Try the model
BC

Boston College 34 at Syracuse 12

SYR
2025 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025 · JMA Wireless Dome
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.8SYR 45.7%(14:15) #47 T.Woody field goal attemptfrom 49 yards GOOD (H: #41J.Stonehouse, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.),clock 14:15AWAY 3 - HOME 3 · Q2 14:15
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:15 · (14:15) #47 T.Woody field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #41 J.Stonehouse, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock 14:15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+55.0+27.50−27.5−55.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Home team on offense+1.4Score differential−0.3Pregame prior−8.7Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 14:15: (14:15) #47 T.Woody field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #41 J.Stonehouse, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock 14:15 — SYR win probability +1.8 pts (now 46%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:28: (00:28) #99 L.Lombardo field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook), clock 00:28 — BC win probability +9.3 pts (now 57%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:54: (11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush left for 16 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:54, 1ST DOWN kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook) #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook) — BC win probability +13.1 pts (now 72%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:59: (00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:59 #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook) — BC win probability +11.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:35: (13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 46 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:35, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook) — BC win probability +7.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:31BC 4th & 8 at SYR 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.8%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:58SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:04BC 4th & 12 at SYR 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.3%
    86% to make
    Punt
    51.4%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:15SYR 4th & 5 at BC 30, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.4%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    45.7%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:41BC 4th & 4 at BC 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.4
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:05SYR 4th & 5 at BC 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    46.0%−5.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:28BC 4th & 6 at SYR 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−1.2
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    85% to make
    Punt
    40.8%−6.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:53SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.6%−2.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:41SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.3%−3.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:07BC 4th & 10 at SYR 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.1%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%
    72% to make
    Punt
    60.8%−7.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:11SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−2.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:10SYR 4th & 17 at SYR 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−1.9
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:32SYR 4th & 9 at SYR 25, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.5
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 3:20SYR 4th & 1 at BC 1, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:08BC 4th & 2 at SYR 35, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:36SYR 4th & 4 at BC 30, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.7%−<0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    0.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q3 11:54BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 0:59BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:35BC Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:24BC Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1PUNT
13 plays · 28 yds · 4:0562% → 60%
Q1 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
38.5%
(14:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short right to #48 Z.Moore caught at BC26, for 3 yards to the BC28 (#5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q1 14:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
38.6%
(14:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BC31 (#26 T.Haile)Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
38.9%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #9 D.Lonergan pass complete short left to #11 L.Bond caught at BC36, for 5 yards to the BC36 (#1 D.Samuel Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
38.9%
PENALTY SYRA Offside 5 yards from BC36 to BC41. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 12:43
1ST & 5
OWN 41
+2
39.0%
(12:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC43 (#13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q1 12:08
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+8
39.1%
(12:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 8 yards gain to the SYRA49 (#26 T.Haile), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
39.2%
(11:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush left for 2 yards loss to the BC49 (#30 N.Nyandoro)Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+5
39.4%
PENALTY BC Encroachment 5 yards from BC49 to BC44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 11:13
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+9
39.6%
(11:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SYRA47 (#23 D.Grant)Similar
Q1 10:38
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
39.6%
(10:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete short middle to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA40 QB hurried by #82 J.TrembleSimilar
