39 fair catch by #6 J.Faison at UND39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 5:2397% → 97%
Q1 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.3%
(07:19) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short middle to #6 J.Faison thrown to STAN48 broken up by #9 B.NicholsonSimilar
Q1 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
3.3%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 4 yards gain to the UND43 (#0 J.Galvan; #11 T.Tafiti). #4 J.Love injured on the playSimilar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+8
3.4%
(06:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short middle to #2 W.Pauling caught at STAN49, for 8 yards to the STAN49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
3.5%
(06:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush middle for 7 yards gain to the STAN42 (#0 J.Galvan; #14 W.Aybar)Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+14
3.6%
(05:37) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #24 J.Price caught at STAN48, for 14 yards to the STAN28 (#91 C.Patterson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
3.7%
(04:59) Shotgun #24 J.Price rush right for 4 yards gain to the STAN24 (#35 M.Rose; #97 Z.Rowell)Similar
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
3.7%
(04:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN22 (#29 D.Davis)Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+1
3.9%
(03:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 1 yard gain to the STAN21 (#45 O.Staples; #44 E.Cooper)Similar
Q1 2:57
4TH & 3
OPP 21
+14
4.1%
(03:02) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #24 J.Price caught at STAN22, for 14 yards to the STAN07 (#11 T.Tafiti), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
4.0%
(02:28) Shotgun #24 J.Price rush right for 6 yards gain to the STAN01 (#45 O.Staples; #32 M.Leigber)Similar
Q1 1:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.4%
(01:58) Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 1 yard gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:52 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:134% → 4%
Q1 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
3.7%
(01:51) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #86 S.Roush caught at STAN32, for 14 yards to the STAN39 (#34 D.Bowen; #4 J.Ausberry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
3.8%
(01:18) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #86 S.Roush thrown to STAN39Similar
Q1 1:09
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
3.7%
(01:14) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN44 (#4 J.Ausberry)Similar
Q1 0:35
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
3.8%
(00:39) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Williams thrown to UND30Similar
Q1 0:28
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
3.8%
(00:35) #37 A.Flintoft punt 41 yards to the UND15 fair catch by #6 J.Faison at UND15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 0:5496% → 98%
Q1 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
3.7%
(00:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND16 (#44 E.Cooper; #35 M.Rose)Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 16
0
3.8%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short middle to #88 J.Flanigan thrown to UND16 QB hurried by #49 G.KaminskiSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 9
OWN 16
0
3.8%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete deep left to #0 M.Fields thrown to UND40 QB hurried by #49 G.KaminskiSimilar
Q2 14:33
4TH & 9
OWN 16
+84
2.5%
(14:44) No Huddle #40 J.Burnham pass complete short middle to #28 L.Talich caught at UND25, for 84 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:33, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 6DOWNS
11 plays · 29 yds · 3:383% → 3%
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
2.8%
(14:31) #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN25 (#93 J.Dawson; #12 J.Botelho)Similar
Q2 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
2.8%
(13:55) #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #88 B.Blackburn caught at STAN27, for 13 yards to the STAN38 (#34 D.Bowen; #8 A.Shuler), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
3.0%
(13:15) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #11 B.Farrell thrown to UND43Similar
Q2 13:05
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
2.9%
(13:10) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush right for 2 yards gain to the STAN40 (#12 J.Botelho; #34 D.Bowen)Similar
Q2 12:19
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+11
3.0%
(12:30) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #25 M.Brown caught at STAN49, for 11 yards to the UND49, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
3.1%
(11:54) Shotgun #34 C.Hampton rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND48 (#34 D.Bowen)Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
3.1%
(11:19) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #11 B.Farrell thrown to UND47 broken up by #6 C.Gray QB hurried by #4 J.AusberrySimilar
Q2 11:09
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+2
3.1%
(11:16) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #0 C.High caught at UND47, for 2 yards to the UND46 (#0 D.Smith)Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
3.1%
(10:52) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short left to #3 C.Williams thrown to UND43 broken up by #15 L.Moore, TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
8 plays · 54 yds · 3:1398% → 99%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
