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MIA

Miami 34 at Virginia Tech 17

VT
2025 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2025 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 3:48 · (03:58) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete deep right to #0 A.Greene caught at MIA09, for 39 yards to the MIA03 (#2 D.Brown), 1ST DOWN
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+50.0+25.00−25.0−50.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 156Pregame prior−2.9Home team on offense−35.8Score differential−17.3Garbage-time factor−14.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−10.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:50: (12:51) #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #4 M.Fletcher Jr. caught at VT 01, for 3 yards to the VT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:50 #38 C.Davis kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker) — MIA win probability +3.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 4:16: (04:16) #38 C.Davis field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker), clock 04:16 — MIA win probability +2.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 11:59: Jeffrey Overton Jr. 38 Yd Run (John Love Kick) — VT win probability +7.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:32: C. Beck pass to G. Pringle Jr. for 16 yds, for a TD (C. Davis KICK) — MIA win probability +6.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 3:17: (03:21) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17 PENALTY VT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#5 W.Watson III) 15 yards from MIA00 to MIA03 #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling) — VT win probability +13.1 pts (now 15%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 11 of 11MIA made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 6:18VT 4th & 10 at MIA 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.0%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    15.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:49MIA 4th & 3 at VT 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    80.9%−0.4
    54% to make
    Punt
    80.6%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 8:58VT 4th & 2 at MIA 23, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    16.8%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    14.5%−2.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 4:16MIA 4th & 22 at VT 28, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−1.1
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.6%
    60% to make
    Punt
    80.5%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:03VT 4th & 1 at VT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:01VT 4th & 1 at VT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    14.1%−0.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:57VT 4th & 1 at VT 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    13.8%−0.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:30VT 4th & 13 at VT 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.0%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:37MIA 4th & 8 at VT 22, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    83.9%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:03VT 4th & 19 at VT 40, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−1.9
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:06MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 21, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−1.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.5%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:16VT 4th & 2 at MIA 49, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.3%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:00VT 4th & 1 at MIA 49, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.1%−2.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:07VT 4th & 3 at MIA 41, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.6%−2.1
    32% to make
    Punt
    6.9%−1.8
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:41MIA 4th & 13 at VT 44, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    95.0%−0.5
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:48VT 4th & 11 at MIA 42, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:20MIA 4th & 2 at VT 20, up 9
    Close callWent for it · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%−0.6
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    91.2%−3.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MIA made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 10:16MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:50MIA Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:59VT Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:32MIA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 3:17VT Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.9%−1.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:20MIA Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MIADrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:3487% → 86%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
12.8%
(14:55) Shotgun #9 E.Lofton rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MIA29 (#16 N.Chambers; #22 K.Gilliam Jr.)Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
13.1%
(14:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA32 (#16 N.Chambers; #20 C.Woodson)Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
13.4%
(13:39) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #0 K.Marion caught at MIA29, for 7 yards to the MIA39 (#14 S.Robinson; #11 T.Flowers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
13.6%
(13:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #9 E.Lofton caught at MIA36, for 2 yards to the MIA41 (#11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q1 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+9