Q1 10:31
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
40.0%
(10:34) #28 S.Florio punt 36 yards to the SYRA11 fair catch by #1 D.Samuel Jr. at SYRA11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 2:2340% → 41%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+2
40.2%
(10:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA13 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 8
OWN 13
0
40.4%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 0 yards to the SYRA13 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q1 9:07
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+5
40.4%
PENALTY SYRA Delay Of Game 5 yards from SYRA13 to SYRA08. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 13
OWN 8
+3
40.5%
(08:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short left to #19 D.Bacheyie caught at SYRA05, for 3 yards to the SYRA11 (#88 S.McConnell)Similar
Q1 7:58
4TH & 10
OWN 11
0
40.5%
(07:58) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 29 yards to the SYRA40, out of bounds at SYRA40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FG
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:3660% → 59%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
40.1%
(07:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short right to #17 J.Franklin caught at SYRA39, for 4 yards to the SYRA36 (#12 A.Sparrow; #16 C.Peal)Similar
Q1 7:06
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-2
40.2%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards loss to the SYRA38 (#91 G.Rooks)Similar
Q1 6:10
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+17
40.6%
(06:28) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short middle to #11 L.Bond caught at SYRA21, for 17 yards to the SYRA21 (#13 G.Bryant III), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
40.3%
(05:49) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush left for 0 yards to the SYRA21 (#12 A.Sparrow) PENALTY SYRA Face Mask 11 yard from SYRA21 to SYRA10, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
40.3%
(05:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA08 (#12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
40.5%
(04:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James rush left for 4 yards loss to the SYRA12 (#18 D.Omopariola)Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
0
41.4%
(04:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete short left to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA00 broken up by #16 C.PealSimilar
Q1 4:04
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
41.2%
(04:04) #99 L.Lombardo field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #45 B.Mann), clock 04:04Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 4:3442% → 46%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+7
41.7%
(03:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush left for 7 yards gain to the SYRA24 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q1 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 24
+28
42.1%
(03:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush left for 28 yards gain to the BC48 (#2 K.Price), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
43.0%
(02:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 7 yards gain to the BC41 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+6
43.3%
(01:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush left for 6 yards gain to the BC35 (#17 E.Kolenge; #35 A.McShane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
44.2%
(01:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush left for 3 yards gain to the BC32 (#52 C.Marable Jr.)Similar
Q1 0:31
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
44.5%
(00:31) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush left for 1 yard gain to the BC31 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+1
44.0%
(14:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BC30 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q2 14:15
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+49
45.7%
(14:15) #47 T.Woody field goal attempt from 49 yards GOOD (H: #41 J.Stonehouse, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock 14:15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:1856% → 55%
Q2 13:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
43.8%
(14:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Dodd rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BC28 (#13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
43.8%
(13:34) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short right to #29 M.Dodd caught at BC30, for 3 yards to the BC31 (#19 C.Perry)Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
44.0%
(12:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Richard thrown to BC37 broken up by #8 D.ReeseSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
44.9%
(12:47) #28 S.Florio punt 45 yards to the SYRA24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6FG
15 plays · 65 yds · 9:1046% → 54%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
45.8%
(12:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short middle to #20 D.Kerr caught at SYRA21, for 9 yards to the SYRA33 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q2 11:52
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
47.1%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush middle for 0 yards to the SYRA33 (#55 K.Williams)Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+10
46.7%
(11:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 10 yards gain to the SYRA43 (#88 S.McConnell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
48.1%
(10:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BC49 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q2 9:52
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+4
49.2%
(09:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 4 yards gain to the BC45 (#52 C.Marable Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
49.6%
(09:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BC42 (#24 A.Jackson)Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+5
49.9%
(08:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush right for 5 yards gain to the BC37 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 2
OPP 37
+8
49.9%