2.3%
(10:45) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete deep right to #0 M.Fields thrown to STAN20 broken up by #22 C.OjarikreSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
2.3%
(10:38) Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 6 yards gain to the STAN48 (#51 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+10
2.3%
(10:04) Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 10 yards gain to the STAN38 (#32 M.Leigber), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+25
2.2%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #22 A.Williams caught at STAN21, for 25 yards to the STAN13 (#32 M.Leigber), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+6
2.1%
(08:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush right for 6 yards gain to the STAN07 (#23 H.Barth)Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 4
OPP 7
-1
2.2%
(08:16) Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 1 yard loss to the STAN08 (#23 H.Barth)Similar
Q2 7:34
3RD & 5
OPP 8
+6
2.3%
(07:39) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #9 E.Raridon caught at STAN06, for 6 yards to the STAN02 (#35 M.Rose; #11 T.Tafiti), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
1.4%
(07:32) Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:26 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 8FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 4:431% → 1%
Q2 7:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.1%
(07:25) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 3 yards gain to the STAN28 (#47 J.Onye) PENALTY UND Face Mask (#47 J.Onye) 15 yards from STAN28 to STAN43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
1.1%
(07:05) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #0 C.High thrown to STAN47 broken up by #15 L.Moore PENALTY STAN Ineligible Downfield on Pass declinedSimilar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
1.1%
(06:59) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN45 (#47 J.Onye)Similar
Q2 6:16
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
1.0%
(06:22) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Williams thrown to UND35Similar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 8
OWN 45
+5
1.0%
(06:14) PENALTY UND Offside (#8 A.Shuler) 5 yards from STAN45 to STAN50. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 6:10
4TH & 3
50
+14
1.0%
(06:16) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #3 C.Williams caught at UND48, for 14 yards to the UND36 (#3 J.Sneed), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
1.1%
(05:43) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UND33 (#40 J.Burnham)Similar
Q2 4:53
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
1.1%
(04:58) #33 C.Tabb rush right for 6 yards gain to the UND27 (#12 J.Botelho; #6 C.Gray)Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
1.0%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UND24 (#12 J.Botelho), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
1.6%
(04:04) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND23 (#8 A.Shuler)Similar
Q2 3:18
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+2
1.1%
(03:25) Shotgun #34 C.Hampton rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND21 (#34 D.Bowen)Similar
Q2 2:43
3RD & 7
OPP 21
0
1.0%
(02:48) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #0 C.High thrown to UND14Similar
Q2 2:38
4TH & 7
OPP 21
+39
1.1%
(02:41) #13 E.Kenney field goal attempt from 39 yards GOOD (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford), clock 02:38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:3799% → 99%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
1.5%
(02:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #0 M.Fields caught at UND27, for 4 yards to the UND27 (#9 B.Nicholson)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
1.3%
(02:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #9 E.Raridon caught at UND30, for 3 yards to the UND30 (#9 B.Nicholson), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+1
1.2%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 1 yard gain to the UND31 (#9 B.Nicholson; #23 H.Barth)Similar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
1.3%
(01:52) #16 J.Rendell punt 40 yards to the STAN29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 10INT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:151% → 1%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
1.2%
(01:41) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #26 S.Irvin thrown to STAN40Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
1.2%
(01:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #0 C.High caught at STAN29, for 0 yards to the STAN29 (#0 D.Smith)Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
1.2%
(01:26) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass intercepted by #15 L.Moore at STAN45, End Of PlaySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11TD
11 plays · 45 yds · 0:5499% → 99%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
1.3%
(01:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr rush middle for 6 yards gain to the STAN39 (#45 O.Staples)Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
1.1%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #6 J.Faison thrown to STAN34Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+11
1.2%
(00:55) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short middle to #7 T.Washington caught at STAN32, for 11 yards to the STAN28 (#29 D.Davis; #35 M.Rose), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