13.8%
(12:33) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 9 yards gain to the MIA50 (#94 E.Fall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & 10
50
+32
14.0%
(11:55) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #0 K.Marion caught at VT 34, for 32 yards to the VT 18 (#14 S.Robinson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
14.2%
(11:13) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 15 (#22 K.Gilliam Jr.; #98 K.Huisman)Similar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
14.4%
PENALTY MIA False Start (#78 M.McCoy) 5 yards from VT 15 to VT 20. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 10:16
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+20
13.8%
(10:17) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete deep middle to #9 E.Lofton caught at VT 00, for 20 yards to the VT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 10:16, 1ST DOWN #38 C.Davis kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2FG
10 plays · 48 yds · 3:4014% → 16%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+33
14.3%
(10:10) Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush left for 33 yards gain to the MIA28 (#31 W.Bissainthe; #1 M.Toure), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
14.7%
(09:33) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 6 yards gain to the MIA22 (#7 Z.Poyser) PENALTY VT Holding (#62 K.Altuner) 10 yards from MIA28 to MIA38. NO PLAYSimilar
Q1 9:02
1ST & 20
OPP 38
+14
14.6%
(09:18) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #2 T.Heath caught at MIA24, for 14 yards to the MIA24, out of bounds at MIA24Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+4
14.9%
(08:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MIA20 (#99 A.Moten)Similar
Q1 8:08
3RD & 2
OPP 20
+7
15.0%
(08:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MIA13 (#3 A.Mesidor; #7 Z.Poyser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-1
15.5%
(07:25) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at MIA17, for 1 yard loss to the MIA14 (#1 M.Toure)Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 11
OPP 14
+1
15.7%
(06:52) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush left for 1 yard gain to the MIA13 (#31 W.Bissainthe; #7 Z.Poyser). #31 W.Bissainthe injured on the playSimilar
Q1 6:22
3RD & 10
OPP 13
0
15.6%
(06:28) Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short right thrown to MIA00 QB hurried by #18 A.BlountSimilar
Q1 6:18
4TH & 10
OPP 13
+30
16.2%
(06:18) #17 J.Love field goal attempt from 30 yards GOOD (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling), clock 06:18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 3TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 8:1684% → 85%
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.2%
(06:15) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at MIA20, for 5 yards to the MIA30 (#22 K.Gilliam Jr.)Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
16.3%
(05:38) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MIA34 (#13 K.Copeland)Similar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
16.6%
(04:58) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at MIA30, for 6 yards to the MIA40 (#3 K.Spencer), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 4:02
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+22
16.6%
(04:17) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete deep left to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 40, for 22 yards to the VT 38 (#33 B.Bell), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
16.6%
(03:47) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush right for 4 yards gain to the VT 34 (#97 I.Hickman)Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 6
OPP 34
0
16.7%
(03:05) Shotgun #10 M.Toney rush middle for 0 yards to the VT 34 (#42 A.Stevens)Similar
Q1 2:30
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+3
17.2%
(02:33) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 31 (#11 T.Flowers; #33 B.Bell)Similar
Q1 1:49
4TH & 3
OPP 31
+11
17.9%
(01:55) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 26, for 11 yards to the VT 20 (#23 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
17.3%
(01:13) Shotgun #11 C.Beck rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 17, End Of PlaySimilar
Q1 0:29
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+6
17.5%
(00:29) Shotgun #11 C.Beck rush left for 6 yards gain to the VT 11, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+3
18.1%
(14:56) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 08 (#98 K.Huisman), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 14:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
18.0%
(14:15) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 12, for 2 yards to the VT 06 (#3 K.Spencer; #11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q2 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
18.2%
(13:34) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 03 (#33 B.Bell; #13 K.Copeland)Similar
Q2 12:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.8%
(12:51) #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #4 M.Fletcher Jr. caught at VT 01, for 3 yards to the VT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 12:50 #38 C.Davis kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4DOWNS
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:4216% → 16%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
15.6%
(12:48) Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush left for 6 yards gain to the VT 31 (#5 J.Scott), out of boundsSimilar
Q2 12:09
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+6
15.9%
(12:15) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VT 37 (#3 A.Mesidor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:38
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