(07:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 8 yards gain to the BC29 (#43 G.Collins), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:08
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
51.4%
(07:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC27 (#17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q2 6:17
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+11
51.9%
(06:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #2 J.Cook II caught at BC30, for 11 yards to the BC16 (#0 O.Thornton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+10
52.0%
(05:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush right for 8 yards gain to the BC08 (#7 C.Davis) PENALTY SYRA Holding 10 yards from BC16 to BC26. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 20
OPP 26
+11
51.9%
(05:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush middle for 11 yards gain to the BC15 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+1
52.8%
(04:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BC14 (#91 M.Byerson)Similar
Q2 3:36
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+3
52.1%
(03:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short left to #89 D.Villari caught at BC15, for 3 yards to the BC11 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+29
53.9%
(03:15) #47 T.Woody field goal attempt from 29 yards GOOD (H: #41 J.Stonehouse, LS: #21 F.Brown Jr.), clock 03:05Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 2:2946% → 57%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
53.7%
(02:57) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete deep right to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA27 PENALTY SYRA Pass Interference 15 yards from BC25 to BC40, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
51.6%
(02:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BC43 (#7 C.Thomas)Similar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+18
51.3%
(02:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short left to #11 L.Bond caught at SYRA40, for 18 yards to the SYRA39, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
49.5%
PENALTY BC False Start 5 yards from SYRA39 to SYRA44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+6
53.9%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short middle to #4 R.Harris caught at SYRA38, for 6 yards to the SYRA38 (#0 B.Long Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
52.3%
(01:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short left to #2 T.Richard caught at SYRA41, for 0 yards to the SYRA38 (#94 K.Jobity Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 9
OPP 38
+21
53.1%
(01:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short middle to #4 R.Harris caught at SYRA24, for 21 yards to the SYRA17 (#29 B.Buxton III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
50.7%
(01:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYRA13 (#91 G.Rooks)Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
51.0%
(00:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete short right to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA00 broken up by #1 D.Samuel Jr.Similar
Q2 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 13
0
52.5%
(00:32) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete short middle to #11 L.Bond thrown to SYRA00Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 6
OPP 13
+31
43.2%
(00:28) #99 L.Lombardo field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook), clock 00:28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
48.5%
(00:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #28 M.Coleman rush left for 7 yards gain to the SYRA42 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:4949% → 47%
Q3 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
49.0%
(14:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #7 D.Williams rush right for 5 yards loss to the SYRA20 (#56 E.Boykin)Similar
Q3 14:01
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+3
48.8%
(14:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short left to #24 W.Nixon caught at SYRA15, for 3 yards to the SYRA23 (#44 P.Faoa)Similar
Q3 13:21
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+2
47.6%
(13:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #7 D.Williams caught at SYRA20, for 2 yards to the SYRA25 (#17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
46.7%
(13:06) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 54 yards to the BC21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 0:4154% → 72%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+54
45.8%
(12:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete deep middle to #11 L.Bond caught at BC41, for 54 yards to the SYRA25 (#19 C.Perry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
41.5%
(12:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SYRA16 (#94 K.Jobity Jr.)Similar
Q3 11:54
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+16
28.4%
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush left for 16 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:54, 1ST DOWN kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook) #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:2733% → 31%
Q3 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
32.8%
(10:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush left for 11 yards gain to the SYRA36 (#7 C.Davis), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
33.7%
(09:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA39 (#88 S.McConnell)Similar
Q3 9:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
34.9%
(09:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 5 yards loss to the SYRA34 fumbled by #24 W.Nixon at SYRA35 forced by #55 K.Williams recovered by SYRA #75 T.Mack at SYRA34, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 9:50
3RD & 12
OWN 34
0
31.6%
No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short left to #2 J.Cook II thrown to SYRA40 PENALTY SYRA Pass Interference declinedSimilar
Q3 9:41
4TH & 12
OWN 34
+2
30.9%
#41 J.Stonehouse punt 41 yards to the BC25 #32 C.Comella return 2 yards to the BC27 (#19 C.Perry)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 51 yds · 2:1769% → 72%
Q3 9:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+15