1.1%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #0 M.Fields caught at STAN21, for 8 yards to the STAN20 (#23 H.Barth; #10 J.Washington), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 0:34
2ND & 2
OPP 20
0
1.0%
(00:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete deep left to #2 W.Pauling thrown to STAN00Similar
Q2 0:29
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+8
1.1%
(00:33) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #6 J.Faison caught at STAN15, for 8 yards to the STAN12 (#9 B.Nicholson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
1.0%
(00:29) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #0 M.Fields thrown to STAN00. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 12
0
1.0%
(00:27) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short middle to #9 E.Raridon thrown to STAN00 broken up by #23 H.BarthSimilar
Q2 0:17
3RD & 10
OPP 12
+12
1.2%
(00:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short left to #24 J.Price caught at STAN08, for 12 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:17, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.6%
(00:16) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 4 yards gain to the STAN29 (#34 D.Bowen)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:201% → 1%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.0%
(14:59) #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #18 M.Libman thrown to UND47 broken up by #6 C.GraySimilar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
(14:53) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #25 M.Brown thrown to STAN30Similar
Q3 14:45
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
(14:50) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #25 M.Brown thrown to STAN30Similar
Q3 14:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
0.9%
(14:44) #37 A.Flintoft punt 52 yards to the UND23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
4 plays · 77 yds · 1:3299% → 99%
Q3 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+54
0.8%
(14:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete deep middle to #6 J.Faison caught at STAN23, for 54 yards to the STAN23, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
0.7%
(13:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 9 yards gain to the STAN14, out of bounds at STAN14Similar
Q3 13:11
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+1
0.7%
(13:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush right for 1 yard gain to the STAN13 (#91 C.Patterson; #22 C.Ojarikre), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY STAN Holding (#94 A.Franklin) 7 yards from STAN13 to STAN06, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
0.6%
(12:46) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short middle to #6 J.Faison caught at STAN00, for 6 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:43 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:241% → 1%
Q3 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
(12:42) Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 0 yards to the STAN25 (#7 J.Stroman)Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
(12:06) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #11 B.Farrell thrown to STAN26 broken up by #15 L.MooreSimilar
Q3 12:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
0.6%
(12:02) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #0 C.High caught at STAN20, for 0 yards to the STAN25 (#15 L.Moore)Similar
Q3 11:12
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+8
0.6%
(11:24) #37 A.Flintoft punt 47 yards to the UND28 #6 J.Faison return 8 yards to the UND36 (#84 C.Holt)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2099% → 99%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
0.6%
(11:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #4 J.Love rush middle for 2 yards loss to the UND34 (#75 B.Marceau-Olayinka; #49 G.Kaminski)Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 12
OWN 34
0
0.6%
(10:30) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short to #7 T.Washington thrown to UND48. The previous play is under automatic review - "Runner was out of bounds". CALL UPHELDSimilar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 12
OWN 34
+6
0.6%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #4 J.Love caught at UND31, for 6 yards to the UND40 (#35 M.Rose), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 9:45
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
0.7%
(09:49) #16 J.Rendell punt 47 yards to the STAN13 fair catch by #13 L.Thorpe at STAN13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 17FG
16 plays · 61 yds · 7:270% → 0%
Q3 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
0.4%
(09:42) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush left for 2 yards gain to the STAN15 (#15 L.Moore)Similar
Q3 9:04
2ND & 8
OWN 15
0
0.3%
(09:08) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep right to #0 C.High thrown to STAN43Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 8
OWN 15
+6
0.3%
(09:03) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #25 M.Brown caught at STAN20, for 6 yards to the STAN21 (#0 D.Smith)Similar
Q3 8:31
4TH & 2
OWN 21
+13
0.3%
(08:38) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #25 M.Brown caught at STAN20, for 13 yards to the STAN34 (#7 J.Stroman), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-6
0.3%
(08:00) Shotgun #2 E.Brown sacked for loss of 6 yards to the STAN28 (#19 M.Faraimo) PENALTY STAN Holding declinedSimilar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+13
0.3%