16.0%
(11:43) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 13 yards gain to the VT 50 (#24 E.O'Connor), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
50
+19
16.7%
(11:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 19 yards gain to the MIA31 (#13 B.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
17.4%
(10:36) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush left for 6 yards gain to the MIA25 (#35 H.Scroggins III; #10 R.Aguirre, Jr.). #8 J.Thomas injured on the playSimilar
Q2 10:13
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-5
17.5%
(10:18) Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush right for 5 yards loss to the MIA30 (#99 A.Moten)Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+7
16.8%
(09:40) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #27 M.Hawkins caught at MIA36, for 7 yards to the MIA23 (#24 E.O'Connor; #23 D.Day)Similar
Q2 8:58
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+1
16.4%
(09:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIA22 (#22 C.Pruitt), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5FG
11 plays · 50 yds · 4:3484% → 87%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
15.7%
(08:56) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MIA26 (#31 J.Abbey)Similar
Q2 8:04
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+12
15.9%
(08:13) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #0 K.Marion caught at MIA34, for 12 yards to the MIA38 (#9 I.Brown-Murray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
14.9%
(07:38) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 4 yards gain to the MIA42 (#15 B.Johnson; #22 K.Gilliam Jr.) PENALTY VT Personal Foul (#98 K.Huisman) 15 yards from MIA42 to VT 43, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+15
14.9%
(07:14) Shotgun #10 M.Toney pass complete short right to #0 K.Marion caught at VT 35, for 15 yards to the VT 28 (#23 T.Williams), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
14.8%
(06:26) Shotgun #10 M.Toney rush middle for 9 yards gain to the VT 19 (#33 B.Bell)Similar
Q2 5:39
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+3
14.8%
(05:47) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 16 (#16 N.Chambers; #94 E.Fall), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
14.9%
(05:09) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short left to #87 A.Bauman thrown to VT 01 broken up by #23 T.WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+3
14.9%
(05:02) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 13 (#33 B.Bell; #16 N.Chambers)Similar
Q2 4:19
3RD & 7
OPP 13
0
15.1%
(04:19) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short right to #10 M.Toney thrown to VT 14Similar
Q2 4:19
4TH & 7
OPP 13
+15
15.9%
PENALTY MIA UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#4 M.Fletcher Jr.) 15 yards from VT 13 to VT 28. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 4:16
4TH & 22
OPP 28
+46
13.3%
(04:16) #38 C.Davis field goal attempt from 46 yards GOOD (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker), clock 04:16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6PUNT
17 plays · 17 yds · 2:3813% → 14%
Q2 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
12.9%
(04:13) Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush middle for 10 yards gain to the VT 35 (#7 Z.Poyser; #31 W.Bissainthe), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
13.1%
(03:41) No Huddle-Shotgun #8 T.Stewart rush left for 2 yards loss to the VT 33 (#5 J.Scott; #3 A.Mesidor)Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+8
12.9%
(03:04) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 8 yards gain to the VT 41 (#7 Z.Poyser; #24 E.O'Connor)Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
13.6%
(02:33) PENALTY VT False Start (#2 T.Heath) 5 yards from VT 41 to VT 36. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+8
12.7%
(02:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short left to #13 J.Hairston caught at VT 44, for 8 yards to the VT 44, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 2:03
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
13.5%
(02:03) No Huddle #1 K.Drones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the VT 45 (), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 2:01
4TH & 1
OWN 44
-1
13.5%
(02:02) Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VT 43 (#4 R.Bain Jr.), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
Q2 1:57
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+1
13.4%
(02:02) Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 1 yard gain to the VT 45 (#41 C.Smith), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
13.7%
(01:56) Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short right to #0 A.Greene thrown to MIA45 QB hurried by #3 A.MesidorSimilar
Q2 1:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-8
13.5%
(01:51) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones sacked for loss of 8 yards to the VT 37 (#3 A.Mesidor), fumble by #1 K.Drones recovered by VT #1 K.Drones at VT 37, End Of PlaySimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 18
OWN 37
+5
13.4%
(01:45) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush middle for 5 yards gain to the VT 42 (#31 W.Bissainthe; #4 R.Bain Jr.)Similar
Q2 1:30
4TH & 13
OWN 42
0
13.8%
(01:36) #95 N.Veltsistas punt 58 yards to the MIA00, TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7FG
6 plays · 58 yds · 0:4389% → 92%
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+56
11.4%
(01:28) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete deep middle to #10 M.Toney caught at MIA40, for 56 yards to the VT 24 (#9 I.Brown-Murray), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+10
9.9%