30.8%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short right to #11 L.Bond caught at BC42, for 15 yards to the BC42 (#10 D.Kerr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+36
28.8%
(09:06) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete deep middle to #11 L.Bond caught at SYRA37, for 36 yards to the SYRA22 (#19 C.Perry), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 10
OPP 22
-3
26.6%
(08:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James sacked for loss of 3 yards to the SYRA25 (#11 D.Jaquez Jr.)Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 13
OPP 25
+3
26.6%
(07:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA22 (#5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q3 7:12
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
26.2%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete deep right to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA00 broken up by #16 C.PealSimilar
Q3 7:07
4TH & 10
OPP 22
+40
27.8%
(07:09) #99 L.Lombardo field goal attempt from 40 yards NO GOOD (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook), clock 07:07Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:4331% → 29%
Q3 6:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
30.9%
(07:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA25 (#88 S.McConnell)Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+10
31.2%
(06:19) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush left for 3 yards gain to the SYRA28 (#35 A.McShane) PENALTY SYRA Holding 10 yards from SYRA25 to SYRA15. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 17
OWN 15
+5
30.5%
(05:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #7 D.Williams caught at SYRA20, for 5 yards to the SYRA20 (#32 C.Comella)Similar
Q3 5:18
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
29.1%
(05:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Cook II thrown to SYRA26Similar
Q3 5:11
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
28.5%
(05:17) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 49 yards to the BC31 fair catch by #32 C.Comella at BC31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 3:5273% → 90%
Q3 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+23
26.6%
(05:01) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete deep left to #11 L.Bond caught at SYRA49, for 23 yards to the SYRA46 (#10 D.Kerr), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
24.6%
(04:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA44 (#13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+15
24.5%
(03:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete deep right to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA00 PENALTY SYRA Pass Interference 15 yards from SYRA44 to SYRA29, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
23.1%
(03:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush right for 6 yards gain to the SYRA23 (#13 G.Bryant III)Similar
Q3 3:12
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+3
22.9%
(03:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA20 (#16 C.Peal)Similar
Q3 2:32
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+1
23.3%
(02:37) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SYRA19 (#91 G.Rooks), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
22.5%
(01:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short left to #17 J.Franklin caught at SYRA05, for 17 yards to the SYRA02 (#13 G.Bryant III), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+5
22.5%
(01:46) PENALTY BC Illegal Motion 5 yards from SYRA02 to SYRA07. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
22.2%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 5 yards gain to the SYRA02 (#6 J.Heard Jr.)Similar
Q3 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.5%
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:59 #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 1:4214% → 13%
Q3 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.6%
(00:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete deep right to #7 D.Williams thrown to BC48Similar
Q3 0:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
13.3%
(00:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short left to #24 W.Nixon caught at SYRA34, for 12 yards to the SYRA37 (#35 A.McShane), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
14.1%
(00:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 1 yard gain to the SYRA38 (#7 C.Davis; #52 C.Marable Jr.)Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+5
14.0%
PENALTY SYRA False Start 5 yards from SYRA38 to SYRA33. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 14
OWN 33
0
13.1%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #2 J.Cook II thrown to SYRA49Similar
Q4 14:44
3RD & 14
OWN 33
-3
12.9%
(14:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi sacked for loss of 3 yards to the SYRA30 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q4 14:10
4TH & 17
OWN 30
0
12.6%
(14:24) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 41 yards to the BC29 fair catch by #32 C.Comella at BC29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:1890% → 98%
Q4 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+25
9.8%
(14:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short left to #17 J.Franklin caught at BC44, for 25 yards to the SYRA46 (#16 C.Peal), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
2.4%
(13:35) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush middle for 46 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 13:35, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:193% → 3%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
2.8%
(13:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 D.Samuel Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the SYRA25 (#44 P.Faoa)Similar
Q4 12:46
2ND & 9
OWN 25
0
2.8%
(12:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short left to #24 W.Nixon thrown to SYRA25Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 9
OWN 25
0
2.7%
(12:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete deep left to #15 D.Gill Jr. thrown to BC40Similar
Q4 12:32
4TH & 9
OWN 25
0
2.7%
(12:33) #41 J.Stonehouse punt 43 yards to the BC32 fair catch by #32 C.Comella at BC32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 3:0298% → 100%
Q4 12:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