(07:54) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #86 S.Roush caught at STAN38, for 13 yards to the STAN41 (#19 M.Faraimo; #7 J.Stroman)Similar
Q3 7:06
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+2
0.3%
(07:14) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #33 C.Tabb caught at STAN41, for 2 yards to the STAN43 (#4 J.Ausberry)Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
0.3%
(06:35) Shotgun #34 C.Hampton rush right for 3 yards gain to the STAN46 (#0 D.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
0.3%
(05:54) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short middle to #86 S.Roush thrown to UND39Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
0.3%
(05:51) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #25 M.Brown caught at UND48, for 8 yards to the UND46 (#0 D.Smith)Similar
Q3 5:01
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+14
0.3%
(05:10) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short left to #88 B.Blackburn caught at UND33, for 14 yards to the UND32 (#3 J.Sneed), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
0.2%
(04:31) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush left for 5 yards gain to the UND27 (#4 J.Ausberry; #95 B.Young)Similar
Q3 3:47
2ND & 5
OPP 27
-1
0.2%
(03:52) #34 C.Hampton rush right for 1 yard loss to the UND28 (#28 L.Talich)Similar
Q3 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+2
0.2%
(03:11) #0 C.High rush right for 2 yards gain to the UND26 (#8 A.Shuler)Similar
Q3 2:09
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
0.2%
(02:13) #13 E.Kenney field goal attempt from 44 yards GOOD (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford), clock 02:09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18Uncategorized
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q3 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
0.3%
(02:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #17 E.Burress caught at UND40, for 12 yards to the UND42 (#26 C.Garland), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
0.3%
(01:34) Shotgun #4 J.Love rush left for 1 yard loss to the UND41 (#39 C.Eckhardt)Similar
Q3 0:48
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+4
0.3%
(00:57) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass complete short right to #17 E.Burress caught at UND45, for 4 yards to the UND45 (#26 C.Garland)Similar
Q3 0:11
3RD & 7
OWN 45
0
0.3%
(00:14) Shotgun #13 C.Carr pass incomplete short left to #17 E.Burress thrown to UND50Similar
Q3 0:10
4TH & 7
OWN 45
0
0.3%
(00:10) #16 J.Rendell punt 46 yards to the STAN09Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 19TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 2:390% → 0%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
0.1%
(15:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 5 yards gain to the STAN14 (#47 J.Onye; #15 L.Moore)Similar
Q4 14:25
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+15
0.1%
(14:25) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete deep left to #3 C.Williams thrown to STAN40 PENALTY UND Pass Interference (#7 J.Stroman) 15 yards from STAN14 to STAN29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+27
0.1%
(14:19) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short middle to #86 S.Roush caught at STAN38, for 27 yards to the UND44 (#7 J.Stroman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
0.1%
(13:38) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UND41 (#40 J.Burnham)Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
0.1%
(12:56) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short left to #11 B.Farrell thrown to UND35 QB hurried by #19 M.FaraimoSimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+32
0.1%
(12:52) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete deep right to #0 C.High caught at UND09, for 32 yards to the UND09 QB hurried by #93 J.Dawson, out of bounds at UND09, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 12:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
0.2%
(12:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass incomplete short right to #18 M.Libman thrown to UND08Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.2%
(12:19) #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #11 B.Farrell caught at UND00, for 9 yards to the UND00 QB hurried by #4 J.Ausberry TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:15 #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:57100% → 100%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.3%
(12:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush right for 2 yards gain to the UND27 (#51 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q4 11:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
0.2%
(11:42) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush right for 0 yards to the UND27 (#45 O.Staples; #49 G.Kaminski)Similar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
0.2%
(11:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #22 A.Williams caught at UND27, for 15 yards to the UND42 (#29 D.Davis), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
0.2%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 6 yards gain to the UND48 (#29 D.Davis; #91 C.Patterson)Similar
Q4 9:47
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+1
0.2%
(09:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 1 yard gain to the UND49 (#91 C.Patterson; #49 G.Kaminski)Similar
Q4 9:08
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+51
0.2%
(09:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 51 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:08, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21Uncategorized