(01:16) Shotgun #11 C.Beck rush right for 5 yards gain to the VT 19, out of bounds at VT 19 PENALTY MIA Holding (#63 S.Okunlola) 10 yards from VT 24 to VT 34. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 1:07
1ST & 20
OPP 34
0
10.0%
(01:09) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete deep right to #1 J.Trader thrown to VT 00Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 20
OPP 34
+12
10.1%
(01:04) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #3 J.Moore caught at VT 32, for 12 yards to the VT 22 (#18 I.Cash)Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
10.1%
(00:42) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #10 M.Toney thrown to VT 19 broken up by #3 K.SpencerSimilar
Q2 0:37
4TH & 8
OPP 22
+40
8.1%
(00:37) #38 C.Davis field goal attempt from 40 yards GOOD (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker), clock 00:37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8END OF HALF
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:2512% → 12%
Q2 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
11.8%
(00:34) Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush left for 5 yards gain to the VT 30, out of bounds at VT 30Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
12.0%
(00:30) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Heath thrown to VT 36 broken up by #6 X.LucasSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
11.5%
(00:26) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush right for 6 yards gain to the VT 36 (#7 Z.Poyser; #13 B.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
16.3%
(00:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 9 yards gain to the VT 45 (#31 W.Bissainthe)Similar
Q2 0:09
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+10
11.5%
(00:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush right for 8 yards gain to the MIA47, out of bounds at MIA47 PENALTY VT Holding (#62 K.Altuner) 10 yards from VT 45 to VT 35. NO PLAYSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+13
11.7%
(00:05) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #81 D.Alves caught at VT 40, for 13 yards to the VT 48 (#13 B.Fitzgerald), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5211% → 19%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
11.1%
(14:58) Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush right for 8 yards gain to the VT 33 (#1 M.Toure)Similar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
11.3%
PENALTY MIA Offside (#5 J.Scott) 5 yards from VT 33 to VT 38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
11.6%
(14:10) No Huddle-Shotgun #27 M.Hawkins rush left for 0 yards to the VT 38 (#6 X.Lucas)Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
11.2%
(13:39) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #2 T.Heath caught at VT 40, for 4 yards to the VT 42 (#6 X.Lucas), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 12:47
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
11.3%
(12:56) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #13 J.Hairston caught at VT 46, for 5 yards to the VT 47 (#1 M.Toure)Similar
Q3 12:20
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+15
11.4%
(12:20) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush left for 3 yards loss to the VT 44 (#31 W.Bissainthe) PENALTY MIA Face Mask (#22 C.Pruitt) 15 yards from VT 47 to MIA38, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
18.6%
Jeffrey Overton Jr. 38 Yd Run (John Love Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 6:2183% → 92%
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
17.0%
(11:55) Shotgun #10 M.Toney rush left for 7 yards gain to the MIA32 (#9 I.Brown-Murray), out of boundsSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
16.6%
(11:20) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 2 yards gain to the MIA34 (#13 K.Copeland)Similar
Q3 10:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
17.1%
(10:39) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA37 (#16 N.Chambers; #22 K.Gilliam Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
16.8%
(09:59) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #4 M.Fletcher Jr. caught at MIA37, for 7 yards to the MIA44 (#16 N.Chambers)Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+3
16.5%
(09:19) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #0 K.Marion caught at MIA42, for 3 yards to the MIA47 (#11 T.Flowers; #20 C.Woodson), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+17
16.5%
(08:53) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 37, for 17 yards to the VT 36 (#9 I.Brown-Murray), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
16.5%
(08:35) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 39, for 3 yards to the VT 33, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 7:39
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
16.2%
(07:43) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 0 yards to the VT 33 (#13 K.Copeland; #11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+19
15.7%
(07:00) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #13 D.Upshaw caught at VT 14, for 19 yards to the VT 14 (#9 I.Brown-Murray), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
14.1%
(06:15) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 2 yards loss to the VT 16 (#3 K.Spencer)Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 12
OPP 16
+16
7.9%
C. Beck pass to G. Pringle Jr. for 16 yds, for a TD (C. Davis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 2:1810% → 10%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+24
10.3%
(05:30) Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush left for 24 yards gain to the VT 49 (#31 W.Bissainthe), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
11.2%
(05:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short middle to #9 C.Seldon thrown to MIA32 broken up by #7 Z.PoyserSimilar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-1
11.1%