2.5%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete deep middle to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA45Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+5
2.5%
(12:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 5 yards gain to the BC37 (#99 E.Fuentes-Cundiff)Similar
Q4 11:21
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+5
2.1%
(11:46) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short middle to #5 J.McDonald caught at BC42, for 5 yards to the BC42, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
1.9%
(10:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass incomplete deep left to #4 R.Harris thrown to SYRA07Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+3
1.8%
(10:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short right to #11 L.Bond caught at BC39, for 3 yards to the BC45 (#6 J.Heard Jr.)Similar
Q4 9:33
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+41
1.6%
(09:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #3 G.James pass complete short middle to #85 K.Chudzinski caught at SYRA44, for 41 yards to the SYRA14 (#2 D.Chestnut), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
0.3%
(09:24) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 14 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 09:24, 1ST DOWN #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #45 B.Mann)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:560% → 1%
Q4 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
0.2%
(09:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the SYRA28 (#17 E.Kolenge)Similar
Q4 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
0.2%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush left for 3 yards gain to the SYRA31 (#44 P.Faoa)Similar
Q4 7:51
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
0.2%
(07:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SYRA40 (#20 M.Upton), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
0.2%
(07:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 7 yards gain to the SYRA47 (#32 C.Comella)Similar
Q4 7:02
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+26
0.2%
(07:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush left for 26 yards gain to the BC27 (#14 A.Cunningham), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
0.2%
(06:48) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short right to #2 J.Cook II caught at BC22, for 5 yards to the BC22 (#15 Q.Hutchins)Similar
Q4 6:18
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+2
0.2%
(06:22) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC20 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q4 5:30
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+12
0.2%
(05:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass complete short to #2 J.Cook II caught at BC11, for 12 yards to the BC08 (#32 C.Comella), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
0.2%
(05:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush middle for 3 yards gain to the BC05 (#2 K.Price)Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
0.1%
(04:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #24 W.Nixon rush right for 2 yards gain to the BC03 (#52 C.Marable Jr.)Similar
Q4 3:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.1%
(03:58) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 2 yards gain to the BC01 (#0 O.Thornton)Similar
Q4 3:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
1.2%
(03:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #89 D.Villari rush middle for 1 yard gain to the BC00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:20 #89 D.Villari pass attempt failedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 4 yds · 1:5799% → 100%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
0.6%
(03:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Dodd rush middle for 4 yards gain to the SYRA39 (#12 A.Sparrow)Similar
Q4 2:24
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+2
0.6%
(02:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Dodd rush right for 2 yards gain to the SYRA37 (#5 A.Deslauriers)Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
0.3%
(01:53) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Dodd rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA35 (#8 D.Reese)Similar
Q4 1:08
4TH & 2
OPP 35
-4
0.3%
(01:08) No Huddle-Shotgun #29 M.Dodd rush middle for 4 yards loss to the SYRA39 (#12 A.Sparrow), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:221% → 1%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
0.7%
(01:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush middle for 9 yards gain to the SYRA48 (#30 T.Green) PENALTY BC UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct 16 yards from SYRA48 to BC36, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
0.8%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #39 T.Hill rush middle for 6 yards gain to the BC30 (#7 C.Davis)Similar
Q4 0:44
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
0.9%
(00:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete deep middle to #89 D.Villari thrown to BC05Similar
Q4 0:41
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
0.8%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi pass incomplete short right to #89 D.Villari thrown to BC25Similar
Q4 0:36
4TH & 4
OPP 30
-4
0.7%
(00:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #13 J.Filardi rush middle for 4 yards loss to the BC34 (#56 E.Boykin), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
0.3%
(00:31) Kneel down by #3 G.James at BC32 for loss of 2 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:54
(11:54) No Huddle-Shotgun #2 T.Richard rush left for 16 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 11:54, 1ST DOWN kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook) #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)
-13.1
TD · Q3 0:59
(00:59) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 J.McDonald rush middle for 2 yards gain to the SYRA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:59 #99 L.Lombardo kick attempt good (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook)
-11.7
FG · Q2 0:28
(00:28) #99 L.Lombardo field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD (H: #28 S.Florio, LS: #49 C.Crook), clock 00:28
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com