14 plays · 52 yds · 9:34100% → 100%
Q4 10:00
3RD & 5
OPP 6
-9
0.2%
(00:25) Shotgun #8 K.Minchey rush middle for 9 yards loss to the STAN15 fumbled by #8 K.Minchey at STAN10 recovered by UND #85 J.Larsen at STAN15, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.2%
(03:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass incomplete deep right to #17 E.Burress thrown to STAN34 broken up by #26 C.GarlandSimilar
Q4 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+14
0.2%
(03:46) Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass complete short middle to #14 M.Gilbert caught at UND45, for 14 yards to the UND47 (#26 C.Garland), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
0.1%
(03:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass incomplete short right to #85 J.Larsen thrown to UND46Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+5
0.1%
(03:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #17 E.Burress caught at STAN49, for 5 yards to the STAN48, End Of PlaySimilar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+8
0.1%
(02:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #14 M.Gilbert caught at STAN43, for 8 yards to the STAN40 (#98 Z.Buckey), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
0.2%
(01:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #23 N.James Jr. rush right for 3 yards gain to the STAN37 (#57 K.Briehler)Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
0.2%
(01:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass incomplete deep left to #14 M.Gilbert thrown to STAN00 broken up by #28 S.Neely IIISimilar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+15
0.2%
(01:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey rush left for 15 yards gain to the STAN22 (#15 D.Utu), 1ST DOWN, PENALTY STAN Targeting (#15 D.Utu) 11 yard from STAN22 to STAN11, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 9
OPP 11
-1
0.1%
(01:03) Shotgun #23 N.James Jr. rush middle for 1 yard loss to the STAN12 (#51 S.Mattingly)Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 11
OPP 12
+6
0.1%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 K.Minchey pass complete short right to #85 J.Larsen caught at STAN12, for 6 yards to the STAN06 (#51 S.Mattingly), out of boundsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
STANDrive 22TD
17 plays · 80 yds · 4:580% → 0%
Q4 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
0.1%
(09:03) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush left for 5 yards gain to the STAN25 (#95 B.Young)Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
0.1%
(08:24) Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN27 (#14 D.Golden)Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+20
0.1%
(08:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #18 M.Libman caught at STAN43, for 20 yards to the STAN47 QB hurried by #56 E.Hughes (#24 M.Zackery IV), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
0.1%
(07:33) #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN49 (#88 A.Mukam)Similar
Q4 6:42
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
0.1%
(06:54) Shotgun #2 E.Brown pass complete short right to #11 B.Farrell caught at UND45, for 6 yards to the UND45 (#15 L.Moore)Similar
Q4 6:29
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
0.1%
(06:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #26 S.Irvin rush middle for 3 yards gain to the UND42 (#56 E.Hughes), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
0.1%
(06:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #33 C.Tabb rush middle for 2 yards gain to the UND40 (#93 J.Dawson)Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
0.1%
(05:45) Shotgun #17 C.Mirer pass incomplete short middle to #25 M.Brown thrown to UND33 broken up by #44 J.TuihalamakaSimilar
Q4 5:28
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+30
0.1%
(05:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 C.Mirer rush left for 30 yards gain to the UND10 (#15 L.Moore), 1ST DOWN. #7 J.Stroman injured on the playSimilar
Q4 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
0.1%
PENALTY STAN False Start (#71 E.Ugorji) 5 yards from UND10 to UND15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
-4
0.1%
(05:09) Shotgun #17 C.Mirer sacked for loss of 7 yards to the UND22 (#34 D.Bowen, #42 C.Mullins)Similar
Q4 4:21
2ND & GOAL
OPP 22
+19
0.1%
(04:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 C.Mirer pass complete short right to #86 S.Roush caught at UND09, for 19 yards to the UND03 (#3 J.Sneed)Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #17 C.Mirer pass complete short left to #25 M.Brown caught at UND00, for 3 yards to the UND00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 04:00, 1ST DOWN #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #93 P.Warford) #13 E.Kenney kick attempt good (H: #37 A.Flintoft, LS: #47 A.Chavez)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:33
(14:44) No Huddle #40 J.Burnham pass complete short middle to #28 L.Talich caught at UND25, for 84 yards to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 14:33, 1ST DOWN #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)
-1.3
TD · Q2 7:26
(07:32) Shotgun #22 A.Williams rush middle for 2 yards gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 07:26 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)
-0.8
TD · Q1 1:52
(01:58) Shotgun #24 J.Price rush middle for 1 yard gain to the STAN00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 01:52 #18 E.Schmidt kick attempt good (H: #10 T.Buchner, LS: #96 J.Vinci)
-0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com