(04:55) No Huddle-Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush middle for 1 yard loss to the VT 48 (#5 J.Scott)Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+14
10.3%
(04:03) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at VT 46, for 14 yards to the MIA38 (#7 Z.Poyser), out of bounds, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under automatic review - ""Similar
Q3 4:02
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+14
10.3%
(04:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at VT 46, for 14 yards to the MIA38 (#7 Z.Poyser), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 3:46
3RD & 11
OWN 48
-8
10.3%
(03:51) Shotgun #1 K.Drones sacked for loss of 8 yards to the VT 40 (#7 Z.Poyser)Similar
Q3 3:03
4TH & 19
OWN 40
+7
9.8%
(03:11) #95 N.Veltsistas punt 51 yards to the MIA09 #10 M.Toney return 7 yards to the MIA16 (#14 S.Robinson) PENALTY MIA Illegal Block in Back (#24 E.O'Connor) 8 yards from MIA16 to MIA08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:4492% → 93%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
8.1%
(02:56) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 1 yard gain to the MIA09 (#3 K.Spencer; #13 K.Copeland)Similar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+10
8.2%
(02:22) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #0 K.Marion caught at MIA17, for 10 yards to the MIA19 (#23 T.Williams), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-17
6.6%
(01:41) Shotgun Miami (FL) rush middle for 17 yards loss to the MIA02 fumbled by Miami (FL) at MIA02 recovered by MIA #11 C.Beck at MIA02, End Of PlaySimilar
Q3 0:53
2ND & 27
OWN 2
+7
6.6%
(00:56) Shotgun #4 M.Fletcher Jr. rush middle for 7 yards gain to the MIA09 (#6 J.Bass; #98 K.Huisman)Similar
Q3 0:15
3RD & 20
OWN 9
+12
6.8%
(00:15) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short left to #4 M.Fletcher Jr. caught at MIA09, for 12 yards to the MIA21 (#11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 8
OWN 21
+4
6.9%
#94 D.Joyce punt 53 yards to the VT 26 #11 I.Spencer return 4 yards to the VT 30 (#46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 13DOWNS
12 plays · 21 yds · 3:439% → 8%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
9.4%
(15:00) Shotgun #9 C.Seldon rush left for 2 yards gain to the VT 32 (#41 C.Smith)Similar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
9.4%
(14:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short right to #2 T.Heath thrown to VT 41 broken up by #41 C.SmithSimilar
Q4 14:03
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+11
9.2%
(14:14) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at VT 43, for 11 yards to the VT 43, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
9.4%
(13:50) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete deep right to #0 A.Greene thrown to MIA18 broken up by #2 D.Brown. #0 A.Greene injured on the playSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
9.4%
(13:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 2 yards gain to the VT 45 (#2 D.Brown)Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+6
9.2%
(13:11) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #2 T.Heath caught at VT 48, for 6 yards to the MIA49 (#2 D.Brown)Similar
Q4 12:16
4TH & 2
OPP 49
+1
8.7%
(12:27) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIA48 (#7 Z.Poyser), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
Q4 12:00
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
8.7%
(12:00) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 1 yard gain to the MIA48 (#7 Z.Poyser), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
8.7%
(11:52) Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short right to #0 A.Greene thrown to MIA37 QB hurried by #7 Z.PoyserSimilar
Q4 11:36
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+7
8.5%
(11:47) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short right to #0 A.Greene caught at MIA41, for 7 yards to the MIA41 (#7 Z.Poyser)Similar
Q4 11:13
3RD & 3
OPP 41
0
8.5%
(11:13) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short left to #16 J.Overton thrown to MIA40Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 3
OPP 41
-8
8.2%
(11:09) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones sacked for loss of 8 yards to the MIA49 (#99 A.Moten), TURNOVER ON DOWNSSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 7 yds · 3:1796% → 97%
Q4 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
3.7%
(11:03) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 4 yards gain to the VT 47 (#98 K.Huisman; #24 J.Keller)Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+1
3.5%
(10:26) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #10 M.Toney caught at MIA49, for 1 yard to the VT 46 (#11 T.Flowers)Similar
Q4 9:35
3RD & 5
OPP 46
0
3.4%
(09:35) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 48, for 0 yards to the VT 46 (#24 J.Keller) PENALTY VT Offside (#33 B.Bell) 5 yards from VT 46 to VT 41, 1ST DOWN. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+10
3.3%
(09:26) Shotgun #11 C.Beck rush right for 3 yards gain to the VT 38, out of bounds at VT 38 PENALTY MIA Holding (#78 M.McCoy) 10 yards from VT 41 to MIA49. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+5
3.4%
(09:11) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #22 G.Pringle Jr. caught at MIA45, for 5 yards to the VT 46 (#13 K.Copeland; #24 J.Keller)Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+7
3.3%
(08:31) Shotgun #22 G.Pringle Jr. rush left for 7 yards gain to the VT 39 (#24 J.Keller; #21 J.Reddish)Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
3.2%
(07:49) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass incomplete short middle to #10 M.Toney thrown to VT 23 broken up by #11 T.FlowersSimilar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 8
OPP 39
+5
3.3%
PENALTY MIA Delay Of Game 5 yards from VT 39 to VT 44. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 7:41
4TH & 13
OPP 44
0
3.4%
(07:44) #94 D.Joyce punt 36 yards to the VT 08 fair catch by #11 I.Spencer at VT 08Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
10 plays · 92 yds · 4:185% → 15%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
4.6%
(07:38) Shotgun #16 J.Overton rush left for 1 yard gain to the VT 09 (#99 A.Moten)Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+11
4.4%
(07:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete short middle to #11 I.Spencer caught at VT 13, for 11 yards to the VT 20 (#22 C.Pruitt), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+39
4.3%
(06:38) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass complete deep right to #0 A.Greene caught at MIA41, for 39 yards to the MIA41, End Of Play, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-7
5.0%
(06:07) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones sacked for loss of 7 yards to the MIA48 (#99 A.Moten)Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 17
OPP 48
+6
4.2%
(05:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MIA42 (#7 Z.Poyser)Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
3.4%
(04:44) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short middle to #16 J.OvertonSimilar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 11
OPP 42
0
3.2%
(04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones pass incomplete short middle to #16 J.Overton thrown to MIA42 QB hurried by #18 A.Blount and #31 W.Bissainthe. The previous play is under automatic review - "Incomplete pass". CALL OVERTURNED. (Original Play: (04:16) No Huddle-Shotgun #1 K.Drones rush middle for 10 yards loss to the VT 48 fumbled by #1 K.Drones at VT 48 recovered by VT #62 K.Altuner at VT 48, End Of Play)Similar
Q4 3:48
4TH & 11
OPP 42
+39
3.1%
(03:58) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete deep right to #0 A.Greene caught at MIA09, for 39 yards to the MIA03 (#2 D.Brown), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 3:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
14.7%
(03:21) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17 PENALTY VT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#5 W.Watson III) 15 yards from MIA00 to MIA03 #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:589% → 7%
Q4 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
9.4%
(03:13) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III sacked for loss of 10 yards to the VT 29 (#5 J.Scott)Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+38
6.5%
(02:51) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass complete short middle to #11 I.Spencer caught at VT 31, for 38 yards to the MIA33 (#13 B.Fitzgerald), out of bounds, 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
9.9%
(02:23) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Watson III pass incomplete short left to #15 S.Peterkin thrown to MIA20Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+15
9.6%
(02:21) No Huddle-Shotgun #0 A.Greene pass incomplete deep right to #9 C.Seldon thrown to MIA00 PENALTY VT Pass Interference (#9 C.Seldon) 15 yards from MIA33 to MIA48. NO PLAYSimilar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 25
OPP 48
+6
7.0%
(02:12) No Huddle-Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 6 yards gain to the MIA42 fumbled by #5 W.Watson III at MIA45 forced by #3 A.Mesidor recovered by MIA #7 Z.Poyser at MIA42 #7 Z.Poyser return 18 yards to the VT 40 (#15 S.Peterkin). The previous play is under automatic review - "Fumble". CALL UPHELDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17TD
11 plays · 40 yds · 1:3698% → 99%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
2.1%
(02:03) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 46, for 4 yards to the VT 36 (#16 N.Chambers; #31 J.Abbey)Similar
Q4 1:52
2ND & 6
OPP 36
-6
1.9%
(01:57) Shotgun #0 K.Marion rush right for 6 yards loss to the VT 42 (#3 K.Spencer) PENALTY MIA Holding declinedSimilar
Q4 1:47
3RD & 12
OPP 42
+14
2.2%
(01:52) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short right to #1 J.Trader caught at VT 30, for 14 yards to the VT 28 (#16 N.Chambers), 1ST DOWNSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
1.9%
(01:21) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 3 yards gain to the VT 25 (#33 B.Bell; #94 E.Fall)Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+6
1.7%
(01:15) Shotgun #6 C.Brown rush middle for 6 yards gain to the VT 19 (#14 S.Robinson; #98 K.Huisman)Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-1
1.8%
(01:08) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete short middle to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 24, for 1 yard loss to the VT 20 (#3 K.Spencer; #15 B.Johnson)Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+20
1.4%
(00:23) Shotgun #11 C.Beck pass complete deep right to #10 M.Toney caught at VT 00, for 20 yards to the VT 00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 00:20, 1ST DOWN #38 C.Davis kick attempt good (H: #94 D.Joyce, LS: #46 A.Booker)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18END OF GAME
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
0.9%
(00:17) No Huddle-Shotgun #20 P.Prioleau rush middle for 12 yards gain to the VT 37 (#7 Z.Poyser; #10 R.Aguirre, Jr.), 1ST DOWNSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 3:17
(03:21) Shotgun #5 W.Watson III rush middle for 3 yards gain to the MIA00 TOUCHDOWN, clock 03:17 PENALTY VT UNS: Unsportsmanlike Conduct (#5 W.Watson III) 15 yards from MIA00 to MIA03 #17 J.Love kick attempt good (H: #95 N.Veltsistas, LS: #96 C.Epling)
+13.1
TD · Q3 11:59
Jeffrey Overton Jr. 38 Yd Run (John Love Kick)
+7.2
TD · Q3 5:32
C. Beck pass to G. Pringle Jr. for 16 yds, for a TD (C. Davis KICK)
-6.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com